Forex Portfolio Selection Using Currency Strength Index (CSI)Hello Traders,
Today, I’ll share my portfolio selection approach in forex trading. This method helps identify the best forex pairs to trade based on their relative strength.
The simplest and most effective strategy is to use the Currency Strength Index (CSI), combining the H4, Daily (D1), and Weekly (W1) cumulative strength. By analyzing this data, we can identify the strongest and weakest currencies at any given time.
Once we have this information, the next step is to pair the strongest currencies with the weakest. Here are today’s portfolio selections:
BUY Pairs: GBPUSD, GBPCAD, GBPNZD
SELL Pairs: USDJPY, CADJPY, NZDJPY, USDCHF, CADCHF, NZDCHF
The key benefits of this portfolio selection process are:
A focused view on the most profitable currency pairs
An objective approach to trading decisions
Clear direction on which way to trade (buy or sell)
Like, comment by letting me know what you think and follow me for more trading education.
Happy trading!
Currencystrength
Weekly Trade Planning SessionIn today's session, I will be analyzing the USD/JPY, GBP/USD, CAD/JPY, and EUR/USD pairs.
The framework I follow includes:
Portfolio selection
Currency ranking
Multi-timeframe analysis.
Below is the portfolio selection for this week:
AUD/CAD: Bearish (-5%)
AUD/JPY: Bearish (-59%)
AUD/USD: Bullish (17%)
CAD/JPY: Bearish (-54%)
EUR/CAD: Bullish (16%)
EUR/JPY: Bearish (-38%)
EUR/USD: Bullish (38%)
GBP/JPY: Bearish (-17%)
GBP/USD: Bullish (59%)
USD/CAD: Bearish (-22%)
USD/CHF: Bearish (-63%)
USD/JPY: Bearish (-76%)
Happy Trading!
How To Read Currency PairsHere's a quick and comprehensive guide on how you can read currency pairs as a forex trader!
As usual my objective is to simplify all aspects of trading, so that even someone who has never seen a chart before, can make sense of the topic at hand.
Let's get into it -
Currency pairs are a combination of 2 different currencies and we can trade them based on how they are compared to each other in terms of price (weighted against each other).
How can we use this to make money?
1. Understand the Exchange Rate
Let's assume that the current exchange rate for EURUSD is 1.10, that means of €1 is valued at $1.10.
2. Buy Euros
If you start with $1000 and you believe the exchange rate may increase in the future, it would be a good idea to convert your Dollars into Euros at the current rate.
$1000 / 1.10 (exchange rate) = €909.09
3. Wait for Appreciation
Now, let's assume the exchange rate increases to 1.15. This means that €1 is now worth $1.15.
4. Exchange Back to Dollars
With your 909.09 Euros, you can convert them back into Dollars at the new exchange rate.
€909.09 x 1.15 (new exchange rate) = $1045.45
So, in this example, you've potentially made a profit of $45.45 by anticipating and benefiting from a favorable change in the exchange rate.
Major Currency pairs
CAPITALCOM:EURUSD CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDCHF OANDA:AUDUSD OANDA:NZDUSD FX:USDCAD
Minor Currency Pairs
FX:EURGBP OANDA:EURAUD FOREXCOM:GBPJPY OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:NZDJPY FX:EURJPY OANDA:GBPAUD FX:AUDNZD OANDA:EURCAD FX:GBPCAD
That's a mouthful to take in so I'll leave you there.
Hope this post helps and as usual...
Happy Hunting Predators
🦁🐯🦈
EUR/USD - JUST A CORRECTION?
The price unfolds as previously forecasted.
Currently we finished 5 subwaves in the upside that formed the corrective Wave A, as part of the Wave 4 from the bigger 5 Waves on the downside now.
We will expect the corrective Wave 4 to continue to unfold, before we can say for sure that the Wave 5 impulse started on the downside!
See the chart for a more clear idea of what I'm talking about. Thank you!
From a fundamental perspective, there are a number of factors that are weighing on the euro. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future, which makes the euro less attractive to investors. Additionally, the eurozone economy is facing headwinds from the ongoing war in Ukraine and rising inflation.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is trading below the 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also trading below the support level of 1.0832. If the pair breaks below this level, it could decline to the next support level of 1.0609.
However, there are some technical indicators that suggest that the EUR/USD pair could be bottoming out. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold levels, and the stochastic oscillator is crossing over from oversold territory. This suggests that the pair could be due for a rebound.
