SOL $260 - Bounce from Support for 26.72% ReturnAltcoins, including BINANCE:SOLUSDT , got hit today and tumbled more than 10%. Nevertheless, the situation remains bullish overall. Solana hit support at $204.00 and bounced right off from it. We're currently targeting the last HH (higher high) at $260.00 which could give us up to 26% in return for this trade. Of course, if we break below $204.00 and close the daily candle there the trade would be disqualified.
We are also inside a bullish flag (blue channel) that looks like a healthy consolidation of the former leg up we made during November.
Support Zone:
$204.00
Resistance/Target Zone:
$260.00
Let me know what you think!
Cryptomarket
TotalCrypto Market Pullback: What's Next for the Bull Run?Hello, crypto enthusiasts!
How are you today? I hope you're doing well and not letting this price action ruin your day. Times like these can be tough if you're unprepared or trading with emotions instead of following a proper plan or system.
This chart represents the **Total Market Cap** of cryptocurrencies, and as we can clearly see, it's heading down. Today marks the second consecutive day of downside price action, accompanied by increased volume.
Yesterday was the ideal exit point for the long trade that started after the U.S. elections. The signal was simple: **price pierced the PSAR**, indicating that the trade should be closed. While this index doesn’t represent an actual tradable position, it reflects the system's logic. Since this index aggregates the price action of all crypto assets, its decline suggests that most crypto assets are also experiencing downside pressure. While exceptions exist, this is the general trend.
Technical Analysis with Oscillators
- **RSI**: The Relative Strength Index has dropped from overbought levels (above 70) and is now at **~52**, signaling weakening bullish momentum. This suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend.
- **MACD**: The MACD line is trending down and crossing below the signal line, which indicates bearish momentum. This crossover often signals a further downside.
- **OBV**: The On-Balance Volume is showing a decline, confirming that selling pressure is dominating the market, supporting the bearish move.
What’s next?
- **First Target**: The 2021 top, marked by the black line, where we may see a reaction.
- **Second Target**: The **0.236 Fibonacci retracement level**, which provides another possible support area.
Of course, nothing is ever certain in trading. Tomorrow, the market could rally and ignore all current signals, but for now, the price appears to be trending downward.
A few reminders:
- In crypto, things rarely go the way we want.
- Stay prepared for every scenario and keep your portfolio ready to re-enter the market.
- Avoid letting hope and fear dictate your decisions—they won’t lead to profit.
I'll keep monitoring the markets and share my thoughts as they develop.
If you found this analysis useful, feel free to like, share, or comment below. And as always: **stay safe and keep calm!**
Bitcoin Halving 4: The Dawn of a New Bullish Era with a $150,000Introduction
The fourth Bitcoin halving, anticipated on April 15th, 2024, marks the beginning of a new era, reinforcing Bitcoin's deflationary narrative and catalyzing its cyclical market dynamics. With 90% of Bitcoin's supply already mined and a reduced block reward of 3.125 BTC, scarcity is set to increase, setting the stage for a bullish trajectory.
Historically, Bitcoin’s halving cycles have driven predictable phases: bullish trends in the initial 70,000 blocks, bearish retracements in the next 70,000 blocks, and sideways consolidation in the final stretch before the next halving. As we step into the bullish phase of Halving 4, this analysis explores Bitcoin’s trajectory toward a potential peak of $150,000, supported by historical patterns, logarithmic regression models, and on-chain metrics like the MVRV ratio and z-score.
Where Are We Today?
Having experienced the lows of the third halving era, which began on May 11th, 2020, Bitcoin has successfully weathered the sideways phase characterized by market equilibrium. With the MVRV ratio at 2.24, Bitcoin is signaling fair value, poised for the bullish uptrend expected in the fourth halving era.
Historically, Bitcoin’s market dominance reflects this cyclical behavior. During bearish and sideways phases, dominance often falls below 40%, but as the bullish phase takes hold, dominance surges to 70%, bolstering its influence over the entire cryptocurrency market. These dynamics suggest that Bitcoin is primed for significant price appreciation.
