Cup And Handle
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish After the Market Opening
Friday's turmoil in the White House pumped Gold prices
during the New York session.
Analyzing the intraday price action, I see 2 confirmed bullish signals:
the price broke both the resistance line of a falling channel
and a neckline of a cup & handle pattern on an hourly.
Odds are high, that the price will grow more and reach at least 2864 level
after the opening.
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Richard Heart defeats the SEC A U.S. district court judge has dismissed the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) lawsuit against Richard Heart. Judge Carol Bagley Amon ruled that the allegations against Heart lack a connection to the United States.
Heart is known for founding the HEX token, the PulseX trading platform, and the PulseChain blockchain. The SEC initiated legal action against him in July 2023, claiming that the three tokens—Hex (HEX), PulseChain (PLS), and PulseX (PSLX)—were unregistered securities. The commission also accused Heart of misusing $12.1 million of investor funds to indulge in luxury items like sports cars, Rolex watches, and the world’s largest black diamond.
“The alleged misappropriation occurred through digital wallets and crypto asset platforms, none of which were alleged to have any connection with the United States,”
“Case dismissed. Thank you Judge Amon,”
Heart is an American citizen who has been living in Finland for several years. He faces serious charges there, including income tax evasion amounting to hundreds of millions of dollars from June 2020 to April 2024, as well as an assault charge from September. Reports suggest that the tax issues are connected to the launch of certain tokens, while the assault charge stems from an incident involving a minor in February 2021.
Finnish police suspect that he has left the country, and in December, an Interpol red notice was issued for him. In January, authorities in Finland confiscated 20 luxury watches from a third party that allegedly belonged to Heart.
All the while the law enforcement has searched for him, Heart has maintained a presence on social media. “If the haters really wanted to get me down they could raise more than the GETTEX:27M I did for medical research. Write free self help books better than my sciVive and Fix The World. Work in the courts for legal precedent for P2P publishing software. Found things that work flawlessly and become valuable,” he wrote on X in December.
BTC retesting its cup and handle SupportThe weekly BTC chart shows a perfect cup and handle in play.
The price is retracing after breaking the $74k resistance area in Nov 2024.
Once the price reaches, the now support, and bounces from $72-74k area we can enter long positions.
Previously it took 6 weeks to reach ATH $109K
We can expect BTC to reach $110k approx. in 2 months time once it reverses from the support $72-74k
And the rest of the 2025 may be Bullish taking us to new ATH
Cholamandalam: Bouncing Back After Correction?Cholamandalam Investment & Finance Company has been recovering after a period of decline. The price had fallen around 14% from its highest level in the past year but recently showed signs of regaining strength.
A rounded formation can be seen where the stock gradually stopped falling and then started moving up again. Currently, it is trading around ₹1,414, which is near a key level where it has faced some resistance before.
The overall trend in the past year has been a mix of strong upward movement, followed by a correction, and now a possible attempt to regain lost ground. The next few weeks will determine if the price continues to hold this momentum.
Disclaimer
"Not SEBI registered. This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Do your own research before investing."
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$MSFT: Rhymes of $BA Diamond NASDAQ:MSFT with a 🔷 look on the weekly and monthly. Not quite NYSE:BA 2019 level; however, a concerning look. Lower BB on both daily and weekly open and moving down 🚩
If wanting to "invest" in this #M7 name better to wait for potential drop or for it to recover above $420. Otherwise we may be looking at a backtest of that large cup and handle breakout and a visit to 200ema on weekly
Genus PLC Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Genus PLC Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Midpoint) At Retracement Area | Completed Survey
* Pattern Confirmation | Entry Feature & Long Support | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 1.618 Retracement Area | Long Support | Subdivision 2
* 0.786 Retracement Area | Bias & Entry Settings | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias))
* (Uptrend Argument))
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
ETHBTC - 2 ETH may soon buy 1 BTCBINANCE:ETHBTC is one of the most hated trades on the market right now. And based on price action from recent months and years - definitely for good reason. Ethereum is being viewed as a stale rust-bucket compared to the superior monetary properties of Bitcoin and the younger exuberance found in Solana. However don’t bet the house on that narrative continuing over the coming months. To me it seems that Ethereum may well have its time to shine once again...
