Eth cup and handle looks posed to breach rimline soonWe have confidently broken upwards from the handle and the handle’s full breakout target takes us above the rimline of the cup. Many other cup and handles have already validated their breakouts, the most notable being Bitcoin, total, solana, and total2. Ethereum is very probable to follow in their footsteps (pricesteps? Wick steps? Candle steps?) We are also about to have a golden cross on the daily chart for ethereum so here is a zoomed in shot of the handle breakout progress and the golden cross so we can keep track of how the cross impacts price action: . Since the handle’s breakout target is just above the rimline of the cup, it wouldn’t surprise me if price lingers just above and just below the rimline for a little bit to toy with leverage traders before it finally decides to flip it solidified support and validated the breakout. We shall see soon enough *not financial advice*
Cupandhandlepattern
USD/CAD INSANE 22 Year Cup & Handle about to explode higherWith this week's announcement of 25% duties on MX & CA one would do well to survey the markets for opportunities. What better way to push through a trade of this nature than the FX markets?!
The first thing to check in any FX trade is rate differentials:
CA 10Y: 3.22%
US 10Y: 4.27%
MX 10Y: 9.99%
The carry trade dictates we want to be long the currency with a higher yield, and our suspicion given tariffs tend to strengthen the country levying tariffs means we want to be long USD.
MX offers a much higher yield so that would offset the potential in taking a short position on USD/MXN. CA on the other hand has a modest 1% discount to the US 10Y bond. Moreover, rates in the US look fairly steady, and pressure from the tariffs could cause CA to cut in support of its economy.
A technical inspection of USD/CAD shows a staggering 22 year cup and handle formation on the pair. Now could be the right time to accumulate a leveraged FX position, as this trade could have years ahead of it with the advent of a 4 year Trump term.
Getting closer and closer to the bullflag targetsTwo of the biggest patterns bitcoin has broken upwards from this year are both bull flags and they both have a bullish confluence measured move breakout target of around $99,999. The first one that’s been forming the longest from we actually broke upwards from all the way back n February or March, and here is what it looks like: it was all the way back then I knew we would eventually reach this target and it’s extremely satisfying to click play and watch price action go directly to the target. You can see the price target for that one shown at the chart on the top of this page at the top of the dotted purple line. The other big bull flag of this year we only just recently broke upwards from in October, and it has also had beautiful priceaction unfold perfectly shown here: Clicking play on this chart also is amazing to watch it seemingly go up and hit the exact target with the dotted red line acting as a magnet. That same dotted red line can be seen on the chart image above on this current chart idea. Even though on both of those charts it looks like we have already hit the exact target, when you zoom n on the daily time frame here you can see that we came within a whisker of hitting the $99999 target but still have only gotten just below it. IN the process recently we have been consolidating in a rising wedge (as indicated by the diagonal pink trendline) and a rising channel (the ascending red trendline + the dotted red trendline). The rising wedge also can qualify as a bullish pennant and when you factor in the pink flagpole to where price has broken above the top trendline of the wedge, the measured move target for a breakout of such a pennant is around $116k. Rising wedges default mode is to break down instead of up, but in a parabolic bull phase many of them can consecutively break upwards, I do believe at the very least price action will finally reach both the dotted red and dotted purple targets. However, since that was the full target for two of the most pivotal bullish chart patterns of the year that may actually be a good time for it to make a solid correction. We also have the psychological resistance of 100k where many people would likely take profit at which could add to the liklihood of a correction in that range. Usually once price gets this close to a psychological level it tends to hit it so it would not surprise me at all if we hit 100k before the correction, there’s also a chance we could hit the little pennants 16k breakout target before the correction too but if we correct right after 100k, right after the 115-116k target zone, or just above that at the next big resistance area around 120-130k which is the top green trendline of this series of channels on the log chart: My belief is the correction will go down to fill the gap that was created in the CME bitcoin futures chart shown here: . I think it could likely retest that zone right around the 1day 50ma (in orange) rises up to meet that zone. My goal is to wait for a pullback back around there or back to the neckline (in yellow) of the big cup and handle we broke up from just recently, I will look for those levels as potential zones to make any additional entries into the market. The cup and handle has been by far the absolute biggest chart pattern of the entire year, however the channel of the red bullflag is also the handle of the cup and handle. Will be interesting to see how much of the above plays out how I anticipate it will. *not financial advice*
