Cup And Handle
BODAL CHEMICAL-LOOK-FOR-BUY-WITH-CHEAT-ENTRY(VCP)This chart presents a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) , signaling a potential bullish breakout. The integration of moving averages and volume dynamics adds further strength to this analysis, indicating that the stock could soon break out above its resistance. Below is a detailed breakdown, including a volume study.
---
1. VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern):
- The chart shows multiple contractions in price , with each pullback becoming progressively smaller. This tightening is a hallmark of the VCP pattern, indicating that sellers are losing strength, and buyers are gradually gaining control.
- The final resistance zone is located between ₹85-₹88 . A breakout above this level would confirm the VCP and signal a strong bullish continuation.
---
2. Moving Averages (9 SMA & 21 SMA):
- Price above both SMAs : The stock is trading above both the 9-period and 21-period simple moving averages (SMAs), which is a strong bullish indicator. This alignment suggests that short-term momentum is in favor of the bulls.
- 9 SMA above 21 SMA : The 9-period SMA being above the 21-period SMA signifies that the shorter-term trend is leading the way, which adds confidence to a possible continuation of the uptrend.
---
3. Volume Study :
Volume During Contractions :
- A crucial part of identifying a valid VCP is the decreasing volume during price contractions . In the chart, each successive pullback shows lower volume, which indicates that fewer traders are willing to sell as the stock price drops. This aligns perfectly with the concept of volatility contraction, showing that selling pressure is fading.
Volume on Upward Moves:
- Each upward move is accompanied by increasing volume , indicating that buyers are stepping in to accumulate shares. This is a strong confirmation that the price contractions are valid and that institutional buyers might be behind these moves, building up positions for a future breakout.
Volume on Breakout:
For a confirmed breakout, watch for a volume spike above ₹85-₹88 . A large increase in volume during the breakout would confirm that the pattern is playing out and that the price could shoot upward to the next resistance zone around ₹95-₹100.
---
4. Low Cheat Entry Opportunity:
- Entry at CMP (₹83-₹84): A low cheat entry is possible at the CMP of ₹83-₹84, which allows you to enter the stock before the breakout occurs. This type of early entry can offer a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
- Stop Loss : Place a tight stop loss around ₹82 , just below the recent low and the 9 SMA. This minimizes risk while allowing you to stay in the trade if the breakout occurs.
- Volume Support: As you enter at this level, watch for **volume support** on smaller pullbacks. If the stock dips slightly but maintains increasing volume on upward movements, it’s a good sign the pattern is intact.
---
5. Breakout Confirmation :
- The ₹85-₹88 resistance zone is the key level to watch. For the VCP to fully play out, the stock needs to break above this zone, ideally with strong volume to confirm the breakout.
- If the stock breaks this level, expect a surge in price with a target around ₹95-₹100 , based on prior resistance levels and the projected move from the VCP.
---
6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio :
- Risk : By entering at ₹83-₹84 and placing a stop loss around ₹82, the downside risk is limited to about 1-2% .
- Reward : The upside target can range from ₹95 to ₹100 , offering a potential *b]15-20% gain , which gives an excellent risk-to-reward ratio of about 15%.
---
Conclusion :
This chart shows a strong b]bullish setup , with the VCP pattern tightening for a potential breakout. The moving averages confirm the bullish momentum, with price trading above both the 9 and 21 SMAs, and volume contraction indicates that selling pressure is diminishing. A low cheat entry around ₹83-₹84 offers a good risk-to-reward opportunity, while a breakout above ₹85-₹88 with increasing volume could signal the start of a strong upward move toward ₹95-₹100 .
---
Key Action Plan :
- Entry : Enter at CMP around ₹83-₹84 .
- Stop Loss : Set a stop loss around ₹82 to minimize risk.
- Volume Monitoring : Watch for volume contraction on pullbacks and spikes on upward moves.
- Breakout : If the stock breaks above ₹85-₹88 with strong volume , expect a strong upward move toward ₹95-₹100 .
This setup presents a high-potential opportunity for traders looking for an early entry into a VCP breakout , supported by both moving averages and volume dynamics.
BTC/USD bowl. Breakthrough 64-72. Cyclicality. Nasdaq - BTC.Logarithm. Completion time 1 week. Instead of updating an old idea regarding the Nasdaq Index and BTS on pump cup formation published on 06/17/2023, I decided to implement the idea on a live chart.
Comparative analysis. Fractal. Lag. Bitcoin and Nasdaq
17 06 2023
I have applied the cup percentages as well as the cup with handle if formation occurs (high probability). Although the cycle high targets and timing are the same as what I showed in 2022 during the Bitcoin accumulation phase.
