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CELO About to Explode or Fakeout Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is this the breakout we’ve been patiently waiting for or just another trap to liquidate late buyers? 💎After weeks of grinding lower inside a clear descending channel, #CELO/USDT has finally broken out to the upside. That breakout alone isn’t enough, but it’s a critical first signal that sellers are losing control. Price is now pushing right into the key resistance zone at $0.29–$0.30, and what happens here will decide the next major move. 💎If momentum holds and price reclaims this level with conviction, we could see an explosive move toward $0.34 and potentially even the stronger resistance zones at $0.41 and $0.47 in the coming weeks. But if buyers fail to defend this push, and price rolls over, then the bullish setup quickly falls apart. 💎What gives us more confidence? The support zone at $0.24–$0.25 held beautifully buyers stepped in hard, and the market reversed cleanly from there. But if #CELO drops back below $0.22, the setup is invalidated and we'll wait patiently again for the next high-probability entry. This is where most retail traders get trapped, they chase the move too late or panic-sell too early. Don’t be that trader. Stay focused. Be precise. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
2
KSMUSDT D – Start of Wave 3? After a clear 5-wave impulsive move up, KSMUSDT seems to have completed a deep ABC correction, potentially marking the end of Wave 2. 📉 Wave 1: We had a clean five-wave move from the bottom, which fits classic Elliott Wave structure. 📉 Wave 2: The correction that followed was much deeper than the ideal Fibonacci retracement zone. However, crucially, it never violated the low of Wave 1, which means it still holds valid under Elliott Wave rules. The correction unfolded as a textbook ABC pattern, with Wave C digging deep into the previous structure — showing panic selloff and possibly a final capitulation. 🔄 Key Development Now: The resistance trendline of the correction has just been broken, suggesting potential momentum shift. This could mark the beginning of Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most impulsive wave in Elliott Wave theory. 📈 Potential Target for Wave 3: Around the 39.5.80–42.00 area based on Fibonacci projections, but this is an early assumption and requires confirmation by price action and volume. ⚠️ Important Risk Note: Despite this bullish technical setup, the current market remains risky. The bounce is fresh, and confirmation is still lacking. There's still the possibility of a deeper retest or invalidation of this count if price closes below the base of Wave 1. 🧠 Trade Plan: - Wait for follow-through confirmation. - Manage risk carefully — this is an early entry scenario. - A stop below the recent low (~11.30) would be logical for this wave count. 📊 What do you think? Is this the beginning of a powerful Wave 3, or just another fakeout? 💬 Drop your thoughts or alternate wave counts in the comments!
by TheWaveHunter
ETH Not Taking Profits Yet – System Still Long ETH on the 4H is pausing right at the 3D 200MA, picture perfect, actually. Now we wait to see if this resistance flips into support. If that happens, price could go for the 0.382 Fib level around $3,040. Of course, that’s the ideal scenario, but the market could easily contradict me, so keep that in mind. Personally, it’s not time to take profits yet. Both my 4H and 1D systems are still in long positions. For extra safety, you could set a partial take-profit just under the second-to-last PSAR dot. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
BYBIT:ETHUSD.PLong
by vagada
BTCUSD Analysis – Riding the Mind Curve & Bullish Setup Target🔎 Technical Narrative & Market Structure Analysis Bitcoin is currently respecting a textbook parabolic support structure represented by the Black Mind Curve—a dynamic visual model reflecting the psychology of crowd behavior transitioning from uncertainty to confidence. This curved structure often precedes strong bullish continuation patterns, especially when paired with evidence of smart money involvement. The current price action shows sequential higher lows, each of which is supported directly by the Mind Curve. These bounces confirm demand stepping in consistently at higher levels, a strong sign of controlled accumulation and momentum building. 