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Cup And Handle

Silver a win-winMy positioning Anyone who's been following me for a while knows I've been quite bullish on silver for the past few years. In fact, I initiated my AMEX:SLV position in early 2021 when it was in the low 20's and then in late 2022 I rotated almost 50% of that position into AMEX:SILJ when it was right around $8. It was mostly dumb luck but I nearly bottom ticked that market and bought within an hour or so of what's become a multi-year low. I've continued to hold these two core long term positions, while also trading around the core positions when short term setups present themselves. The win-win Before I get into the chart technicals I want to get into the fundamentals that I think make silver a win-win in the long term. I typically don't use fundamentals when I trade but I don't consider this a typical in-and-out trade. This is more of a long-term hold based on my own fundamental thesis and supported by chart technicals. The crux of my win-win thesis is that silver will outperform in both a bullish economic outcome and a bearish economic outcome. In the bullish economic scenario, the already voracious global silver demand will continue to increase as solar, AI and EV demand continues to grow. The question at this point isn't if, but how fast. The rate at which silver is being consumed could outstrip production by as much as 200moz by the end of this decade. While I expect scrap and new mining to somewhat fill that gap, it will eventually create a vacuum that only an increase in price will resolve. In the bearish scenario the globe slips into a severe recession. This would cause industrial use of silver to plummet but safe haven demand for silver to explode. While the demand in the bullish scenario is more gradual, the demand in the bearish silver is explosive and would likely lead to a hockey stick price move. The most bearish scenario for silver is that the globe goes into a mild recession, where demand for silver drops materially but the large safe haven demand doesn't materialize as it would in a severe recession. In this case silver may tread water and bounce around in range. The technicals The silver chart makes just as compelling of a case as the fundamentals. Silver has what Peter Brandt has affectionately referred to as "the mother of all cup and handles". While the 45 year pattern means this could take quite a long time to play out (years...decades?) it still offers a very nice long term potential and clear boundaries to trade within. Within this very large pattern we often see shorter timeframe patterns form that offer both long and short setups. This sets up a nice situation where you can have a long term core position, and then trade around that core position when shorter term setups present themselves, either long or short. The next few key support and resistance levels I'll be looking to trade around is the $40 level and the $48 level. Beyond that and we'll be into all-time-high territory where I'll trade whatever price action happens to be at that point in time. Options Another nice thing about SLV is it gives us options (no pun intended). For a scenario where I'm long term bullish but I think price has rallied too far, too fast and it's looking a little frothy in the short term, rather than closing some of my spot position outright and risk missing out on further rallying another approach is to sell OTM (out-of-the-money) covered calls. Implied volatility would be elevated so you'd likely be getting paid a good premium, and if price does rally up to or beyond your strike price, then you can either choose to hold and let your shares potentially be called away or if your still bullish you can roll the options up and out (up in strike and out in time). You'll collect more premium and move your sell point to a higher price at the cost of taking on more time risk. There are exhaustive resources out there if you're unfamiliar but interested in this type of strategy.
TVC:SILVERLong
by krugman87
SOFI ($SOFI) BANK: A FULL TECHNICAL & FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS! BUY!NASDAQ:SOFI SOFI BANK: A FULL TECHNICAL & FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS! Here is what we are going to deep dive into in this video: 1.) Review Sofi's earnings report from this morning 2.) What SOFI's charts are telling us, using my "High Five Setup" trading strategy 3.) A look at the fundamentals of the company and what score /6 SOFI received on my "Valuation Pro Analyzer" Let me know what you think of my analysis in the comments below. What stocks do you want to see next through my strategies and tools? Did you buy the dip on NASDAQ:SOFI ? LIKE l FOLLOW l SHARE Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by RonnieV29
