Tue 18th Mar 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Cryptotrading
1INCHUSDT: The Invisible Forces Driving Price Right Now - 1inch◳◱ Ever seen the Bollinger Band Breakout Super Trend on a chart? It's exciting to watch! With the price hovering around 0.2093, there's potential for a breakout above 0.2203 | 0.2433 | 0.2859. Support at 0.1777 | 0.1581 | 0.1155 provides confidence for bulls.
◰◲ General Information :
▣ Name: 1inch
▣ Rank: 199
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Huobipro, Gateio, Mexc, Hitbtc
▣ Category / Sector: Financial - Decentralized Exchanges
▣ Overview: The 1inch Network unites three separate decentralized protocols, aggregating liquidity from a variety of decentralized exchanges to facilitate cost-efficient transactions.
Its native token, the 1inch token (1INCH) serves two primary purposes: As a governance token granting voting rights towards the 1inch DAO and as a utility token, where it is used as a connector to achieve high-efficiency routing in the 1inch Liquidity Protocol. It will also be used in the tokenomics of all future protocols developed by the 1inch Network.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Current Price: 0.2093 ₮
▣ 24H Volume: 3,767,156.011 ₮
▣ 24H Change: 3.358%
▣ Weekly Change: 4.06%%
▣ Monthly Change: -21.88%%
▣ Quarterly Change: -56.72%%
◲◰ Pivot Points :
▣ Resistance Level: 0.2203 | 0.2433 | 0.2859
▣ Support Level: 0.1777 | 0.1581 | 0.1155
◱◳ Indicator Recommendations :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: BUY
◰◲ Summary of Technical Indicators : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30 Days: -3.94
▣ Last 90 Days: -4.16
▣ Last Year: -0.69
▣ Last 3 Years: -0.39
◲◰ Volatility Analysis :
▣ Last 30 Days: 0.79
▣ Last 90 Days: 0.78
▣ Last Year: 0.93
▣ Last 3 Years: 0.87
◳◰ Market Sentiment :
▣ News Sentiment: N/A
▣ Twitter Sentiment: 0.53 - Bullish
▣ Reddit Sentiment: 0.60 - Bullish
▣ In-depth BINANCE:1INCHUSDT analysis available at TradingView TA Page
▣ Your thoughts matter! What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights in the comments below. Your like, follow, and support are greatly valued and help sustain high-quality content.
◲ Disclaimer : Disclaimer
The content provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. Use of the information is solely at your own risk.
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DOGEUSD: This is why it can go to $2.00Dogecoin is bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 41.068, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 51.882) as it's trading under the 1W MA50. It did find however support on the 1W MA100 and that reminds us of the August-September bottoming period, which served as accumulation for the market, giving way to the post U.S. election rally. This chart shows DOGE's three Phases of Growth of the current Cycle. As the 1W MA100 holds, we have succesfully completed Phase 2 and have started Phase 3, which is technically the most bullish. The last Phase 3 topped a little over the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Phase 1 bottom. This implies that a $2.00 TP by the end of Q3 is a technically achievable price.
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BTCUSD: TSI shows that this is the LAST BEST BUYBitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.997, MACD = 3171.400, ADX = 55.280) as it found support on the 1W MA50 last 3 weeks and is trying to capitalize on this with a bullish reaction. The rebound is closer than ever and in our opinion based on the True Strength Index (TSI), this may be the last best buy opportunity of this Cycle before it tops. The 1W TSI is now on its long term Buy Zone, last time it was there was on the August 5th 2024 bottom.
The TSI basically marks bottoms and tops on the last 3 Cycles in particular. More specifically, it makes 5 tops in total, every time it approaches 1.00, it is a signal to sell and wait for it to approach -1.00. We are now as mentioned the closest we've been to -1.00 in 7 months and we came here from Top 4. The Cycle technically has one more Top (5) to give so practically the current levels are the last best buy opportunity of the Cycle.
From top-to-bottom, the 2014-2017 Cycle lasted 1470 days, the next one (2018-2021) 1430 days, so if there is a declining rate of 40 days on each passing Cycle, we can start expecting a new Cycle Top by September 2025. The price can be at least 130k be then.
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BTCUSDT Upside potentialThe BTC/USDT market is currently consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below February's low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has emerged, signaling ongoing sideways movement. At present, the price remains within this week's trading range.
