GRTUSD: Falling Wegde buy to 0.10250.The Graph is on a short term rise with the 1D technicals still neutral (RSI = 53.312, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 25.119) trading towards the 1D MA50. This is the Resistance since the end of July. This is a LL rebound at the bottom of the Rising Wedge pattern which is inside a wider Channel Down.
We are going long now, aiming at the top of the pattern (TP = 0.1025). On the long term, the price needs to cross above the 1D MA200 (as on January 23rd) in order to get a trend change and a breakout bullish signal. Technically the crypto can reach even the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (0.3500) from there.
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Cryptos
Three scenarios to continue the processIn this analysis, we checked that when they reach the specified and important areas, we can make better decisions on these areas and enter into our trades, so wait until you reach the desired areas so that the reactions to those analytical areas become completely clear.
KASUSD: Initiated the new rally phase to 0.1100KASUSD / Kaspa recovered the recently lost Support of the 1day MA50 and almost reached the August 7th High.
With the Rising Support holding, the long term bullish trend is intact.
Based on a similar rise since the start of the year, the price is just starting the new rally.
Buy now and target the 2.618 Fibonacci extension at 0.11000.
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XECUSD: This rise may be a trap.XECUSD turned bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.865, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 22.430) as it is having the strongest 1D candle since June 30th. By doing so it hit both the 1D MA50 and MA200.
However the long term pattern remains a Channel Down since more than a year and that can only change it the Rectangle that has emerged since January, prevails. We can't know that yet but we do know that the 0.618 Fibonacci level inside the Channel has been the most common buy entry since June 2022. Consequently we are untouched by today's rise and will wait for that buy opportunity lower.
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ETH's 🌤️ Forecast - Bullish Trend Over the Next 24 Hours Sun with scattered clouds 🌤️ lie ahead for Ethereum in the next 24 hours, signaling a slightly bullish market with upside potential. Most other altcoins will face cloudier, bearish trading conditions over this time span. ☁️
Over a one-week horizon, these cloudier trading conditions ☁️ will extend to both Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating a slight downside risk. Cardano and Chainlink buck this negative trend and will remain sunny and bullish. 🌞
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BTC, ETH 🌤️ 24 Hrs - Bullish Signal; ☁️ Next Week? Sun with scattered clouds 🌤️ lie ahead for Bitcoin and Ethereum in the next 24 hours, signaling a slightly bullish market with upside potential. Most other altcoins will face cloudier, bearish trading conditions over this time span. ☁️
Over a one-week horizon, these cloudier trading conditions ☁️ will extend to both Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating a slight downside risk. Cardano and Chainlink buck this negative trend and will remain sunny and bullish. 🌞
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BTCUSD Inverse Head and Shoulders breaking the Falling Wegde.Bitcoin crossed today over the Falling Resistance / top of the Falling Wedge pattern.
This will turn into a buy breakout signal if it closes a (4h) candle over it. The MA50 (4h) has already turned into Support.
This Support is holding the Right Shoulder of an emerging Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bullish bottom formation.
This can be the transition from the bearish (Falling Wedge) to the bullish (Inverse Head and Shoulders) trend.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if a (4h) candle closes above the Falling Resistance.
Targets:
1. 27900 (Fibonacci 2.0 extension, standard Inverse Head and Shoulders target).
Tips:
1. The MA50 (4h) can cross above the MA200 (4h) inside the next 2-3 days. That is the well known Golden Cross formation, a powerful bullish pattern.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
FLOWUSD Huge Falling Wedge and 4hour MA200 breakoutFLOWUSD is crossing today over both the giant Falling Wedge pattern that started at the beginning of 2023 and the 4hour MA200, which has been a Resistance since July 24th.
It is easy to understand that this is a major bullish development for the long term trend. The short term Resistance that is left is the 1day MA50 and that is only $3 away.
As you see we've split the analysis into two charts the 4hour (left) and the 1day (right). Both have the next common bullish benchmark at 0.63500, on the 4hour that's the 0.618 Fibonacci from the July 3rd top and on the 1day it is an estimated contact course with the 1day MA200, the major Resistance October 5th 2021! This can be used as the target.
50% buy can be entered now and the other 50% after a 1day candle close over the 1day MA50. Target 0.63500.
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XDCUSD: Get ready for this signal.XDCUSD is neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 51.811, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 40.140) with the price consolidating insde the 1D MA50 and the 0.0500 Support. In accordance to the two prior consolidation into recovery waves of this Fibonacci Channel, the next crossing over the 1D MA50, will be a buy signal.
