Time is Ticking- Simple as usual, everything in graph.
- BTC Halving is around April 19-2024.
- And of course it will be the main influencer for others altcoins.
- Without TheKing Cryptos are nothing.
- Cryptos Markets in 2021 :
- 1.5T to 1.7T
- Forecast of Cryptos Markets in 2025 :
- 4.8T to 5.5T
- Charge your bag and don't miss the train.
- Play always what you don't need for living.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Cryptomarketcap
MARKETS week ahead: May 27 – June 2Last week in the news
The most important weekly news comes from the crypto market, as the SEC approved ETH exchange traded funds. The price of both ETH and BTC experienced high volatility during the week, with BTC ending the week above the $69K. The pricing of the first Fed rate cut modestly impacted the 10Y Treasury yields, however the price of gold reacted with a stronger price reversal, closing the week at $2.333. There has also been some volatility in the S & P 500 index, which is ending the week flat, supported by tech companies.
The US Secretary and Exchange Commission confirmed that it has approved exchange-traded funds which are holding Ethereum`s native token, ETH. This came as a surprise for markets, as there has been a lot of discussions regarding SEC`s potential decision on spot ETH ETF`s. Now the majority of analysts are questioning whether such a decision was influenced by politics or by several court rules, where SEC lost the case regarding its opinion on coins as securities. Whatever is the real reason, certainly ETH and the crypto market benefited from such a decision.
Analysts from UBS have been actively researching and forecasting the price of gold lately. In their latest report, the largest Swiss bank reassessed its forecast for the price of this metal, raising it from $2.500 to $2.600 per ounce. Their reassessment came after the latest market pricing of Fed`s cuts in interest rates during the course of this year. Namely, they took into consideration that the market is currently pricing 40 bps cut in 2024, which was increased from 28 bps previously.
As announced by the Russell 1000 Index, there is expectation for reassessment of the companies included in this index, where 38 new names will be included. Among names which are mentioned are Super Micro Computer, MicroStrategy and Carvana. Among all companies, the tech ones are dominant, including MicroStrategy which is investing specifically into BTC.
Analysts from Goldman Sachs` prime brokerage noted in their report that hedge funds are selling US equities at rates which were prevalent in January this year. This represents a significant shift in the sentiment, considering that for the last five weeks net buying was dominant. As noted, this shift in sentiment is coming after indication that the Fed's rate might stay elevated for an extended period of time.
Crypto market cap
There has been another significant milestone reached for the crypto market during the previous week. Although the market was doubting the decision, still the US SEC finally approved exchange traded funds which hold Etherem`s native token, ETH. There should not be specifically noted how the market reacted to this news. As it came as a sort of surprise, the price of ETH went up shortly by more than 20%, and is still holding. Futures also reacted to this news, pushing the price of ETH to the level of more than $4K for the period till the end of the next year. Total market capitalization significantly gained during the week, with an inflow of $137B in funds, which increased its total market cap by 6% on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were increased to $126B on a daily basis, from $110B traded during the previous week. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $861B, which represents a 53% surge from the beginning of this year.
It should not be specifically mentioned that previous week was ETH`s week. The coin gained significant 20% during the week, on news of the approval of ETH ETF`s. Total funds inflow into this coin was more than $75B. Although BTC had a volatile week, still, the coin managed to gain around 3.4% on a weekly basis, adding GETTEX:44B to its market cap. There are few other coins with relatively good weekly performance. Binance coin added $3.5B to its cap, increasing it by 4.1%. DOGE was also traded on a positive side, with a gain of $2.6B or 11.7% w/w. This week Uniswap should be especially mentioned, as this coin managed to gain even 38% in value from the previous week. ZCash had also a good week with a surge in value of 14%. Algorand was up by more than 5%, OMG Network surged by 7.5%, while LINK was traded higher by 6.3%. Only a few coins ended the week with the losing track, like Tron, which lost 8% in value, while Cardano was down by 5%.
There have been relatively minor changes with circulating coins. Tether continues to increase the number of its coins on the market, adding new 0.5% during the previous week. XRP also increased its coins by 0.3%. Traditionally, Filecoin is posting strong increases in coins week by week, adding 0.6% during the previous week. Maker added 0.2% of new coins. Majority of other coins added around 0.1% of new coins on the market.
Crypto futures market
Crypto futures market reacted positively to the news regarding the approval of the ETH exchange traded funds. The price of this coin was increased by 20% on a weekly basis and the futures market was following developments. Short term futures gained above 20%, while the longer term ones gained more than 28% within the week. ETH futures maturing in December this year reached the price of $3.962, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $4.146.
BTC futures also followed positive market sentiment. Futures gained above 2.7% on a weekly basis for all maturities. In this sense, futures maturing in December 2024 closed the week at price $70.795, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $75.605.
Solana (SOL) Breakout Signals Major Upside PotentialSolana (SOL) has emerged as a formidable player in the cryptocurrency space, boasting superior transaction speed, low fees, and remarkable scalability. These attributes position Solana as a leading candidate for substantial growth, setting it apart from other similar coins.
Technical Analysis:
The daily chart of Solana reveals a significant bullish development. On May 15, 2024, Solana experienced a breakout from a consolidation box, a move confirmed by the FCT (Box Breakout) indicator. This breakout is a robust signal of increased buying pressure and potential for further gains. Additionally, Solana is trading comfortably above both the 24-day and 150-day moving averages, underscoring the prevailing bullish trend.
Key Technical Indicators:
Breakout Date: May 15, 2024
Indicators Used: FCT (Box Breakout), 24-day Moving Average, 150-day Moving Average
Current Price Level: Above 24-day and 150-day moving averages
Trend: Strong bullish momentum
Price Target:
Given the current technical setup and market sentiment, we anticipate Solana's price to reach the $250 to $275 range per coin in the near term. This target is derived from the measured move of the breakout and the strong underlying fundamentals supporting Solana.
Investment Thesis:
Transaction Speed and Scalability: Solana can process up to 65,000 transactions per second (TPS), far exceeding the capabilities of many other blockchain platforms, including Ethereum. This speed, coupled with low transaction fees, makes Solana an attractive option for developers and users alike.
Innovative Technology: Solana’s unique Proof of History (PoH) mechanism, which works in conjunction with Proof of Stake (PoS), enhances its scalability and efficiency. This technological edge provides a strong foundation for long-term growth.
Ecosystem Growth: Solana’s ecosystem is rapidly expanding, with an increasing number of decentralized applications (dApps) and projects being built on its platform. This growth fosters network effects and adds intrinsic value to the SOL token.
Institutional Interest: Solana has been attracting significant institutional interest, further validating its potential and providing additional liquidity and stability to the market.
Recent Developments:
Breakout Confirmation: The breakout from the consolidation box on May 15, 2024, marks a critical turning point. The FCT indicator's confirmation adds credibility to this move, suggesting sustained upward momentum.
Moving Averages: Trading above the 24-day and 150-day moving averages highlights strong buying interest and investor confidence in Solana’s long-term prospects.
Price Projections and Risk Management:
Short-Term Target: $250 - $275 per coin
Support Levels: Initial support around $180 (previous resistance turned support)
Risk Management: Investors should consider placing stop-loss orders below the $180 support level to manage potential downside risk.
Chart Analysis:
The chart illustrates Solana’s breakout and current trading levels above key moving averages. The annotated chart also highlights the consolidation box and the breakout point, providing a visual representation of the bullish setup.
Conclusion:
Solana’s combination of innovative technology, rapid ecosystem growth, and strong technical indicators make it a compelling investment opportunity. The recent bullish breakout and sustained trend above critical moving averages point to further upside potential. Investors looking to capitalize on this opportunity should consider Solana for their portfolios, targeting the $250 to $275 range per coin.
Stay tuned for further updates and happy trading!
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
MARKETS week ahead: May 19 – 25Last week in the news
A new week with new all time highs for S&P 500. Posted inflation figures in the US supported market optimism on Fed's rate cut in September, where the index was pushed to the higher grounds. S&P 500 reached the level of 5.325 on Thursday, still, ending the week at 5.303. The price of Gold was also supported by the expectations on the Fed's rate cut but also on expectations on China's significant stimulus for the boost of its economy. The price of gold reached the level of $2.420 on Fridays trading session, however, its ATH currently stands at $2.430. The USD lost some of its value during the week, while Treasury yields were traded in a mixed manner, with the 10Y benchmark ending the week at 4.42%. It was also a good week for the crypto market. Bitcoin managed to move away from $60K support, and in a swift move reached a level of $67.5K.
The latest economic data in the US might provide some glimpse that the inflation is slowing down. The posted inflation rate was standing at 3.4% in April on a yearly basis, while core inflation eased to 3.6% in April from 3.8% in March y/y. However, markets are still digesting the latest inflation data with other economic data related to the US economy, especially data on jobs and consumer sentiment. The retail sales were at 0% on a monthly basis in April, which was significantly lower from 0.4% expected by the market. These data are showing that the economy is slightly losing ground as a consequence of high interest rates, and that the Fed will be forced to finally cut the rates during the course of this year. Current expectations, with odds of some 54% are that the first cut will be in September.