An updated look at BTCUSD’s pi cycle If I was a betting man, it seems to me like the top white line of the pi cycle indicator (350ma) is very likely to reach the full breakout target price of the cup and handle pattern bitcoin has broken up from (at $133282) long before the lower yellow line of the pi cycle (111ma) has a chance to catch back up to it and cross above it for the pi cycle top. In fact I have a feeling we won’t even be close to the yellow one even being near the white line by the time the white line reaches that level, suggesting that we have far more upside left to go in this bull cycle. In the past most if not all pi cycle tops have happened after price action gets above the white line, so if that trend should continue we can look at whatever the white lines price action is and know theres a high probability that that means the top price bitcoin reaches this bull run wll be even higher. *not financial advice*
The Cup and Handle Pattern: A Trader’s Blueprint for SuccessThe Cup and Handle pattern is one of the most reliable and visually recognizable chart patterns in technical analysis. A favorite among both beginner and seasoned traders, it signals a potential continuation or breakout and offers an opportunity for significant profits when traded correctly.
But what makes this pattern so special? Let’s dive into its structure, Bulkowski’s research, and how you can leverage this powerhouse pattern in your trading.
What is the Cup and Handle Pattern?
The Cup and Handle pattern resembles the shape of a tea or coffee cup—complete with a rounded bottom and a slight dip forming the "handle." It typically forms in bullish markets and is considered a continuation pattern, suggesting that the trend is likely to continue after the breakout.
Key Features:
Cup Formation:
A rounded, U-shaped curve that signifies a gradual correction followed by an equally steady recovery. A V-shaped bottom is less ideal but can still be effective in some cases.
Handle Formation:
A small consolidation phase or pullback, typically sloping downwards, that signifies hesitation before the breakout.
Breakout Point:
When the price moves above the resistance level (the lip of the cup), confirming the pattern and signaling a bullish breakout.
Bulkowski’s Research: The Numbers Behind the Pattern
Thomas Bulkowski, a renowned technical analyst and chart pattern expert, conducted extensive research on the Cup and Handle. His findings provide valuable insights into the pattern’s reliability and performance.
Key Statistics:
Success Rate: The Cup and Handle pattern has an average success rate of 65% for upward breakouts, making it one of the more reliable patterns.
Average Rise Post-Breakout: Bulkowski’s research shows that the price typically rises by 34% after a breakout.
Handle Depth: The handle should retrace no more than 12-15% of the cup’s height. Deeper handles tend to be less reliable.
Volume Analysis: Breakouts with increasing volume tend to perform better. About 50-60% of successful breakouts occur with higher-than-average volume.
How to Trade the Cup and Handle
Step 1: Identify the Pattern
Look for a rounded bottom (the cup) and a smaller pullback or consolidation (the handle) that does not exceed 50% of the cup’s height. Ensure the pattern forms over a reasonable timeframe—weeks to months for higher timeframes, or days for intraday trading.
Step 2: Confirm the Breakout
Wait for the price to break above the resistance level (the lip of the cup). Volume spikes during the breakout provide additional confirmation.
Step 3: Set Targets
Target Price: Measure the height of the cup and add it to the breakout point to estimate the target price.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the handle or the bottom of the cup to minimize risk.
Step 4: Manage Risk
Use a reward-to-risk ratio of at least 2:1 or 3:1, and avoid over-leveraging. Bulkowski’s research suggests the pattern’s success improves when traders maintain disciplined risk management.
Tips for Spotting High-Quality Patterns
Timeframe Matters: The longer it takes for the cup to form, the stronger the pattern. Bulkowski’s research highlights that patterns forming over 3–6 months tend to yield better results.