From a broader perspective, price action appears to be narrowing, forming a falling wedge pattern. With the market consolidating just below the downward trendline, a potential breakout above this level could signal further upside momentum. If the price manages to close above last week's high, it could lead to the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern, reinforcing the possibility of an upward extension. The next key target lies at the resistance zone around 88,000
Is #XLM Setting Up for a Bull Trap Before a Major Drop?Yello, Paradisers! Is XLMUSD gearing up for a breakout, or is this just a classic liquidity grab before the next major dump? Let’s break it down.
💎Right now, #XLMUSDT is testing a minor resistance at $0.28464, a level where price has repeatedly struggled to push higher. While there is a possibility of a breakout, the presence of strong liquidity around the unmitigated supply zone at $0.31917 suggests that any move higher could be a trap before a significant drop. If price does manage to break above this resistance, traders should be cautious it’s likely just a liquidity grab before a larger move to the downside.
💎Once the price reaches the unmitigated supply zone, a rejection is expected, leading to a downward move toward the key support zone at $0.22699. This level has historically been a strong demand area where buyers could step in, potentially causing a temporary bounce or consolidation before any further downside.
💎As CRYPTOCAP:XLM moves lower, it’s crucial to watch volume activity. If the decline happens with high volume, it will confirm strong selling pressure and increase the likelihood of a deeper drop. However, if the price approaches $0.22699 with low volume, it could indicate a lack of seller conviction, leading to a short-term bounce before resuming the downtrend.
💎The EMA 200 continues to act as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook. As long as price fails to hold above $0.28464 or gets rejected from the supply zone, the bearish setup remains intact. In that case, a move toward $0.22699 and potentially even $0.19151 becomes highly probable. Watching volume reactions at these key levels will be essential to confirm the next move.
💎The only scenario that could invalidate this bearish setup is a strong close above $0.36172 with high volume. That would signal a potential shift in market structure and could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
Paradisers, patience and precision are key in this market. Let the levels guide you, trade strategically, and stay disciplined. Avoid emotional decisions this market punishes the impatient and rewards those who stay focused.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
BTCUSD: Phase 4 of Bull Cycle just started.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.562, MACD = -3343.000, ADX = 34.423) as it is making a big 1W comeback on this week's candle following a nearly perfect touch of the 1W MA50. Every test of the 1W MA50, as well as every test of the S1 1W RSI level, has been a straight buy opportunity inside the Bull Cycle's Channel Up since the very begining of the November 2022 bottom.
As first the price action was concentrated on the lower half of the Channel Up (green zone) but since February 2024 it has been primarily on the upper half (blue zone) as the rallies got more aggressive, with the only exceptions being the 1W MA50 tests such as the current one (green Arcs). Every bottom rebound has increased by at least +98.76%, so that gives us a peak estimate of TP = 150,000. An temprary high around 120k and pullback to 100-90k is a possible scenario based on all previous rallies/ Phases. Phase 4, which should technicall be the final of the Bull Cycle, has just started.
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ETHUSD: Cyclical Pivot can slingshot it to at least $6,000Ethereum is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.473, MACD = -206.770, ADX = 45.110) but this 1W candle is rebounding on the P1 trendline, which is the Pivot that started from the November 2021 ATH and already caused the a bounce on the August 5th 2024 contact. A similar P1 trendline was present during the 2018-2021 Cycle and its final contact was the March 2020 COVID crash, which kickstarted the insane rally. All similar rallies have hit at least the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and in some occasions the 2.0 Fib. Consequently we are confident enough to aim for at least the 1.5 Fib (TP = 6,000). Risk seekers can attempt a 9,000 test but more cautiously.
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Bitcoin Weekly LINEAR chart shows possible re run of 2021 2X ATHI was just looking at this Linear chart and spotted a couple of things.
So many people Use LOGARITHMIC charts.
In summery, A logarithmic chart is a graphical representation that uses a logarithmic scale, which differs from the conventional linear scale. In a logarithmic scale, the distance between values is not constant but increases by a factor, making it useful for datasets with a wide range of values. This approach helps in presenting numerical information more efficiently and allows for a better visualization of rates of change or percentages rather than absolute values.
A LINEAR chart however, shows you the REAL rate of change.
And on This Linear chart, I have noticed that PA is creating a very Similar Top to the MARCH ATH of 2021
I do not think we will follow it perfectly, as that drop in 2021 was over 50% and that would take us down to 52K, which I think is not a real possibility. But, being open to ALL possibilities, that trend line that was used by PA to bounce to the Nov ATH currently sits around 65K But the longer we wait, it heads higher, towards the 1 Fib ext around the Old 2021 ATH near 70K ( 69300)
Also note, how once PA had Dropped in March 2021, it levelled out and slide sideways for around 7 weeks.
