AVAX Breakdown Incoming? Key Levels to Watch Now!Yello, Paradisers! Is AVAXUSDT about to take another dive, or are the bulls finally ready to step in? Let’s break it down!
💎#AVAXUSDT remains firmly in a downtrend, struggling to gain bullish momentum while continuously rejecting key supply zones. Recently, the price tapped into the imbalance zone around $21.5, but sellers smacked it right back down a clear sign that bears are still in control.
💎Adding to the bearish case, a descending trendline and moving averages are acting as resistance, keeping price action suppressed. The structure continues to form lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing downside momentum.
💎If Avalanche retests the $22.5 supply zone and faces rejection, another leg down toward $18.956 is likely, with the next major support sitting at $17.523. Right now, if the price closes below the 50 EMA, there’s a strong probability it will directly target our projected support levels. A failure to attract strong buying interest at these levels would confirm further downside continuation.
💎However, if AVAX manages to break through the $22.5 supply zone, our focus shifts to the next major resistance at $24.136. A breakout above this level with strong volume could invalidate the bearish setup, potentially pushing price toward $24 - $25. A confirmed move past $24.136 would shift momentum bullish, opening the door for a rally toward $26 and beyond.
Stay sharp, Paradisers! The market rewards patience and discipline. If we get confirmation, we act. If not, we wait. Trade smart, not fast! 🎖
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
Cryptotrading
DXY (Dollar Index) and Pamp/Dump BTC. Markets Cycles.USA Dollar Index + Bitcoin Pamp/Dump Cycles. Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Minima and maxima of bitcoin secondary trends are shown. Everything is detailed and shown, including what everyone always wants to know. Cyclicality. Accuracy.
This is what it looks like on a line chart to illustrate simple things.
LINKUSD: forming a bottom on the 1W MA100.Chainlink is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.039, MACD = -1.130, ADX = 24.859) as it posted a double rebound on its 1W MA100. The long term pattern is a Channel Up and its prior HL bottom was formed just under the 1W MA100. With the 1W RSI rebounding though from oversold levels, LINK is already a great buy opportunity in terms of Risk-Reward, even if the bottom takes the whole month of March to be completed. We expect a new bullish wave to take place around the same +300% range as the previous two. The trade is long, TP = 45.00.
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Bitcoin Outlook for the weekend is Bullish with Top within range
This will be a slight adjustment to what I said yesterday about how I thought Bitcoin wold stay within a Range with a top at 91K
Looking at the now Ascending triangle, we may brake back up into the previous range Box with a top around 108K - PA certainly has the strength to
This could be helkped by the Droping $ that has a mearsered move down to as low as 100 again
You See the rising line of suppor tthere....That could be the target.
Big things happening in Bitcoin and Crypto worlds now. Expect a Volatile time with some Big winners but understand, Bitcoin does appear to have left the traditional Crypto market - is this a good thing ?
Time will tell
BTCUSD: Bottom formed. Road to $150k started.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.811, MACD = -265.000, ADX = 36.155) as it recovered some losses from last week. The most important outcome is that both last week and so far the current one, the 1W candle entered the long term Support Zone comprised of the 1W MA25/MA50 and rebounded over it. This is the Zone that has produced all HL bottoms of the 2 year Channel Up. As the 1W RSI is also about to enter its multiyear Buy Zone, we expect the bottom to be formed within 4-6 weeks max and then start the standard +97.97% rally it printed on all three prior bullish waves. The trade is long, TP = 150,000.
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DOTUSDT at a Make-or-Break Level – Big Move Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is DOTUSDT on the verge of a breakout, or will the bears crush the momentum? Read on this is a critical moment!
💎#DOTUSDT is showing strong bullish momentum, bouncing off the demand zone above $4.582, signaling that buyers are stepping in and defending key levels. The market structure remains favorable for the bulls, but a crucial test is ahead.
💎The price is trading above both the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, which is a strong indication that the uptrend is intact. Volume is increasing near demand zones, suggesting that buyers are actively supporting the price. This reinforces the strength of the trend, with green candles showing a strong buying push and minimal wicks, indicating low selling pressure.
