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Curves

BTC : CurvesHere is a cyclic curve lattice used to identify historical and future support/resistance levels that can assist us with our trades. The chart is unraveled on the 4 week time interval and the logarithmic price scale. Every historical curve shows at least one critical price action reaction. Here are the most important, all but one relating to candle wicks... Green curve price action reactions : Red curve price action reactions : Future cycles are carefully estimated using Fibonacci measurements. Finally, thank you to my followers and to those who enjoyed viewing this idea. Feel free to give it a boost if you like it. // Durbtrade
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Durbtrade
Bitcoin - Probabilistic MapSince traders are literally made of particles, it's vital to know the principles of their behavior in micro scale. Some people even use planetary cycles to implement into charting. But I believe the answer is deep in quantum world of probabilities - the fabric of reality itself. Reference to Quantum Mechanics The universe itself prohibits 100% prediction accuracy. This is called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle, and it's the fundamental building blocks of Quantum Mechanics. In order to predict particles behavior, all you need are just 2 quantities/data/features: 1) Position of the particle 2) Momentum of the particles. If you know it's position and it's momentum, you can easily predict it's trajectory. So if you have position and momentum data of all particles in the universe, and you have unlimited computational power, you can predict their behavior (interaction, movement, etc.), and basically predict the future (stock market, weather, natural disaster, etc). However, the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle states that it is impossible to collect information of particles's position and momentum with 100% certainty. The more certain you know about particle's position, the less certain it's momentum" and vice versa. So if somehow with the unlimited computational power you can predict particle's position at time with 100% accuracy, then your prediction error for its velocity will be infinity, which prevent you for making accurate further predictions, rendering your model useless. Hence, it's theoretically impossible to make 100% accurate prediction even with unlimited data and unlimited computational power. So Is The Universe deterministic or probabilistic? 100% prediction accuracy also means the universe is deterministic - there's only one possible outcome of the future. Einstein was on this side, citing "God doesn't play with dice". On the other hand, folks like Heisenberg, Max Born, Schrodinger, Oppenheimer, etc.., the founding fathers of Quantum Mechanics, viewed the future as set of possible outcomes each having it's own probability. Since market couldn't care less about anyone's subjective forecasts, I do predictions solely based on historic price dynamics in macro scale to stay objective and true with the market pulse rather than be bared with my endless interpretations of patterns. I don't need my consciousness to interpret because we already have a data derived from collective consciousnesses to work with. Chart is already a reflection of reality that captures the emotions of participants. In other words, it's a time fractal that exposes the essence of the market across timeframes. In turn the market itself is a function of trading time . These basis justify linking systematic fragments of cycles to work out the capacity of price action. Basically in Fractal Analysis, the question is how can direct metrics of the historic waves geometrically explain current and future price levels. The Fibonacci sequence is a mathematical concept that appears in various aspects of nature. This connection between mathematics and the natural world is a fascinating example of how patterns and structures found in abstract concepts like numbers can manifest in physical reality . Particularly, using Golden Ratio as a key rule that governs order in chaos. In TradingView, the "Fibonacci Channels" is a great tool to capture the waves (domestic certainty) and turn them into a probabilistic interconnected structure that captures the uncertainty of the market - the entanglement of price action. To start with it's vital to use log scale where percentages are equally captured in distances. So a 100% a growth, say a vertical distance from $40 to $80 measures the same distance as from $1000 to $2000. Besides, percentages are what drives people to feel emotions which affect market behavior (collective executions). Finding geometric relationship between waves, the use of log scale is a must. As I've done this before I want to show how market deviates near fibs. A Direction of 2013 HIGH ⇨ 2017 HIGH with bottom of 2011 gives next bottom 2015 at 0.618 after -86% drop. And also predicts the COVID bottom in 2019 after -72% drop as well as current level where price has cooled down locally. We can note