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Near Protocol: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Signal? Near Protocol: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Signal? A Potential 37% Downturn Near Protocol (NEAR) has been a beacon of relative stability in the volatile cryptocurrency market of 2024. While other altcoins have plunged, NEAR has managed to hold its ground. However, a recent price movement has some analysts sounding the alarm, suggesting a potential 37% crash on the horizon. Wedge Pattern and the Analyst's Call In early May, NEAR formed a technical chart pattern known as a "wedge." This pattern is characterized by price fluctuations confined within a narrowing range, with trendlines converging towards a point. While breakouts from wedges can signal either bullish or bearish continuations, the specific characteristics of NEAR's breakout have a crypto analyst predicting a significant downturn. The analyst argues that the way NEAR broke out of the wedge is a bearish indicator. They believe the price may experience a period of consolidation around its current level ($7.30 as of May 31, 2024) before an "impulsive" downward movement. This movement could initially see the price drop by 8% to $6.78, followed by further declines to $6.00 and a potential bottom around $4.60. If this scenario plays out, NEAR would experience a total decline of 37%. Metrics Supporting the Downturn Theory The analyst's prediction finds some support in recent developments surrounding NEAR's market metrics. After a strong start to 2024, NEAR has seen a decline in price over the past month. This price drop coincides with a notable decrease in daily trading volume, suggesting a potential weakening of investor interest. While NEAR has outperformed many other altcoins, the overall bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market could also play a role in its future price movement. A broader market downturn could drag NEAR down even if its project fundamentals remain strong. Understanding Wedge Patterns and Analyst Predictions It's important to remember that technical analysis, including wedge patterns, is not an exact science. Past performance is not always indicative of future results. While the analyst's prediction offers a bearish perspective, it's just one voice in a crowded space. Here are some additional factors to consider: • Positive News and Developments: News about partnerships, project developments, or upcoming upgrades could trigger renewed investor interest and push the price upwards. • Market Sentiment Shift: A broader shift in market sentiment towards optimism could buoy NEAR's price regardless of the technical indicators. • Unforeseen Events: Unexpected events, both positive and negative, can significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. Investor Takeaway: Research and Diversification The potential for a 37% decline in NEAR price should be a wake-up call for investors. It underscores the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Investors should thoroughly research NEAR's project fundamentals, roadmap, and broader market outlook before making any investment decisions. Diversification is also crucial. Spreading investments across various cryptocurrencies and asset classes can help mitigate risk. Conclusion Near Protocol's recent breakout from a wedge pattern has sparked debate among analysts. While some see a potential 37% crash on the horizon, others remain cautiously optimistic. Ultimately, the future price movement of NEAR will depend on a combination of technical factors, project developments, and broader market sentiment. Investors should carefully consider all available information before entering or exiting any NEAR positions.
Short
by bryandowningqln
1
Divergence - asset price directionDivergence is the discrepancy between the direction of an asset's price and the readings of an indicator. There are three types of divergences: classical, extended, and hidden. The first two can be used to gauge market sentiment and to trade in the opposite direction. Hidden divergence, however, is more significant and can serve as a powerful supplementary factor in determining the price direction and opening positions. The use of extended divergence is not necessary, as it rarely occurs and forms at equal highs or lows. In such cases, an indicator is not needed to gauge market sentiment; the chart itself will suffice. Classical Divergence Classical divergence indicates a potential trend reversal or the beginning of a correction. Bullish classical divergence is identified when a lower low (LL) forms on the chart while a higher low (HL) appears on the indicator. The masses buy when classical bullish divergence appears, anticipating significant growth. An upward price movement may begin, but after short-term liquidity for buying is exhausted and the price rebalances, a reversal will occur, and the decline will continue. Long positions opened during the correction will become unprofitable. In a bear market, classical bullish divergence typically appears before the start of a correction. Bearish classical divergence is identified when a higher high (HH) forms on the chart while a lower high (LH) appears on the indicator. The masses sell when classical bearish divergence appears, expecting a significant decline. A downward price movement may begin, but after short-term liquidity for selling is exhausted and the price rebalances, a reversal will occur, and the growth will continue. Short positions opened during the correction will become unprofitable. In a bull market, classical bearish divergence typically appears before the start of a correction. The formation of multiple divergences is common. The masses will seize every opportunity to open their positions, leading to unprofitable outcomes. The number of divergences before the start of a correction is not limited. It is recommended to wait for the price to react after reaching the resistance zone. In the example above, the correction began after partially filling the imbalance on the 1D timeframe within the imbalance on the 1W timeframe. Hidden Divergence Hidden divergence serves as a confirmation of trend continuation. Bullish hidden divergence is identified when a higher low (HL) forms on the chart and a lower low (LL) appears on the indicator. In an uptrend, hidden bullish divergence may form before the continuation of growth, acting as a strong supplementary factor in determining the future price direction and considering positions. Bearish hidden divergence is identified when a lower high (LH) forms on the chart and a higher high (HH) appears on the indicator. In a downtrend, hidden bearish divergence may form before the continuation of the decline, acting as a strong supplementary factor in determining the future price direction and considering positions. Notes - The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator is used to identify divergences. - RSI is plotted without considering candle shadows. - Divergence should be viewed as an additional factor to your analysis, not a standalone tool. - Divergence below the chart will always be bullish, while divergence above the chart will always be bearish.