Halving Cycles and Price Projections
The logarithmic regression model shown in the chart encapsulates Bitcoin’s historical price patterns. The projected target of $150,000 aligns with the intersection of Bitcoin's parabolic uptrend and its logarithmic regression of highs. Key milestones include:
Post-Halving Bullish Phase (0 to 70,000 blocks): Historically marked by exponential price growth.
Bearish Phase (70,000 to 140,000 blocks): A retracement period, with average drawdowns of 80% from cycle highs.
Sideways Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks): A period of consolidation, setting the stage for the next halving.
For Halving 4, projections suggest:
A high of $150,000 during the bullish phase.
An 80% drawdown, positioning the bearish-phase low at $55,000.
The MVRV Ratio: A Key Indicator
The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) serves as a robust tool for assessing Bitcoin’s valuation. Current metrics indicate that Bitcoin is fairly valued, with room for substantial growth in the coming phase:
Historical Extremes:
MVRV > 3.7: Overbought conditions, signaling market tops.
MVRV < 1: Undervalued conditions, signaling market bottoms.
As Bitcoin transitions into the fourth halving era, the MVRV ratio’s current reading of 2.24 suggests equilibrium, with significant upside potential.
Projected Timeline
April 2024 (Halving): Bitcoin enters the bullish phase, with increasing demand outpacing diminishing supply.
2025-2026: Price targets of $150,000 are achievable as the cycle matures.
Post-Bullish Phase: Expected retracement to $55,000, aligning with historical drawdowns.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s cyclical nature, driven by its deflationary halving mechanism, positions it as a unique asset in the financial markets. As we enter the fourth halving era, the combination of historical data, on-chain metrics like the MVRV ratio, and market dynamics underscores the potential for Bitcoin to reach $150,000.
This analysis highlights Bitcoin's enduring appeal as a store of value and a driver of innovation in the digital asset space. While short-term volatility is inevitable, the long-term outlook remains bullish.
Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are inherently volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Sources:
Coin Metrics
CryptoQuant
TradingView Data Analysis
Bitcoin: Are We Holding at $93K, $90K, $88K, or $83K?Good morning, trading crew.
Bitcoin is pulling back, and we’re heading for one of these key levels:
1️⃣ $93K might be the first spot where it bounces.
2️⃣ If not, we’re looking at $90K next.
3️⃣ Below that, FWB:88K could be the level to watch.
4️⃣ And if things go lower, FWB:83K might be where it finally holds.
Right now, it’s all about being patient and watching how it moves. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
What’s your call—where will Bitcoin settle? Drop your thoughts below, and don’t forget to like and follow to stay in the loop.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
TRX bull run is near to end?After seven years, TRX has reached a significant milestone and might peak at $0.72. This level marks what appears to be the final phase of its impulsive wave structure, signaling a potential conclusion to its long-term bullish cycle.
Note of Wave 1 and wave 4 of micro degree - Lenient Interpretation : Overlapping wicks may be permissible if they represent a temporary price action anomaly (e.g., a flash spike), and the body of Wave 4 does not enter Wave 1's price territory.
LINK $27 Setup - Trade when others are in fearCrypto got a 10% slap over the last hours and altcoins like BINANCE:LINKUSDT are currently giving setups for both, long and short. As for now LINK holding above the $22.50 support zone means we're still in play for a long move up to $27 which would result in 15% return. If we brake that support we should wait for a short confirmation and enter a short trade to the nearest support zone at $21. Don't forget that the US100 is currently on the upper side of a broader wedge and could consolidate further until New Years Eve. This would also drag down crypto further. But as long as the support holds, I'm long.
Support Zones
$22.50
$21.00
Resistance Zone
$27.00
Let me know what you think.
Well, Well Well, Can Bitcoin Sustain Its New All-Time High?It's been a while, TradingView. I've really stepped away from markets for the most part to focus on other things. It's been quite refreshing. This won't be long. I'm popping in to share a couple of quick observations.