Analysts from Morgan Stanley analyzed the potential number of Fed's rate cuts during this year. They are noting that current expectations and market pricing are favoring two rate cuts this year. However, in their opinion, this might be underestimated, as they are expecting three rate cuts. This opinion is supported by their estimation of disinflation which has started with April CPI data. The first rate cut, by their analysis, should occur in September, as June might be premature.
While their US colleagues are focused on potential rate cuts, Swiss UBS is more focused on the price of gold. Analysts from the Swiss UBS bank warned their clients of a potential pull-back in the price of gold. This came in a note to investors. They are stating that the current macro uncertainty could bring some higher volatility to the price of gold, in which sense, they recommend hedging of investors positions. On the other hand, they have stated that they remain bullish on the long-run, with a current price target of $2.500 as of the end of this year.
Crypto market cap
The minute when some traders started with public complaints that the BTC market became “boring”, BTC decided to show that they are not right. During the previous week the crypto market returned to its old mood characterized with sudden and swift moves toward the one side. Although the majority of coins gained during the week, still, it was Bitcoin which moved the total crypto market capitalization to the upside. It has been increased by 8% on a weekly level, where a total $178B has been added to the value. Daily trading volumes were modestly decreased from the week before to the level of $115B on a daily basis, from $122B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $724B, which represents a 44% surge from the beginning of this year.
BTC was the coin which led the crypto market to the upside during the previous week. The coin gained more than 10% on a weekly basis, adding $120B to its total market value. ETH also performed relatively well, through an increase in its market cap of 7.1% w/w, increasing it by $25B. Significant weekly gainer was also Solana, which managed to add more than $12B to its value, increasing it by more than 19% w/w. Bitcoin Cash gained on the surge of BTC, whose market cap was increased by 11.5%. LINK should be also mentioned as a significant gainer, as this coin increased its value by 20.8% within a single week. Majority of other altcoins gained somewhere between 3% and 8% during the week. There have been only several weekly losers, like Tron, which dropped in value by 3%, Binance Coin lost $1.8B in value or 2%, while interestingly, Bitcoin Gold was down by 8%.
There have been some developments when circulating coins are in question during the week. Tether managed to add 0.4% more coins to the market, increasing its total market value by this percentage. Miota increased its coins in circulation by 0.6% on a weekly level, while traditionally, Filecoin added 0.4% more coins to the market. One of the rare coins which decreased its number of coins on the market was XRP, whose number dropped by 0.1% w/w.
Crypto futures market
There have been some interesting developments on the crypto futures market during the previous week when it comes to ETH futures. Although short term futures were traded higher by 7.4% on a weekly basis, which was in line with the spot market, still, the long term ones were traded lower by more than 2% on a weekly basis. This was quite an interesting movement, considering that it implies that investors are currently not quite sure about the future price of ETH. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $3.091, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $3.230.
BTC futures were fully following investors' optimism from the spot market. Short term futures were traded above 10% higher, while those with longer maturities were last traded above 4% higher from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $71.705, while those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $73.580.
MARKETS week ahead: May 13 – 19Last week in the news
Previous week did not bring some currently significant economic news, however, the market volatility continued. Positive sentiment continues to hold for the US equity market, with S&P 500 heading toward the levels from April this year. The USD continues to modestly weaken, however, the price of gold picked up during the week, closing at $2.360. US Treasury yields were holding relatively steady, with the 10Y US benchmark ending the week at 4.5%. The crypto market continues to be traded with higher volatility, where BTC is ending the week by testing the $60K support.
There has not been currently important economic news posted during the previous week, so the market attention was on the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers sentiment for May. The index dropped significantly to the level of 67.4 in May, from 77.2 posted for April, and also well below the market estimate. At the same time, inflation expectations rose to 3.5% for a one year period. Based on these readings, economists are noting a switch in the consumer sentiment in terms of increased fears of inflation, unemployment and interest rates which are all moving in an unfavourable direction in the future period, based on the survey. Such negative expectations might impact contraction in consumer spending in a future period, with final impact on the economic output in the US. The week ahead brings inflation data, which will be closely watched by markets.
In support to the inflation fears, news is reporting that China's consumer prices rose for the third consecutive month in April. At the same time producer prices continued to decline, which was a signal for markets of improved domestic demand, especially in services. Analysts are noting that China`s central monetary authorities still have a job to do to boost the economy, so some further measures in terms of bank's reserve requirements and interest rates are probable in the future period.
The UBS analysts investigated China`s underlying sentiment for gold purchase, and its potential impact on the price of this metal. They noted that Chinese investors are perceiving any dip in prices of gold as a good buying opportunity, with positive expectation over its medium and long term price. On the opposite side, UBS analysts are noting that the central bank of China slowed down with its purchases of gold in Q1 compared to the same period of last year.
News are reporting that the first comprehensive regulatory regime for the U.S. crypto currency markets was approved by the House Rules Committee, and is set for a further vote in the House of Representatives. The act is called the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act, shortly FIT21, while its aim is to set clear rules for digital asset markets in the US, but also to support US in taking the leadership position in the world innovation hub.
Crypto market cap
Some traders are noting that the crypto market is currently in its “boring” phase. Indeed, in light of the first BTC ETF followed by BTC halving, the market was driven with a high dose of adrenaline in which sense, the current phase might seem to some as “boring”. But, for others, the calmer phase represents a good trading opportunity for steady profits. Anyway, it is evident that the crypto market exhausted some of the previous extreme moves, and the period of extreme profits is over, for the moment. For some time traders are extracting their funds from the crypto market in order to move them to other assets with a potential for higher profits within a short term. Total crypto market capitalization decreased during the previous week by 5%, where a total $109B was extracted from the market cap. Daily trading volumes continue to be steady, moving around $122B on a daily basis, which is a small drop from $130B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $546B, which represents a 33% surge from the beginning of this year.
During the previous week BTC was driving the total crypto market capitalization to the downside, where the coin lost around $63B in value, decreasing it by 5% on a weekly basis. Following BTC, the majority of altcoins finished the week in red. ETH was down by 7.7%, losing around $30B in the market value. XRP was another coin with a drop of $1.8B in the market cap, or 6.2%. This week DOGE and Solana followed the general market sentiment, where DOGE lost 12.5% in value, losing almost SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B in the market cap, while Solana dropped by 2%, losing $1.3B. Some of the highest decreases in market cap experienced Maker, which was down by 8%, IOTA dropped by 7.6%, Algorand was down by 7.5%, while NEO decreased its value by more than 10%. There were only a few gainers among altcoins, like Monero, which was up by 5% for the week, and Tron, which was up by 3% w/w.
When it comes to coins in circulation, the highest weekly increase was, traditionally, Filecoin, whose number of coins on the market was up by 0.6%. Solana increased the number of its coins by 0.2%, the same as XRP. This week, Tether slowed down a bit, with an increase in circulating coins by a modest 0.1%.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures were traded in a mixed manner during the previous week, however, they were just reflecting developments from the spot market.
BTC short term futures ended the trading week around 4% lower from the week before. However, the long term ones were increased by more than 5% as of the end of the week. In this sense, futures maturing in December 2023 were last traded at price $65.795 on the CME, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $69.380.
At the same time ETH futures were traded relatively flat for all maturities, except for the short once. In line with developments on the spot market, the short term ETH futures dropped by 7.5% on a weekly level. Futures maturing in December 2024 were traded relatively flat and finished the week at $3.167, while December 2025 ended the trading week at $3.271.
MARKETS week ahead: May 6 – 12Last week in the news
As it was expected, the Fed held interest rates without change at their FOMC meeting held on 1st May. Market nervousness prior to the meeting brought back some higher volatility. The USD modestly weakened, while gold ended the week testing $2.3K level. The US Treasury yields dropped after the FOMC meeting trading session and especially weaker than expected US jobs for April, reaching 4.5%. Weaker jobs data supported positive sentiment for the US equities, where S&P 500 was brought back to the level of 5.120. The crypto market had another highly volatile week, but still manages to end it with a little change from the week before. Bitcoin slipped to the $57K support, but dip buyers managed to return the price above the $63K during the weekend.
The major event during the previous week was the FOMC Meeting, held on 1st May. The Fed's rate decision and a view on current economic developments was widely expected by the market, considering inflation in the US, which is picking up slowly. This was acknowledged by the Fed, as well as a still strong labour market. Still, they noticed that the economic activity expanded at a moderate pace in Q1. The Fed continues to hold on to their 2.0% inflation target, in which sense, the first rate cut might be, and most probably, will be postponed. At this moment, no one could provide information with high certainty whether there will be one rate cut during this year, but the markets are currently estimating September with a 54% probability, while the majority of market participants switched their view on December this year.
While the US is delaying rate cuts, the market is expecting to see the ECB to cut interest rates at their June meeting. Economists are now discussing that such a course of action would weaken the euro which might put pressure on the growth of the Euro Area. At the same time, a small rate cut will most certainly not impact any significant credit demand, in which sense, it will not provide too much assistance to companies operating within the Euro Area.
Another relevant news for the previous week was that the co-founder and ex-CEO of Binance crypto exchange was sentenced with four months in prison, after pleading guilty for money laundering at his crypto exchange. Although it was expected that he would get at least three years of prison sentence, the court took into account CZ`s deal with the U.S. government in November last year and a settlement of $4.3 billion. At the same time, experts are noting that his personal wealth, estimated at $33 billion, would not be affected by the court decision.