So if we come over to Today, we have just dropped around 30% and seem to have found a Floor around 76K
We HAD to drop out of that Upper range box - It would have been December before we found support on the rising Trend line that has been the trigger for moves higher since 2023
And so, we have dropped to a Lower Range Box ( hopefully ) and this box hits the Rising trend line around June.
This has confluence with a number of other charts
And if we do range sideways, around this level, it is similar to that Range after the drop in 2021.
In 2021, after that range, PA rose by around 122%
I am not to sure we would see that but................
So now we wait to see if we stay in this range or not, with a top around 90K
We could See wicks out of this Range, down to the 70K mark maybe, with swift recovery.....
We may also see further Drop....
there is abcolutly NO guarentee that we will even head higher again.....
We have to wait and see and have plans and stick to them..for both BULl and BEAR
#VIRTUAL Ready For Another Leg Down Before Bullish Reversal Yello, Paradisers! Is #VIRTUAL gearing up for a full-blown collapse, or will the bulls fight back at critical support? Let’s break down #VirtualsProtocol:
💎#VIRTUALUSDT has already broken below the falling wedge, confirming that sellers remain in full control. The breakdown from this pattern signals that the expected bullish reversal has failed, and the trend remains decisively bearish. The price action is also clear—momentum is heavily bearish, and unless something shifts fast, we could see much lower levels ahead.
💎The previous major support zone at $0.60 - $0.65 has flipped into resistance, making it a crucial level to watch. Any short-term bounce into this area is likely to face strong selling pressure from sellers of #VIRTUALUSD. Only a break above $0.935 would invalidate this bearish outlook and signal a shift in momentum.
💎If the rejection plays out, the next downside target sits at $0.40, with a high probability of further decline toward the major support zone at $0.31 - $0.07. This is where buyers must step in—otherwise, a much deeper drop could follow.
💎RSI remains weak, and volume is declining, confirming the lack of strong buying interest. As long as this continues, the bearish pressure is likely to persist.
The market rewards discipline and patience—trade smart, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
ATOMUSDT Nearing a Breakdown – More Pain Ahead?Yello, Paradisers! Is ATOMUSD gearing up for a deeper decline, or can the bulls pull off a breakout reversal? The latest price action suggests a major move is coming let’s break it down.
💎#ATOMUSDT remains in a strong downtrend, repeatedly rejecting from the key resistance trendline and the 200 EMA. The latest attempt to break above the supply zone $4.445 was firmly rejected, reinforcing bearish control. Sellers continue to dominate, keeping the price below the $4.445 supply zone, making ATOM vulnerable to further downside. Until this level is reclaimed, the trend remains bearish.
💎The next key downside target is the $3.740 support zone, where a temporary relief bounce could occur. However, if selling pressure persists, ATOM could drop further toward the $3.482 major support, a historically strong buying area.
💎For the bulls to regain control, #ATOM must break above $4.445 and push beyond the 200 EMA near $4.80. However, a true trend reversal will only be confirmed if ATOM closes above $5.90, invalidating the bearish setup.
Stay patient, Paradisers! The market rewards discipline. If we see confirmation, we take action. If not, we wait. Trade smart, not fast!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
Reasons for and against a Push higher by Bitcoin SOON sin November 2022, PA has almost become predictable.
Running on a Pattern of Steps and Always paying attnetion to the Weekly MACD
I have posted in detail about the weekly MACD in other posts so I will not expain much now but here is the chart again, It explains itself really.
We are, once again, Waiting for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral, were we hope it will bounce again. BUT, as you can see, a 3rd bounce would be unusual but , on this occasion, Highly probable
On the main chart, we can see that PA began running on a Rising trendline and, after ranging for a while, it bounced off it in Mid October 2023. It has Never returned to that line.
PA began Ranging again in March 2024. Note that date on the MACD chart. MACD Peaked and began turning Bearish and fell till it hit neutral in Sep.
At that same moment, in Sep 2024, PA bumped into the 50 week SMA ( RED) and bounced up to a New ATH in Dec 2024
So, we had 2 bounces after ranges, seemingly unconnected - until you look at the day count of each range.
1st -April 2023 to Sep 2023 - 196 days
2nd - March 2024 to Sep 2024 - 189 days
Now also note the Double Tops and then the retrace on Both those Range dates AND on the current Range
And so NOW, Currently, we are in a Range, again, MACD Peaked High and is falling Bearish
But this Range began in DECEMBER 2024
So why do we have a possibility of a push higher soon ?
Look where that RED 50 week SMA is - Just below PA.