🧠 Key Chart Components Explained ✅ 1. Mind Curve (Dynamic Support) A custom-drawn parabolic curve reflects the ongoing upward force from buyers. Bitcoin has tested and bounced from this curve multiple times, showing it is respected by market participants. As price hugs the curve more tightly, the compression could lead to a volatility breakout. ✅ 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure) A significant market structure break occurred as price took out a previous swing high. This BOS confirms a shift in market sentiment from ranging/sideways to uptrend formation. The BOS now acts as a reference point for bullish momentum and could serve as support on a potential retest. ✅ 3. QFL Zone (Quantity following line ) Located just below the BOS, this zone marks the last area where aggressive buyers stepped in before the breakout. These levels are often defended on a retest and are used by institutional traders to re-enter positions. ✅ 4. Evidence Candle This sharp bullish impulse candle is what we call an "evidence candle"—it pierces minor resistances with strength and volume. It represents institutional-level interest and confirms smart money accumulation. Such candles typically precede either continuation or minor pullback for re-accumulation. ✅ 5. Reversal Zone (Target Zone) This zone lies ahead at approximately 112,500 to 113,000, a confluence of previous supply, key psychological level, and potential liquidity pool. It's the next logical area where price may pause, react, or break through if momentum sustains. ⚔️ Scenarios to Watch 🟩 Bullish Scenario: Price continues riding the curve support upward. Breaks and closes above the Reversal Zone, ideally with volume and continuation candle. Potential upside extension toward 114,000–115,000. 🟨 Neutral/Consolidation Scenario: Price consolidates just below the Reversal Zone. May form a flag/pennant or triangle structure. Bullish continuation likely if the curve holds beneath. 🟥 Bearish/Invalidation Scenario: Price breaks below the Mind Curve and BOS, closing below with momentum. This would signal a potential breakdown of the bullish structure. Invalidation zone likely sits below 110,000, and a breakdown could open room to revisit the 108,500–109,000 area. 📌 Confluence Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias: Respect of Mind Curve over time = hidden institutional support Presence of BOS and QFL = structure and order block confluence Evidence candle = high-volume trigger point Reversal Zone = logical magnet for price, supported by liquidity and previous reactions 📈 Summary & Trading Thesis Bitcoin is currently in a bullish microstructure within a larger range. The parabola-style Mind Curve suggests that this structure is maturing toward an inflection point. The break above BOS, evidence of strength, and alignment with demand zones all support a move toward the 112,500–113,000 Reversal Zone. If momentum sustains, this could become the start of a broader bullish leg. 📢 Final Thought: While the setup is bullish, discipline and patience are key. Watching how price behaves around the Reversal Zone will be critical. A clean breakout or solid rejection will provide the next high-probability signal.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
There’s a higher probability of an upward breakout.🚨 Bitcoin Technical Update – Key Levels Ahead! 🚨 Bitcoin is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, a classic setup that often signals a strong move ahead. At the moment, the market is leaning toward the upside, showing early signs of bullish momentum. 📈 If we see a breakout to the upside, it's crucial to wait for a retest of the breakout level. A successful retest could confirm the move, setting the stage for a strong upward rally. However, if the breakout fails, don’t rush in — just observe the price action closely to see how the market reacts. ⚖️ There’s a higher probability of an upward breakout, as liquidity is still building above, and there are strong support levels holding below. This combination could act as a springboard for price to move higher. 🔍 As always, Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before entering any trade. Stay alert and manage your risk wisely!
Long
by Peter_Wade
BTCUSD Breakout Confirmed – Targeting Next Reversal ZoneBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $108,700, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of a consolidation structure. Price action has shifted significantly, with clear structural developments pointing toward continued upside — but not without caution around the next reversal zone. 🔍 Key Technical Insights: 🔹 1. Volume Contraction Triangle (Bullish Breakout) The chart initially shows a volume contraction pattern forming a symmetrical triangle. This pattern is often associated with market compression — a setup where smart money accumulates before a breakout. BTC broke out of the triangle with strong bullish candles, confirming buyers have stepped in with conviction. 🔄 2. Structure Shift & Break of Structure (BOS) A major BOS (Break of Structure) occurred as price broke previous swing highs, confirming a bullish market structure. This BOS zone now acts as a potential support area if BTC pulls back. A short-term SR interchange zone (Support becomes Resistance) was also respected and flipped again to support during the breakout — a clear sign of structural strength. 🧭 3. Next Reversal Zone – Supply in Sight Price is approaching a major supply/reversal zone between $109,750 and $110,250. This zone has previously shown strong selling interest. Traders should watch for rejection or continuation patterns within this zone — such as bearish divergence, exhaustion candles, or confirmation of resistance. 