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CUP

We saw a slight bounce but there's a chance of an inverted c&hShown hear is the potential cup of the inverted cup and handle play very close attention to price action and whether or not it dips below this neckline. To trigger an inverted cup and handle here could dip us to 3.6k-4k so I'm hoping this doesn't happen but after the last inverted cup and handle we broke down from its wise to at least be prepares and keep an eye on whether or not this pattern plays out...hopefully we go upward instead 3k is not something this market needs.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
Amlook at the weekly chart.We can see last after being knocked down by the 50ma on the 1 week chart that last week's candle has closed back inside the descending triangle pattern invalidating the previous week's breakout...we also seem to have formed a nice handle for a 1 week chart cup and handle pattern however we don't want the handle to dip much lower than it already has or we will be less and less likely to trigger a cup and handle. Look for this week's candle to maintain the 1 day chart's 50ma as support. If it can then we should hopefully be able to break right back upwards out of the descending triangle pattern and hopefully maintain the breakout this next time. If we fall under the 1 day 50ma and it flips to resistance we could prolong our fall to 6.5k or even 6-6.1k but I'm trying to remain optimistic for now.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Correction continues; potential C&H + 3 possible support zones3 lines of potential support for this fall I'm seeing our number 1 at 7413 which is top trendline of the big descending triangle pattern / adam and eve neckline we broke up from # 2 is the 4hr 200ma at 7060-7080 #3 is the 1 day charts 50ma at $6853..to have a chance at forming a higher low on the day chart, triggering the current cup and handle unfolding and the 1 day golden cross one of these will likely have to remain support. If we can remain above the 1 day 50 MA then this will just be a correction that will inevitably resume the uptrend and the golden cross should occur hopefully sooner than originally planned, coupled with some positive ETF news to help us break out of this handle, break above the neckline and potentially trigger the cup!however a few closes under the 1 day 50ma and then we could be looking at an impending lower low on the 1 day chart. In the short term I'm short...but long in the longterm. Good luck and thnaks for reading! **not financial advice**.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DrDovetail
BTC may be forming a cup and handle.Just my opinion, but with both the 4hr charts rsi and stochrsi well exhausted and well into the overbought zone and the 1 day chart's indicators now just reaching overbought conditions, I don't think we will be able to sustain an immediate breakout of the inverted head and shoulder pattern and a small correction is due to reset these indicator levels before a breakout can be sustained. at the same time we would like to see the price reach $6850 or so before any type of correction or retracement to establish a higher high on the 1 day chart and keep the ball in the bulls court. We can also see a very cup like price pattern has formed on this right shoulder. Also keep in mind that cme futures are set to expire on July 27th. All things considered my guess is that one of the 4hr candles that occur today will hit the $6850 region to complete the rimline of this cup pattern and then for the next 10 days or so we will see it form a handle until those futures expire at which point we will break above the cups rimline, the neckline of the inverse head and shoulder and the symmetrical triangle pattern we are in. Perhaps it will be Q3 which is the bullish one this year.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
We broke below the rimline of an inverted cup and handle.Something to be aware of. I have mentioned a potential inverted cup and handle awhile back maybe 3-5 ideas back...well with the latest drops we broke under that inv c&h's rimline which triggered a steeper fall. This is an incredibly deep cup and if it were to reach 100% of its projected target it could send us all the way to 4-.4.1k We have seen many normal cup and handles recently that have not reached 100% of their target however but we have also seen ones for example tron who have far exceeded their breakout target. So it's very much worth being aware of. At the same time there is a slight chance we could see a triple bottom form with February and April's lows and go skyrocketing back upward...or even just a double bottom with April's low. Definitely a difficult time to decide to be bull or bear...so in these instances it's best to follow the higher high/higher low principle as well as the lower low/lower high. By going by that principle alone it's not the wisest to enter right now...If you are hoping to potentially catch the double or triple bottom it may not be a bad idea to enter with a tight stop loss though. However it's best if you make your own decisions because this is not meant to be taken as financial advice. Good luck in whatever you choose and may the probabilities be on your side.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
3
I haven't given up on the Adam and Eve Double BottomI know I have been focusing on other chart patterns recently while we are still inside the handle of Eve's Cup but I wanted to post this as a reminder that the A&E Double Bottom is still very much valid and I haven't thrown in the towel on it despite us dipping all the way down to $7090. As long as we see a nice bull run in the coming weeks I still firmly believe we can trigger the double bottom. Here is what it currently looks like on the 1 day chart. I also have a feeling like many of the cup and handle patterns I saw in April that the double bottom is actually the deepest part of a larger cup and handle as well. Time will certainly tell if that is indeed a valid fractal or not.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
2
looking to form a higher low..potential h&s in playThe recent dip back to the 4hour 50ma has us looking for a bounce and hopefully forming another higher low to continue the series of higher lows/higher highs. However, it sent a bear wick under the 50ma before bouncing back upward and that wick dropped down to the exact level it would need to complete the head of a new potential head and shoulder pattern. Because of this it is imperative that on the next leg up we form another higher high otherwise the odds of forming the right shoulder of this potential head and shoulder pattern will be of a very high probability. Furthermore if we were to trigger that head and shoulder pattern there is a much larger inverted cup and handle pattern that could potentially be triggered shortly afterwards. Seeing a higher high after this higher low forms is very important, and if not at least an additional higher low or 2 until we reach that higher high. Hopefully this is what occurs...the inverted head and shoulder pattern we just broke above failed to reach its target breakout though so maybe the same would be true with a regular head and shoulder pattern as well. Stay cautious and vigilant and prepared for either outcome and you should be fine. I'm still optimistic of a bull run, but ready for the opposite.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
4