Education
by truepersonal
ADA - WHERE WE DO GO NEXT?ADA - broke out of the wedge pattern, signaling a preference for opening long positions. We successfully tested a solid support zone between 0.4130 and 0.4660, which pushed us higher. The nearest resistance is between 1.1 and 1.24. In addition, underneath this resistance there is an imbalance (FVG) that acts as a price magnet. Currently, the trend is bullish, which discourages short-selling. Therefore, I divided my strategy into two phases, as indicated by the arrows. Once I reach any of these zones, I will look for confirmation and adjust my approach accordingly depending on the prevailing market conditions.
Long
by truepersonal
1
Decentraland a.k.a. MANAUSD May Have Formed A Bullish SetupDecentraland with ticker MANAUSD may have formed a nice textbook bullish setup formation. We see a five-wave rally into wave A/1 from the lows, followed by an a-b-c correction in wave B/2 right into the former wave "iv" and 61,8% Fibo. support area. So, it can lift the price higher within wave C or 3 towards 1.0 area for wave C or maybe even higher for wave 3. We can actually already see it breaking above channel resistance line, but to confirm that wave C or 3 is in play, we need to see a recovery back above 0.55 region.
BINANCE:MANAUSDLong
by ew-forecast
BTCUSD - 4HRSimple trading - WE WAIT! Patient pays!! Possible head and shoulders pattern is starting to form on the charts. be patient as this pattern is not confirmed. BTCUSD is still currently in a bullish run breaking out of the daily Inverted head and shoulder pattern. Active target is still 74k We can take advantage of short-term price action like this 4hr head and shoulders. Watch to see if the price creates a lower-low, and look to sell. We need a strong bearish candle to close below the price area of 67,500. Price predictions: Sell at 70800 Sell at 69600 These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by nikdobii
Solana at a Pivotal AreaWith respect to Solana I'll say two things. First, and probably in jest, I had no idea Venezuela was important to crypto mining. lol. (reference to the news why crypto rallied yesterday). Second, I am still awaiting signs that price has the intention to follow the purple alternative path. The attached Daily chart shows there is a full count to the upside complete with alternating 2's and 4's. Granted this does not preclude price from subdividing in a manner that extends the previous trend, but in those cases, we should see clear evidence of such. As of this morning, CLEAR, would not be a word I would use to describe the current pattern. C-wave is, however the label I would so far characterise as this current pattern. However, if price can rally into the $194 area, and hold the $179 area on any retrace, and then rally for OMH towards the recent highs I can become open to price moving higher. In lieu of that sort of price action playing out I await clues that price is completing it's minor B wave.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by maikisch
3
Crypto Market Is Back In UptrendWe have been talking a lot about a corrective price action in the Crypto market for the last couple of weeks. We also shared a lot of free charts, articles and even video analysis, where we mentioned and highlighted a higher degree wave 4 correction within an ongoing five-wave bullish cycle. As you can see today, Crypto market is nicely extending higher as expected, but mostly due to Bitcoin and Ethereum as Ethereum is leading a rally in digital assets because of greater odds of ETH ETF approval. However, now that both of them have space for more gains, even some ALTcoins may follow soon, as Crypto total market cap chart can be now unfolding a new five-wave bullish cycle within higher degree wave (5).