Could PA Bounce of it if we bump into it ?
We have come VERY Close in recent days. The 50 is around 75500 - PA got to 76500
If PA touches it, I am sure we will bounce Higher
And so This leads us to why we may NOT bounce soon
I think the Bulls are trying to keep PA off the 50 till MACD is reset. If true, that 50 will level out.
PA will have to touch it BEFORE it begins to fall or PA will have to drop below 70K to reach it.
And THIS Leads us to what I think could Very well happen
IF PA were to have a bounce higher soon , maybe to Top of Range, around 109 ( but probably Lower) this would give PA room to drop back to Bottom of Range while MACD continues to Fall. A Quick push up , say over 10 days, would hardly effect the MACD reset but gives PA room to move without loosing to much more value, Keeping Market CAP stable and Sentiment happy
MACD is expected to reach neutral, at current rate of descent, around May / June.
And Look..that happens to be around 189 days since range began. The same approx day count as the previous 2 ranges this cycle.
We may see a drop lower this month, nothing is for sure but if we fall below that 50 SMA, I will be changing my Bullish Tune and Screaming CAUTION
All to play for in the next few months
BTCUSD: Last 1W MA50 rebound to the top of the CycleBitcoin remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.004, MACD = -3484.800, ADX = 36.461) but today we see the first recovery attempt. The technical reasoning behind it is that the market is testing its 1W MA50 and in due time it will price the new HL of the Bull Cycle and form the bottom that will hold for the rest of the year until the cycle's very top. This is no different than the last two Cycles, the 1W RSI is even rebounding on its S1 level. Based on that pattern we are looking at a potential Cycle peak between 150k - 200k.
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ZILUSDT at a Breaking Point: Deeper Drop or a Surprise Reversal?Yello! Is ZILUSDT about to sink further, or are the bulls preparing for a comeback? The price action is flashing critical signals, and a major move is brewing traders, stay sharp.
💎#Zilliqa remains under heavy bearish pressure, struggling to reclaim the key $0.01503 resistance level. The price is trading below both the 50 and 200 EMAs, reinforcing the downtrend and showing that sellers are still in control. If GETTEX:ZIL fails to hold above the current trendline, it will likely retest $0.01278, where a rejection could send it lower. Until $0.01503 is reclaimed and sustained, the risk of further downside remains high.
💎The next major support sits at $0.01032, where a temporary bounce could occur. This is a crucial level, as it marks a strong historical support zone. However, if selling pressure persists, ZIL could drop further to $0.00879, a key accumulation area where bulls might step in—or where the bearish trend could deepen even further.
💎For the bulls to regain control, it must reclaim $0.01503 and break past the supply zone. A sustained push beyond this level, backed by strong buying momentum, could hint at the start of a trend reversal. However, a true shift in momentum will only be confirmed if ZIL closes above $0.01503, reclaims the 200 EMA, and invalidates the current bearish setup.
Patience is everything, traders. The biggest profits come from waiting for confirmation, not chasing every small move. Play it smart and stay disciplined only the prepared will win in the long run.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
Heiken Ashi Bitcoin chart shows us near Bottom of Range I have posted this chart before so this is an UPDATE
As we can see, PA has come down and now bumped into the rising line of long term support and at the expected % of drop ( -24 )
Does this mean that PA will bounce ?
NO but it does have a higher chance of doing so as the lower Timef rames are now oversold.
The weekly MACD is still falling Bearish and has a few more weeks to go before reaching Neutral.
The Lower Oversold time frames should give PA the energy to rise off this trend line and aim towards Range high
However, as we saw in 2023, PA can drop below and so we need to remain cautious and watch PA closely.
Tomorrow , March 12, we have the USA inflation data being released and this will most likely act as a catalyst to a move in either direction, depending on the data
So, Hang on , Be optimistic while being cautious.. Bitcoin is at a turning point....We are just notto sure in which direction.
HBARUSD: Can it reach $1.00 by the end of the year?Hedera is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.045, MACD = -0.011, ADX = 33.721) as it had a strong 1D MA50 rejection and approached its 1D MA200 seeking support. If it holds, the Channel Down of the past 3 months will turn out to be a Bull Flag that will greadually push the price to the HH trendline for the Cycle's Top. We believe that could be at $1.00 by the end of 2025.