For one, Bitcoin has managed to break out to a new significant ATH, so far a little under 30% above the previous high around $73k. My speculation has long been that Bitcoin is unlikely to SUSTAIN a significant new all-time high above the previous bull-market high near $70k. This is close to being invalidated. Full invalidation would require Bitcoin to just keep going, and $100k is the next clear hurdle. Right now, it's encountering some resistance, just 5% from that major target. Keep in mind, Bitcoin, is not really outperforming major stock indexes (yet). It's simply caught up after a period of underperformance.
The recent upswing in price seems to have been catalyzed by Trump's second election to office in the U.S. Interesting, considering he used to look down on cryptocurrencies and suddenly flip-flopped during his recent run for office. This seems to be a bit of an emotional and speculative reaction from investors. Buyers expect further price appreciation with increased adoption and decreased available supply. "Adoption" simply means buying and holding these days, not using it as a currency. This is clear when looking at this graph: studio.glassnode.com
Bitcoin active addresses continue to stagnate. People are just buying and holding, and it is often the same entities doing so. The ETFs skew this data as well, since these coins are held in concentrated addresses, even though many more people may be holding "Bitcoin" through an ETF. That brings me to something else: Options. Now traders can exercise options on Bitcoin ETF's. This is dangerous, and I think should be treated with some caution. This can increase the amount of price manipulation, as if it wasn't already manipulated.
As for me, I closed my shorts at a loss around $63.8k. I saw that Bitcoin was unlikely to drop further, and instead break out of its flag formation to the upside. This ended up being the safer move. Now, I've slowly begun scaling back into a short. I've added at GETTEX:89K , $93k, and now $94.8k. The chart is demonstrating some divergences. The Ultimate Oscillator is actually declining as price goes up.
Today's "breakout" is so far on meager volume, but my guess is that this increases should price continue towards $100k this week. In the above chart, confirmation of a local top might be the breakdown of my orange trendline.
If price stalls here, it can fall all the way down to the breakout point (the long broadening wedge)
It can also simply fall as shallow as $82-83k and then resume its climb. Long term, I'm not a fan of this asset as it represents something dystopian and sinister to me these days. I acknowledge it doesn't represent this to everyone. Regardless of your position on Bitcoin, I wish you luck!
This is not meant as financial advice and for speculation only!
-Victor Cobra
$NEIRO - Anticipating the Final Dip Before New HighsI believe BINANCE:NEIROUSDT will try to hold this level. I’m placing some bids below the trendline.
If by the end of the week it's not above the trendline or if there’s clear weakness below it, I’ll cut the position.
It seems like Bitcoin is looking to retrace, but I’m still seeing a lot of coins pumping.
SOL Swing Trade: From $175 Support to $800 TargetIn this video, we revisit Solana's (SOL) price action, highlighting the progression toward our entry target of $100 as discussed in March. Now facing resistance at the previous all-time high (ATH), a pullback appears both healthy and likely. We'll analyze the potential for support levels to hold, with $175 being a key structural level. From there, Solana could chart a path to our profit targets: $500 for a 2x return and $800 for a 5x return. Join me as we explore strategic entry points, key levels, and market conditions driving SOL's performance, and discuss how to capitalize on this exciting opportunity for swing traders.
BTC/USD LONG SET UP BITCOINTitle: BTC/USD BUY (BITCOIN)
Asset: Crypto
Symbol: BTC/USD
Order Type: Buy Limit
Time Frame: 1D
Platform: Coinbase or MT4
Entry Price 1: $95,500
Entry Price 2: $90,500
Stop Loss: $85,500
Take Profit 1: $100,500
Take Profit 2: $105,500
Take Profit 3: $115,500
Status: ACTIVE
An Update For MY Followers Hey Everyone
Wanted to quickly update everyone as I have been MIA the last two weeks working on a really cool project to create even more value for everyone. I will be back in action tomorrow, so if you have any assets you want me to analyze let me know and I will do that for you. Secondly if you are wanting to increase your wellness and your trading send me a DM.