There have been a lot of discussions during the previous period regarding the sale of investment units from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and its impact on the price of BTC. As news is reporting, Grayscale finally experienced the first total funds inflow, after quite a long time of funds outflow. As Farside Investors are reporting, there has been a total $63 million in inflows during Friday. As a reminder, Grayscale was the first BTC fund, but due to its high fees, the funds BTC holdings decreased from 600.000 down to 290.000 since the first BTC ETF was approved.
Crypto market cap
Market nervousness regarding Fed's next moves in light of inflation pick-up was also evident on the crypto market during the previous week. Namely, as frenzy over crypto ETF`s and BTC halving is over, the crypto market, and especially BTC, are returning to the general market sensitivity to macro developments. Right before the FOMC meeting, BTC reverted to the down side and reached levels below $57K within quite a short time. After the meeting Fed Chair Powell's speech brought back some investors into the crypto market, while weekend trading pushed the crypto market to levels above the end of the week before. Although it was extremely volatile week, still, total crypto market capitalization was increased by 1% from the end of the week before, where it has been added total $32B. Daily trading volumes were also increased to the level of $130B on a daily basis, from $104B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $655B, which represents a 40% surge from the beginning of this year.
The majority of altcoins were traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. During the week BTC was on a losing side, however, weekend trading brought back its market cap to the previous levels, and even increased it by 1.6%, adding total $ 20B to its total market value. On the opposite side Ether did not manage to regain previous strength, and ended the week around 1.4% lower from the week before, losing around $5.6B in value. This time major altcoins were among higher gainers. In this sense, Solana was leading the altcoin market with an increase in value of 7.3% w/w, adding total $4.5B to its market cap. DOGE was another altcoin with significant weekly performance, with an increase in value of 12.6% adding total $2.6B to its cap. This week XRP managed to add $1.17B to its value, increasing it by more than 4% w/w. Relatively solid weekly performers in relative terms had Bitcoin Gold, which increased its cap by 8.4%, Pokladot surged by 8.5%, Filecoin was up by almost 8%, while Polygon was up by 5.3%. Several coins were on a losing side, like NEO, with a decrease in value of 4%, Uniswap was down by 1.5%, while Litecoin was down by 2.5%.
Developments within circulating coins relaxed a bit during the previous week. Ether decreased the number of its coins on the market by 1.6%, which is not so frequently seen. Miota had an increase in its coins in circulation by 0.6%, the same as traditionally, Filecoin. Tether increased its market cap and number of coins in circulation by 0.2% this week.
Crypto futures market
For another week in a row major developments on the crypto market were occurring during the weekend trading sessions, hence, futures from Friday`s trading on the CME are not fully reflecting the actual developments on the crypto spot market. In this sense, Monday trading sessions on the futures market might bring some corrections.
BTC short term futures ended the week around 1.8% lower from the week before, while those maturing within a longer time frame, were last traded lower by more than 8%. Futures maturing in December this year reached the last price at $62.590, and those maturing a year later closed the week at price $67.250.
ETH short term futures were last traded down by around 1% on average, while those with longer maturity were down by more than 5%. ETH futures maturing in December 2024 closed the week at $3.138, and those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at price $3.297.
MARKETS week ahead: April 29 – May 4Last week in the news
Latest PCE data in the US are showing persistent inflation, decreasing inventor’s expectations of a potential three rate cuts during this year. US Treasury yields reacted to change in sentiment, where the 10Y benchmark reached its weekly highest level at 4.73%. Decrease of geopolitical risks in the Middle East impact short reversal in the gold price, ending the week at $2.337. The US equities were traded in a mixed manner, but still, the S & P 500 advanced more than 2.7% on a weekly basis. The crypto market has had a relatively volatile week, with BTC shortly slipping to levels below $63K during weekend trading. On 1st may Fed's rate decision is scheduled, which might bring back some higher volatility on the market.
Inflation continues to be the main concern of investors in the US. As per Fed`s favourite inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditures price index was increased by 2.8% on a yearly basis in March, slightly higher from the market expectations of 2.7%. On the other hand, posted data show that the personal saving rate dropped 0.4pp in March, which was a decrease of 2 % compared to last year. Investors decreased their expectations of potential three rate cuts to only two during the course of this year. As per CME Group FedWatch gauge, the market is currently estimating two rate cuts with a 44% probability rate. At the same time, consumers are not giving up on spending. As per latest data, Personal spending is up by 0.8% in March on a monthly basis, while dip in savings shows most probably that consumers are currently digging into their savings in order to make purchases.
A new package of laws has been adopted in the European Parliament during the previous week with the aim to further strengthen the regulation related to anti money laundering. The new laws are also addressing large cash payments and crypto companies, among others. By new laws, “obliged entities”, including crypto firms, will be obliged to report suspicious activities, as they are defined by laws.
News is reporting that ARK Invest sold the last of its BITO holdings of around $6.7 million on Thursday. The shares in the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF were bought during the end of last year in anticipation of the approval of the first spot BTC ETF on the market. Just to note that the fund founded its own ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) with the aim to invest in spot BTC.
A Pennsylvania based Republic First Bank is the first bank in the US in 2024 to be seized by regulators. Namely, all business news are reporting that this bank has been seized by Philadelphia authorities on Friday. During the previous period, the Bank was looking for a potential buyer, where Fulton Bank had reached an agreement with FDIC to take over a total 32 branches of the Republic First Bank. The shares of the troubled bank were traded down by 60% on Friday. As news is reporting the bank had about $6 billion in total assets and $4 billion in total deposits as of the end of January this year.
Crypto market cap
As frenzy over Bitcoin halving ended during the previous week, the crypto market is slowly returning to its “old” trading mode. Speculative positions have been closed, which pushed modestly the price of BTC toward the downside during the whole previous week. Selling orders were prevailing, supporting price volatility. Although it might sound like a paradox, analysts are still in agreement that this is positive for BTC, as it needs to finish one cycle in order to start a new one. As of the weekend, total crypto market capitalization dropped by 2% compared to the week before, where around $57B was wiped out from the market. This decrease was led by BTC as the coin lost $ 41B in value during the week. Daily trading volumes continue to decrease, where during the previous week they were moving around $104B, which is a drop from $128B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $623B, which represents a 38% surge from the beginning of this year.
Weekend trading session brought another losing session for BTC. It`s value dropped by 3.2% on a weekly basis, dragging market cap down by $41B. On the opposite side, ETH managed to add to its value during the week, increasing it by 1.6%, adding $6.2B to its market cap. Altcoins were also traded in a mixed manner during the week. There was a sort of equal number of both gaining and losing coins on a weekly basis. Among gainers was Tron, which increased its cap by 8.5% during the week. Binance Coin managed to hold its value relatively steady, increasing it by modest 1.5%. Algorand managed to gain 3.25% during the week. On the opposite side some of the major altcoins were traded down during the week. Solana lost 8.4% in value, losing $5.6B in market cap. DOGE was traded down by more than 10%, decreasing its value by $2.38B. Cardano joined the group of losing coins, with a total drop of 9.2% or $1.6B on a weekly basis. One of the highest losers in relative terms was Filecoin, with a total drop of 12%.
During the previous week there has been a lot of developments when it comes to the number of circulating coins. For the first time in a while, there has been a significant increase of Ethereum`s coins in circulation by even 1.6% on a weekly basis. Litecoin is also one which should be especially mentioned, as this coin had a surge of its coins on the market by 4.2%. Filecoin added a new 0.6% of coins. On the opposite side were Monero and Binance Coin, which significantly decreased their number of coins on the market. Monero had a drop of 5.1%, while BNB`s were down by 1.3% within a single week.
Crypto futures market
Although crypto futures were holding relatively steady during the previous week, still, the major development which occurred during the weekend, have not been priced on a Friday`s closing on the CME. In this sense, some drop in BTC`s short term futures is possible with a first trading day on Monday.
BTC short term futures ended the previous week with a drop of around 0.3% on a weekly basis. At the same time, the long term ones were last traded higher by around 1.6%. Futures maturing in December this year were closed at price $68.520, while those maturing a year later were traded at $73.330.
ETH futures had an increase for all maturities. The short term ones were traded higher by around 2.0%, while those maturing with a longer maturity period were traded around 3.0% higher on a weekly basis. December 2024 closed the week at price $3.337, and December 2025 was last traded at price $3.481.
MARKETS week ahead: April 22 – 27Last week in the news
Higher for longer was for one more time rhetoric which influenced market sentiment during the previous week. In expectation of less rate cuts during this year, the US equities entered into the correction mode, with the S&P 500 ending the week at level of 4.967. The US Treasuries had another relatively strong week, where 10Y benchmark sustained levels above 4.6%. The price of gold remained under the influence of geopolitics, while the US Dollar also held in strength during the week. The crypto market was recovering from a strong sell-off two weeks ago, but still sustained relatively higher volatility in expectation of Bitcoin halving, which occurred this weekend. Bitcoin is ending the week above the $ 65K levels.
The US economy continues to show its resilience to tight monetary policy. Retail sales in March were increased by 0.7% on a monthly basis, which was much higher from market estimate of 0.3%. This was another issue for markets, considering its potential impact on inflation in the coming period. Markets are currently losing positive sentiment, and adjusting positions accordingly, in expectation that three rate cuts will not occur during the course of this year.