Reasons to be super bullish
As crazy as it may be to say this, Ethereum can soon reach the rather insane price target of 0.5 BTC per ETH in the coming 18 months.
The pattern for the last 6 years has been one of accumulation, Wycoff Accumulation to be exact. Just look at similarities with an example pattern of GOLD posted from a few years ago, of it similarly being in deep accumulation and the price action that followed.
I’m willing to stick my neck out and say that the Wycoff (coiled) spring from the BINANCE:ETHBTC chart above has now completed, after over-shooting the downwards wedge (in white). Such an overshoot usually leads to the most volatile reversals, and is therefore one of my favorite trading patterns.
Not only that, BINANCE:ETHBTC also has a clean-looking cup & handle pattern forming, dating back to May 2018. Should that come to fruition, the minimum price target (taking the height of the cup via white arrows) would equate to 0.5 BTC. That just so happens to also perfectly coincide with the 1.414 fib level drawn.
Now, would Ethereum stop there? You’ve got to imagine so. However it may not…
BINANCE:ETHBTC 's onset to markets saw a 95x (pink arrow). Taking the same measured move, from the bottom in January 2020, would equate to a 30x move from current levels or a 55x from 2020's bottom. That would indicate a final target of 0.91 BTC, at the 1.618 fib, by around April 2026.
Another reason to suggest the selling is over, RSI is putting in a higher low, whilst price is making a lower low.
BINANCE:ETHBTC is mirroring the same setup as September 2019, with similar targets possible.
Reasons to be sceptical
We should be in a clearly bullish period, between Mar-24 to Apr-26 although we have yet to see bullish price action as of today. BINANCE:ETHBTC already enduring its bearish period from Dec-21 to Feb-24, this is unlikely to be another.
If we’re going to see the above come into fruition, we must soon see a huge uptick in volume in Ethereum in the coming days. Watch the green arrow underneath the chart to see if that happens over the coming 15-18 months.
BINANCE:ETHBTC looks to have already bounced off the 0.024 BTC per ETH. Or the 0.382 fib level (turquoise line). I expect very limited downside from here.
What might trigger a bullish change?
MSTR thanks to Michael Saylor has popularised his company as a quasi-leveraged ETF, turning the balance sheet of his company into a fast-tracked success.
Can you think of another company that is flush with billions of cash that is aligned with defi, NFT & decentralized markets and has one person on the board calling the shots for their investment committee? GameStop could well be the first public company to put Ethereum on their balance sheet and spark a huge step-change in the amount of institutional investment into ETH, over say BTC. They currently have $4.8bn in cash on their balance sheet and have yet to announce any M&A or changes to their corporate treasury.
Watch-out for catalysts, alt-season I sense is coming...
Learn How to Trade Cup and Handle Pattern on Forex & Gold
If you are studying a price action, you should definitely know how to identify and trade Cup and Handle pattern formation.
Being applied properly, it can generate big profits.
In this educational article, I will teach you how to identify this pattern. We will discuss its psychology and I will share with you 2 trading strategies.
📏And let's start with the structure of the pattern.
The pattern has 3 important elements:
Cup - long-term correctional movement that tends to move steadily from a bearish trend to a bullish trend.
Handle - short-term correctional movement with signs of bullish strength.
Neckline - upper horizontal boundary of the pattern - a strong resistance that the price constantly respects.
⚠️Being formed, it warns you about a highly probable coming bullish movement.
The trigger that confirms the initiation of a bullish wave is a breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a candle close above.
Here is the example of a completed C&H with a confirmed neckline breakout, indicating a highly probably coming bullish movement.
Depending on the preceding price action, Cup & Handle Pattern can either be a trend-following or reversal pattern.
📉If the pattern is formed after a bearish impulse. It is considered to be a reversal pattern.
Here is the example of a reversal C&H that I spotted on EURUSD.
📈If the pattern is formed at the top of a bullish impulse , it is considered to be a trend following pattern.
Here is the example of a trend following C&H that I spotted on GBPJPY.
The thing is that while the price forms the C&H, buying volumes are accumulating. Even though, buyers are hesitant and reluctant initially, their confidence grows, and the accumulation leads to explosive neckline breakout.
There are 2 strategies to trade this pattern.
✔️ Strategy 1.