🛡 4. Major Support Level Below current price, a major support zone around $107,500–$107,800 remains intact. This zone has provided a solid base during past consolidations and would be the first area of interest for buyers if a retracement occurs. 📌 Strategy Plan: 🔼 For Bullish Traders: Those already in the breakout can hold with targets toward $110,000–$110,250. If not in yet, wait for a retest of BOS/SR zone (~$109,000) for a safer re-entry. Consider partial take-profits within the green reversal zone. 🔽 For Bearish Traders: Watch for price exhaustion or a fake breakout in the reversal zone. Potential short setups could form only if price fails to hold above the BOS zone and prints a lower high. 🔧 Technical Summary: ✅ Structure: Bullish Break of Structure confirmed 🔺 Momentum: Strong upside following volume contraction 📍 Next Key Resistance: $110,000–$110,250 📉 Major Support: $107,500–$107,800 ⚠️ Caution Zone: Reversal area ahead – watch price action closely Conclusion : Bitcoin looks set to challenge the $110K psychological level as buyers remain in control. However, the reversal zone above is critical. A clean break and hold above it could open doors to further highs, while rejection here may trigger short-term pullbacks or range-bound conditions.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
TIA Coin: Unlock 118% Profit Potential (1D)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it appears the TIA correction has begun. Despite the current bullish market trend, TIA has not yet experienced a pump, and it seems the price hasn't reached its bottom yet. This correction seems to follow a large, time-consuming diamond-shaped diametric pattern, and we are currently in the early or middle stages of wave G. Recently, the price lost a minor trendline, marked with a red dotted line, indicating that wave G might continue its path. We have identified a low-risk buy zone on the chart for catching the next bullish wave in TIA. We are targeting buy/long positions in this zone. Price targets are clearly indicated on the chart. A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis and suggest a potential reversal. invalidation level: 1.089$ For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
3
From BONK to Boom: Is This a Full Impulse?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! BONK: Watching the Impulse Unfold Looks like BONK may have bottomed at 887, where it kicked off what appears to be an impulsive move up. The retrace that followed was suspicious—plenty of ways to count it depending on your lens—but price action eventually started hinting at a 12-12 or zigzag-style crossroad. That indecision resolved quickly once BONK cleared 1511, shifting the structure firmly back into bullish territory. Now trading around 2242, the behavior is aligning with what you'd expect from a wave 3: strong momentum, vertical lift, and minimal resistance. It’s moving like a third wave should. That said, there’s some heavy resistance sitting overhead at 2506, and it could stall or even reject price short-term. If it does, the next thing I’ll be watching is how price reacts—specifically looking for a clean wave 4 pullback and a final push into wave 5. If we see that 4–5 structure play out at multiple degrees, it would go a long way toward confirming this whole move as a completed impulse off the low. For now, this one stays on watch for the next setup. Trade Safe! Trade Clarity!
Long
by CryptoKnee
2
Something for the weekend? Bitcoin Daily-last for 2 weeks PA has finally risen above that Fib circle ( falling diagonal arc) that has rejected us since Early June. PA is currently retesting this as support now and we will hopefully manage to remain above. Should this fail, we have the lower trendline of the newly formed rising channel to use as support. Should that fail, we have the 236 Fib circle (Red) and the next rising support line around 102k, depending on sharp the drop is. If we find support where we are now, we have a good run back to the current ATH line ( Blue Dash line) The real test is that 236 Fib circle that is dropping form around 114K 99% of the Time, a 236 Fib circle is resistance and if it rejects PA, the Current ATH line is very close below. This will either create a bounce or a sharp drop. If we get stuck between the 2, we have that APEX around 25 July..PA always reacts BEFORE the Apex And I am back on the 19th Jully, just in time I hope ;-) So, The MACD is currently above neutral on the Daily (Below) The weekly is much the same but on the 4 hour, we are currently dropping towards Neutral and Tomorrow ( sunday) will tell us if it bounces or not. We are early in July, As mentioned in the monthly report I posted earlier this week, we could see a larger Green candle by month end, though is is not a promise obviously. But the MACD could support this idea We just have to wait and, for me, that is what we will do until around Q4 We could still see smaller gains over the summer period but the Bigger moves are in Q4 That is what I am waiting for....and yet, at the same time, I am ready if it comes earlier stay safe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Will #HOOK Continue to Rise or a Trap is Being Set? Must Watch Yello Paradisers! Have you seen the recent price action of the #HookedProtocol or not? Let's see what's happening with #HOOK and its next move: 💎#HOOKUSDT has been moving in a clear falling wedge pattern, with price respecting both the descending resistance and support levels since late April. After multiple rejections from the lows, we finally saw a breakout from the wedge, which is a potential sign that bulls are preparing for a shift in structure. 