CNBC spoke with leading ECB economists during the IMF Spring Meeting in New York, held last week. The ECB President Lagarde once again noted her standing from the last ECB meeting, that it could be expected first rate cut in June within the European Zone, in case that inflation continues to move with a clear down trend. However, in case of some extreme shocks, the rates might stay on hold. She noted this disclaimer considering recent negative developments in the Middle East and its impact on oil prices. Also, other twelve members of the Council Board were in agreement with such a course of action in June, and also aligned with potential threats coming from geopolitical issues.
Quite a positive sentiment came last week from CEO of VanEck fund, Jan van Eck. He noted in his opinion that the world economy is starting its new growth phase, putting special emphasis on China, and suggested that investors should eye commodities now. At the same time, it should be noted that his funds have large exposures toward commodities, including gold and copper.
The long awaited Bitcoin halving started early Saturday, where the 840.000th block was added to the blockchain. Fees already soared while at the same time a new Bitcoin-based system was launched. The name of the new system is Runes. Although BTC`s price was relatively volatile during the week, still the BTC held strongly around the level of $65K. Still, whales took the chance to buy the BTC dip at $60K. News are reporting that a total of $1.2B worth of BTC was bought during this time.
Crypto market cap
Bitcoin halving took place. Markets were waiting with anticipation for this event, considering that no one was really sure where the price might go prior to halving. On one side were analysts who were noting a possibility that the price might significantly drop, while on the other side were the ones noting that the price will hold and move further to the upside in the coming period. Now that the event passed, we know that the price managed to hold around $ 65K, although there had been some prior higher volatility. BTC whales took the opportunity to buy the dip and increase their positions in this coin. Two weeks ago, there was a huge sell off on the crypto market, however, the situation relatively stabilized during the previous week. Total crypto market capitalization dropped by modest 1% on a weekly level, losing a total $25B. Daily trading volumes decreased to the level of $128B on a daily basis, from $131B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $680B, which represents a 42% surge from the beginning of this year.
Although the majority of altcoins were leading the market to the upside, BTC and ETH are the ones which lost in value on a weekly basis. BTC dropped by a modest 2.3%, where the coin lost around $30B in the market cap. ETH was down by 1.2%, where around $4.8B was a decrease in its market capitalisation. Bitcoin Gold also lost some of its value during the week, dropping its market cap by 3%. There were several altcoins, who ended the week in red, like Monero, Binance Coin and Tron, but the drop was less than 1% in value. Majority of altcoins were leading the market to the upside. In this sense, Cardano increased its market cap by $1.1B, which is an increase of 6.5% on a weekly basis. Polkadot should be especially mentioned as the coin added more than $ 3B to the total crypto market cap, increasing its own by 4.2%. Solana also added $ 3B which is an increase of 4.7% on a weekly level for this coin. Among excellent weekly performers in relative terms were Filecoin and Maker, where both managed to increase market cap by more than 11%. Interestingly, THETA was one of coins who managed to add 10.5% to its market value. Other altcoins were mostly traded higher between 2% and 8% on a weekly level.
Relatively stronger developments continue when coins in circulation are in question. During the previous week Filecoin added 0.4% of new coins on the market, while Miota`s number of coins were higher by 0.6%. Certainly, this week's winner was Monero, with an increase in circulating coins by 5.4%. On the opposite side was Litecoin, who, this time, decreased its coins on the market by even 4%.
Crypto futures market
In line with the spot market, there were some major developments on the crypto futures market during the previous week. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded lower for all maturities. It should be taken into account that CME was closed during the weekend, in which sense, developments during the weekend are still not fully priced in futures. In this sense, some increase in futures prices are possible in Monday trading sessions.
BTC short term futures were last traded by some 5% lower from the end of the week before, while the longer term ones were down by less than 10%. Futures maturing in December 2024 ended the week at price $67.450, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $72.160. This was a significant drop, considering that two weeks ago these futures were traded at $80.095 for the first time in history.
ETH short term futures were also down by some 4% on average, while the major drop was with the longer term ones, which closed the week down by some 12.8% on a weekly basis. Futures maturing in December this year reached the price at $3.246, while those maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $3.377.
MARKETS week ahead: April 14 – 20Last week in the news
Inflation fears are for one more time those to shape investors confidence. Posted US inflation data during the previous week, impacted negative sentiment on the market, and made US Treasury yields move to the higher grounds, while US equities were pushed to the downside. For one more week in a row geopolitical risks were pushing the price of gold to new ATH. Uncertainty over the forthcoming Bitcoin halving impacts higher volatility on the crypto market. However, regardless of current higher volatility, BTC futures maturing in December 2025 reached the level of $80K for the first time in history.
The pivotal point on financial markets was a release of the US inflation data for March. As posted, the inflation in March was 0.4% for the month, which brought it to the level of 3.5% on a yearly basis. The data was higher from the market forecast of 3.4%. In line with significantly increased non-farm payrolls posted two weeks ago, data scared markets that the inflation could further accelerate which would impact Fed's decision not to cut rates during this year, or, most probably, that there will be less than three cuts during the year. The FOMC meeting Minutes were released during the week, where it has been revealed that Fed officials were looking for more convincing data in order to trigger rate cuts. Economists and analysts are currently quite divided on this topic, considering that this question is not at all easy to answer. Larry Fink, CEO of largest investment fund BlackRock, commented on potential Fed`s move, noting a possibility that there will be two rate cuts this year, however, the estimate of 2% targeted inflation will be missed. He sees high probability that the Fed will cut rates, even as inflation remains elevated. Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase noted several challenges for the world and the US economy, noting geopolitical risks and “persistent inflation pressures” but still perceives many economic indicators as favorable.
While US markets are concerned over the potential for rate cuts, investors in European markets are heating up sentiment for the first rate cut by the ECB in June this year. The ECB held a policy meeting during the previous week, where rates were left unchanged, as widely expected. However, comments from ECB officials heated the market expectation that the first rate cut by the ECB might occur in June this year, in case that inflation continues its down-track.
The pressure on the chip industry continues. As news is reporting, Chinese officials issued a directive, where it is requested by Chinese telecom systems not to use any foreign chips within their products. All processors made by foreign companies should be replaced by the year 2027 in China. This news was first posted by the Wall Street Journal, which specifically mentioned companies AMD and Intel, which will be hit by such a decision by Chinese authorities. Share prices of these two companies significantly dropped after the news was published.
Crypto market cap
Bitcoin halving is coming during the end of the week ahead. However, this represents only one side of the current market nervousness. Investors are highly concerned regarding the potential for Fed's rate cut, as well as, ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. The combination of these factors impacted a significant drop in the value of the crypto coins, but also other financial markets were affected, like US equities and US Treasuries. It could be expected that the same combination of factors will continue to impact markets for some time in the short future period. However, what is optimistic about the crypto market is that BTC futures maturing in December 2025 for the first time in history reached the level of $80K. This is another significant milestone for BTC, as it shows current market sentiment that BTC can only grow in value in the future. Certainly, whether this will be the case is about to be seen. For the moment, total crypto market capitalization decreased by 5%, where $121B was wiped out from the market. This time a significant portion of altcoins lost in value, where major coins were participating with roughly 40% in this drop. Usually majors are the ones that are leading the market to one side, however, this time was different. Daily trading volumes were also significantly increased from the week before, reaching even $250B on a daily basis, from $131B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $705B, which represents a 43% surge from the beginning of this year.
BTC and ETH had another volatile week, however, the majority of altcoins were the ones that lost the most during the week. Regardless of the fact that BTC for one more time tested levels above $70K, the coin is ending the week by more than 2% lower from the week before, where total weekly loss in value was $28,2B. ETH`s market cap dropped by $18B on a weekly basis, which is around 4.5%. The list of altcoins who lost in value above $ 1B is significant for the first time in many weeks. XRP, Bitcoin Cash and Cardano all lost above $ 4B in value. However, one of the most significant drops among altcoins was with Solana. This coin lost almost $ 15B in value during the week, dropping it by around 19%. Significant losers in a relative terms were Uniswap, with a drop of more than 35% on a weekly level, OMG Network was also down by 30%, Filecoin lost almost 30%, while Maker was down by 26% within a single week. Other altcoins also lost between 10% and 20% in value. The only coin that gained was Tether, however, through an increase of its coins in circulation by 0.5%.
Although it was a red week for the majority of altcoins, still, for the majority of circulating coins it was a green week. Filecoin, although significantly lost in value, still managed to add 0.9% new coins to the market. Polkadot added 0.3% more circulating coins, while Polygon`s total coins were higher by 0.2%. Majority of other altcoins added around 0.1% of new coins during the week.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market had bad news and also good news during the previous week. The volatility on the spot market continued for the third week in a row, and so were the crypto short term futures. In this sense BTC short term futures were traded down around 0.9%, while ETH`s ended the week 3% lower from the end of the week before. Still, regardless of the short drop in short term futures, the major development occurred with longer term ones, which for both BTC and ETH ended the week higher from the week before.
