Cryptomarket
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently in wave 3 of a 5 (Elliott Wave)BTC/USD experienced a halving last year on April 20, 2024. We have been seeing the typical post-halving cycle with exponential upside, followed by deep pullbacks. The price action we've seen to date follow Elliott Wave Cycle quite nicely. I believe we are in wave 3 of a bull cycle that has really been in place since Sep 2024.
- Wave 1: Sep 2024 - Jan 2025 - parabolic upside from $54K to $109K - absolutely explosive!
- Wave 2: Jan 2025 - Apr 2025 - we saw price peak and pull back all the way to the 61.8% Fibonacci level right around $75K. Remember, that in wave 2, a healthy pullback is 50% - 61.8% of the first wave.
- Wave 3: Apr 2025 - we have since rallied to around $109K as of this analysis. We are likely in subwave 3. Subwave 1 was from the low in April to the high in May (around $112K). Subwave 2 was a very nice 3-wave zig zag (reaching low of $98.3K in June). I believe we are currently in the middle of wave 3.
My next price target based on Fibonacci extension is $118K-$120K with the $78.6% level right at $119K. Note current resistance that we need to turn into support ($109.7K level) is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level. I do expect a meaningful pullback after the peak of wave 3, which would be wave 4. The rest is TBD and I will continue to update this idea.
Remember, Elliott Wave theory is one tool in the toolbox. I do believe there is a larger post-halving cycle narrative that is dominant and most reliable, especially since BTC has largely followed this blueprint that we see every four years, but as of now EWT fits in quite nicely. I also look at the pi cycle top indicator and believe we need to use multiple indicators to understand where we are in the cycle.
BTC/USDT : Breaks Out – New Highs In Sight After Smashing $111K!By analyzing the Bitcoin (BTC) chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price has finally started to rally as expected—successfully hitting the $111,700 target and even printing a new high at $111,999 with an impressive pump.
This analysis remains valid, and we should expect new all-time highs soon.
The next bullish targets are $124,000 and $131,800.
THE WEEKLY TF ANALYSIS :
BYCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin?
Bitcoin has broken above its descending trendline and formed a new higher high. The price is now in a consolidation phase, taking a short pause after the breakout.
We expect the bullish trend to remain intact. After a pullback to the broken trendline and some consolidation in the support zone, Bitcoin is likely to resume its upward move toward higher levels and new all-time highs.
The overall market structure remains bullish, and this consolidation phase could present a buy-the-dip opportunity.
Is Bitcoin ready for the next leg higher, or will the pullback go deeper? Share your view below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Skeptic | Why did Bitcoin grow? What’s the next move?Unemployment rate’s up...
lemme explain short and sweet. When unemployment —a key factor for setting interest rates —rises, the Federal Reserve’s got no choice but to lower rates so companies can hire. Lower rates = more liquidity = Bitcoin and stocks go up.
What’s the next move?
Around $ 120,000 , there’s about 1 billion in short liquidity positions. also it overlaps with the weekly pivot point level 4 . I see a high chance of correction or ranging here. Personally, I opened a position before the $ 110,513 breakout ( i shared in this analysis ) and only took profits. If you’re still holding, I suggest not closing yet—once the $ 110,000 resistance broke, Bitcoin’s major weekly trend woke up, so we could see more growth.
If this analysis helped you, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
DXY (USD Basket) - 3 Month - Short Squeeze In Play?Technicals:
The last 3-month candle closed above the major resistance that tends to hold according to historic levels going back to the year 1967.
Golden Cross is almost complete (50 MA crossing the 200 MA).
Fundamentals:
The dollar has only been more shorted once in history (2018), setting things up for a potential "Short Squeeze" and triggering a "Risk Off" scenario. Tends to hurt risk assets quite hard—for example, tech stocks, crypto, and other leverage plays.
A rise in the DXY could potentially trigger a "Short Squeeze" for foreign countries, companies, and investors that borrow in USD, creating "economic panic" in other countries that get their currency devalued relative to their obligations.
Countries that need USD to service their debt. With the current tariffs, the flow of dollars in the world will change. The question is: what will the effect look like in August when these tariffs start to go live? Like I mentioned before, other countries need the dollars in order to service their debt. If it gets more expensive for US consumers to import (caused by the tariffs), the exporting countries won’t get those dollars—setting it up for a buying cycle that could potentially drive the USD (DXY) higher, even to all-time highs.
Current narrative:
The narrative right now is that the USD will get "worthless," setting the stage to take more risk and use more leverage, maybe without even hedging. A surprise variable to this narrative could be devastating to the financial markets—not just in the US, but even to the world. IF/When this happens, everyone will hunt the USD once again, creating a new bullish narrative for the USD, and everyone will be forced to return to the reserve currency.
Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
ZEN/USDT Daily Chart: Accumulation Before the Big Move? Hey traders! Let’s dive into this daily ZENUSDT chart. Horizon is in a sideways accumulation phase, forming an Expanding Wedge right after a massive bullish Falling Wedge breakout.
We’re also seeing a small inverted head and shoulders at the bottom support range of $7.08-$10.08 , with the neckline at $10.08 . ZEN recently revisited this level, and a confirmed breakout could propel it toward $18.08-$28.94 , with a major target at $41.15 .
If the breakout fails, we might see a pullback to the neckline at $10.08 or the shoulder support at $8.28 .
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $18.08, $28.94, $41.15
Support: $8.28
Breakout Target: $41.15
Breakdown Risk: $8.28
Is ZEN about to skyrocket, or will this breakout fail? Let’s hear your thoughts below!
The Final Parabola: What History Says About Bitcoin’s July MovesIf you’ve been following here for a while, you know we’ve been nearly pinpoint in calling all the moves for Bitcoin. The altcoin market, not so much, but check out previous TAs to catch up on my perspective.
The two wave counts you see on the main chart have been in place for many months, I believe since around October 2024. As you can see, things have been playing out perfectly so far. The four year cycle continues to follow its path.
If the same thing happens this cycle like the last two, we should see a top sometime between October and December 2025, anywhere from 185K to 225K, followed by a cycle low somewhere around 48K in October 2026.
Bitcoin’s Julys
Every July during the 4th cycle year, Bitcoin begins its final parabolic run. This has happened without fail since the beginning of the Bitcoin Index chart. July consistently marks a major bottom, and then it's off to the races. The “only up” period that follows typically lasts 4 to 6 months and happens just once every four years like clockwork.
Here we are once again, the 4th year of the cycle, in July. Bitcoin has just hit all time highs and we've had a Hash Ribbon buy signal.
The perfect storm is brewing. Like always, the stars align in the second half of the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle.
Time Cycles and Fibs
Looking at this time wave chart, we can see that every two waves like clockwork have marked a top. The next major wave appears to land in December 2025.
If we zoom into this smaller time wave, it has pinpointed the bottom of every small wave so far. The fact that we are once again at a bottom in July during the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle is just another sign of the magical stars aligning.
This smaller Fibonacci sequence I’ve been tracking has already hit twice and predicted two major moves. The next dates to watch are August 2025 and January 2026.
There’s plenty of talk about an extended cycle. But during the last bull run, many traders and analysts said the same thing. In the end, Bitcoin topped out at exactly the same timeframe as the previous cycles.
If we reach the top of this model in Q4 2025, and we see a Pi Cycle Top signal along with a Mayer Multiple over 2.0, that will be our trigger.
If you've been sidelined this entire time, it's now or never. You don’t want to be the one buying in at 185K in Q4 2025 when everyone is calling for a million dollars. The time to act is now.
Bitcoin Smashes Records, Hits $117,000Bitcoin has climbed to a new all-time high of approximately $117,000, gaining further credibility as an institutional asset class. Strong demand from ETFs, growing mainstream adoption, and a favourable stance from President Trump regarding crypto regulation are all contributing to this momentum.
As Bitcoin grows in market cap and adoption, its volatility has been slightly dampened, but it remains highly reactive at technical pivot points.
Technical View (BTC/USD):
The next resistance sits at $118,000, which also coincides with the 161% Fibonacci extension level. If price stalls here, expect potential pullbacks toward $114,000 or even down to $110,000. However, a confirmed breakout above $118,000 could re-establish a new bullish leg.
ETH ( Ethereum ) lovers looking strong for long term ETH -----Daily counts indicate Excellent bullish wave structure.
Both appear to be optimistic and this stock invalidation number (S L) wave 2 low
target short / long term are already shared as per charts
correction wave leg seems completed
Investing in declines is a smart move for short/ long-term players.
Buy in DIPS recommended
Long-term investors prepare for strong returns over the next two to five years.
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109K Launch Zone? Bitcoin Update Now LiveHey everyone,
Here's my latest Bitcoin analysis for you. The current price action is unfolding within an ABC corrective wave.
🔍 I've identified the optimal buy zone between 108,349 and 109,682.
📉 Once the price pulls back into this range, my limit orders will be triggered and the position will open.
🎯 In this scenario, my target level is 118,157.
Below are the exact levels for my entry, targets, and stop-loss:
- 🟩 Entry Level: 109,027
- 🟥 Stop-Loss: 105,876
- 🎯 TP1: 111,156
- 🎯 TP2: 113,607
- 🎯 TP3: 118,362
- ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.00
(This is based on a swing trade model, so reaching this level may take some time)
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Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has once again failed to break above its previous high and entered a corrective phase. The price is now moving within a channel and is approaching the lower boundary of that channel.