That approach is quite risky , but the reward can be quite substantial.
You should monitor the price action when the price is creating a handle. Occasionally, the price starts trading in a falling channel: parallel or contracting one.
Your trigger will be a bullish breakout of its resistance and a candle close above.
Once the violation is confirmed, you can buy aggressively or set a buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the channel.
Target will be the closest key resistance.
Here is the example of the handle being a falling channel.
✔️ Strategy 2.
Wait for a breakout of a neckline of the pattern.
Once a candle closes above that, it will confirm the violation.
Buy the market aggressively or set a buy limit on a retest of a broken neckline then.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the handle.
Target will be the closest key resistance.
Here is the example of the trade based on a confirmed breakout of a neckline of C&P on NASDAQ Index.
Applied properly, the strategies may reach up to 70% win rate.
As always, the best pattern will be the one that forms on a key level.
Try it, test it, and good luck in your trading journey.
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SUISUIUSDT trading pair will complete a Cup and Handle pattern, firstly aiming for a cup target. We need encouragement to penetrate the neckline resistance.
Considering sui fundamentals, it is very possible to complete the cup target, over the past year sui has expanded the ecosystem in various sectors of course this is a positive impact, and recently collaborated with tencent clouds and google clouds.
DJT - Parabolic Move IncomingNASDAQ:DJT is soon in my mind to begin the most insane of rallies. This chart for me is as clean as they come!
Recent Price Action
From the peak of October 2024 to recent days in February 2025 - the stock has seen a ~46% correction, in what is likely the completion of an Elliott Wave 2 correction (in X,Y,Z form).
This after a bullish initial Wave 1 formation saw it go beyond even the most bullish of bullish initial price targets, in just 2 weeks flat.
Price had prior to that been compressed inside a downwards-pointing wedge pattern (orange lines), since late March 2024. This is one of my most favourite bullish chart patterns. It often leads to explosive price action.
After breaking out of the wedge, it is now not-only putting the finishing touches to an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern (grey text)... but when it does so it will also complete a massive Cup & Handle formation (white arrows).
Future Price Targets
The initial target (T1) from this move would be $570 (20x) in a very short period. Perhaps even by end of June 2025. This would coincide with the 1.414 fibonacci level. Drawn from its initial introduction to public markets to its peak just weeks later.
Thereafter, an extended 5th wave target of $1,020 (43x) could be reached sometime around late November 2025 and January 2026. This coincides with the 1.618 fibonacci level (darker blue T2 line).
Price as of today has overshot the 0.382 fibonacci line and back-tested the previously-formed left shoulder. It is likely to find support here on the yellow line.
Next Up...
Volume has been pitiful of late. Watch it ramp-up again in the next few days, just like we saw in September 2024 when it completed its full retrace.
It is my expectation that we will see rest of the markets surprising bears, with a huge reversal before March, perhaps even combined with a significant dollar devaluation.
During this time when volume picks-up, a sharp reversal to the upside out of its latest wedge (dark red lines) is possible before the week ends on 28th February. If this occurs, this will likely confirm the end to Wave 2 of 5.
If there is any further downside to come, the absolute worst case scenario will likely be ~$18 - coinciding with the 0.238 fib. However this is not expected, just something to be wary of.
NASDAQ:DJT from here is ready to begin the most volatile of Elliott Waves, Wave 3. If volume persists, price will be drawn like a magnet to the horizontal sloping trend line in bold white.
Possible Elliott Waves
Wave 1 - $12 to $55
Wave 2 - $55 to $24
Wave 3 - $30 to $570
Wave 4 - $570 to $175
Wave 5 - $175 to $1,020
Ridiculous targets, right? So what could be the catalyst?
With the appointment of Kash Patel, we may now start seeing legal action taken against entities & individuals involved with naked short positioning. NASDAQ:DJT even in it's short history has been a prime target for this since 2022.
NASDAQ:DJT may be partially or heavily-involved with the Sovereign Wealth Fund being discussed for the United States.
NASDAQ:DJT may also complete the long-rumored acquisition of Bakkt Holdings ( NYSE:BKKT ). Perhaps even obtaining a minority stake in TikTok.