💎Currently, #HOOKUSD is trading near 0.1120, and the 50EMA is now acting as support, which increases the probability of a continued move higher. The first area we are watching is 0.1242, which now acts as the moderate resistance. If the market manages to hold above this level, it opens up the path toward 0.1938, the next strong resistance, and a level where profit-taking becomes critical. 💎However, if bulls fail to hold the structure and price breaks back below 0.0779, then the entire bullish setup becomes invalid. In that case, we’ll likely revisit the 0.0600 region, and the trapdoor opens for late buyers who ignored the warning signs. Stay sharp, Paradisers. The market is about to pick a side and we’ll be on the right one. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
ETH 50MA Reclaims 0.5 FibInteresting take on ETH daily using just the 50MA and Fib levels. Notice how the 50MA has interacted with the Fib levels since June 2021. In May 2025, the 50MA crossed below the 0.618 Fib level, marking the bottom of the December 2024 drop. The 0.5 Fib acted as support in October 2024 during the double top formation at the 0.236 Fib. Now, the 50MA has crossed back above the 0.5 Fib. As long as price holds above this 0.5 Fib level, the odds of further upside remain stronger. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
Long
by vagada
Bitcoin: 170k–180k?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Bitcoin: 170k to 180k? Let’s talk bias. We’ve seen a powerful move off the 75k low, and it’s hitting some markers of a potential wave 1 impulse. If that structure holds and price doesn’t come back to wipe out the lows in a wave 2 retracement, then this is what we’d be looking at. The idea? This is a conservative roadmap built off Elliott Wave Fibonacci projections and it targets the 170k to 180k zone. Now, let’s be clear. This is a conservative projection. We’re not talking hopium fueled 250k moon targets here. We have no proof of that yet. We're anchoring the wave count and saying: if this is a 1, we’re due a 2, and then a 3 takes us to the upper levels. But there’s a catch. Always is. If price starts to fade back through the 91.8k area in a deep aggressive retrace, this roadmap gets less likely. Breaking the 75k pivot means the impulse structure failed or was misread, and we shift the count. Until then, the 170k–180k level is a possible destination based on this roadmap. Trade Safe! Trade Clarity!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
2
Sol searching, for an entry. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! The Elliottician’s Paradox: 12-12 or Zigzag? Bias Is the Key Ever stare at a chart and ask, “Is that a 12-12 or a classic zigzag?” Yeah… welcome to the paradox we Elliotticians live in. Pattern recognition’s a blessing and a curse because context is everything, but confidence can get you wrecked. This one’s got me on the edge. What’s Happening Here We’re currently watching a move that could be either: - A corrective zigzag (5-3-5), or - A 1-2, 1-2 setup, gearing up for a blastoff That’s the core dilemma — two valid options, both technically legal. So what tips the scales? Bias. The Line in the Sand: 152 Here’s what I’m watching for: Key Level: 152 - That’s the bull/bear line for me. - A strong impulsive reclaim above 152 flips the script. I’d reconsider the bearish view if price surges with intent. - But if we return to 152 in a sluggish, corrective way? I’ll be eyeing continuation lower, aligned with a more traditional zigzag structure. Elliott View This is where the paradox plays out: If we’re looking at a 1-2, 1-2 setup, expect: - A powerful Wave 3 soon (should not be shy) If it’s a Zigzag ABC: - Then we should expect a corrective internal retracement and continuation to the down side, at minimum past the origin of the initial move. The chart will speak loudest. But structure and strength of this next leg will confirm the story. Final Thoughts Trading isn’t about being right. It’s about managing scenarios — and this one’s a classic fork-in-the-road moment. I’ve got a plan for both directions. 152 is my trigger. Stay below it and fade the rally. Break above it impulsively, and I’ll flip my bias with it. The Elliottician’s paradox isn’t a trap — it’s an invitation to stay sharp. Your Turn How are you reading this structure? Do you favor the zigzag or the 1-2 setup? Drop a comment and let me know. Trade safe, trade clarity!