The correction is expected to continue toward the support zone and the bottom of the channel, where we may see buying interest and a bullish reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks above the channel resistance and key supply zone, it could trigger a strong upward move and lead to new all-time highs.
Key Note:
Price action near the channel support and demand zone will be crucial. A successful rebound from this area may signal the start of the next bullish leg.
Will Bitcoin hold the channel and bounce higher, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Phemex Analysis #96: Pro Tips for Trading Ripple (XRP)Since our previous analysis on XRP , Ripple’s native token [ PHEMEX:XRPUSDT.P ] successfully broke above the significant $2.45 resistance level, subsequently establishing a higher low around $1.90 on June 22nd. Encouragingly, XRP has surged 10% over the past two days, once again decisively breaking the $2.45 barrier, and is currently trading at around $2.57.
Given XRP’s recent bullish performance and evolving market dynamics, let's explore several potential scenarios that traders should closely monitor.
Possible Scenarios
1. Continued Bullish Momentum (Breakout Scenario)
If XRP maintains its current bullish strength, it’s likely to break above its recent high at $2.65. Such a breakout would signal strong buying interest and may push the price further toward the resistance zones at $2.96 and $3.12.
Pro Tips:
Entry Strategy: Consider entering or scaling positions upon confirmation of a breakout above $2.65, supported by increased trading volume.
Profit-Taking: Strategically take partial profits as XRP approaches the next resistance levels at $2.96 and especially $3.12 to secure gains effectively.
2. Rejected by Strong Resistance Levels (Pullback Scenario)
While the recent rally is promising, broader market conditions currently exhibit limited bullish momentum, indicating caution. XRP may face strong selling pressure at resistance levels like $3.12, leading to a potential price rejection.
In this scenario, XRP could retreat to establish a higher low above the important support at $2.15.
Pro Tips:
Buying Opportunities: Long-term investors might consider gradually accumulating positions if XRP forms a confirmed higher low above the critical support zone around $2.15.
Patience: Wait for clear stabilization signs at support before increasing positions, rather than rushing entries during active retracements.
3. Consolidation within Defined Range (Neutral Scenario)
XRP might enter a period of price consolidation, oscillating between support at $1.91 and resistance at $2.65. This scenario is common when market sentiment is uncertain or awaiting clearer directional cues.
Pro Tips:
Grid Trading Strategy: Utilize grid trading bots to profit systematically from predictable range-bound price movements. Initiate Long Grid bots near support at $1.91 and Short Grid bots near resistance around $2.65.
Stop-Loss: Always set clear stop-losses outside the consolidation range, ensuring protection against unexpected breakouts or breakdowns.
Conclusion
Ripple (XRP) currently offers compelling trade opportunities across different market scenarios. By closely monitoring bullish breakout signals above $2.65, potential pullbacks toward $2.15, and consolidation opportunities within $1.91–$2.65, traders can strategically position themselves to capitalize effectively while managing risks prudently. Always maintain a disciplined approach, pay close attention to broader market trends, and carefully execute trades based on well-defined scenarios.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Bitcoin Breaks Out — Major Momentum ShiftBTC/USDT has officially broken out of the descending channel it was consolidating in for over a month. The breakout was strong, clearing the horizontal resistance at $111,862, flipping it into support.
Chart Structure:
Descending channel broken to the upside
Horizontal resistance is flipped to support
Volume confirmed breakout momentum
Key Levels:
Support: $111,862 → Newly flipped support
Resistance Zones Ahead:
$116,818
$122,342
Upside Targets:
Immediate: $116,818
Extended: $122,342
Caution: Avoid FOMO. Wait for a retest near $111,800–$112,200 to confirm breakout strength.
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 4H
Wait for confirmation before fresh entries.
DYOR | Not financial advice
#BTC #Bitcoin
SAND – Rotation in PlaySAND is showing early signs of strength off the long-term demand zone near $0.23–0.24, where it's been accumulating for several months. Price just printed a strong weekly bounce, up +16%, reclaiming the bottom of the range.
This area has acted as a key base since mid-2023 — with each touch producing a notable reaction. Now trading at $0.286, SAND is attempting to rotate toward the top of the established range.
Key Levels
Support (Range Low): $0.23–0.24 (strong demand zone)
Resistance (Mid-Range): $0.43
Range High: $0.85
A clean flip of the mid-range ($0.43) could open the door to test $0.70+.
📌 Risk management: A break and weekly close below $0.23 invalidates this setup. As long as it holds, the upside potential is attractive from a risk/reward standpoint.