BTC long term futures ended the week by 2.8% higher from the week before, but the most important news is that for the first time in history, futures maturing in December 2025 reached the price above $80K. This is the most significant development, as it shows that investors still believe that BTC will rise in value during the course of time. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at price $75.090, which is also a new weekly high for this maturity.
ETH long term futures also ended the week with a positive sentiment. They were traded around 5.8% higher from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $3.720 and those maturing a year later closed the week at $3.877.
MARKETS week ahead: April 8 – 13Last week in the news
Much higher than expected Non-farm Payrolls in March in the US was a major event for the week on financial markets. Equity markets were still holding strong, despite the first major drop since the beginning of this year, while US Treasures reacted with higher yields. Gold reacted to new geopolitical tensions, which pushed the price of oil to higher grounds. The USD had increased volatility, but still managed to hold around 1.08 to euro, while the crypto market continued with higher price fluctuations. Bitcoin shortly tested $ 65K during the week, however, ending it above $68K.
The major event for markets during the previous week was a release of the US jobs data. The number of 303K new jobs in March was far above the expected 200K. The unemployment rate was standing at 3.8% in March, which was in line with market expectation. The market reacted strongly to the jobs data. Although this is positive for the US economy, showing its resilience to monetary measures, it still represents a fear that the Fed might hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time than previously expected. Namely, the market perceives that the stronger economy might drive inflation to higher grounds, in which sense, the reaction of the Fed might be to hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time, putting in question potential rate cuts during the course of this year. Aside from it, the Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman noted on Friday the possibility for rates to be lifted to the higher grounds, in case that inflation remains persistent. The 10Y US Treasury benchmark reacted by ending the week at the level of 4,4% from 4.2% where they were previously traded.
Aside from potential negative impact on inflation from the heated jobs market, aspects of oil prices are also considered by markets. New geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, put pressures on oil futures and the price of oil on the market. Brent crude reached the highest weekly price of $90,65 per barrel. The US Brent crude was up by 18% during the course of this year, while the US crude added around 21%.
The US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is traveling to China in order to strengthen the relationships with this country which will be beneficial for both countries, as per her notes. She also noted that the main target of her visit is to discuss issues of “overcapacity and national security-related economic actions”.
The issuer of XRP token, a blockchain company Ripple announced that it will launch a US dollar stablecoin. Current estimate of the US stablecoin market is $150 billion. The company noted that the coin will be 100% backed by the US dollar, through cash, USD deposits and US government bonds, which the company will hold as a reserve for the back of their stablecoin. It is also noted that information on their reserves will be publicly available on a monthly basis. The market of the US stablecoin is currently split between USDT, whose issuer is Tether, and USDC issued by Circle. PayPal also launched its own stable coins, the PayPal USD, which is issued by Paxos.
Crypto market cap
Quite a volatile week is behind the crypto market. Since the middle of the week, Bitcoin has been driven to the downside, where the coin reached $65K. The market had a general reaction to the news that the US jobs market might be a game-changer when it comes to expected Fed rate cuts during the course of this year. Namely, at the latest FOMC meeting, Fed Chair Powell spoke about potential three rate cuts till the end of this year. However, as released data are showing that the jobs market is heating up, this might bring a surge on the demand side and as a consequence, increased inflation. Following the theory of market efficiency, markets had to make an adjustment to their forecast with expectations that the interest rates might stay higher for a much longer period of time. The reaction was visible on equity, US Treasury markets, as well as the crypto market. During the previous week total crypto market capitalization lost $97B in value, which was a drop of 4% on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes remained elevated, moving around $131B on a daily basis, same as the week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $ 826B, which represents a 50% surge from the beginning of this year.
Bitcoin and Ether were leading the market drop, however, the majority of other coins gave their contribution. On a weekly level, BTC lost around $ 40B in value, decreasing it by 2.9%. Ether followed general market sentiment, with a drop in value of more than $23B or 5.5%.
Another coin with significant drop in value was Solana, who lost almost $8.5B, which represents a decrease of almost 10% within a single week. Binance Coin decreased its market cap by $3.2B or 3.5%, while DOGE was down by $2.3B or almost 8% on a weekly basis. XRP should also be mentioned, as it followed the negative market reaction with a drop in value of $ 2B or almost 6%. Some of coins which lost significantly in relative terms were Miota and OMG Network, who both lost more than 13% in value. Uniswap and Algorand both lost more than 12% during the week, while Filecoin and Cardano were down by 10%. There were only a few coins who managed to end the week in a positive territory, where the absolute leader was Bitcoin Cash, with an increase in market cap of incredible 17%. Maker hold the grounds, with an weekly increase in value of 1.1%.
Coins in circulation continue with increased activity. Tether should be especially mentioned, as it continuously surging its circulating coins, adding 2.2% during the previous week. Miota added 0.6% of new coins to the market, same as Filecoin, while Algorand added 0.4% of new coins this week. XRP and Polkadot increased their coins on the market by 0.2% during the previous week, while the majority of other coins increased by less than 0.1%.
Crypto futures market
Previous week markets had a general reaction to stronger than expected US jobs data, where the crypto futures market reacted in a same manner. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded lower from the week before. BTC short term futures were traded around 5% lower, while longer term futures dropped by modest 0.5%, still trying to hold the previous week`s levels. At the same time ETH short term futures were traded down around 8% on a weekly basis, while longer term ones were down by around 5%.
Regardless of a drop in prices of short term futures, BTC longer term ones managed to hold relatively stable. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price of $73.220, while those maturing in December next year closed the week at price $77.865. This shows that the market still believes that BTC will hold higher levels in the future period. Still, not the same sentiment holds for ETH futures. This comes as the market priced longer term futures at lower levels from the week before. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year ended the week at price $3.519, while those maturing a year later were closed at $3.664. On a positive side is that the price of ETH manages to hold levels above the $3K for all maturities.
Estimating fair value for ICP (short, medium and long-term)Some notes on ICP’s future price potential.
I’ve been trying to get a sense for the price gains we may expect from ICP going forward. Obviously – given the mountain of innovation that the project team has already delivered – the project is greatly undervalued, but what would fair value look like?
I think a good metric to use is Market Dominance, expressed as the percentage of the total crypto market value (or top X crypto stocks) that the fully diluted market cap of ICP contributes. Currently that’s about 0.32%. Looking at historic stats of market dominance of other ‘key’ coins, this is low. TON is sitting around 0.8%, MATIC historically reached up to 1.25%, AVAX up to 1.32%, DOT up to 2.25%, SOL up to 3.6%, ADA up to 4.5%, XRP up to 30%. ETH is currently sitting at ~16%. So, in acknowledgement of the enormous amount of work and development being generated by the team in the ICP ecosystem, it’d be reasonable to expect ICP’s market dominance to significantly increase going forward. Without going crazy, I think 3-5% is achievable in the medium- to long-term.
And that’s in a rapidly growing market… bringing us to the second metric I wanted to talk about: Crypto Total Market Cap. Currently the entire crypto market is valued at ~US$2.66 Trillion. That’s approximately equal to the market cap of Apple (US$2.62 T) – one single company! So where can the crypto total market cap head to from here? Finding a reasonable ballpark may require having a look at the dot com bubble back in 1999, which topped at something like US$13 T, loosing US$5 T in value in two years. So perhaps US$7-8 T is not too silly as a short- to medium term target (considering a 2024 dollar is worth not much more than 50 cents in 1999) and perhaps double or triple that for the long-term as the crypto market gets a proper foothold in the world economy.
So where that leave us ICP hodlers? Well, if we combine the awesome potential of ICP in shaping the crypto world going forward (market dominance) and the growth in the crypto ecosystem as a whole (crypto total market cap), it may not be insane to expect ICP to increase in value by 10x in the relative short term, 25-50x in the medium term and potentially 100+x in the long term, provided the project continues the course and does become a major crypto leader. As depicted in this figure. Hodl those ICP!!
MARKETS week ahead: April 1 – 7Last week in the news
Positive market sentiment continued ahead of the holiday season on western markets. The S&P 500 was closed at level of 5.254, which was the new highest level reached in the history of the index. Although USD gained in value, the price of Gold also headed to the higher grounds, ending the week at 2.233, a new ATH. The US Treasuries remained relatively stable during the week. Bitcoin reached for one more time levels above $70K, while the crypto market spent another week trading within a positive territory.
The core personal consumption expenditures price index, a Fed's favorite inflation gauge, rose 0.3% in February, bringing it to a total increase of 2.8% on a yearly basis. The news was released on a Good Friday, a holiday in Western countries, so the market will most probably continue after-the-holiday season pricing the positive inflation developments. Speaking at the Economic Club of New York gathering, Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted that there is no rush for cutting interest rates. He saw a rationale in keeping interest rates at current levels for longer to help inflation on its “sustainable trajectory toward 2%”.
CoinDesk is reporting that the market for tokenized U.S. Treasury debt is in its “booming” phase. Analysts from the crypto firm 21.co noted in a report that the total value of tokenized Treasury notes reached levels of above $1 billion. Tokenization has been done through several public blockchains like Ethereum, Polygon, Avalanche, Stellar and few others. These tokens can be traded on the blockchain. The increase in trading tokenized Treasuries has particularly boomed after BlackRock announced its tokenized fund BUIDL on Ethereum network. As reported, the BlackRock`s funds BUIDL had a strong inflow during the first week on the market, collecting $245 million in deposits, out of which Ondo Finance alone transferred $95 million.