Handle Characteristics: A tight, orderly handle is more effective than a volatile, erratic one. This suggests controlled consolidation rather than panic selling.
Volume Trends: Look for declining volume during the cup formation and handle, followed by a sharp increase during the breakout.
The Pitfalls to Avoid
While the Cup and Handle is a high-potential pattern, not all instances are created equal. Here are common mistakes to avoid:
Forcing the Pattern: Sometimes, price movements may appear similar but don’t meet the full criteria. Stick to well-defined patterns.
Ignoring Volume: A breakout without significant volume may lead to a false signal.
Trading in Weak Markets: This pattern works best in bullish environments where upward momentum can sustain breakouts.
The Cup and Handle pattern combines simplicity with effectiveness. Bulkowski’s statistical research underscores its reliability, and its visual nature makes it easy to spot. Whether you’re trading stocks, forex, or cryptocurrencies, this pattern is a powerful addition to your technical analysis toolkit.
NOTHING !!Finally, the Cup&Handle broke .The price can reach the shown targets. That's it.
previous analysis
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Two Bullish Patterns Hint at Major Rally for DogecoinIn the 2-hour time frame, as you can see, there are two bullish patterns. The first one is a triangle, and the second one is a cup and handle. If either of these patterns breaks, the price of Dogecoin can reach around 50 cents.
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Golden Cross kickstarts Altcoin SeasonExactly as I was predicting it would just as it did for total2, xlm, and quite a few other crypto charts recently. I expect the trend will continue. I will link the hart to the total2 cup and handle we seem to have confirmed the breakout from below. *not financial advice*
SALESFORCE $CRM - 5/17 - THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️ THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️
STOCK/ TRADE SETUP UPDATE: 5/17
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Solana: Cup and Handle PatternThe textbook Cup and Handle pattern (black) has formed on the chart.
The price has broken through the Handle, triggering a bullish signal
The target of this pattern is the depth of the "Cup" added to the breakout point.
Therefore, the SOL/USDT price is heading towards $412.
CCJ cup & handle Breakout to 65 & 70+Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is currently displaying a classic cup and handle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. Here’s a breakdown of the pattern and what to watch for:
Cup and Handle Breakdown:
The Cup:
A rounded base formed between April 2024 and October 2024, with the left and right peaks near $58.72 and a low around $46.76.This symmetrical cup formation indicates accumulation after a downtrend, with buyers gradually gaining strength.
The Handle:
After testing the $58.72 resistance level, the stock pulled back slightly to form a handle, consolidating around $55.66.
Handles are characterized by lower highs and decreasing volume, setting the stage for a breakout.
Volume:
Volume has declined during the handle formation, a textbook signal of the pattern. Look for a volume spike to confirm the breakout. Breakout Level (Rim of the Cup): $58.72
Projected Target: Add the cup depth to the breakout level: $58.72 + $11.96 = $70.68
Profit Targets:
First Target: $65.00
Second Target: $70.68
Bearish Contingency:
If the price breaks below $55.66 , the pattern is invalidated, and CCJ may test lower levels.
Market Going UPWe have been doing a cup and handle pattern for a long time...
The RSP shows you what the general market is doing unweighted and less distorted.
We have been experiencing much downfalls in the previous weeks in the BIG STOCKS,
but the rest of the market was not impacted...
This means...
Someone painted the market red... while buying the whole market...
Volume also seems to confirm more bullish bias than bearish bias.
Price action on the TOTAL chart now comfortably above the c&h Price action is now knocking on the door of 3 trillion for the total crypto market cap. We can see also that now that price action is reasonably above the rimline of this massive cup and handle pattern, and has also closed a weekly candle above it now as well, that we are likely to soon validate the breakout of this pattern and star climbing towards its breakout target of 4.6 trillion. I think Brad Garlinghouse was anticipating the total market cap nearing 5 trillion by end of 2024 and that target is not that far off. I will link some previous total market cap charts below so you can see other macro patterns we are also heading towards with an even higher target than this cup and handle. *Not financial advice*
Solana roadmap to $400-$425Love SOL or hate it. $400-$425 is a magnet.