This is a classic accumulation > reclaim > expansion structure. Let the chart speak if the range holds, the rotation is in play.
CAKE : Are we left behind?Hello friends🙌
😉We came with a good currency analysis from the decentralized exchange Pancake Swap.
So you see that we have a good price support that buyers supported the price well after each collision.
🔊Now, considering the collision with this support, we can expect growth to the specified areas. Of course, don't forget that capital management and risk are the priority of trading.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
TRUMP BUY ???Hello friends🙌
🔊As you can see in the picture, we have brought you two Trump charts:
1_TRUMP/USDT, in which we see an upward trend.
2_TRUMP/BTC, in which we see a downward trend.
✔Now what is the conclusion? When this negative divergence occurs, it means that money flows from Bit to Tether, and we can expect good growth from it to the specified targets, given the price reaching important support and its return📈
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
Trade safely with us.
From Resistance to Support: XLM Sets the StageXLM had been consolidating under a descending trendline since early 2025. But today, we saw a strong breakout backed by solid momentum.
What’s even better?
It flipped a key resistance zone into support — classic breakout, retest setup.
If bulls hold this level, the next leg up could be explosive.
DYOR, NFA
1INCH ANALYSIS🔮 #1INCH Analysis 🚀🚀
💲💲 #1INCH was trading in a Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern, give a perfect breakout and will retests the levels. If the price of #1INCH sustains the breakout then we will see a bullish move. 📈📈
💸Current Price -- $0.2220
📈Target Price -- $0.2510
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#1INCH #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
COIN long -- currently in Wave 3 of 5 wave advance I've been using Elliott Wave Theory to look at COIN's price action. We seem to be in the middle of Wave 3.
- Wave 1: April 7, 2025 to May 22, 2025
- Wave 2: May 23, 2025 to June 13, 2025 - we pulled back right below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level with ~$244 serving as support.
- Wave 3: June 14, 2025 - now. The third wave usually has 5 distinct sub-waves. As of July 7, 2025 We appear to be in the 3rd sub-wave of wave 3. Using the upper channel line, price target for this wave is around $408-$410. Quite possible if we see BTC move up explosively, which also seems imminent given the highest weekly close on July 6, 2025.
COIN is a very volatile stock that has explosive moves to the up and downside. I think we still have more room to run in this current wave 3--even beyond sub-wave 1 peak at $380.
Bitcoin Breaks All-Time High: What’s Next?Bitcoin (BTC) has once again captured the world’s attention by smashing through its previous all-time high (ATH). This milestone has sparked excitement and speculation across the crypto community and beyond. But the key question remains: Will BTC continue its upward trajectory, or is a correction on the horizon?
Long-Term Outlook: The Bullish Case
In the long run, the fundamentals for Bitcoin remain strong. Several factors support a positive outlook:
Institutional Adoption: More institutional investors are entering the market, providing greater liquidity and legitimacy.
Scarcity and Halving Cycles: Bitcoin’s fixed supply and periodic halving events historically drive long-term price appreciation.
Macro Trends: Ongoing concerns about inflation and fiat currency devaluation continue to make BTC an attractive hedge.
Given these dynamics, we believe Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains upward.
Short-Term Caution: A Correction May Be Coming
While the long-term view is optimistic, the short-term picture may be less rosy:
Overheated Market Indicators: Rapid price surges often lead to overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
Profit-Taking: After breaking ATH, some investors may lock in gains, adding selling pressure.
Technical Resistance: Historical patterns suggest that corrections often follow major breakouts.
We anticipate a potential correction, possibly pulling BTC back to the $90,000 range. This adjustment could unfold in the coming week or weeks as the market digests recent gains.
What Should Investors Do?
Stay Calm: Volatility is part of the crypto landscape. Corrections are healthy for sustainable growth.
Focus on Fundamentals: Remember why you invested in BTC in the first place.
Consider Dollar-Cost Averaging: Spreading out purchases can help mitigate the impact of short-term swings.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s break above its all-time high is a testament to its enduring appeal and the growing confidence of investors. While a short-term correction may be likely, the long-term case for BTC remains compelling. As always, prudent risk management and a focus on fundamentals are key to navigating the exciting—and sometimes turbulent—world of crypto.
Do not consider it as investment advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #analysis
ARE YOU READY FOR 150K+ BTC RALLY !!!BTC has successfully broken out it's bull flag resistance and currently testing above it.
Major resistance resides above is 112K level , if we successfully break and hold above it then easy targets would be 130-150k levels.
Elliott Wave Count final targets 180k level.
If we goes below 106k level then we may see BTC getting into support region of 102-100K region.
For all of this, BTC should remain above 98K level.