Get started

Currencymarket

DXY Analysis: Rising Dollar and Market ImplicationsAnalyzing the recent DXY chart, we observe a significant upward movement following a demand build-up. This article explores the implications of a rising U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on currency pairs and major indices like the SP 500 and NASDAQ, aligning with current market dynamics. DXY Chart Breakdown: The chart highlights a strong weekly/daily demand level at 98,500, with an internal structural shift marking a pivot point. A demand build-up preceded a sharp rise, tapping the extreme level of the last point of supply at 100.385, suggesting bullish momentum. The DXY currently stands at 99.915, with potential to test previous supply levels around 101.850. Impact on Currency Pairs: A rising DXY typically strengthens the USD, influencing forex markets: • XXXUSD Pairs (e.g., EURUSD, GBPUSD): These pairs are likely to decline as fewer dollars are needed to purchase foreign currencies, reflecting the USD’s increased value. • USDXXX Pairs (e.g., USDJPY, USDCAD): These pairs are expected to climb, as a stronger USD buys more of the counterpart currency. Exceptions may arise due to region-specific economic data or central bank policies. Effects on Major Indices: The strengthening dollar has broader market implications: • SP 500: Multinational companies may face pressure from reduced overseas earnings, while higher interest rates (often linked to a rising DXY) could lower valuations, potentially leading to declines. • NASDAQ: Tech-heavy and growth-oriented, the NASDAQ may underperform due to its sensitivity to a stronger USD and rising borrowing costs, especially for firms with global revenue. However, a risk-off sentiment or strong U.S. economic data could counter these effects, supporting both indices. Conclusion: The DXY’s upward trajectory signals a robust USD, likely pressuring XXXUSD pairs downward and lifting USDXXX pairs. For indices, the SP 500 and NASDAQ may face headwinds, though context like economic releases or global sentiment will play a key role. Traders should monitor these levels closely for strategic entries and exits. Trump’s speech today may create short-term volatility for the DXY. A focus on tariffs could push it toward 101.850.
TVC:DXY
by Apexfx_Alpha
USDJPY Daily Forecast: Slight Bearish Bias Amid Fundamental FactUSDJPY Daily Forecast: Slight Bearish Bias Amid Fundamental Factors (31/10/2024) Introduction In today's trading session on October 31, 2024, USDJPY appears to carry a slightly bearish bias due to various fundamental drivers impacting both the US Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). This article provides a detailed analysis of USDJPY, focusing on the major economic and geopolitical factors contributing to the bearish outlook. By considering both macroeconomic trends and the latest technical indicators, traders can better navigate potential setups for the USDJPY pair. Key Fundamental Drivers Impacting USDJPY Today 1. Federal Reserve’s Dovish Policy Outlook - The Federal Reserve has recently hinted at maintaining a dovish stance, signaling a potential pause on interest rate hikes. This policy outlook is generally bearish for the USD, as lower interest rates reduce the Dollar’s appeal to investors seeking yield. As a result, the USD could experience downward pressure against the Japanese Yen, contributing to a slight bearish bias for USDJPY. 2. Bank of Japan's Commitment to Policy Adjustments - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has gradually shown signs of flexibility in its yield curve control policy, which could strengthen the Yen. Any indication of a potential shift away from ultra-loose monetary policy is generally supportive for JPY, as it attracts investors looking for stability in an uncertain global environment. This shift increases the possibility of a bearish trend in USDJPY. 3. US Treasury Yields and Safe-Haven Demand - The recent volatility in US Treasury yields has led to fluctuating demand for USD-denominated assets. Lower yields often make the Dollar less attractive, especially in comparison to the Yen, which is considered a traditional safe haven. With a potential decline in yields, demand for USD could weaken, encouraging investors to turn toward JPY and reinforcing the slight bearish outlook for USDJPY. 4. Global Economic Uncertainty and Risk Sentiment - The recent geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties have led to higher risk aversion in the markets. In times of heightened uncertainty, the Yen benefits as a safe-haven currency. This risk-off sentiment may draw investors to JPY, increasing its strength against USD and creating bearish pressure on the USDJPY pair. 5. Japanese Economic Data - Stronger-than-expected Japanese economic data, including stable GDP growth and improved manufacturing output, have added positive momentum to the Yen. These indicators reflect Japan’s gradual recovery, making the Yen more attractive and adding pressure on USDJPY from the Japanese side. Technical Analysis of USDJPY (31/10/2024) From a technical perspective, USDJPY trades below its 50-day moving average, a signal commonly associated with bearish trends. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also hovers near the 40 level, suggesting potential downside momentum. Key support levels around 147.50 and resistance near 150.00 should be monitored. Key Support: 147.50 Key Resistance: 150.00 Conclusion: USDJPY Outlook for 31/10/2024 Given today’s fundamentals and technical conditions, USDJPY exhibits a slightly bearish bias. Factors such as the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, the BOJ’s gradual policy adjustments, and risk aversion in global markets are all contributing to the current outlook. However, traders should remain attentive to any unexpected shifts in global economic data or central bank announcements. For those watching the USDJPY today, focusing on these fundamental drivers and key support levels can provide valuable insights for trading the pair amid a slightly bearish sentiment. SEO-Keywords: #USDJPYForecast #ForexAnalysis #USDToday #JapaneseYen #CurrencyMarket #USDJPYOutlook #BearishUSDJPY #TradingUSDJPY #ForexFundamentals