Solana is showcasing a textbook Cup and Handle pattern on the 2-day timeframe, signaling a potential bullish breakout. Here’s the breakdown:
1️⃣ The Cup Formation:
The base of the cup was formed between May 2022 and January 2023, marking a prolonged accumulation phase.
The lip of the cup rests around $225, a key resistance level tested multiple times.
2️⃣ Handle Consolidation:
After reaching the cup's lip, Solana entered a consolidation phase (the handle), with lower highs and higher lows forming a descending channel.
This phase typically indicates a preparation for the next major move.
3️⃣ Breakout Potential:
A breakout above the $225 resistance level confirms the pattern, opening the door for significant upside.
📈 Bullish Momentum:
With strong momentum and increasing trading volume, a breakout seems imminent.
Watch for confirmation of the breakout above $225 before entering positions.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance (Breakout Zone): $225
Target Based on Cup Depth: $425
Support (Invalidation): $175 (below handle structure)
AAPL: About to shift the trend! (D & H chartts)Daily Chart (Left)
Head and Shoulders (H&S) Pattern: A potential Head and Shoulders pattern is forming on the daily chart, with a neckline around the $221.33 level. If this pattern completes and the price breaks below the neckline, it could indicate a bearish reversal, signaling further downside.
Pivot Point: The pivot point at $228.66 is acting as a near-term resistance level. A break above this level could invalidate the H&S pattern, leading to a continuation of the uptrend.
21-Day EMA: The stock is hovering around the 21-day EMA, suggesting indecision in the market. Staying above this EMA could be positive for bulls, increasing the chances of an upwards breakout of the pivot point.
Hourly Chart (Right)
Cup and Handle Pattern: The hourly chart shows a potential Cup and Handle formation, with resistance at the $228.66 level. A breakout above this resistance could lead to a bullish continuation.
EMA Support: The 21-hour EMA has provided dynamic support, keeping the price within the handle formation. Holding this EMA and breaking the resistance could complete the Cup and Handle pattern, signaling further upside in the short term.
Trading Implications:
AAPL is at a crucial juncture. A break above $228.66 would favor a bullish outlook, while a break below the $221.33 neckline would indicate a bearish reversal. For now, we should watch these key levels closely for potential setups.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
DON'T SELL HIMS UNTIL YOU WATCH THIS FIRST!DON'T SELL YOUR NYSE:HIMS SHARES UNTIL YOU WATCH THIS FIRST🛑
In this video, we will discuss:
-Why you shouldn't sell on the NASDAQ:AMZN health news
-Amazons multiple failed business adventures
-How NYSE:HIMS is still ok even if Amazon is successful
-Fundamental and Technical analysis
You will want to buy not sell after you watch this video
NFA
GME 15 min Bull Pennant Watching the 15 min on GME, and it seems that it has formed a pretty substantial Bull Pennant on the 15 min. This comes just after the Cup & Handle breakout earlier this week. We can also see that, the Ultimate RSI has Oversold, while setting a higher low withing the Pennant.
I believe that once this Pennant starts to breakout, GME is going to stretch into the 30s, and with no current supply above $29, this may very well see it's way into the $60s real quick. This is only the 15 mind you. We still have a much larger Pennant on the 4hr, another Cup & Handle on the 1 day, and a Golden Cross on the weekly. Pretty much every timeframe is showing a bullish pattern right now. If you ask me, I would say it's go time.
Remember, the last time GME broke out from a Golden Cross on the weekly, was back in July of 2020 and lasted until Jan of 2021. And we saw a 12,000 percent run over the span of 6 months.
If you're currently short, you better say a prayer. To everyone else, let the games begin! 🤙
DOGE has formed a Pretty Big C&H Pattern !...As you can see, the price has been able to pass the cup and handle resistance, but this does not mean that the resistance is broken. We need to wait until this weekly candle closes for the breakout to be confirmed. If we measure the AB range, which is 17 cents, and if the breakout is confirmed, we can say that the price will easily grow 17 cents equal to CD.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
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⚠️Things can change...
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