3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Is Going DownAs an intro I'd like to remind everyone that we are in a bear market. I see many people claiming we are in a bull market, but it's not true. We are trading below the 200 Daily moving average and the 50 DMA is below the 200 DMA, so technically we are officially still in a bear market. Also, we have not made any higher high.
I'd like to give you 3 reasons why this could have been a bear market rally and we are just continuing going down the stairs on the way of making a lower low:
1. If you look at the last week of July in 2018 we had the same bear market rally which ended by a rejection of the 200 Daily Moving Average around the price of 8.6k and we kept going down until we bottomed at 3.2k. (It took us ~230 days to get there)
2. The CryptoVN_Trend gave us a second sell signal on the daily chart which always leads to the price going down
3. If you look at Heikin Ashi candles the last daily candle was a doji candle with long wicks on each side - this is a trend reversal candle, so we can expect at the minimum a few days of red candles.
We do however see a ton of bullish signs as well, but right now I believe we will see a minimum of 8.2k, likely at least 7.5k ... but don't be surprised if 1-2 months from now we are in the 6k region again.
Cryptovn
Trading with the Volume ProfileThe Volume Profile is a fantastic tool to analyze price spots of high and low volume where you could potentially put your entry/exit orders.
You need a paid account to use Volume Profile ^^!
VP Term Definitions:
High volume node (HVN). Point in volume profile where there is significantly higher volume than average.
Low volume node (LVN). Point in volume profile where there is significantly lower volume than average.
Value Area (VA): Where 70% of the volume is located in the volume profile. Determined from surrounding nodes of POC.
[*Point of control (POC). Highest volume node on the volume profile. Useful for using as support/resistance and an important retest point.
VP Strategy Rules:
- If price is consolidating:
- Value area will be located in the middle of the Volume Profile
- Price will bounce between HVN's and LVN's
- If price is trending upward:
- Value area will be located on the bottom of the Volume Profile
- Price will likely retrace to Value Area High
- If price is trending downward:
- Value area will be located on the top of the Volume Profile
- Price will likely retrace to the Value Area Low
BTCUSDT today March 28, 2018.Look like BTC will be slideway today.
BTC Still Managed to Follow The Trend Line Support 7800-7900, if BTC blood does not spill and we bounce back, we can safely go into LONG
But its BTC no-one can Predict it Perfectly.
So, next support can be:
7500
7300
If BTC Breaks Trend Line Support which is Roughly at 7600 Zone Then BTC will Go into Danger Zone and Might Test out 7K-6K Support
Then That Would be Really Bad for Both BTC and ALTS Market.
Trade today:
Buy limit: 7k6 ~ 7k5. Take profit 8k2-8k3.
Stop-loss < 7k2
Buy back: 6k8 - 6k7
Good luck ^^!