BTCUSDT 1D - LONG coffee Pls!BTCUSDT 1D - LONG coffee Pls! TRADEX BOT NEWS: We already have an improved version of the autotrading bot. This version allows the scalability of the project. The bot needs much less resources, we have eliminated weak links making the process much more direct. As for the execution, it has almost no delay, it is immediate at market price. We are now improving the mathematical execution logic to resume testing with different strategies. It will be ready very soon :) If you like my AT, and you agree with the approaches, please FOLLOW ME and press BOOST so we can share it with more people. We are working on an automated trading tool so that everyone can apply their strategies in a VISUAL and PROFESSIONAL way, as we present in the analysis. Thank you! _______________________________________________________ BTCUSDT 1D - LONG coffee Pls! We have finally completed the cup and handle figure. The projection takes us to 120K, but there will be ups and downs along the way. Nothing new :) Before looking for 80k, BTC will probably retest 69k from where it would take liquidity for a new push. It could even reach 66k. The most interesting thing is yet to come with the awakening of the ALTS. At these prices, BTC will grow steadily, developing distribution zones. Think that BTC increasingly needs more capital volume to rise 1%. On the contrary, the ALTS have been suffering a harsh punishment that has many of them at minimums. In this type of tokens, as soon as a little capital comes in, the value skyrockets. I like to follow BTC as an index that sets the direction of the market, but no more. Good luck in your decision making. ______________________________________________________ Automated Cryptocurrency Trading Bots: All these strategic alternatives can be configured with TradeX BoT, since it will allow you to position in both directions without having to block any amount per position. It will only be necessary for the conditions to be met, either downward or upward, for the orders to be executed in one direction or another, taking the necessary deposits from your portfolio. TradeX BoT (in development): Tool to automate trading strategies designed in TradingView. It works with both indicators and technical drawing tools: parallel channels, trend lines, supports, resistances... It allows you to easily establish SL (%), TP (%), SL Trailing... multiple strategies in different values, simultaneous BUY-SELL orders, conditional orders. This tool is in the development process and the BETA will soon be ready for testing. FOLLOW ME and I will keep you informed of the progress we make. I share with you my technical analysis assessments on certain values ​​that I follow as part of the strategies I design for my portfolio, but I do not recommend anyone to operate based on these indicators. Inform yourself, train yourself and build your own strategies when investing. I only hope that my comments help you on your own path :)
Long
by DeuXfi
IWM: Cup, Handle, and a Bullish GambleAMEX:IWM Original Chart : Been eyeing IWM lately, and honestly, this setup has the kind of potential that could get even the most cynical trader to sit up and pay attention. We’re looking at the *beginning* of a cup-and-handle-esque pattern so pristine it belongs in a TA textbook—classic accumulation followed by consolidation, like the bulls are quietly gearing up for something big. But here’s where it gets even more interesting: with the recent US election in the rearview and a lineup of Fibonacci extensions and moving averages all pointing in the same direction, this setup is practically begging for a breakout. Let’s dive into the details. Fibonacci Extensions and Price Targets Let’s talk targets. I’m looking at $315 and $365 based on Fibonacci extensions, and yes, that $365 target might sound ambitious, but hear me out. Fibs are like the star charts for traders—rooted in math, mystical enough for Twitter hype, and strangely accurate. $315 is the conservative target, sitting right around the 100% extension, where we might see price take a breather. But the real spotlight is on $365, the 200% extension level, which could be where we end up if this breakout goes full send. If Fibonacci levels have taught us anything, it’s that the universe loves a good price projection. Moving Averages and the Golden Cross Then there’s the 50-day and 200-day moving average crossover—the infamous “golden cross,” which might sound like something out of an Indiana Jones movie, but actually just signals bullish momentum. We’ve got price hanging above both moving averages, a classic recipe for sustained upward trends. Historically, this setup has a decent track record of making bulls look smart, and right now, it’s flashing green like a big, neon sign saying, “This way to higher prices.” Volume Profile and Key Levels between $200-$240 The Volume Profile is where things get interesting. That $200-$240 range is showing a massive amount of trading activity, acting like a gravity well for price. If IWM revisits this range and bounces around $235, that’s our green light for lift-off. This is the make-or-break level—the battleground where bulls and bears duke it out. Here’s the nuance: if price *rejects* $235 and consolidates, that’s what would actually form the handle of this cup-and-handle setup, setting the stage for a later breakout. If $235 holds, we’re looking at a more direct path upwards. If not, well… it might be time to rethink the moonshot narrative. Mapping Out the Bullish Scenarios So, we’re left with two paths. Path one is the steady grind up to our targets, where IWM just slowly marches its way to $315 and then potentially $365, no drama, just smooth sailing. Path two is the extended consolidation phase in the $200-$240 range through most of 2025, creating that classic “handle” structure. Think of it as the market getting in some much-needed cardio before the sprint. By end-Q1 2025, we should know which scenario is unfolding based on whether we hold above that $235 line. Curious to see if anyone else is seeing the same potential here. The combination of a cup-and-handle formation in the works, Fib extensions, and moving averages feels like a recipe for something substantial, but I’m always down to hear different perspectives. Are you all vibing with the $365 target, or is that too much hopium?
