BITCOIN HAS TO BREAK LONG TERM TREND by DEC - SQUEEZE APEX DECI have posted this before and I post it again now, just months away from a CRUCIAL point for Bitcoin PA
As with any time scale trading chart, An Apex is a point of reaction. PA usualy reacts BEFORE the Apex is met.
This Giant Apex is in DEC 2025
Every single ATH in the life span of Bitcoin has been rejected by the Arc of Resistance that is overhead.
We can also see how from the ATH in 2011, a trend line was formed that has acted as Support ever since 2012. PA has never dropped below this line.
So, as you can see, PA has been in a diminishing "Sandwich" and Now, we are coming to the Crunch
We can see how the ATH's have been a reducing % Rise ever since this point also.
And you will notice how this number on the chart reduces each time, even though the real value is increasing.
Low to ATH A ( ATH 2011) - 3,465,178%
Low to ATH B ( ATH 2013) - 49,670 %
Low to ATH C ( ATH 2017) - 9,865 %
Low to ATH D ( ATH 2021) - 2,148 %
E is not over yet but coing on current ATH we have
Low to ATH E ( ATH 2025) - 575 %
So, you see the reduction of % rise, held back all along by the ARC Of RESISTANCE
What is interesting, is that since PA has been in the chanel formed in 2011, when comapred to each other, we have been seeing a rise of 20% of the previous rise ( on average )
This closer chart shows you this in more detail
I will ignoew the A - B as thia is out of channel
C-B = 19.6 %
D-C = 21.77 %
Currently E-D = 26.7 %
As you can see, we are currently OVER that average % Rise.
And we are also heading into a tight APEX in Dec.
The expected 200K ATH this cycle will take us out of the pattern, out of the Apex and out of the 20 % average rise of previousl
This really is CRUNCH TIME for Bitcoin
The REALLY interesting thing is, What would be Next ?
This would break the Cycle routine.
We may already have broken that as described in previous charts of mine from years ago
But what IS Certain is that something HAS to happen.
This Cycle ATH will reveal a HUGE amount but we have yto Wait and see what will happen
Cryptotrading
BTCUSD: The Cycle won't peak before September!Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.334, MACD = 3198.500, ADX = 54.017) which, having kept the 1W MA50 intact as Support, suggest that this is the ideal level to buy again upon the continuation of the Bull Cycle. Despite the recent 2 month correction, the Cycle hasn't peaked and according to the Pre-Halving/ Post-Halving theory, that suggests that the time from the Cycle's Bottom to the Halving is almost identical to the time form the Halving to the Cycle's Top, we have until the end of September before the bull run is over. And that's because the range from the Cycle's Bottom to the 4th Halving was 75 weeks (525 days), which indicates that it will take around the same amount of time from the Halving before the Bull Cycle tops. See how amazingly consistent that has been on all of prior 3 Cycles. Consequently, the best strategy here would be to hold and start selling in September.
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TON/USDT: Potential Pullback After Sharp RallyThe TON/USDT market experienced a 20% surge following unexpected news that Telegram founder Pavel Durov had regained his passport, enabling unrestricted travel. This bullish momentum led the price to rebound from support and approach the 4.00 resistance zone.
However, as the price neared this key resistance, momentum began to slow, and signs of a bearish divergence emerged. On the daily timeframe, candles with upper wicks suggest rejection at higher levels. Given these developments, the market may be poised for a short-term corrective move toward lower support. The next potential target is the support zone around 3.330
ALGOUSDT Facing a Major Reversal? Bears Ready to Take Over!Yello, Paradisers! Is ALGOUSDT about to take a sharp dive? The price is currently hovering around a key supply zone, struggling to push higher. With buyers failing to break through, the risk of a strong bearish rejection is increasing, signaling a potential short opportunity.
💎The market structure has shown a clear Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting a shift from an uptrend to a potential downtrend. Price remains below the 50 EMA, reinforcing the bearish momentum. If sellers step in with force, the downside move could accelerate quickly.