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TIA Trade Setup: Potential Double Bottom FormationWith seller exhaustion possibly setting in, TIA is shaping up for a double bottom formation. If price deviates from launch levels and confirms a market structure shift, we could see a strong upside move.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $4.00
Take Profit Targets:
$5.50 (First TP - Key Resistance Zone)
$7.10 (Second TP - Breakout Level)
$9.00 (Third TP - Full Expansion Target)
Stop Loss: Below $3.00
Keeping an eye on volume confirmation and resistance reclaim before full conviction. 🚀
Bitcoin Perfect bounce off the 2;272 Fib - we need to stay above
Bitcoin retraced down to 76573 usd and this is just below the 2.272 fib extension line at 78930.
Previously, PA had dropped to this area at 78187 on 28 Feb
We can slao see how on 9th Nov 2024, PA has found this line ot be resistance but managed to break through, leading to the cueent ATH
This is why we really do not want to loose this area as support and I believe th ebulls will try and keep it best they can
However, the Bears are out in Force in many forms.
To aid the Bulls, we have Pa oversold in many time frames on RSI and MACD
This could give support while we continue to wait for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral
We have a few more weeks to wait and so the question is, can the Bulls hold up ?
For me, now we have hit what I hope is the Bottom rung of the ladder in this Range, we now Bounce up higher - But this will not h appen untill tomorrow maybe, which is when we get the USA inflation data, pointing towards interest rate decisions.
Which I believe will not get cut anymore this year...But that is OK - it is stable.
But we have to wait and see how PA reacts.
Be on huiard and Cautious.
VETUSDT on the Edge – Is a Major Breakdown Coming?Yello! Is VETUSDT on the verge of a bigger drop, or could a reversal be in play? The price action is signaling a critical moment, and traders need to stay sharp. A major move is brewing let’s analyze the setup.
💎#VETUSD remains under strong bearish pressure, repeatedly rejecting from the descending trendline and key supply zone. Price is also trading below the 200 EMA, reinforcing the bearish momentum and signaling that sellers remain in control. Until VET reclaims $0.02695, the risk of further downside remains high.
💎The next major support level to watch is $0.02117, where a temporary bounce could occur. However, if selling pressure continues, VET is likely to push lower toward $0.01906, a historically strong accumulation zone. This level will be crucial either it holds as a buying opportunity, or we see deeper downside continuation.
💎For the bulls to regain control, it must reclaim $0.02695 and break past the supply zone. A sustained push beyond $0.025, combined with strong buying momentum, could indicate the start of a recovery. However, a true trend reversal will only be confirmed if NYSE:VET closes above $0.02695 and reclaims the 200 EMA, invalidating the bearish setup and signaling bullish strength.
Patience is key, Paradisers. The market rewards those who wait for confirmation instead of chasing every move.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
Double Top Breakdown & Key Support Level📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update – Double Top Breakdown & Key Support Level
Welcome to today’s analysis! Let’s break down the Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) chart, focusing on the double top pattern and key levels.
⸻
🌐 Overview: Double Top Formation & Breakdown
📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed a double top pattern and has broken the neckline (yellow level).
🔄 Current Scenario:
• The double top pattern suggests a bearish move, with a projected target at the green support level.
• The green support zone aligns with the previous ATH from the last bull run, making it a key area for potential price stabilization.
• If buyers step in at this support, we could see a bounce and possible bullish reversal.
⸻
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟡 Neckline (Broken Support): Confirmed breakdown, acting as new resistance.
🟢 Support Zone: Green Level (Previous ATH, potential stabilization area).
⸻
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Support Holds & Price Bounces Up)
• If CRYPTOCAP:BTC stabilizes at the green support, buyers may step in, leading to a potential recovery move.
• Confirmation of bullish strength could come from a higher low formation at this level.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Break Below Green Support)
• If CRYPTOCAP:BTC fails to hold the green support zone, further downside could occur, potentially testing lower support areas.
• A confirmed breakdown below this level would signal continued bearish momentum.
⸻
📌 Conclusion
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken the neckline of a double top pattern, and its projected target aligns with the green support zone (previous ATH level). This area is critical for potential price stabilization—if buyers defend it, we could see a rebound and bullish continuation. However, if it breaks down, further losses may follow.
XRPUSD: 3 months of pain before next rally?XRPUSD turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.468, MACD = -0.103, ADX = 44.297) as it has essentially lost almost all of February gains. This is a sign of strong weakness on the short term but on the long run and the bigger picture on the 1W timeframe, it looks more like a typical consolidation phase during a Bull Cycle. More specifically, based also on the 1W RSI fractal, it looks like the June-November 2017 consolidation before the final peak at the end of the year, which was on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. We expect a maximum of 3 more months of pain, but these levels are already an excellent buy opportunity as it is. Long, TP = 10.000.
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