AMEX:IWM
by seaphoss
1
The speculative cup and handle is now valid and in playAfter the recent correction,the previous idea about this cup and handle (which I will link below) which described this pattern as purely speculative because we had not yet started to form a legitimate handle,is now no longer speculative as we have retraced enough and for enough daily candles to consider the current price action a handle even if it breaks above the rim line in jsut the next few days. There are still a couple speculative aspects to this chart. I went ahead and picked a random guesstimate for the length of the handle that I drew with the red trendlines. I tried to make it wider than it might actually be just to try to keep the price action inside its parameters as it develops…I also took its depth down to around the daily 50ma(in orange) it could go lower than that, or it could already have reached its lowest point, I felt doing so would be a nice middle ground for wherever it eventually finds its lowest point to be. Lastly where I placed the dotted green measured move line is also currently speculative…as always I just guesstimate an breakout point for the emasured move line until we have validated the breakdown then I go back an adjust the measured move line accordingly to get the most precise breakout target. Good news is where ever this thing eventually breaks out the target would be somewhere around 130k or higher. Now for the more bearish scenario, Iwent ahead and cloned the rimline of the cup and found that when I put it on the bottom and make a channel with it, there were enough pivotal candlestick touches on that line that not only is the cup and handle very valid so is the channel, this means should we somehow experience some sort of massive black swan, that it would be possible for price action to drop far enough to retest that bottom channel trendline and in turn nullify the cup and handle. This seems like a much lower probability than the cup and handle triggering its validation but it is indeed still a possibility…also, should it do something like that, and the channel becomes the more valid pattern, the breakout target of the channel would be roughly the exact same as whenever we were to break up and out of the cup and handle anyways, so to be honest, a retest of the bottom of the channel would actually be an even greater opportunity than if we just went ahead and broke up from the cup and handle itself because it would allow us to accumulate much more at a much lower price and the percentage of gains that could be made from all the way at the bottom of the channel to the final breakout target would be much higher. For now though I think just breaking up from the cup and handle is the much mroe probable outcome, but I am always ready for the less probable outcomes to occur as well. Really, in my opinion, no matter what happens in this situation, it’s a win win. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
BTC bullish breakout sets the stageThe past month I recently decided to move all of my chart analysis posts from X over to TradingView, so I'm going to be picking up here where I left off over there. The last time I posted about COINBASE:BTCUSD I was watching the long term cup and handle pattern and how price was reacting to the upper resistance area of the handle. For the most part, price had been holding steady just below resistance ( FWB:67K ) then we got the breakout 2 week ago. At that point we have a confirmed breakout of the pattern. Price did pull back quickly but continued to hold above the breakout level which was a positive since, where it's been holding steady until yesterday... The past day Yesterday's election gave the catalyst to push BTC back up and to new all time highs. That essentially gives us a breakout, pullback and successful backtest of support which further solidifies this large cup and handle pattern. With all of that said we still use proper risk management as traders. Looking ahead As for the bigger picture, I think this sets up BTC for potentially a very large run. Using log targets off the 2021-2024 cup and handle, that gives a price target of just over $300,000. Whether the market will actually reach this target sooner rather than later remains to be seen, but we now have clear parameters to manage our position around. As for invalidation levels, the setup would become at risk if price reversed back below the breakout level in the near term or if price broke below the low of the handle in the long term. To keep the wind under the bulls sails we really want to see price holding above the top of the cup. Fundamentals I typically don't focus on fundamentals since I'm mainly a price action trader, but I think the impact of yesterday's elections can't be ignored. Yesterday's elections were one of the most significant fundamental shifts to the crypto space in years, as we saw a huge number of pro-crypto candidates win their seats (2:1 margin over the anti-crypto candidates). In addition to that we saw the most pro-crypto presidential candidate of our lifetime win the presidency. This will likely mark a new era of pro-crypto policy and the removal of some very powerful anti-crypto people, like Gary Gensler. This overwhelming victory for crypto lines up well with the bullish long term price action we've been seeing forming in BTC over the past year.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by krugman87