The London Stock Exchange will allow listings of the exchange traded notes (ETNs) for bitcoin and ether coins. Trading of these assets will start on May 28th this year and will be available to institutional investors only. All listings on the LSE will be a subject of the approval of the Financial Conduct Authority. The FCA noted that requests from Recognized Investment Exchanges will not be turned down.
A CEO of the BlackRock, the largest US asset manager, Larry Fink, released his annual investor letter, where he noted a concern regarding “providing for retirement”. He is of the opinion that Social Security and other retirement assets need to be rethought from the perspective of their long-term inclusion into capital markets. He also commented on overspending by the US Government, which is creating increasing debt. His proposal for the solution of the issue is to create a public-private partnership in order to finance infrastructure projects.
Crypto market cap
It was another positive week on the crypto market. Although the majority of the market is positioning for the expected Fed rate cuts during the course of this year, the crypto community turned their discussion to the topic of forthcoming Bitcoin halving. There is a question of its impact on the price of Bitcoin, considering that rewards for bitcoin miners will be halved. On a positive side is that this halving will increase the supply of new bitcoins until the maximum of 21 million BTC`s is finally reached. Analysts are arguing that more supply of BTC will increase its transactions and its further adoption by people and institutions. With increasing demand and limited supply, the price of BTC could be expected to increase. However, this is only an opinion of several analysts, and whether this scenario will actually occur on the market is up to be seen during April. During the previous week total crypto market capitalization was increased by 6%, adding total $141B to the market. The market cap is holding well above $2.5 trillion. Daily trading volumes continue to be at higher levels, dropping a bit as of the end of the week, due to the Holiday on the Western markets, but still with high $131B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $923B, which represents a 56% surge from the beginning of this year.
Majority of coins gained during the previous week. Bitcoin was the one which led the market to the upside, with a total inflow of $87B, which increased its market cap by 6.8%. Ether also had a positive week, by adding $15.2B to its value, increasing it by 3.7%. Another coin with very good weekly performance was Solana, which added almost $ 10B to its value, surging by 12.7% within a week. Binance Coin continues to add to its value, increasing it by $6.8B or 8.1%. This week DOGE was in the spotlight of the market, with a surge in value of $3.5B or 14.3%. Bitcoin Cash performed well during the week, ending it with an increase in value of $2.45B or more than 26%. Within the higher gainers, it should be mentioned Litecoin, which added $1.13B to the market cap increasing it by 17.5%. Other weekly gainers with excellent performance in relative terms were Maker, who increased its value by almost 20%, Solana was up by 12.7%, Miota was up by 11%, while NEO surged by 9.6%. There were only a few losing coins, where Monero lost 4.37% of its value on a weekly basis.
As for coins in circulation, increased activity continues. Filecoin added 0.6% of new coins to the market, Polkadot`s coins in circulation were higher by 0.2%, while Stellar managed to add 0.3% to its circulating coins. Tether should be especially mentioned, as it managed to continuously add new coins to the market, where last week this number was 0.5% higher from the week before.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures reflected the positive market sentiment from the spot market during the previous week. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded higher from the previous week, for all maturities. BTC short term futures ended the week around 11% higher from the end of the week before, while the long term ones were up by almost 5%. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at $73.435, while those maturing in December next year were closed at price $78.255. The highest value reached for this maturity was $79.235, three weeks ago, with currently high probability that these levels can be reached again in a short future period.
ETH futures were traded around 7% higher from the week before, however, long term ones were up by relatively modest 1.1% on a weekly basis. Futures maturing in December this year ended the trading week at level $3.700, while those maturing a year later were last traded at price $3.856.
MARKETS week ahead: March 25 – 31Last week in the news
Based on the news from the previous week it seems that major central bankers are slowly reaching their pivotal point. The Fed`s view on potential three rate cuts during this year moved the markets to higher grounds. S&P 500 reached a new all time highest value at 5.234. The US Dollar gained during the week, while gold was holding grounds at levels above 2.150. The US Treasuries were also traded higher, with dropping yields. Bitcoin had another volatile week, still ending it above the $65K.
The FOMC meeting was held during the previous week which was closely watched by financial markets. As expected the Fed held its interest rates unchanged. However, after the meeting statement, Fed Chair Powell provided two important informations for markets. Firstly, he noted the possibility of three rate cuts during the course of this year, and secondly, FOMC members raised the US expected growth rate for year 2024 to 2.1% on an annual basis, from 1.4% previously projected. Although the majority of market participants perceived as positive news on rate cuts, there are still several scepticals on the topic. In this sense, officials from Vanguard asset management company expressed their view that the Fed will most probably keep the rates unchained till the end of this year and that the equity market in the US is currently overvalued. At the same time officials at Sycamore Tree Capital Partners also agreed that there is a high probability for no rate cuts this year. The CME FedWatch Tool notes market expectations of 68% chances that the first rate cut might occur in June this year.
Bitcoin ended another volatile week which was once again impacted by the sale from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). As reported, total outflow from the fund on Thursday was $359 million. Analysis from Coinbase Institutional notes that GBTC selling is partially influenced by Genesis selling shares due to its bankruptcy process.
The US authorities led by SECs Chair Gary Gensler are planning further to dive into the regulation of the crypto market. During the previous week the US Securities and Exchange Commission, Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Treasury Department asked for additional funds for the year 2025 which will be used to attain 33 new employees with the goal to pursue further crypto currency businesses in the US into regulatory frame. In a speech during the week, SEC Chair Gensler noted that the crypto industry continues to be non-compliant with the US regulation and that they are “whittle away at the SEC's disclosure regime”.
BlackRock has turned its view to asset tokenization. As announced, they have created the first tokenized asset fund on Ethereum network. The fund`s name is Institutional Digital Liquidity fund and is represented by the BUIDL token, while the fund is fully backed by cash, US Treasuries and REPO agreements. The yield on the token will be paid through blockchain every day.
Crypto market cap
Ongoing positive market sentiment was additionally supported during the previous week through after the FOMC meeting statement. Although the Fed kept rates unchanged, still the most important news from the meeting of Fed`s officials was a potential three rate cuts till the end of this year. The Fed is planning further cuts also in 2025, until the rate finally reaches 2.6% as a “neutral” level perceived by the Fed. On the other hand, the crypto market continues to be highly volatile during the last two weeks. Although there is open market interest for crypto currencies and especially Bitcoin, still, some huge sales continue to occur. On one side, analysts are mentioning the closing of speculative positions, especially during the BTCs ATH. On the other hand, there are still huge sales occurring with Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) shares, partially influenced by the Genesis sale due to its bankruptcy process. As it has been noted by analysts involved in a matter, this kind of BTC volatility might continue as there are still outstanding GBTC shares in Genesis bankruptcy process which will be sold in the future period.
During the week total crypto market capitalization dropped to the level of $2.2 trillion, however, has soon reverted to the upside, ending the week at level of $2.42 trillion. This level represents a 2% drop on a weekly basis, where $ 37B was wiped from the market. Daily trading volumes eased a bit, but still continue to be elevated around $172B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $782B, which represents a 48% surge from the beginning of this year.
The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the week. Although BTC had a significant drop in the value, still, the coin managed to finish the week with weekly outflow of $27B which is a drop in value of modest 2% on a weekly level. ETH was also following increased selling orders on the market, and ended the week by 5.6% lower from the week before, dropping its market cap by $24.3B. Solana was also on a losing side, dropping its value by 4.8%, or almost $4B. Binance Coin finished the week in red, by decreasing its market cap by $3.2B or 3.7%. Other altcoins with a drop in value during the week were OMG Network, who was down by 6.67%, Tron was down by 5.6%, Polygon lost 6.6% in value, while Algorand lost 6.4%. On the opposite side were coins with relatively solid weekly performance like Maker, which managed to gain even 15.8% in value, while DOGE ended the week 21% higher. Stellar and EOS gained around 4.5% both, while XRP gained 4.3% on a weekly level.
The increased activity with coins in circulation continues on the crypto market. During the previous week Polkadot added 10% new coins on the market, which was probably its highest increase on a weekly level. Tether continues to gain the market cap by increasing its coins in circulation by additional 0.7% on a weekly level. This week Miota managed to add 0.6% more coins to the market, while Filecoin`s coins were up by 0.4%.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market reacted to developments on the spot market during the previous week. Both BTC and ETH futures closed the trading week lower from the week before for all maturities. BTC`s short term futures were traded lower by more than 6%, while the longer term ones closed the week between 6.3% and 5.87% lower. Regardless of a drop, the futures prices are holding above $70K for maturities as of the end of this and next year. Futures maturing in December 2024 were last traded at $70.300, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $74.585.
ETH futures were traded lower around 9% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $3.681, while those maturing in December 2025 ended the week at level $3.812. Same as BTC`s futures, on a positive side is that ETH futures are still managing to hold prices above the $3K.
⚡ TOTAL Market Analysis ⚡📊 Market Overview:
Recent Movement: The TOTAL cryptocurrency market capitalization faced rejection at $2.70 trillion and is now retracing to test lower support levels.
Current Situation: The next major support is anticipated in the range of $2.05 trillion to $2.20 trillion.