Overall, the EUR/USD exchange rate is facing a number of headwinds from a fundamental perspective. However, there are some technical indicators that suggest that the pair could be bottoming out. Traders should closely monitor the price action in the coming days to see if the pair can break out of the current downtrend.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents only my personal thoughts and knowledge at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
Weekly Trade Planning Session
Welcome to this week's Trade Planning Session! In this video, I examined the cumulative CSI (Currency Strength Index) of this past week and compared it to the previous weeks' cumulative CSI.
Based on this evaluation, we have identified the GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and CADJPY as potential buy pairs, while the EURAUD, EURCAD, EURGBP, and EURUSD are potential sell pairs for the upcoming week starting on June 4th, 2023.
Utilizing the 4 Bar Rules, we have determined specific buy and sell points for each pair. These points will serve as reference for making informed trading decisions throughout the week.
We hope you find this session informative and enjoyable as you navigate the exciting world of trading!
Have a blessed trading week.
AUDUSD @ Crispy Potato27/03/22
THE FORECAST FOR WEEK 4 MARCH 2022 IS = DIVIDED ASSESSMENT
DAYS
PROBABILITY OF DAYS FOR WEEK 4 MARCH = BEAR
Monday produced a doji and continued its rally from last week. Tuesday was the largest candle, mostly body some tail on the bottom, and almost none on the top. Wednesday - Friday the candles all Bull but gradually decreased in body size and tails beginning to increase. By Friday we were back on a doji. The volume would be considered average given recent volumes. It increased through to Wednesday and began to slightly turn down by Friday. The OBV is trending Bull. Ther is a resistant point coming up at the $75 mark. This current rally has a steep angle, the candle sizing is waning. A correction seems probable this week.
WEEK
PROBABILITY OF DAYS FOR WEEK 4 MARCH = BULL
This week was a solid Bull candle, mostly body small tails on either side. Indicate little resistance to Bears and next to none for Bull. There is an oversold factor that will begin to play its rolls soon, it will be displayed with tails to the top. As this week approaches the resistance line, it also approaches a support line. This week looks Bull but the resistance can not be ignored. Based on the path of least resistance this week looks like Bull.
Pound is all set to sellEither it's 4Hr,Daily,or hourly chart all signals are alarming Heavy sell off on Pound technically. Fundamentally Tense situation between Russia and Ukraine also signals Dollar buy as safe haven, Inflation at 7.5% signals aggressive monetry adjustment. Main Support at 1.3507 break would set my target. 1.3200 in a week.
Currency Strength ChartBeing able to identify currency strength is an absolute game changer when it comes to forex trading.
Using this chart alongside of Economic News, Market Structure and being at the right place, right time are extremely critical when making a decision to execute a trade. In this chart we have the most popularly traded currency index's so that you will always know the current strength of the currency pairs you plan to trade.
Happy Trading,
May the Pips Ever Be In Your Favor!
JD
ARKfx
USD Index: 7/12/21 - 7/16/21This is a USD index I created. I use these to help gage currency strength when looking for a pair to trade. I have more of a neutral bias for the dollar right now. Waiting to see how price action plays out.
GL Traders!
"Don’t blindly follow someone, follow the market and try to hear what it is telling you." - Jaymin Shah
Our CURRENCY STRENGTH Meter Readings: 09/06/21 (See on Chart)NB; These readings fluctuate from time to time. They apply to daily to weekly timeframes (Not so much on smaller timeframes).
Make use of it to trade the best pair (by pairing the weaker currencies to the stronger currencies). For example, taking the current strongest currency - GBP and pairing it to the weakest currency - JPY; = GBPJPY LONG.
Thank you. Trade smartly.
DXY continuing to push higherAnother strong day for the dollar index as the bulls push higher. We now wait patiently for the 200EMA to be tested.
Is this fundamental data being priced in early? We have seen a volatile bond market recently and key economists predicting a strong dollar before the end of the year.
We covered this in our last publish looking at the DXY and how we could be looking to set up in the coming weeks/months under a new Biden administration. Vaccination numbers also continue to rise across the US, prompting more economic upturn coupled with the continued stimulus package being received by a large percentage of American citizens.
Biden has spoken about his plans, But where will the money come from? another $3trillion is going to be challenging.