📊 Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)📍 CVD describes the number of contracts bought at the offer minus those sold at the bid. It simply measures the "aggressiveness" of buyers versus sellers. If the sellers are aggressive, they place limit orders instead of market selling and vice versa. CVD is the easiest method to use delta in your trading.
🔹UPTREND EXHAUSTION
Price is making new highs but CVD isn't. This shows a lack of interest coming from aggressive buyers who would be needed to continue the price increase. We can expect a short term reversal to the downside.
🔷UPTREND ABSORPTION
CVD is making new highs but price isn't. This shows that there is a lot of activity from aggressive buyers trying to push the price higher but their market buy orders are getting absorbed by limit sell orders.
🔷DOWNTREND EXHAUSTION
Price is making new lows but CVD isn't. This shows a lack of interest coming from aggressive sellers who would be needed to continue the price decrease. We can expect a short term reversal to the upside.
🔷DOWNTREND ABSORPTION
CVD is making new lows but price isn't. This shows that there is a lot of activity from aggressive sellers trying to push the price lower but their market sell orders are getting absorbed by limit buy orders.
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Cumulativedelta
BTC: Still a Bear's MarketIn the current price range and liquidity zones, we see significant selling pressure (bears in control), with not-so-significant buying pressure (bulls not interested in holding longs).
This can be ascertained by the cumulative delta at three points in time when the price was at the current level, creating pivot points for reference:
June 15-23
Aug 31-Sep 7
Sep 22-27
Note the rejection of buyer interest at each of these pivot points, indicating that the price should move to a lower zone of liquidity.
Two confluences that would indicate bulls are controlling the market would be (1) Cumulative delta consolidating ABOVE the highest pivot point, AND, (2) the price is trading above the highest long-term pivot point (purple).
We also see bearish divergence in the RSI while the price has been trading in the current range.
An increase in price without the cumulative delta breaking the highest pivot point is a strong indicator of a bull trap to knock out long positions (possible warning zone) before moving into liquidity below the current zone, namely $16.5-$17.2k
We are currently trading roughly in the middle of the current range, between major liquidity levels. This, along with increased volume usually indicates a move to one end of the range is in the works.
SUMMARY
Recent RSI bearish divergence coinciding with strong rejection of cumulative delta (CD) pivot points at major liquidity zones. Possible bull trap incoming if CD remains in downtrend against price.
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