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
Charting the Trade: USDCAD and the Downtrend DynamicsGreetings Traders, As we anticipate the upcoming week, our attention is firmly on USDCAD, where we are actively assessing a potential selling opportunity around the 1.32600 zone. Engaged in a downtrend, USDCAD demonstrates a sustained downward trajectory. Concurrently, the currency pair is in a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 1.32600 resistance area. This numerical level bears significance as both a historical resistance point and a crucial juncture where the correction may intersect with substantial market forces. Taking a broader economic perspective, let's examine the progression of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, providing insights into the potential market dynamics. The most recent data, dated January 25, 2023, indicates an actual inflation rate of 1.9%, surpassing the forecast of 1.6% and the previous 1.8%. This data points to a pattern of inflation fluctuation over recent quarters. Such variations can potentially influence the sentiment of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in the forthcoming meeting, hinting at potential adjustments in their approach. Understanding these nuances is crucial for traders, as it suggests the possibility of a dovish USD outlook, impacting currency pairs like USDCAD. In navigating the opportunities within the USDCAD chart, traders should remain vigilant, aligning their decisions with the evolving economic landscape. The anticipation of a potential dovish sentiment from the FOMC meeting underscores the importance of a strategic approach to trading in the coming period. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
2
The Three Great Trend Trading CyclesHey Trading family! In this education post I'd like to share with you my observation of the 3 cycles that create the uptrend and downtrend. First, trend refers to the natural movement of price action. You may know this has highs and lows. I say we dig deeper. Highs and lows are referred to as the highest price a buyer could buy a currency while a low is the lowest price a buyer could buy a currency. This is on the consumer side. On the trading side, a high is the highest price you'd sell a currency pair and a low is the lowest price you'd buy the currency pair. I say we dig deeper here. There are 3 cycles that create the legs of highs and lows of a downtrend. Cycle 1 - Trend Continuation In an uptrend you're more than likely to become the buyer. The reason being is because you will likely see when price fluctuates up you will make more money and the move up more visible than the move down. The flow if price naturally moves up continuing the push up to new highs thus in an uptrend we get higher highs. In a down trend you'd more likely become the seller The move down is more visible. The flow if price naturally moves down continuing the push down to new lows thus in a downtrend we get new lower lows. Cycle 2- Retracement A retracement is also called the pullback or correction. This is a sign the momentum or strength in the trend continuation movement will relieve itself and pullback. In an uptrend after a new higher high is formed, price will pullback to form a higher low before continuing back up.You can then become the buyer again. In a downtrend after a new lower low is formed, price will pullback to form a lower high before continuing back down. You can then become the seller again. Cycle 3- Reversal A reversal is the trend switcher. This is not to be confused with the retracement. Reversals switch the full flow of price. An uptrend becomes the downtrend and a downtrend becomes an uptrend. How to know when price has reversed? Easy! It's not a trend line break. It's not a level break! In an uptrend, when price moves down past the last higher low that was formed, that signals the sellers have come into the market or the base currency has lost value and price will begin decreasing. In a downtrend, when price moves up past the last lower high that was formed, that signals the buyers have come into the market or the base currency has gained value and price will begin increasing. Best part to remember is this... An uptrend or downtrend is only made of the trend continuation and retracement cycle. You won't see price reverse much on higher timeframes such as the daily, weekly, and monthly. So don't expect to see price reverse every week or month. Simple right? Go try this out for yourself. If you have any questions or would like to share helpful value please post it below. 😁 Thanks for reading❤️
by ShaquanLopez
6
EURUSD Analysis Using Horizontal Support Resistance at 1.03488EURUSD currency market is still bearish. Watch for sell signals below price level 1.03488. || || Pin Bar formed at price level 1.03488 on October 9, 1989. Horizontal Level is both support and resistance at level 1.03488 beginning in May 1999 and ending in January 2000. Major price move on December 30, 2002 from price level 1.03488. Multiple touches at price level 1.03488 from December 19, 2016 to January 2, 2017. Price level 1.03488 is both support and resistance in year 2022.
Short
by TradeLive-