The 1D MACD pattern is a lot like the bottom formations of February and June. Be ready to buy that breakout and target R1 (TP = 0.09350).
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AXSUSD: 1D MA50 rejection within the Channel Down. Bullish aboveAXSUSD is testing now the 1D MA50, which is sitting a little under the top of the prolonged Channel Down pattern that began at the start of the year. The 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 46.158, MACD = -0.240, ADX = 38.786) meaning that a crossing over the top of the Channel Down will turn the trend bullish but as long as the price stays inside it, it is bearish.
This might be a rejection similar to May 17th, which dropped to a Fibonacci 2.0 Lower Low. For now we are bearish, targeting the respective Fibonacci 2.0 (TP = 3.1500). If on the contrary it breaks above the Channel Down we will buy and target the 1D MA200 (TP = 6.3500).
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Polkadot (DOT) Falls to Lowest Weekly Close Since 2020Polkadot (DOT) recently experienced a significant breakdown as it fell below the crucial $4.20 support level, marking its lowest weekly close since 2020. This decline has raised concerns among investors and analysts alike.
DOT has been following a bearish trajectory since reaching its yearly high of $7.90 in February 2023. It slid below the $4.20 support level, which had held since the beginning of the year. Such breakdowns from long-standing support levels often trigger substantial declines.
The conjunction of this support area and a descending resistance line has formed a descending triangle, a bearish pattern that underscores the breakdown and hints at the possibility of further losses.
Potential scenarios
If the downtrend persists, DOT's price could potentially drop by another 50%, reaching the $2 horizontal support area, aligning with its all-time lows from August 2020.
However, if DOT manages to reclaim the $4.20 area and break free from the descending resistance line, it could trigger an impressive 85% price surge toward the $7.50 resistance area.
The weekly Ultimate Oscillator, a momentum indicator used to determine overbought or oversold conditions, supports the prevailing downtrend, with readings below 50 and a declining trend considered bearish signals.
Bottom Line: Despite the bearish predictions for DOT, a potential breakout from the channel and the $4.40 area could pave the way for an 85% surge toward the $7.50 resistance region.
BTCUSD: Is the new rally to +30k about to start?Bitcoin is on the second green 1D candle in a row trading on neutral 1D technicals (RSI = 46.543, MACD = -510.500, ADX = 23.740) despite being at the bottom of the 2 month downtrend, almost on S1 (24,800), which was the June 15th low.
There is a significant bullish divergence on the 1D RSI being on HL as opposed to the candles being on an LL trendline. This is an early buy opportunity that will be confirmed when the price closes the first 1D candle over the 1D MA50 (hasn't done so since August 1st). As you can see, this structure is very symmetrical to May-June.
We will buy the breakout and target the HH trendline (TP = 32,500).
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KASUSD: Above the 1D MA50, confirmed new rally.KASUSD crossed over the 1D MA50, which has been the Resistance last week, and on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.474, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 30.066) is extending the rise after making on September 5th a bottom on the long term Channel Up. The technical target is the 2.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 0.10500).
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ETHUSD Oversold and at the bottom of the Channel Down. Bullish.Ethereum is technically oversold on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 27.808, MACD = -41.850, ADX = 34.405) and is approaching the bottom of the Channel Down pattern since April. This is a strong buy opportunity, with the upward reach potentially able to extend to a +24.90% rise from the bottom. Buy and TP = 1900.
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BTCUSD Buy a break above the 1hour MA200.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has been consolidating since the Greyscale pump.
The pre pump Support is still holding and the Fibonacci retracement levels offer a strong sense of the Resistance levels.
The 1hour RSI displays the same Bullish Divergence on a Rising Support as the pre Greyscale pump.
Buy when the price crosses over the 1hour MA200 and target 28000.
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Is BTC Headed to 2019 Bear Market Lows - SHORT -85%?In this video analysis, we dive deep into the current state of Bitcoin's price action. We'll explore the critical M formation that emerged in June 2021 and how Bitcoin is currently resisting its lower boundary. We'll also discuss the ongoing corrective b-wave within the larger wave C, examining potential upside targets.
Join us as we analyze key support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracements, and Elliott Wave Theory to provide insights into where Bitcoin might be headed next. Our target zone of interest? The 2019 bear market lows, situated between $3,000 and $4,900, which aligns with the 1.618 to 1.272 Fibonacci levels of the preceding wave a.
Stay ahead of the cryptocurrency market trends with our in-depth technical analysis. Don't miss this opportunity to gain a comprehensive understanding of Bitcoin's potential price movements and make informed trading decisions.