💎Key downside targets are forming around 0.2188 and 0.1663, where the next major support zones lie. If the bearish scenario plays out, these levels could be reached sooner than expected. Any failure to reclaim higher levels will only strengthen the case for further declines.
This is where patience and discipline pay off. Market traps are everywhere, and only those who stay focused and trade smart will come out on top. Be ready for the move, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ETCUSDT: Breakdown or Bounce? A Critical Move Is Coming!Yello, Paradisers! Is ETCUSDT about to collapse further, or are the bulls ready to fight back? Let’s break it down!
💎#ETCUSDT remains in a strong downtrend, continuously rejecting the descending resistance and struggling to hold above key levels. Recently, the price tested the imbalance zone at $18.995 but got smacked down, a clear sign that sellers are still in control.
💎Adding further bearish confirmation, the 50 EMA has crossed below the 200 EMA, reinforcing the downside momentum. This classic death cross signals that sellers have the upper hand, increasing the probability of further declines.
💎If ETC retests the $18.995 supply zone and faces rejection again, expect another leg down toward $17.590 and potentially the major support at $16.576. A failure to find strong buying interest at these levels would confirm further downside continuation.
💎However, if ETC manages to break and hold above $18.995, it could signal strength. In this case, price may push toward $21.288, but it must first clear $19.288 with strong volume to invalidate the bearish setup. A confirmed breakout would shift momentum bullish, opening the door for a potential rally toward $22 and beyond.
Stay patient, Paradisers! The market always rewards discipline. If we see confirmation, we take action. If not, we wait. Trade smart, not fast! 🎖
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
BTCUSD: Staying bullish with this breakthrough analysis.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.889, MACD = -2304.900, ADX = 28.298) as it erased yesterday's Fed gains. Nevertheless, this doesn't make us lose sight of the bigger picture. On this 1M chart, we have selected all Decembers, as they hold critical importance for BTC Cycles. Both bottoms and tops tend to be priced around them and in between two consolidation phases take place. Don't let the short term volatility cloud your long term perspective. This Cycle hasn't topped yet. Stay bullish.
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ETHUSD: Different asser, same pattern, same ending.Ethereum remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.440, MACD = -154.200, ADX = 29.206) but sits at the bottom of its 1 year Megaphone. This is the same pattern that Bitcoin traded on last year and Gold during its most recent Bear Cycle. In all instances, when the price found support on the MA50 and broke over the Megaphone, it reached the 2.0 Fibonacci. According to this, it won't be surprising if we see ETH at 9,000 by the end of the year.
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Cardano (ADA) Swing Trade SetupWith ADA approaching a key support level, this presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity for a long swing trade. If buyers step in at this level, we could see a move towards upside resistance zones.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $0.70 (Support Level)
Take Profit Targets:
$0.82 - $0.89 (First TP Zone - Initial Resistance)
$0.96 - $1.02 (Second TP Zone - Major Resistance)
Stop Loss: Just below $0.63
Waiting for buying confirmation at support before entering. 🚀
AVAXUSDT Testing Key Resistance Amid Bearish Market OutlookAVAXUSDT has been steadily climbing after rebounding from a crucial support level and is now testing last week's high, a level that has repeatedly held firm. Additionally, the price continues to respect the established upward trendline. However, on higher timeframes, the overall market sentiment remains strongly bearish, with prices falling below the August 2024 low. Given the significant downward movement, a period of consolidation is likely. A rebound from the psychological level at 20 is anticipated, followed by a retest of the support zone around 17.05
PEPEUSD: Bottom highly likely priced. Target 0.00008.Pepe turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.389, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 26.088) as it has been on a small short term bounce but still limited under the 1D MA50. The latter is the level to break as it has been the Resistance of this bearish wave of the 2 year Channel Up with two rejections on Jan 17th and Jan 2nd. The recovery on the 1D RSI is a strong sign of a bottom, much like September 20th 2023. Technically that took place on a 1D Death Cross, a formation we completed 4 weeks ago. The bullish wave that started then, hit the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Long term trade is buy, TP = 0.00008.