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by CryptoKnee
Ethereum - This structure decides everything!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - trades at a key structure: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) After Ethereum retested the previous all time high in the end of 2024, we saw quite a harsh move lower. This move was followed by an expected recovery, however Ethereum is still trading below a key structure. Either move is still possible and will shape the future of Ethereum. Levels to watch: $2.500, $4.000 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
37
Quantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep DiveQuantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep Dive Quantitative trading in forex harnesses advanced algorithms and statistical models to decode market dynamics, offering traders a sophisticated approach to currency trading. This article delves into the various quantitative trading models, their implementation, and their challenges, providing insights for traders looking to navigate the forex market with a data-driven approach. Understanding Quantitative Trading in Forex Quantitative trading, also known as quant trading, in the forex market involves using sophisticated quantitative trading systems that leverage complex mathematical and statistical methods to analyse market data and execute trades. These systems are designed to identify patterns, trends, and potential opportunities in currency movements that might be invisible to the naked eye. At the heart of these systems are quantitative trading strategies and models, which are algorithmic procedures developed to determine market behaviour and make informed decisions. These strategies incorporate a variety of approaches, from historical data analysis to predictive modelling, which should ensure a comprehensive assessment of market dynamics. Notably, in quantitative trading, Python and similar data-oriented programming languages are often used to build models. In essence, quantitative systems help decipher the intricate relationships between different currency pairs, economic indicators, and global events, potentially enabling traders to execute trades with higher precision and efficiency. Key Types of Quantitative Models Quantitative trading, spanning diverse markets such as forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies*, utilises complex quantitative trading algorithms to make informed decisions. While it's prominently applied in quantitative stock trading, its principles and models are particularly significant in the forex market. These models are underpinned by quantitative analysis, derivative modelling, and trading strategies, which involve mathematical analysis of market movements and risk assessment to potentially optimise trading outcomes. Trend Following Models Trend-following systems are designed to identify and capitalise on market trends. Using historical price data, they may determine the direction and strength of market movements, helping traders to align themselves with the prevailing upward or downward trend. Indicators like the Average Directional Index or Parabolic SAR can assist in developing trend-following models. Mean Reversion Models Operating on the principle that prices eventually move back towards their mean or average, mean reversion systems look for overextended price movements in the forex market. Traders use mean reversion strategies to determine when a currency pair is likely to revert to its historical average. High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Models Involving the execution of a large number of orders at breakneck speeds, HFT models are used to capitalise on tiny price movements. They’re less about determining market direction and more about exploiting market inefficiencies at micro-level time frames. Sentiment Analysis Models These models analyse market sentiment data, such as news headlines, social media buzz, and economic reports, to gauge the market's mood. This information can be pivotal in defining short-term movements in the forex market, though this model is becoming increasingly popular for quantitative trading in crypto*. Machine Learning Models These systems continuously learn and adapt to new market data by incorporating AI and machine learning, identifying complex patterns and relationships that might elude traditional models. They are particularly adept at processing large volumes of data and making predictive analyses. Hypothesis-Based Models These models test specific hypotheses about market behaviour. For example, a theory might posit that certain economic indicators lead to predictable responses in currency markets. They’re then backtested and refined based on historical data to validate or refute the hypotheses. Each model offers a unique lens through which forex traders can analyse the market, offering diverse approaches to tackle the complexities of currency trading. Quantitative vs Algorithmic Trading While quant and algorithmic trading are often used interchangeably and do overlap, there are notable differences between the two approaches. Algorithmic Trading Focus: Emphasises automating processes, often using technical indicators for decision-making. Methodology: Relies on predefined rules based on historical data, often without the depth of quantitative analysis. Execution: Prioritises automated execution of trades, often at high speed. Application: Used widely for efficiency in executing repetitive, rule-based tasks. Quantitative Trading Focus: Utilises advanced mathematical and statistical models to determine market movements. Methodology: Involves complex computations and data analysis and often incorporates economic theories. Execution: May or may not automate trade execution; focuses on strategy formulation. Application: Common in risk management and strategic trade planning. Implementation and Challenges Implementing quantitative models in forex begins with the development of a robust strategy involving the selection of appropriate models and algorithms. This phase includes rigorous backtesting against historical data to validate their effectiveness. Following this, traders often engage in forward testing in live market conditions to evaluate real-world performance. Challenges in this realm are multifaceted. Key among them is the quality and relevance of the data used. Models can be rendered ineffective if based on inaccurate or outdated data. Overfitting remains a significant concern, where systems too closely tailored to historical data may fail to adapt to evolving market dynamics. Another challenge is the constant need to monitor and update models to keep pace with market changes, requiring a blend of technical expertise and market acumen. The Bottom Line In this deep dive into quantitative trading in forex, we've uncovered the potency of diverse models, each tailored to navigate the complex currency markets with precision. These strategies, rooted in data-driven analysis, may offer traders an edge in decision-making. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
ETH Pushed Back, Support in Sight ETH on the 4H just closed below the last daily close and the 0.5 Fib again, after getting pushed back from the 4H 200MA and daily 200MA resistance zone. The next key supports are the weekly 200MA and the local support zone. Also worth noting: Trump and Musk are stirring things up again. The last time this dynamic appeared, it triggered a selloff a few weeks ago, even before the conflict began. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
BYBIT:ETHUSD.PLong
by vagada