that previous ATHs are explained with logarithmic curve. That's why we'd need another fib channel to connect 2017 HIGH ⇨ 2021 HIGH direction with previous bottom of -86% drop in 2015. FC of that direction predicts bottoms of 2018 (-84%) and covid 2019 (-72%) at 0.618 again. Together they produce an interference pattern covers significant historic price changes. To further interpret current levels though the chart itself, we can use line with angle of direction connecting 2021 double tops: This shows the capacity of how high the market might still grow before next significant correction, if the local fib to the price hasn't yet dimmed the bullish incentive. Another straight line can be used to connect 2019 COVID LOW (-72%) with 2022 LOW, because we might probably never see such price levels in the nearest future as price has broken out with high rate of change. Now it needs more time and bearish capacity to go there. This line can indicate the bottom of hypothetical correction, if it happens now. Other than that it's a clear trendline with almost 4Y wavelength. Since straight lines doesn't exist in nature, I didn't extend them to the right. Now we need a more adaptive version of it to connect recent local bottoms of the trend. That would be a logarithmic trendline, in other words curves to mimic the function of exponential growth. Therefore falling below it, might indicate a possibility of correction and even reversal. Each day if it fails to grow with the curve, the bears will get depleted. A cross below the logarithmic curve of spreading information would be a confirmation of new bearish incentive. This is simply done to work out boundaries as limits of the function that explains the market. Corrective wave has a timing of 15 days in respect to its domestic volatility properties, before it becomes bearish impulsive or continues the impulsive bullish wave. Curves as a function of trading time explain pretty much all historic bullrun growths. As if there is some kind of gravity that governs the trend or it's the PriceTime that curves with the emerging trend. Individual cycles can be too curved accordingly. So the more the price fails to break out that function, the more predictive curve becomes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
3
SOFR Futures Curve SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) is a benchmark interest rate that is based on the cost of borrowing cash overnight, collateralized by US Treasury securities. It is considered to be a replacement for the LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) benchmark, which is being phased out by the end of 2021. SOFR futures are derivative contracts that allow market participants to trade on the expected future values of the SOFR rate. They are traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). SOFR futures prices are quoted in terms of the expected SOFR rate at the time the contract expires. For example, a SOFR futures contract expiring in March 2023 may be quoted at a price of 98.50, which would imply an expected SOFR rate of 1.50% at that time. These prices are used by market participants to hedge against interest rate risk and to speculate on the future direction of interest rates. The importance of SOFR futures lies in their use as a benchmark for a wide range of financial products, including loans, mortgages, and derivatives. As such, movements in SOFR futures prices can have significant implications for the broader financial markets. Traders and investors can use charts of SOFR futures prices to identify trends and patterns in the market and to make informed trading decisions. The ability to analyze and interpret these charts is therefore a valuable skill for anyone involved in the financial markets. Futures curves are a series of futures contracts for a specific underlying asset with different delivery dates. The SOFR futures curve represents the market's expectation of future SOFR rates over time. It shows the current market pricing for SOFR futures contracts with different maturities. Each point on the curve represents a future SOFR contract with a specific expiration date. Reading the SOFR futures curve can provide important insights into market expectations about the future path of interest rates. The shape of the curve can provide signals about market sentiment and economic conditions. In a typical yield curve, a steep upward slope suggests the market expects interest rates to rise in the future, while a flat or inverted curve suggests the opposite. The same principles apply to futures curves. The SOFR futures curve is particularly important for markets as it serves as a benchmark for pricing various financial products, such as swaps and interest rate derivatives. Changes in SOFR futures prices can have a significant impact on the broader financial markets and the economy as a whole. As such, traders, investors, and policymakers closely monitor the SOFR futures curve to gain insights into the market's outlook for interest rates and to inform their investment and policy decisions.