Hope everyone has a awesome day and I will see you tomorrow
Kris / Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Alikze »» ROSE | Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario
📣 BINANCE:ROSEUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier, the Rose currency encountered demand after correcting to the 0.23 Fibo area, which continued to grow in accordance with the movement path to the supply area.
🟢 In the daily updates, it was also mentioned that a bullish flag was formed, which had a growth of 74% as much as the flag bar.
🟢 Currently, in the daily timeframe, it has also had a movement cycle to the supply area of 13 cents, considering the current momentum.
💎Therefore, considering the momentum, it can continue to the red box area (supply area) with a pullback to the green box area.
⚠️In addition, if the price enters the LVL Invalidation area, the bullish scenario will be invalidated.⚠️
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Timing the Second Best Entry on $RAY - RAYDIUMNASDAQ:RAY has hit a nice level of resistance, so now I'm looking to anticipate a small retrace into the low EUROTLX:4S for a potential add/entry.
I still see NASDAQ:RAY moving much higher as $SOLANA isn’t done yet. The MEME frenzy will keep going, and this cycle is gearing up for a strong final leg, with potential for BTC to enter a multi-year cycle.
Alikze »» SUSHI | Reverse head and shoulders pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Reverse Head and Shoulders Pattern - Reversal Motivational Wave
- According to the analysis presented before , after filling the FVG gap, wave 3 continued up to the 0.47 range of the 100 Fibo zone.
- After creating demand in the range of 100 Fibo, it has encountered a motivational wave.
- It is currently in an uptrend, which has faced a temporary correction after breaking the supply zone.
Due to the upward trend, it can encounter the bottom of the channel and meet the demand again and continue its upward trend until the next supply area.
- This upward trend can continue in the range of 1.56.
💎 Therefore, by breaking the supply area (red box) and after pulling back to it, it can continue its ascent to the next supply area.
⚠️ Note: In addition, if this modification touches the "Invalidation LVL" area, the ascending scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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BINANCE:SUSHIUSDT
Floki (FLOKI) - Trade Update!Hey team! Let’s talk about my latest trade on Floki:
- Market Strength: Despite the overall bearishness in the crypto market, Floki has shown incredible strength, standing out from the crowd.
- Trade Breakdown:
- I went long on Friday , following the setup from our WiseOwl Indicator. The indicator locked in an 8.48% gain on the first position and immediately re-entered.
- For this trade, I used my own risk management strategy—I held the first position and reloaded on the second entry.
- Current Position: My position is now sitting at +16.73% , and I’m in a great spot. I’m expecting more bullishness in the short term , so staying patient and letting the market do its thing.
⚡️ Sticking to the plan and adapting risk management can really pay off—let’s see where this goes!
1000Sats / USDT : Poised for a breakout from middle support 1000SATS/USDT: Poised for a Breakout from Middle Support
1000SATS/USDT is showing promising signs 📈 as it holds firmly at a key middle support zone 📊. The pair is building momentum, creating an ideal setup for a potential breakout 💥. If confirmed, this move could trigger a strong bullish rally 🚀. Stay vigilant 👀 and wait for the breakout confirmation before entering.
Key insights:
1. Middle support: 1000SATS/USDT is holding steady at this critical zone, showing resilience against further downside.
2. Volume watch: A significant surge in trading volume during the breakout will confirm the buyers’ strength 🔥.
3. Bullish indicators: Positive trends in RSI and MACD ⚡ support the likelihood of an upward breakout.
Steps to confirm the breakout:
Wait for a clear 4H or daily candle to close above the resistance level 📍.
Look for a noticeable volume spike, signaling strong buying interest 📊.
A successful retest of the resistance-turned-support will solidify the move ✅.
Be cautious of fakeouts, such as quick reversals or wicks ⚠️.
Risk management strategies:
Use stop-loss orders to protect your position 🔒.
Align position sizing with your overall risk strategy 🎯.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR 🔍 before making any trading decisions.