Alts Potential: There is a belief that altcoins will experience a significant bounce once the market finds support.
📈 Trading Strategy:
Observation: Anticipate potential support levels for entry opportunities in altcoin trades.
Preparation: Prepare trades in advance to capitalize on the expected bounce in altcoins.
Entry Plan: Look for confirmation of support in the TOTAL market before executing trades in altcoins.
Risk Management: Set stop-loss levels to manage downside risk in case of unexpected market movements.
🌐 Note: Stay vigilant for signs of market stabilization and consider factors such as volume, market sentiment, and overall trend direction before initiating trades. Adjust your strategy based on evolving market conditions to optimize trade outcomes.
MARKETS week ahead: March 18 – 24Last week in the news
Previous week brought back inflation fears on financial markets. The US equities and tech companies ended the week under pressure considering investors fears that the Fed might take a bit more time until the first rate cut, due to persistent inflation. US Treasuries also reacted on the same issue, ending the week one more time higher by 22 basis points. Price of gold and USD remained relatively stable during the week, however, with some volatility. Bitcoin reached its new all time highest levels, but still, ending the week a bit lower, above the $65K.
Inflation continues to be the number one concern for investors on financial markets. During several prior months, it has been on a clear down path, however, the latest data are showing that the Fed`s targeted 2% is going to be a bit harder to achieve. The latest figures for February are showing that the inflation in the US reached 3.2% on a yearly level, which was modestly above market estimate of 3.1%. At the same time, core inflation was standing at 3.8%, also higher from market estimate of 3.7%. Also, it should be considered that the PPI index was higher by 0.6% for a month, which points to a potential for further growth in inflation figures in the coming period. February inflation data were a bit concerning for investors, considering that it might mean that the Fed might take a bit longer time for the first rate cut during the course of this year. What Fed`s opinion on the latest inflation data will be better known during the week ahead, when the FOMC meeting is scheduled, as well as FOMC economic projections.
The Bitcoin frenzy continued during the previous week, with BTC reaching its new all time highest level at $73.4K. Although it finished the week around $66K, the MicroStrategy founder, Michael Saylor, announced a new debt issuance in order to collect additional $525 million with the aim of purchasing additional BTCs. It is currently estimated that MicroStrategy holds 205.000 BTC.
For the last several years, Bitcoin was named by the crypto enthusiasts as a digital gold. The latest analysis is showing that investors are currently almost equally investing in both gold and BTC, but are not transferring funds from one asset to another. As per research report conducted by JPMorgan, the conclusion is that there are no funds flows from BTC funds to gold, or vice versa, but it is rather that investors are just equally buying both gold and BTC. Among buyers are mainly speculative institutional investors and partially retail investors. The report concludes following: “We believe the debt-funded bitcoin purchases by MicroStrategy add leverage and froth to the current crypto rally and raise the risk of more severe deleveraging in a potential downturn in the future”.
CoinDesk is reporting that El Salvador`s President Bukele posted on the X platform that this country stored $400 million worth of Bitcoin into a cold wallet “in a physical vault within our national territory”. The post also included the picture of a wallet holding 5.689,68 BTC.
Crypto market cap
At the beginning of the week, the crypto market had its bull run continued, when the highest market capitalization reached $2.7 trillion. However, the second part of the week brought surprising US inflation data, as well as sort of market exhaustion, considering forthcoming BTC split and disappointed inflation data in the US, so the market entered into correction, ending the week with a total market cap of $2.4 trillion. News are reporting that over $800 million was wiped out from the futures market in forced liquidation. Analysts involved in the matter noted that historically highest levels were the trigger for liquidations in profit taking moves, and that some further moves to the downside are possible in the coming days. Whether this will be the case the market will decide, however, as there are sellers, there are also buyers, like for example MicroStrategy, who prepared a new round of debt securities in order to make new BTC purchases. Regardless of a new all time highest levels, total crypto market capitalization is ending the week around 2% lower from the week before, decreasing it by $62B. Daily trading volumes remained at relatively higher levels, moving around $252B on a daily basis. At Friday`s trading session, daily trading volumes reached the levels of around $400B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $819B, which represents a 50% surge from the beginning of this year.
Although the majority of coins finished the week in red, there were several altcoins which continued to perform in a positive manner. Bitcoin had a positive start of the week, however, it ended it with a cap decrease of almost 2%, where $26.7B was wiped from its capitalization. ETH had a higher drop of $38B in value, which was a decrease of 8.1% on a weekly level.
Several other coins with a significant weekly drop in value were Dogecoin, with a drop of $3.7B in value or 15.4%, Cardano lost $2.3B, or 9% in value, Polkadot decreased its cap by $1.1B or almost 8%, while Uniswap lost $1.25B or 14.6% in value. On the opposite side were several coins with quite good performance. Solana completely outperformed the crypto market, with a surge in value of 25% within a single week, adding $16.3B to its market cap. Binance Coin should also be mentioned with an increase of $14.5B in value or almost 20%. Maker managed to gain during the week 9.3% in value, which is an additional increase from 15.9% two weeks ago.
When it comes to coins in circulation, the increased activity still holds. Filecoin added an additional 0.5% of new coins on the market, while Cardano, Solana, Stellar and Polkadot added 0.2% of new coins each. It should be mentioned that Tether still continues to strongly add new coins on the market, increasing the number by 1.7% during the previous week.
Crypto futures market
Despite a significant drop in the value of BTC on the spot market, the BTC futures market managed to catch only a small drop on a weekly basis, related to short term futures. In this sense, futures maturing in March and April this year ended the week by 1.19% lower from the end of the previous week, while the longer term ones were traded higher from the week before. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at level of $74.880 or 1.47% lower on a weekly basis, while those maturing in December 2025 were traded at $79.235 or 2.19% higher from the week before.
At the same time, ETH futures experienced a drop on a weekly basis for all maturities. ETH short term futures were traded lower by more than 7.5%, while the longer term ones were down by more than 4%. ETH futures maturing in December this year are still holding modestly above $4K level, but were down by 3.7% on a weekly basis. Futures maturing in December next year closed the week at price $4.183 or 4.03% lower from the week before.
MARKETS week ahead: March 11 – 16Last week in the news
Another week since the beginning of this year with markets reaching new all time highest values. The US equity markets continue to be driven by tech companies and expectations of the first Fed's rate cut. During the previous week Bitcoin also breached its highest level from November 2021, reaching shortly the level of $70K. Gold continues to reflect expectations on the future rate cuts and hence, weakening of the USD, reaching also an ATH at $2.185. Even US Treasury prices are rising, bringing yields to the lower grounds. The only asset which lost some of its value was the US dollar.
There have been several important topics during the previous week which drove the markets to the higher grounds, but all of them correlate to only one point – rate cuts are expected during the course of this year. Fed Chair Powell testimony before the Senate Banking Committee during the previous week revealed Powell`s and Fed`s expectations that the rate cuts are likely to occur at “some point” during this year. This was in line with market expectations but also Fed`s forecasts. The second weekly topic was related to the release of jobs data in the US, which showed a modestly increased unemployment rate from 3.7% up to 3.9% in February. Since Fed's decisions are data driven, it was a clear sign for the markets that rate cuts are coming. Current odds, of around 80%, show expectations that the first rate cut might occur in June.
As markets are in a hype mood over AI and BTC ETF, economists are pointing to emerging evidence on a potential new wave of inflation. January inflation in the US of 3.1% y/y came above market expectations. A well known economist, Nouriel Roubini stressed once again a potential for stagflation, especially after elections in the US, as of the end of this year. Stagflation represents the state of an economy dominated by high inflation and low economic output. JPMorgan analysts have also recently pointed to a higher potential for stagflation in the coming period, comparing it with the one experienced during the 1970s.
Fed Chair Powell testimony during the previous week brought to the light another interesting information for the crypto community. Namely, he answered a question related to potential introduction of the central bank digital currency in the US, where he clearly stated that the Fed is not going to recommend any digital dollar in the near future, and that the Fed does not have interest for any kind of system which would provide a view in user`s data to officials.
News is reporting that BlackRock, the largest asset manager in the world, has filed SEC company's plans to make purchases of bitcoin exchange traded products for its Global Allocation Fund. The ETPs also include its own exchange traded fund, IBIT.
Crypto market cap
Although Bitcoin accomplished another milestone for this year with a new all time highest level, the total crypto market capitalization is still on the way to this target. The highest market capitalization reached $3 trillion in November 2021, while current level of capitalisation stands at $2.5 trillion. Investors' interest for placement of funds into riskier assets was certainly supported by the approval of the first BTC ETF, but also by expectations of Fed's first rate cut during the course of this year. Developments in the macro segment during the previous week, in terms of Fed Chair Powell testimony in which he noted a “at some point” move toward the decrease of interest rates, as well as increase in unemployment rate in the US in February, increased investors confidence over the future course of the US economy. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 11% on a weekly level, with total inflow of $255B. Daily trading volumes remained elevated, reaching their highest weekly level at $495B on Wednesday`s trading session. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $881B which represents a 54% surge from the beginning of this year.