Short squeeze, M&A, fraudulent recovery, purchases of ETHUSD or just plain old organic price discovery - you pick your poison. But if you thought you'd seen NASDAQ:DJT reach its peak prior to the elections, be prepared to rethink your views.
NASDAQ:DJT has a LOT of room to the upside still from here. Make sure at the very least, you keep this one on your watch-list.
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Note : This post was originally published on 2nd November 2024 in the lead-up to the election. It was popular but was hidden due to an error on my part including a private indicator. It has now been updated to account for recent price action & timing.
Sonic's S (previously FTM) to 1.4I have been in FTM for a very long time but have slowly covered more stocks than crypto over time. As I take profit out of alts into stocks this only makes sense. One position I have kept is FTM which is now converted to S. With the flight from Solana, people are looking for this cycle's layer 1, sonic could be it. Sonic is fast, has growing TVL, and has a brilliant founder.
The Chart:
Rising momentum leading into the cup formation. I find cups more likely if they are scooping lows instead of highs. Volatility just fired red, so we need a bit of a cool off here.
My target is 1.4$ for March
TLT: Flight to safety breakoutTLT is breaking out. It's not signaling that interest rates are falling - we know we are gonna get interest rates high for a longer period now. This time, its hinting that investors are risk off.
We are also seeing some red flags in the market. Financials, and communications sector seem to be topping. Breakout trades are failing. I say a pullback in the market is coming really, really soon.
Bet on TLT.
Bitcoin End of 20258 Bullrun price EstimationFor a long time now (since 2017) I've been observing and analyzing Bitcoin.
My previous long-term predictions were accurate regarding the time of happening, so with that in mind, the end of this bull run should start in October of 2025.
The price is unknown to anyone but as for the logarithmic scale we should be getting 200k
If we're lucky 300k and if everyone goes crazy on Bitcoin then 400k or even more would be possible.
I rather stay in a more realistic range and look for 200k as a great point to start the exit.
Hims (HIMS) Stock Chart Analysis: Observing a Cup and HandleThe HIMS stock chart displays a pattern resembling a cup and handle. If confirmed, technical analysis suggests a possible price target exceeding $24.
While the cup and handle pattern suggests a potential price increase, it's important to consider other factors that can influence the stock price, such as the company's fundamentals, industry trends, and overall market conditions.
It's also crucial to understand the limitations of technical analysis and avoid solely relying on it for investment decisions.
SLM Volatility contraction bar entry& Median Line ExitAfter a month of sideways price action over the turn of the year, we get a new price high on the on the back of poor earnings. Price held and a low volume narrow range bar shows up. I would expect there should be more selling here but minor volume day. Take a long but stopped a few days later.
However price comes back in early Feb after holding the 50EMA.
Try another squat bar buy stop entry.
Price target the ML as Dr. Andrews says, "Price makes it to the median line 80% of the time".
COIN: Setting up neatly with crypto tailwindWhat I like
- Bullish Pendant breakout on the daily timeframe.
- Tailwind from crypto sector. Trump is in favour of crypto. I track the relative strength of 60 over sectors, see attached excel, and crypto sector (BLOK) is one of the strongest
- Cup and handle formation
- It is a healthy chart. Burst higher -> consolidation -> burst higher. Repeat
Trade plan
- Intend to hold this for a longer period. I have initiated a small position in today's breakout (~293). Wait for the full cup and handle formation, and add on shares when it breaks out again.
Bitcoin's Inverse Cup and Handle – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) at least dropped to the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) .
If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 15-minute time frame , we will see that Bitcoin is completing the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern ( Handle of this pattern is being completed).
As I said in the previous post, $96,700 is important for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently moving below this level , which could mean that the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern can work for Bitcoin.
Educational tip : The Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It resembles a cup shape followed by a small consolidation (handle) before a breakdown. A breakdown below the handle confirms the pattern, signaling a potential downward move.
The price increase in the last two or three candlesticks (in a 1-hour time frame ) was NOT accompanied by a large volume , and this can strengthen the theory of completing the handle of the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) AFTER breaking the Neckline of the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern .
Note: If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking the Resistance line and stabilizes above $96,700, we can hope to break the Descending Channel, And the CME Gap($97,845-$97,110) will also be filled.
Do you think the Inverse Cup and Handle Pattern will work?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
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