CME:SR31!Education
by shamscom
$CRV with More Curves $crv finally looks to be ready. as mentioned last time, I believe $crv will have an explosive breakout. levels in the right are fib levels, and tp levels are marked with green (and yellow if you have weak hands). other fib lines (purple) can be used as stop losses in profit. info lines in the center are experimental, and show the possible heights $crv can reach on this third parabolic step breakout run (calculated using the first two parabolic steps). bar pattern is $fil which also saw tons of accumulation before breakout. scaled to size to show possible market movement and fit too perfectly with my fib levels and curves not to add lol. having fun with this one but confident with this prediction. good luck all! lmk what you think
Long
by DanielDimes
3
BTC - 1Day MACD Curves: 4 Year ViewMACD study results. MACD line only (no signal line). Curves with the most obvious and numerous influences on the MACD line. The 2 dotted curves are alternate pathways of the solid blue curve. I also included 3 dashed rays that I came across. I found them interesting as well... 1) The orange dashed ray spans the entire chart, holding up the base on which the Dec 2017 peak stands, all the way to the March 2021 ATH. 2) The blue dashed ray is pretty obvious, starting on Feb 2018 leading up to the June 2019 peak. Of note, if you look closely at Jan and Feb 2021, you can see some dimples in the MACD line when it crosses the ray. 3) The yellow dashed ray also starts on Feb 2018, and its influence on the MACD line is quite awesome. Turns out that this line held the MACD line down mere days ago. We are right below it. While I did not include them in the chart, as it wasn't my objective, I did some projections of what may be ahead, without looking at price, mapping out a few pathways of what the MACD might look like hitting the major price milestones at likely intervals, up to 300K by the end of the year. It was very fascinating. I also looked at how high the MACD already is, as well as how long its been above zero. And that red curve looks scary... personally I wouldn't want the MACD to get locked below it. Does this help you trade more successfully? Maybe. Maybe not. At the very least, it looks cool. That's about it. Hope that you found this interesting! Feel free to comment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Durbtrade
CADJPY Two long setups on 4HBy looking at the daily chart, I came up with two possible long setups with the first one very close to the current price. First entry zone A bit aggressive. I will pay close attention to it. Second entry zone This one is more comfortable from my side. CAD is a commodity currency which correlates with crude oil. JPY is a safe-haven asset. Normally investors tend to flood into the currency against the backdrop of uncertainty. Now, news pertaining to vaccine is good. US election is done. The recent 2nd or 3rd wave of covid-19 loom the future economy, other factors seems favor the currency pair. So let's see!
Long
by JICPT
2
Probabilities on USTECHSeasoned traders will know the influence USTECH has on world stock indices and several forex pairs. I'm seeing something that I did not quite expect. I stick my neck out. But note that this market is not a true market. How? It is well known that it is artificially inflated by the influence of a powerful body called the FED. If you don't know the FED, stop trading now. I show two paths based on 'theory of curves' and what I would normally expect. I am there to be proved wrong by the markets - all the time. Newbies focus on being right, and how right they are. Seasoned traders embrace being wrong, and limiting how wrong they are. Yep - that's a very big difference. So - we'll have to wait and see what happens next. No choice.
U
by Captain_Walker
AUDUSD is GOING to the MOON | Daily predictionThis is my daily prediction, I will be making them more seriously. LOL. I've analyzing: * Quantum-patterns * Harmonic-patterns * Fibonacci * Curves Do not miss this opportunity! * I don't use SL. Sorry for the analyzes, I have had to do them seriously, although the market for me is a video-game, where patients and geniuses always win, or either one. ROFL. Quantum-Risk-Management: LOT 0.01 - ALWAYS Capital | leverage 0-25 1:1 26-250 1:25 251-500 1:50 501-1000 1:100 ... 2000 1:200 3000 1:300 4000 1:400 ... 10000 1:1000 MORE THAN THIS, YOU CAN CONTACT ME FOR CALCULATING. #SmartRisk by #BloodhoundST
Long
by JBPip
BTCUSD is GOING DOWN! | Frequency-waves-analysisExcuse me, I am doing serious analysis right now, ROFL. After re-analyzing: * quantum-patterns * Fibonacci * Curves * frequency-waves * Elliot's waves I've found this 'anti-qantum-gravity-price-zone', and ... just don't let it go. Let's wait for #Bloodhound'sEffect! And #BePatient! "It takes me 30 seconds to predict the market for the week, these drawings are decorations, this is another level". "I see the market as a videogame ... but, now I'm turning serious. It's the time for the pip's party". "I just understood the quantum-universe and its extension, and I applied-it to trading (in collaboration with Sniper's Brothers), I feel good to know that I was the first to develop Quantum-trading, Qantum-time-analysis and Qantumpatterns (in my first 3 months of trading, maybe I was born as a crack ...), with this, you have the market in your hands, basically ... 5-17 hours a day of trading's study were worth it, although it almost killed me ... but, I'm here now for breaking the market as always. We're going to change the history of trading so far, with some corrections to Elliot-waves". "We consider that the market reveals the heart of man, and how it is related to fibonacci, quantum mechanics, Newtonian physics, fractals, astrophysics and advanced mathematics, in addition to nature - supported by the theory of intelligent design". #FirstQuantumTrader Info: I don't use SL, these SL are for reference.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JBPip