💎If POLKADOT successfully breaks and holds above $5.00 with strong volume, the next upside target is $5.30, a major resistance zone. A decisive breakout here could open the door for an even stronger rally. However, if DOT fails to break $5.00 and retraces, the lower demand zone at $4.465 will be a key area to watch for a potential bullish rebound. A close below $4.215 would invalidate the bullish setup and shift momentum in favor of the bears.
Patience is key, Paradisers! If we see a confirmed breakout, we act. If not, we wait. Discipline is what separates traders from gamblers. Stay sharp and trade smart! 🎖
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
BTCUSD – Head & Shoulders Confirmed?In my previous analysis ( ), I outlined a potential Head & Shoulders formation that could lead to a bearish move. So far, price action has followed this structure accurately.
Key Developments:
✅ The right shoulder seems to be forming as expected.
✅ Price grabbed liquidity above $92,500 before reacting downward.
✅ A double top has formed, adding further bearish confluence.
What’s Next?
If the market respects this pattern, a break below the neckline could confirm a continuation lower, with a potential target at $59,117 , aligning with the full Head & Shoulders projection.
Conclusion:
So far, this setup is playing out perfectly. If bearish pressure continues, we could see a deeper decline. However, a sustained move above $95,150 would invalidate this scenario.
🔔 Do you see BTC following this path, or do you expect a bullish surprise? Drop your thoughts below!
Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility.
An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key.
The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale.
Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance.
The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension
See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines.
The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way.
And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding.
Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG
It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension
That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support.
See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall.
To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st )
The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet.
And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K
Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600
I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K
Lets see if this works out
SUIUSD: 1W MA50 holding. Excellent long term buy opportunity.SUI is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.481, MACD = -0.255, ADX = 17.753) as it is on a decline since the early January top. This is technically the bearish wave of the cyclical Channel Up and the Jan top was its HH. This is so far a -58% decline that almost tested the 1W MA50. This is same kind of decline after the previous HH of late March 2024. The July break under the Channel Up was a market overreaction but now since we are in the final year of the Bull Cycle, it is very unlikely to see another one. Quite possibly, as long as the 1W MA50 holds, it is more probable to gradually initiate the 3rd bullish wave of the Channel Up. Aim for a similar +500% rise, TP = 12.000.
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BTCUSD: Historic comparison shows hyper rally about to begin.Bitcoin turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.581, MACD = 979.600, ADX = 19.348) as it recovered last week's selloff and rebounded on its 1D MA200. Technically the pattern since 2024 is identical to 2020 as you can see on the chart above. The moment Bitcoin crossed again above its 1D MA50, a new hyper rally started. This suggests that a final target inside the 160,000 - 200,000 Zone is quite possible to take place.
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$DOGE Market Update📊 $DOGE/USDT Market Update
Welcome to today's analysis! Let’s break down the current price action on CRYPTOCAP:DOGE and its potential movement.
🌐 Overview: CRYPTOCAP:DOGE Testing Key Resistance & Double Bottom Formation
📉 CRYPTOCAP:DOGE was in a downtrend, but now it's showing signs of potential reversal, as price has formed a double bottom pattern.
🔄 Current Scenario:
CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is testing the red resistance zone, which is a critical level that needs to be broken for further bullish confirmation.
If DOGE successfully breaks out, the target will be the blue line level, which was the previous lower low (LL).
However, if the price gets rejected, we could see another pullback before another breakout attempt.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance Zone: Red Level (Needs breakout for bullish continuation)
🔵 Target Level: Blue Line (If breakout is successful, price may reach previous LL)
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Red Resistance & Double Bottom Confirmation)
If CRYPTOCAP:DOGE breaks and holds above the red resistance zone, this would confirm bullish momentum, with a potential move to the blue target level.
The double bottom pattern would also signal a strong reversal if confirmed.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance)
If CRYPTOCAP:DOGE fails to break out, the price may pull back, potentially forming a higher low before another breakout attempt.
📌 Conclusion
CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is at a critical resistance zone, testing a double bottom breakout level. A successful breakout would confirm bullish momentum, targeting the blue line level. However, a rejection may lead to a pullback before another attempt.
POPCATUSDT is setting up for a potential long opportunity!
