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USDJPY Rally Slowing Down; Get Ready to Go ShortUSDJPY has seen an impressive rally from the lows in late May. But there are cracks in the armor: we see strong momentum divergences in both the MACD and the RSI. We also have a nearly complete 5 wave sequence (the wave count inside the circles), with a triangle as wave ((4)). This is very telling from an Elliott Wave point of view. Why? The triangle pattern ALWAYS precedes the final move in the larger term sequence. So, if we have a triangle pattern in wave ((4)), this suggests that we need a final wave ((5)) up (which price is tracing out now), after which the trend will shift to the downside. How exactly you enter this position is up to you. You could wait for price to break through the support shelf around 134.30-134.80. Or if you practice Elliott Wave theory, you could wait for a smaller time frame impulse wave to the downside to confirm the new trend. Either way, we believe that the best trades in USDJPY will be to the downside. At Parallax, we focus on wave analysis and 1-on-1 education to build a foundation of skills that give our clients the edge. We trade Crypto, Forex (FX), and equities. We keep our analysis simple, clear, and easy to execute. Comment below if you would like to see more trade ideas, Elliott wave analysis, and market updates
Short
by ImreSG
1
USDCAD set to stall at or break key resistance?Hello to our subscribers and the TradingView community welcome to Wednesday’s update. With oil tumbling and the USD jumping, we can only think of one pair that benefits from those two moves. The USDCAD is highly driven on both fronts, and the CAD is a commodity currency that generally tracks oil’s fortunes. The USD, well yeh enough said. Last night we saw key moves on oil and the USD. Oil shed up to 10% and briefly traded below the $100 level. The USD shot higher, the index trading above 106.50. Looking at the daily USDCAD chart below, we can see that price continues to trade in a new fast trend after buyers took control on the 8th of June. Since then, we have seen one reaction that set up demand and an HL late in June. Buying has continued into July, with traders retesting key resistance and supply areas that have stood since May. The recent resistance and supply lines up with a longer-term level of supply /resistance that runs back to November 2020. This is our line in the sand that buyers must break to continue the current trend. If we see a break above these levels, it could be game on with 1.31 and 1.32 or higher a possibility. Fail, and we would look for a new move to possibly retest the 1.2850 area. It’s really up to buyers and mainly USD momentum to continue to drive the current buyer move. The Fed minutes are due out today at 04:00 am AEST, and they could play a role in the current short-term USD pulse. Good trading.
by Eightcap
The price of Tron will reach 0.072.Hello. According to the analysis, the Tron currency will fall in the resistance point "Re 1" and then with the price falling on one of the support points "Su 1" or "Su 2" its price will return to the point " Re 1 "arrives. So according to the analysis we have to keep our price up to 0.072 Tron and then sell it so that the Tron currency reaches one of the support points. First resistance point: Re 1 First support point: Su 1 Second support point: Su2 Thank you very much for your valuable time.
by Wall_Meme
Characteristics of Currency PairsHey Guys! Here are some characteristics of currency pairs that I noticed over the years. Perhaps it'll help you find the pairs that best fit your trading style, or perhaps you can use this information as an add-on to your current strategy. Gbp/Usd - Tends to overshoot key levels. - Can use to get better risk/reward. Both on entries and targets. - Can expect many fake breakouts; where key higher time frame levels may be broken on the lower time frames but fail to break out on the higher time frames. Eur/Usd- Tends to accurately respond to key levels. - Can be used for tight stop loss placements for there is no need to add a couple pips for wiggle room on this pair. - Especially on this pair, remember to enter/exit without being greedy or scared. Due to the response accuracy at key levels, price will not give you a second chance to enter a trade or take profits. Usd/Jpy-Tends to have huge moves without price confirmation.In other words, price gets forced up or down by a higher power for months at a time. - Can use to ultimately enter counter the initial direction of the forced move; expecting price to return to fair value. - Can use this characteristic to ride this forced move while not requiring price confirmation for your entry. Usd/Chf- Tends to have false break outs. - Especially on this pair, remember to watch the lower time frame's price action to make sure the break out is legitimate. Eur/Jpy, Aud/Jpy, Gbp/Jpy tend to form trade set ups simultaneously. - If you notice a strong move occuring on the eur/jpy, pay attention to the aud/jpy and gbp/jpy for possible trade opportunities and visa versa. That's it! I hope this helps! Ken
Education
by TradingForexPriceAction
3
4 Steps To Become A Confident TraderIf you lack confidence in ability as a trader I am here to encourage you. Being a forex trader can be hard, but when you learn the steps it takes to become confident in your abilities it can become more simple. In this video, I am going to give you the 4 steps I give to my clients who work with me for 6 weeks in our 1 on 1 sessions. I'd love to know if you've been struggling in this area and what questions you may have to help you overcome your struggles. Write them below and let's chat.