6
USDJPY is GOING to REACH 129!! Quantum-harmonic-AnalysisSorry, but I'm turning serious now, LOL. After re-analyzing: * quantum-patterns * harmonic-patterns * Fibonacci * Curves * Elliot's waves I've found this 'anti-qantum-gravity-price-zone', and ... just don't let it go. Let's wait for #Bloodhound'sEffect! And #BePatient! "It takes me 30 seconds to predict the market for the week, these drawings are decorations, this is another level". "I see the market as a videogame ... but, now I'm turning serious. It's the time for the pip's party". "I just understood the quantum-universe and its extension, and I applied-it to trading (in collaboration with Sniper's Brothers), I feel good to know that I was the first to develop Quantum-trading, Qantum-time-analysis and Qantumpatterns (in my first 3 months of trading, maybe I was born as a crack ...), with this, you have the market in your hands, basically ... 5-17 hours a day of trading's study were worth it, although it almost killed me ... but, I'm here now for breaking the market as always. We're going to change the history of trading so far, with some corrections to Elliot-waves". "We consider that the market reveals the heart of man, and how it is related to fibonacci, quantum mechanics, Newtonian physics, fractals, astrophysics and advanced mathematics, in addition to nature - supported by the theory of intelligent design". #FirstQuantumTrader Info: I don't use SL, these SL are for reference.
by JBPip
For science! So here we are... Typical exponential lifecycle.Another mass hysteria to look at. On this chart I took the sum of coronavirus new cases in GB + France + Italy + Germany + Spain + Portugal + The Netherlands. A reminder, I posted the idea "Virus spread/Bacteria poluation/Ponzi scheme lifecycle" March 20th, as we were near the top of the Log Growth phase and everyone was panicking. As you can see the stationary phase lasted from the 27 March to 16 April. In my idea I posted a stationary phase going from the 30 March to the 17 April. This time was not different, and the entire situation was painfully simple to predict. "More than 50 million will die" I laughed hysterically at this idiotic nonsense 2 months ago, and today, I still laugh. I got violently and heinously criticized, and I was right. Again. I refuse to give attention to these people. I refuse to debate with people which expertise level is so far below my own. I also got called a perma bear alot. "The EU will never break apart" We'll see about that. "Europe will always be free", that one aged well. If we learned something it is that when the mindless herd becomes afraid, OUR liberties, for all of us, not just the dumb scared people, can fade away more rapidly than we can run away to another country. Whatever the consequences of this event are, this period will enter history as just another mass hysteria, a new entry to the list of "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds". We have also witnessed absolute cretins fight for toilet paper, disgusting parasites try to profit from the situation by hoarding goods. And of course we have seen how "for the people" far left politicians instantly turned to complete NAZIS. Wow! Didn't see that coming right? "We're the good guys". I kept repeating how evil and dangerous they were, and how they'd go really bad at the first chance! Proven right once again! While we're at it, still the same view of BTC We can look at other places curve. Turkey is situated at 35-40°N and have similar flu seasons to west europe. The average flu or common cold seasons per country exists, but good luck finding it on the internet (I stumbled on it a few weeks ago). Depends when their flu season is, depends when they got hit... India is going to get rekt. I know there is data for rhinovirus, coronavirus, influenza virus seasonality, it's just impossible to find because no one is interested. India has one of the most expensive stock markets and is full of ponzis and gamblers. Lmao I find it hilarous that India is crashing its own economy with a lockdown when they have rabbies (aka the zombie apocalypse) and corpses lying around or floating in rivers with no animals to clean up, and dump chemicals and feces in the Ganje, and have huge flu numbers every year and no one cares, people there don't even vaccinate they can't be bothered 😆 But let's shut down the country because "your papaya has covid quick declare national emergency" communist scheming WHO said to. There is so much bad hygiene in India man, they have all kinds of parasites and viruses, the situation is so bad I think soon they'll have aliens. This is too much. How will history look at this period? This must be by far one of the dumbest periods in history. And go figure, it's the one where people think they're so smart and so advance and "muh science".
CEducation
by MrRenev
10