🚀 The price BINANCE:POPCATUSDT.P is testing a critical support level at 0.2056 USDT , and if bulls hold, we could see a strong upward push.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support:
- 0.2056 USDT – Key support, maintaining the trend.
- 0.2010 USDT – Deep liquidity zone for potential wicks.
Resistance:
- 0.2200 USDT – Short-term target for scalpers.
- 0.2774 USDT – Major resistance; breaking above could trigger a rally.
🚀 Trading Strategy:
Long Entry: On a clear bounce from 0.2056 USDT with volume confirmation.
Stop-Loss: Below 0.2010 USDT to avoid liquidity grabs.
Profit Targets:
- 0.2200 USDT – First take-profit for quick gains.
- 0.2500 USDT – Solid mid-term target.
- 0.2774 USDT – Full extension if momentum builds.
📊 Technical Outlook:
- The trend remains bullish as long as support holds.
- Increased volume at support suggests whale accumulation.
- A break below 0.2010 USDT may invalidate the bullish setup.
💡 What to Watch?
- Volume spikes = strong bullish interest.
- Retest of support with a strong bounce = long entry signal.
- Manage risk and avoid FOMO!
Bitcoin Weekly chart shows PA under pressure - Key support Lost
This is my most trusted chart that I have begun sharing on Trading View.
And as you can see, the weekend was Not good for PA as we fell off that Long Term support.
In many ways, that is not surprising really. Weekly MACD has a Long way to fall before Neutral, as you can see in the chart below
I am hoping that PA is aiming for at least the Neutral line before going higher for a new Cycle ATH.
As you can see, at current Rate of descent, it is Mid May to Early June before we get there.
The shorter term problem we now face is simply that PA fell below that support and despite a great rally to recover from the Dip down to fill that CME GAP I have talked about ( which did not get fully filled). We got rejected off that line of support we once had ( See chart below )
This is the Daily version of the same chart above and you can see, rejection was bang on that line.
And so you understand, that Rally, Jump higher over the weekend, opened up a Bigger CME Gap . ( I posted about this Earlier today)
And, as you can see, we have 3 lines of Major support below.
This starts with a rising long Term support at around 74K ( origins in 2017 )
Then we have the 2 fib Extension at 68242. Remember, the Roof we had since Dec was the 2.618
Then we hit 63K if those listed above fail.
For me, A worst case scenario will be that 2 Fib extension and so, I have once again placed Spot Buy orders around 70K
What a superb buying opportunity when you think about the possibility of a Cycle ATH in Q4 of around 250K MINIMUM !
So, in summery, I am holding with the idea of that RED March I mentioned in previous posts and small Green April / May but Green Rockets from June onwards, depending, of course, on Macro events and so many other things........This is just an idea..NOT FACT.
So, do not loose heart, Bitcoin is FINE.
We just seem to need "Thoughts and Prayers" for all those ALTS
Mr Trump does seem to be trying to kick start ALT season...But the real world Liquidity for his Cryprto ideals are .....questionable......
Unless....................
Mon 3rd Mar 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture
Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO.
Losing Ground on This Count
A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈
🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯
🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡
What Comes Next?
If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there.
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
#QNT Ready For Bullish Rally Despite Bearish Market Sentiment Yello, Paradisers! Is #QNTUSDT About to Break Out, or Will Bears Keep It Trapped? Let's check the latest setup of #Quant and see what might happen next:
💎#QNT has been trapped inside this wedge for months, making lower highs and lower lows. #QNTUSD is showing signs of a potential breakout, but there’s one key resistance level above that could decide everything.
💎Bulls need to break above $115, which has been a major rejection point. A clean breakout here could trigger a rally towards $140-$160, where the next strong resistance zone is waiting. The MACD is showing higher highs while price made lower lows, a classic bullish divergence. This signals that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
💎Strong support is around $80-$85, where buyers have stepped in multiple times. Losing this level would lead to a drop to $61-$55, the next major support zone. The Bulls have defended both of these levels before, so they will probably do so this time, too.
💎However, if the bears drag the price below the $55-$61 support level, the bullish setup will be invalidated. In such a case, the bears will drag the price to down levels further.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers🥂
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Long Entry Signal for SUNDOG/USDT Based on the daily chart for SUNDOGUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Exception: There is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you !