BTCUSD: This MA Cross may be a bottom signal. $32k target.Bitcoin has been on an almost 20 day consolidation (excluding the Greyscale bounce) with the 1H technicals neutral (RSI = 50.047, MACD = -22.300, ADX = 23.021) during most of this time. This is an excellent framework for short term scalping while on the long term potentially hints to a bottom formation on the HL trendline of the long term Channel Up pattern.
Additionally, the 1D MA50/100 Cross that was formed four days ago, was a bottom signal last time it was formed (June 15th). Keep a tight SL below the Channel Up and target near the top of the pattern (TP = 32,000).
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LPT/USDT will move to 7.70-7.90 Soon.Based on the Price Action Analysis, BINANCE:LPTUSDT has a Target to go to 7,70-7,90 Ranges in the upcoming days. I have done the analysis myself, and we are now still in the correction Area, once it's done, we will reach the target in an impulsive way.
Inshallah.
Possible Bottoming pattern forming It is very much possible that Bitcoin is forming a bottom as we speak , we have just had that distribution uptrust after a big move down where everyone thinks its going to reverse and then it comes back into range then everyone panics its going lower.
But really what happens is far more boring , we go back into a range for a breakout later when everyone been rekt both ways.
This bottom pattern appears in many different time frames , the larger the timeframe the bigger the move.
If we do breakdown further , CME gap at 20k is likely to close
Ethereum is eyeing $1500 support with A-B-C dropETHUSD made a nice bullish run this year from 1063; a move that can be counted in five waves so we will be expecting more gains after a pullback that is still underway after current intraday drop below 1600. We see ETH now in a downward complex correction; ideally, a flat meaning there can still be a recovery from the near-term support. 1500 area certainly looks very interesting for completion of a five-wave drop in (C) wave, so more short-term weakness is possible after a current rally in subwave four. A rise above 1798 will invalidate the current bearish impulse for C, but on the other hand it will confirm the bullish turn.
Strong support is at 1500.
GH
Ethereum Update on 05/08/2023There will be a buy/long opportunity for ETH. Focus on buy zone and 200 DMA.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Trading Lesson 👨🏫#2 - Understanding Consolidations in CryptoIn today's lesson I will explain the difference in consolidations.
Some of you are new to the market and are probably wondering what's happening exactly when it's not moving in price and when it's moving down more than up but would later return to the last price it was.
Well to best answer that question.
It's called consolidation:
It's a thing that happens in the crypto market where waves of prices fluctuate up and down calculating the sells and buys of the market until it meets a point of exit - after consolidating the actual price of the market you're in, and only has two places it can go.
There are two types of consolidation.
The first is where it does a price correction where you have rapid 📉drops or rapid 📈rises.
An lastly is a repeated wave🏄🏼♀️ that can run in the same location for a few hours, sometimes days, give or take how many orders were made within the past few minutes - hours - days - weeks or months.
Consider it like a balloon🎈 being blown into until it 💥pops!💥
Now this is where the problem begins - we don't know where it may go once it's done, could go up or down and when that balloon has popped it's rapidly going there. We could see the 0.00002000 - range within a few hours or just see 0.00000900 range within a few minutes, depending on the orders made for shib and the rest of the market as a whole, this can last for days, weeks depending on the amount of buys or sells.
Also note these are when you get the same surprise jumps like we did in 2021. It started off from the 850's and jumped to the 0.00001300 within a day.
However; right behind it, is a price correction waiting for a peak in the returns to meet its end. Once that happens it'll just fall or rise back to where the price actually suppose to be and starting the process all over again.
You may not know it but there are all forms of consolidations on ever chart from 1 minute to 4 hours to 1 day to 12 months.
You're in a consolidation right now and you don't even know it. Like the ones that occur on a weekly chart, This is what I call "a Seasonal Trend" the day, week, or month, is in a seasonal consolidation and is trending high or low.
But note anything can stop a seasonal trend and disrupt the flow of it, but it will continue the process as long as the damage done was not to bad such as major crashes in a seasonal up trend due to outside interferences such as massive sell-offs, regardless it'll still attempt to rise back because it's in a wave that's trending up-word, if the wave was trending down then it would do way more damage than expected.
But the worst thing to do in a consolidation day - is to sell while it's consolidating, the price may not go no higher or no lower, and if you sell while at a low price in a consolidation you will likely lost position and will have to wait for it to finish to get more shares let alone the original shares, that's if it drops, so best to hold while in a consolidation day, at least until closing.
So I hope this answers anyone question as to why your crypto stock of choice is not moving anywhere, it may not move for hours or even days. you'll just have to wait for closing hour to see if it will pop - hopefully on a positive outcome.
So Happy Trading Everyone