by ShaquanLopez
8
USDINR looks strong on Daily & Weekly timeframe, heading to 77.8USDINR is rising on rising sharply due rising crude oil prices this week, as European nations has said No to Russian Oil. USDINR is looking strong and can head to levels of 77.8 where it can face huge resistance. If USDINR manages to trade above 77.8 levels on daily and weekly timeframes, then it is heading towards 78.5 levels. If BEARS managed to hold USDINR further upward movement or if RBI intervenes, then it can fall back to retest 77.4 levels. P.S. Most of this movement in USDINR this week would be dependent on how CRUDE OIL performs in global markets.
Long
by simplyansh
How to analyze a counter-trend trade Do you know if you are a counter-trend trader and if it fits your trading style? We will need to analyze what a counter-trend trader is appropriate to answer these questions. Counter - to move against Trend - the latest direction in which something is moving Trade - to exchange If you put all of these terms together, a counter-trend trade is an exchange that goes against the direction. Let's take into account EURCAD. On the daily timeframe, the price in April was bearish. You can see the visual evidence based on the daily lower lows and lower highs that formed. On May 10, 2022, the buyers pushed the price up past the last lower high at 1.37599, representing the previous highest exchange rate price sellers sold, causing the price to decline again to new lows at 1.33903. This signals a reversal in price. Here is the true question: Would it be wise to become the buyer, and what would that look like? It is wise, but you'd have to understand which market cycle you'd be trading in. There are three market cycles. 1. Trend continuation (a.k.a impulse) 2. Retracement (a.k.a the correction or counter-trend or pullback) 3. Reversal When the price passed 1.37599 to make new highs at 1.37695, that signaled a reversal. It would have been wise to wait for a pullback before buying back up to ensure a better risk to reward. If this trade were taken above 1.33903 back up to the new highs, you would have had a decent risk to reward. But, what about now. Could the same results be produced? Let's go deeper. Does this qualify as a counter-trend trade? If you scale up to the higher timeframe, you will see the weekly timeframe is in a downtrend. It is making lower lows and lower highs. So any buy you enter on the lower timeframe at this point will be categorized as a counter-trend trade. Here is what this means: 1. Do not expect to hold counter-trend trades as long as you would a trend trade. Choosing which timeframes you enter counter-trend trades will help determine where you take profits, and your rules should play a big part in this. 2. Sometimes, you won't know if you're entering a counter-trend trade unless you become aware of which cycle you are trading. If it's not clear, try going up one timeframe. As far as this potential trade here goes, this would be considered a daily timeframe counter-trend trade because the weekly is in a strong downtrend. Something to remember: The best traders go with the trend. They may counter-trend trade occasionally, but their systems work best when they trend trade. When choosing if you are the counter-trend trader, make sure your timeframes align, and you have sufficient visual evidence you are trading with the trend before entering a counter-trend trade. Also, consider lowering your risk so you do not give back profits you may have just earned. Lastly, consider if counter-trend trading may not be your thing. It's ok if it's not. Not all great traders trade the same. It's ok to be in your lane. I pray this quick analysis and note were helpful. I'd love to converse with you if you have any questions or thoughts. So comment below, and let's chat there. -Shaquan
by ShaquanLopez
1
The Next Big Move For Euro and DollarHey Purpose traders. Did you know the Euro and Dollar are negatively correlated currency pairs in the market. What this means is the EURUSD moves opposite of the dollar index (ticker symbol DXY). In this video, I will show you the supply and demand technicals behind the currency pair and index. Please understand this is not a signal, but an educational video. If a trade can be taken, please use your own knowledge and trade at your own risk.
Short
by ShaquanLopez
3
USDCAD, could a new push lower be on the cards? Looking at the USDCAD on the daily chart TradingView community, could we see a new move lower if sellers can reverse today's rally and break last Friday's low? We are looking for that low break as it will back up a break of the fast trend and confirm the current bearish CCI. Risk markets look to be back in vogue on the short term, but this could be a short term move as overall inflation has not gone anywhere. Oil is another factor for this pair, and for now, buyers are trimming earlier losses. So we will continue to watch this pair's price action, and if we do see a new break below last Friday's low, we will look to see if it can turn into a new leg lower. Good trading
Short
by Eightcap