So, for clarity with the last cycle and its highs in 2021.
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings . 1 07 2022
BTC/USD Halving 518 When will be the cycle price low and high.
02.09.2023
BTC/USD Main trend (3 years) Channels Triangle
09 2023
At the moment, the price is above the “demons of Solomon” zone, that is 72,000. Zone 64-72 – resistance of the large bowl (last cycle highs 64-69). Let's follow the fractal similarity of 2015-2017. There is a high probability that a rollback will occur slightly higher, and a long-term bullish formation will be formed (trend direction, large time frame) — “Bowl with handle”. Or straight to the psychological level of 100?).
Pay attention to interest rates and price levels in the past and now.
1️⃣ Let me remind you that in April the halving is closer to the 20th. Most likely this will happen on the day "18" . Do you think that bitCocaine will cost 84,018 closer to this time?) What will happen to this zone?
2️⃣ Psychological PR level - the zone for Bitcoin is $100,013.
3️⃣ Everything else probably looks unreal for most market participants, but what is shown now is real, just as it was a very long time ago.
Adhere to these simple rules:
1) Understand and exploit the cyclical nature of the market.
2) Buy low, sell high. And not vice versa like most).
3) Take profits in parts on the hype (now) in a growing trend or protect with a stop loss.
4) Have an understanding of the relationship between the liquidity (capitalization, roughly speaking) of a trading instrument and its volatility and potential.
5) If you trade locally. The crowd is shouting: “cryptocurrency is a scam” - buy it. “Crypto hype” - sell it.
6) Do not be interested in the news and the opinion of the majority, this is all “taken into account in the price movement schedule.”
7) Always have at least 20-30% of stablecoins in reserve. If, for example, in a developing trend there is a correction to quickly remove longs (futures, margin with large shoulders, in spot - stop loss) by a significant%, and some of your stops do not work due to price slippage, then a “cash airbag” will calm and warm you in such an unpleasant moment).
AUDUSD: Pullback Trade From Support 🇦🇺🇺🇸
On a today's live stream, we discussed a pullback trade on AUDUSD.
The price tested a key daily horizontal support
and formed a cup and handle pattern on that.
Its neckline breakout is our strong bullish confirmation.
The pair will most likely grow now at least to 0.6728
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURUSD Analysis==>Cup and Handle Pattern==>>Pennant PatternEURUSD is moving near the Support zone($1.105-$1.103) and managed to break the Downtrend line .
If we look at the EURUSD chart from the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , we will notice two Cup and Handle Pattern and a Bullish Pennant Pattern .
After breaking the neckline, I expect EURUSD to rise to at least the Resistance zone($1.111-$1.109) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 15-minute Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Nifty IT Complex Cup with HandleNifty IT had broken above the neckline of Complex Cup with Handle Pattern as can be seen in the chart.
It is down with some bad news in the Global Markets and currently, offers a sure shot returns of 21% as per the technical target.
This is the easiest money available in the Indian market right now as the companies included in the index are some of the largest and most trusted with excellent track record.
As they say, investors must 'Feel Greedy when others are Fearful.'
The worst is over for IT and this SAFE CONTRARIAN bet will surely make you feel proud of yourself when it achieves target.
You can trade this index with ITBEES ETF available on NSE.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Consolidation Trading
I see a perfect horizontal range on Gold on an hourly time frame.
After a test of its support, a tiny cup and handle pattern was formed.
Bullish breakout of its neckline gives a perfect bullish confirmation.
We can expect growth to 2506 now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long oppertunity on TEXRAILTEXRAIL is currently near support level on daily chart. Given that the price broke out at this level with huge volume and appears there is a retest of the support level happening. Its a good time to enter long with stop loss just below breakout candle low. This trade provides ideal risk reward of 1:3. Can wait and see tomm to see if price is supported at this level before entering.
Hope you liked this idea, if so please boost this idea or leave a comment below on what you think. Otherwise, happy trading :-)
UJJIVAN SFB LONGUJJIVAN SFB looks to be taking a support and might revert back to 60 levels where it used to trade, this would probably be done when interest rates are reduced which are not far now as we know. Once the stock reaches back to 60 levels, it would have completed a cup and handle pattern which upon breakout could possibly lead to larger targets!!
"UnoMinda" at the cusp of breakout! "UnoMinda" is a great counter to go Long on with high probability and great risk - reward ratio! The stock is about to breakout from a Cup Pattern. The price is at the cusp of breakout which is giving more confidence to enter the trade on Long Side.
#SniperTrade #Momentum #Options #CapitalMarkets #harshal95 #StockMarket