DXY Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 99.109.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 99.404 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Currency
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,329.08.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,396.74 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 141.912.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 145.882 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPJPY Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 189.024.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 187.906.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCHF Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.807.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.824 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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$DXY Repeating 2016 Post-Election I have highlighted the 2016 to 2020 Presidential Elections time period and then pasted that timeframe onto the 2024 election and found that the pattern is going along very similarly to Trump 1.0.
If we assume that the future unfolds the same as last time, which is low probability, of course, then the future will unfold as shown in the yellow bars going into the future, as shown.
Initially in 2016 post election there was a 7% rally in the U.S. Dollar Index and then a 15% retreat for the following year. So far in 2025 we have seen the same rally and a similar decline, but only faster this time.
It would appear as thought the bulk majority of the declines in the TVC:DXY are over at this time with perhaps 4% further downside over the balance of the year.
The Dollar Index has been useful for predicting changes in the earnings estimates for the S&P500 in the USA due to the high percentage of earnings coming back to the US for quarterly reporting. I have posted a few charts in the past which have been helpful at determining the risk in the stock market.
The behavior of the global central banks has certainly had its impact on monetary aggregates and inflation. The policy response since the Covid Pandemic has been for maximum liquidity and maximum Government spending to keep the global economy afloat. The post-Covid response is now coming to a head along with new policy directives to cut wasteful Government spending and to reduce inflation (caused the Gov't spending).
Global investors have flocked to the US for access to high technology stocks and have driven up the value of US assets to extreme levels compared to other markets. This adjustment phase where investors remove money from overvalued, or highly valued, US assets back to other markets has created a wave of selling in the US Dollar and US listed equities.
What does the future hold? We never know but we sure can learn from what happened in the past by looking at charts just like this one to see what may happen. Looks like a bounce in the TVC:DXY from here, followed by a new low and then a rebound into the next few years.
All the best,
Tim
April 22, 2025 1:16PM EST TVC:DXY 98.78 last
SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,271.5.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,036.0 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.385.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.396 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPCAD Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.851.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.834 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPAUD Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2.090.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2.149 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.642.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.640.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD (XAU/USD) Breakout Watch –Bullish Continuation or Pullback?🔍 Instrument Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold vs USD)
Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H (based on candle structure)
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red) – Current value: 3,365.25
EMA 200 (Blue) – Current value: 3,248.04
📈 Current Market Structure
Price: Trading at 3,433.62, in a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
Trend: Bullish, supported by price trading above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
Key Zones:
Immediate Resistance: ~3,430 - 3,440 zone (currently being tested).
First Support Zone: ~3,315 - 3,330
Second Support Zone: ~3,250 - 3,270
🧠 Scenario Analysis
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Price is attempting a break and retest of the resistance zone.
If a successful retest confirms it as support, next upside leg could target 3,480+.
Bullish continuation is favored as long as price holds above 3,385 (recent breakout level).
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Secondary Bias)
If price fails to hold above 3,385, we may see a pullback to:
3,315 - 3,330 support area (reaction likely due to proximity to EMA 50).
A deeper retracement toward the 3,250 zone, aligned with EMA 200, which would be a critical level for bullish continuation or breakdown.
📊 EMA Insight
EMA 50 > EMA 200: Confirms bullish momentum.
The slope of both EMAs is upward, reinforcing current upward trend.
A test of the EMA 50 may offer a buy opportunity if structure holds.
🔔 Trade Outlook
Bullish bias remains intact above 3,385.
Look for bullish price action confirmation (bullish engulfing, pin bars, etc.) on retest of resistance-turned-support.
Monitor volume/activity around 3,385-3,400 for potential rejection or continuation clues.