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Ethereum (ETH/USD) Breakout – Next Targets $2,328 & Beyond!
Overview:
Ethereum has been in a downtrend, forming a descending channel, but it recently found strong support at $1,764 and has now broken out of a range-bound consolidation. This could be the beginning of a bullish move towards higher resistance levels.
Key Market Structure Analysis:
🔸 Previous Downtrend: ETH was trading within a bearish channel, creating lower highs and lower lows before bottoming out.
🔸 Accumulation Phase: A sideways consolidation range between $1,764 - $2,017 formed after the downtrend, signaling potential accumulation.
🔸 Breakout Confirmation: ETH has broken above the $2,017 resistance, suggesting that buyers are stepping in.
Potential Trade Setup:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A successful breakout retest around $2,000 - $1,950 could provide an entry opportunity.
Upside targets:
🎯 $2,328.95 – Major resistance level from previous price action.
🎯 $2,559.17 – Next key resistance if momentum continues.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation):
A drop below $1,950 - $1,900 could push ETH back into the previous range.
Losing the $1,764 support could lead to a retest of $1,600 or lower.
Final Thoughts:
Ethereum is showing strength after breaking out of a key consolidation range. If the breakout holds, ETH could be gearing up for a strong rally toward $2,328 - $2,559. However, a retest of the breakout zone may provide a better risk-to-reward entry.
What do you think? Will ETH push toward $2,328 next? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📈
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Market Structure & Key Levels:
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart displays a descending channel breakout, followed by a range-bound consolidation phase.
Key Support Levels:
$78,000 - $77,320: A strong demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in.
$80,000: Psychological support level.
Key Resistance Levels:
$84,340: Short-term resistance currently being tested.
$85,996: Next major resistance level.
$89,363: Target resistance level if a breakout occurs.
$92,331: A higher timeframe resistance level.
Chart Pattern & Price Action:
Descending Channel (Early March)
Price was in a downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern.
The breakout from this channel led to a shift in momentum.
Range Consolidation (Current Pattern)
After the breakout, BTC entered a sideways accumulation phase (marked by the red box).
Price is bouncing between $82,000 - $84,500, showing low volatility and indecision.
Breakout Possibility (Bullish Bias)
A break above $84,500 could confirm a bullish move towards $85,996 and beyond.
The next major target is $89,363, which aligns with previous resistance.
Support Retest (Bearish Risk)
If BTC fails to break resistance, we might see a retest of $80,000 or even $78,000.
A break below $77,320 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
DOT/USDT: Consolidation Expected After Recent Bounce The DOT/USThe DOT/USDT market has recently rebounded from a previously tested level from November. Following this bounce, the price appears to be forming an ABC pullback, moving towards the channel boundary.
Historical price action shows that the market has consistently respected the resistance zone, reinforcing the prevailing bearish trend. Given this setup, the market is likely to enter a consolidation phase, with price stabilizing within the 4.88 to 4.00 range. The next key target lies at the support zone around 4.100
A possible scenario for Bitcoin over next 2 monthsI do think this has a Strong possibility of happening
MARCH will close as a RED Candle and the statisical expectation is that April will close GREEN and yet there are many reasons why Bitcoin Cannot rise a lot in April to make that Green
SO, We may see March drop down to the 74K area to end the month
This Gives PA the ability to Rise, hit that trend line and still Close the month GREEN and then take off in May.
Why May ?
Because that descending trend line perfectly matches the Weekly MACD decent and the date is when MACD reaches Neutral. Begining of May.
This is also why PA will likely be rejected from the Trend line before MAY
Should PA remain where it is now, it doesn't give a lot of room for April to close Green.
This really is just an Idea so we just need to see if it happens.
I do have a SPOt buy order sitting at 74779 just in case lol