There have been two milestones accomplished on the crypto market during the previous week, related to major coins. First Bitcoin reached its all time highest level, by reaching the level of $70K, while the second milestone is related to ETH, which managed to surge till the level of $4K. When it comes to performance in a relative terms, ETH outperformed BTC during the week, by increasing its market cap by 14.5%, while BTC was up by 10.6%. However, in nominal terms, BTC added $129B to its total value, while ETH`s surge in cap was around $60B. Majority of other altcoins also had excellent performing week. DOGE gained $4.5B in value, increasing it by 23%. Solana is still gaining investors attention, with an increase of $8.5B in value or almost 15% on a weekly basis. Binance Coin should also be mentioned as an excellent weekly performer with a surge in value of more than 19%, adding around $11.7B to its cap. In nominal terms Theta gained $ 1B, however, it represented almost 47% increase in its market capitalization. Filecoin managed to add almost 30% to its value during the week. There have been only a few losing coins, few of which were Tron with a modest drop in value of 3.2%, while LINK was down by 5.7%. Interestingly, XRP also managed to decrease its value by 0.96% w/w.
Increased activity with coins in circulation continues. During the previous week Filecoin gained 0.7% of new coins on the market, while Miota`s increase in coins was 0.6% on a weekly basis. Tether continues with a strong increase of the circulating coins, adding 2.4% during the previous week (1.3% a week before). Interestingly, Polkadot decreased its circulating coins by -1.9% on a weekly basis, after it had an increase of 2.3% two weeks ago.
Crypto futures market
There was another week in a row with significant moves on the crypto futures market for both BTC and ETH futures. In line with the BTC`s reach of new all-time highest value, the short term futures followed this path, finishing the week around the $70K level, which was an increase of around 8.7% on a weekly level. Longer term BTC futures surged between 9% and 14.6%. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $76K, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $77.535 on the CME.
This week ETH futures gained more in relative terms from BTC futures. ETH short term futures were traded around 14% higher from the week before, while the longer term ones were traded above 15% higher for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $4.164, and those maturing in December next year, ended the week at $4.363.
TOTAL3 Bullish OutlookAfter the previous CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 idea of mine invalidated (price breaks the consolidation area), Altcoin is ready to launch massively in 2024 bullrun.
Inverted Head & Shoulder spotted in weekly timeframe, this is also the case for CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI . My target is the resistance area around 660B-740B. Bitcoin dominance is also about to go down (will update more about this soon) so altcoin season is very close.
MARKETS week ahead: March 4 – 9Last week in the news
There have been a lot of developments on financial markets during the previous week. Positive sentiment is still holding among investors. Previous week was the one which marked a higher level for Bitcoin and the crypto market, crossing the $2 trillion market cap. At the same time, easing inflation in the US has pushed yields lower, in expectations of the first Fed's rate cut in this cycle. The same sentiment pushed the S & P 500 to new all time high levels, reaching 5.137 as of the end of the week. The USD lost some of its value, supporting the price of Gold to push its price toward the almost new all time high at 2.082.
The US equity market moved to higher grounds after the latest published economic figures showed that the inflation is on the decreasing track. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE Price Index reached 2.4% in January, which was fully in line with the market expectations. At the same time, the core PCE Price Index was standing at a level of 2.8% on a yearly basis, also in line with the market forecast. The latest figures are showing that the inflation in the US continues to slow down, which supported market optimism that the Fed might cut interest rates during the second half of this year. While markets are concentrated on a potential positive future earnings, some economists are arguing that the US debt increase is accelerating at the fastest pace from the previous period. As estimated, it is increasing around $1 trillion every 100 days. Last year Moody's Investors Service Agency decreased the rating of the US Government from stable to negative, amid concerns whether it will be able to service its debt obligations when they come due in the future period. As per currently available data, the US Government debt accounted for 124% of the US nominal GDP in December last year.
As the US economy is supporting market optimism, the Euro Zone economy is struggling with missed targets in an earning season. CNBC is reporting that a half of EU companies have missed earnings expectations, which were already lowered due to the environment of high interest rates, and high energy prices. This represents one of the worst earning seasons for the EU companies since the start of the pandemic. As Sharon Bell, who holds a position as a senior European strategist at Goldman Sachs, noted in a CNBC interview, there is an increasing trend among EU companies of buying back their own shares. In this way, the companies are trying to sustain the price level for their shares. However, it has been noted that sectors like technology and utilities have outperformed forecasts with their quarterly results.
News is reporting that the cash outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) continued during the previous period, with a spike on Thursday last week. Namely, as reported, the outflow of funds from the fund reached $600 million on Thursday only. The analysts involved in the matter are assuming that this sale was related to the court approval of Genesis to sell 35 million of GBTC shares. On the other hand, inflows into BTC exchange traded funds continue to increase, with BlackRock leading the market with an asset under management exceeding $10 billion.
Crypto market cap
What a week on the crypto market! This could be the short summary of the developments on the crypto market during the previous week. Total market capitalization reached levels above $2 trillion, while the majority of coins managed to gain somewhere between 15% and 50%. Several of them gained even above this percentage within a single week. This could be treated as a sort of postponed effect after the relatively calm market on the news that the first BTC ETF has been approved. However, it should be noted that the majority of investors were reluctant to start investing into riskier assets, considering unclear macroeconomic indicators and the question whether inflation is on the path toward the 2% target, or maybe not. This question was relevant in terms of whether the Fed will cut interest rates or maybe it will be postponed for the end of this year. Still, relatively solid inflation data, which is on a clearly down path supported the investors’ confidence during the previous week. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 19% within a single week, adding $360 billion into the value of the market. Although this is still not the highest market cap that the crypto market historically reached, still, it represents a significantly close level, which might be breached in the future period. Daily trading volumes remained high during the week, moving around $ 90B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $626B which represents a 38% surge from the beginning of this year.
Bitcoin was again leading the market during the previous week`s surge. The coin gained 21.5% in value, adding more than $215B to its market cap. Ether was following the move of the BTC, with a slower pace, but still a high $56B in market cap which was almost 16% surge in the value. During the week, Solana had an extraordinary performance adding almost $12B to its value, increasing it by 26% on a weekly basis. Previous week XRP added $4.7B to its cap, surging by almost 16%. Bitcoin Cash was following the path of BTC, adding $3.4B to the cap, which was a surge of incredible 65% for this coin. DOGE increased its value by $7.6B or 62.5%, another excellent weekly performer. ADA was up by $5.2B in value, or 25%. The surprise of the week was certainly Theta, who reached a price of $2.13, which was an increase of 55.5% on a weekly basis. Theta is not a coin which is known for its sharp moves in price. Among coins which did not have an excellent performing week, like other altcoins, were Maker, with an increase in value of “only” 3.17% and Uniswap with an increase of 3.8%.
Sharp moves with market prices imposed significant activity among coins in circulation. Here Tether should be especially mentioned, as the coin managed to add 1.3% of new coins on the market, while increasing its cap for this value. Polkadot and Polygon were among highest gainers on the market during the previous week, where Polkadot added 2.9% of new coins on the market, while Polygon`s coins increased by almost 3% during the single week. Filecoin added 0.9% of new coins, while the majority of other altcoins increased their circulating coins by 0.1%.
Crypto futures market
In line with the spot market developments, the previous week was an incredible one also on the crypto futures market. By following investors' optimism from the spot market, the future prices were traded at significantly higher levels. BTC futures were increased by some 20% on average for all maturities, while ETH futures were traded higher by 13% on average, also for all maturities.
BTC`s short term futures ended the week around 22% higher from the week before, while futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $66.305. At the same time, it should be mentioned that futures maturing in December 2025 ended the week at $71.276, which could be treated as a new all time highest value for BTC.
ETH short term futures were traded above 16% higher from the week before. At the same time, futures maturing in December this year were last traded 13.85% higher, and finished the week at price $3.601. Those futures maturing in December 2025 reached the price of $3.774.
Pepe: Bull Run Price Target ($0.000059)Overview
Pepe is one of those speculative assets that I treat like a first date. I go in with the hopes that it could be an absolute winner but my expectations are that it will be a bust. Because of this I couldn't invest too heavily in the up and coming meme coin but I could invest just enough that if I lost it, I wouldn't be bothered. But if it becomes a winner then my insignificant investment just became a significant gain.
Let's crunch price targets. There's not many technical indicators that I feel are reliable enough to go off of so I am solely using Fibonacci retracement levels and theoretical market caps. As the anticipated crypto bull run begins to warm up, it's a good practice to begin setting price targets so that when the market cools again all of those gains don't get flushed down the drain. With any bull run, especially in the crypto market, it's not a matter of IF but WHEN the rally will end.
At a token price of $0.000011375 the market cap would be a measly $4.7B which is practically nothing to an established cryptocurrency. This price level reflects the 2.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Further climbs would need to be supported by significant volume but let's continue forward as if those requirements have been met.
At a market cap of $25B, the Pepe token value would be $0.000059 which is a whopping 1,375% gain. In crypto, this isn't unheard of. While I'd like to keep running numbers with growing market caps, I don't want to feed into FOMO which is extremely present during rallies so I will leave the cap at a $25B ceiling. This means that a theoretical investment of $100 at today's value ($0.0000040) would be worth $1,475 if Pepe can maintain its steam to the $25B market cap.
As I said before, I treat Pepe like a first date. I don't invest too much into it but just enough that I maintain the opportunity of being pleasantly surprised.