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by ew-forecast
Bitcoin Rebounds To 65K As Correction May Be OverBitcoin rebounds strongly to 65k area, which can be signal that correction may be over from technical perspective and by Elliott wave theory. We have been talking a lot about a corrective decline in the Crypto market in the past weeks. We also talked about Bitcoin ahead of the halving and we also shared a free chart back on April 15th, where we mentioned and highlighted a higher degree wave 4 correction within ongoing bullish cycle. As you can see today, after a slightly deeper corrective decline, Bitcoin is bouncing strongly which indicates that wave 4 correction may be over at the ideal 38,2% Fibo. retracement near 56k support. So, be aware of a bullish continuation within wave 5 of III that can send the price back to all-time highs towards 75k-80k area, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ew-forecast
BTCUSD Massive FAKEOUT incomingUpdate: BULLISH: BTC has hit the monthly and weekly resistance zones. I have taken all profits off the table. ***BTCUSD slated inverted head and shoulders is still currently active. TARGET: 74k BEARISH: Bitcoin could go up in value, but many obstacles might prevent it from reaching or staying above $72,000. These include strict government rules,(U.S. DO NOT LIKE BITCOIN) people's changing feelings,(WHALES) technical issues, competition from other digital currencies, environmental concerns, and the fact that it’s not widely used or easy to use. Always research and understand the risks before investing in Bitcoin. More BEARISH: Bitcoin isn't ready. Do NOT panic and buy for another ATH. Bitcoin isn't ready to crash the markets. The USD will hold. Wait for the price to go back into consolidation before making any more trading decisions. Bitcoin is reacting to the previous week's news... PPI data. Bitcoin just rose $5.1k in a day and still can not manage a higher high on the macro level. Don't believe in the hype... The parabolic phase is not yet ready. Take profits and pay attention to the upcoming news on Weds and Thrus—lots of meetings to discuss how they will neglect the price in Bitcoin. These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by nikdobii
Ethereum Crack"Aliens, an advanced species that have seen hundreds of stars and a few black holes throughout their lifetime, have made contact with humans sending encrypted data. They are masters in the study of the elastic property of TIME throughout the Universe (relative to Gravity), and they are trying to send a message to prove us all, not that time is a construct in the fabric of the Universe, but that they in fact exist, and they are indeed... Intelligence." Trying to crack the code in this splash of wonder I must emphasize that the most relevant element in the whole data set, might be the Blue Curve. For any bulls, I believe this is an important function to cross over, and even though after crossing over the price might still slide lower along it, for lower lows, there is also another prospect of a push towards Level 1 which, again, for the bulls, could be quite important if reached, as it can sustain heavy resistance on the price, of such magnitude that the market can weaken to the point of sliding towards level 2. Potential Support zone. 3 and 4 are intermediary, but not to be ignored as they can provide relevant price action several times if the estimations are correct. The 2 small curves purple and green are also potential support/resistance functions, while the rectangles in this case can act more like milestones as it is possible that the price might want to avoid them up and down like in an obstacle course. If not successful in such journey attempt, they too might become support and resistance areas. Again for the bulls, watch out for the blue curve, and if broken, maybe better to wait for signs of an impulse (low_) correction (higher low_) and a potential push for a higher high. For the bears, this design doesn't predict any bold aggressive downturns, maybe just a balanced descent between the blue and the big purple. Watch out for the price action and the relevant events at the elements if you want to Crack the code, if there even is one...
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by nen
5
Solana Trance DanceWe start the analysis of the potential futures with the white curve. This curve will eventually be bypassed and my first assessment is that it could be broken before the price MIGHT reach the triangle. After the bypass, significant support needs to be encountered in order for a bullish scenario to be validated or at least taken into consideration. For potential support zones we have most of the the elements in the snapshot, and going through them we have the following: The purple curve. For the price to completely stay above the purple it needs a more robust bullish push and sentiment/mood, but even if it becomes resistance when/if broken down, we have price level 2, the green marked level of 139, and again, the big triangle. Looking for potential rebounds at any of these levels to consider the whole concept of the project as a candidate for success. (even if it is a break and a retest of any of these) On the up, we have the 1 price level which could act as resistance, potentially triggering a correction towards 2, or other elements where it would be ideal to find support: green rectangle, purple curve, or even level 3, and last but not least -> the triangle. Also on the up if the purple rectangle acts like a zone of influence for resistance or consolidation, hopefully these forces might disappear and let the price slide up as the rectangle ends. For the last note, it is wise to be more flexible, not get caught up on a specific scenario, and just watch the market and the price action and look for signs of what could happen in a different tune than what we hope. With that being said, ALL ELEMENTS in the project can or could act as support AND resistance, meaning that if a bullish scenario doesn't hold ground, any of these shapes could provide a turning point and reversal or change in tune. Hopefully the overall design of it will prove relevant, and the price will act in certain ways near these objects, making it easier to navigate on the Solana River into the future wherever it may take us, on the path of least resistance, similar to a Trance Dance. Party like it's 1999. But where? Bermuda? Havana? Turkey? or Shamballah? I hear the Moon is freezing cold but some might want to go there anyway. :)
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by nen
2