The DXY looks like it could start to break down below 100. If we get a weekly close below the grey box I think we see stocks and crypto perform very well. FED interest rate decision coming up as well this week with markets expecting a cut in rates, combined with DXY breaking down, would be cause for a strong move up in markets. We could however, see a hard landing...
ANALYSIS ON FED STANCE Powell has consistently indicated that interest rate decisions would hinge on economic data, a stance reaffirmed by the unchanged rates in the latest policy announcement. Despite the Fed's clarification that rate cuts are unlikely until there is more certainty that inflation is consistently heading towards the 2% target, some still question...
Last year, despite the volatility in the markets (fight against inflation, SVB collapse, conflict in Gaza....) the DXY traded in a slightly consolidative range, between the 100 and 107 price levels (compared to 2022, where the DXY rose from 95 up to almost 115). The theme of the first quarter of 2024 is likely to be about if/when the Federal Reserve would...
After the OPEC meeting yesterday, the price of oil experienced a huge gap up. This is the result that many traders were expecting, but for those who are inexperienced or not mentally prepared, this situation can lead to panic and anxiety. As a trader, learning to control your emotions and resetting your mindset is crucial. When I saw the sudden rise in the price...
loss are part of trading. this is my cut loss screen shot where the price\analysis moved against analysis. modest risk.
The FOCM will begin Wednesday evening to make the market and investors understand the next moves for the short and medium term and the ECB will follow the next day. It is very likely that the euro will come out even more devalued at the end of these two days. As the European Central Bank will almost certainly show a weak economic and political scenario in the...
Aiming to support employment growth and to provide economic support RBA cut its cash rate by 25 bps to a low of 1% at the july meeting. The Australian economy grew below trend at 1.8% this was followed by low consumption and income growth. while increased investments in infrastructure is providing a pick up in activity in the resources sector. a pickup in...
Gold is breaking resistance levels in most indices. With the probability of the fed cutting rates at almost 90%, Gold seems like a great option for a medium-term investment.
check out my chart, i dont really have much of an insight other than a couple bounces in a downward channel coupled with the political economic atmosphere and the fed meeting in two week, i think there is ample opportunity for a huge up swing if fed cuts rates. Time to front run the trade my friends.
Mar 2020 Fed Funds Futures vs Actual Fed Fund Rate... its a pricing a rate cut, as Mar 2020 Fed Funds Futures get below actual Fed Fund Rate
There was a statistically significant bump-up in the stock market following Trump's presidential victory. (*) In 2017, the positive slope of support clearly increased from long-term under Obama (2009 to 2015) forming the shaded area I'm calling a 'bubble' (not to mention the parabolic slope above it). I expect this was due to anticipation that tax cuts would...
WITH THE RBNZ RATE CUT TO 2% AND POTENTIAL FURTHER RATE CUTS COMING TOWARDS THE END OF THE YEAR WE CAN SEE THE VALUE OF THE KIWI DECLINE WITH A STRONGER DOLLAR AND MORTGAGE DEPOSITS RISE UP TO 50% IN NEW ZEALAND I SAY, SHORT, SHORT, SHORT!
GBP USD PRICE DATA. RATE CUT WILL NOT HAPPEN SO EVERYONE IS LOOKING BEARISH. I GOT THAT FEELING ITS GOING LONG. HOWEVER I DONT MARRY INTO THE PRICE. I GO WHICH WAY TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS GUIDE ME
Inline with the mixed information below, i too am undecided with what the RBA will do. There are several arguments for a cut e.g. CPI falling at an alarming rate/ strong trend; strong aussie; 1.75% high yield and likely to maintain AUD strength. But several against e.g. some of the trimmed prints show stability at 1.7%; need for more data - aussie employment...
CHF too expensive in EUR terms I expect a rate cut by the SNB.... if not...they will intervene directly.
S&P Polish Rating Cut for First Timei USDPLN
A simillar move has happened before, so don't be surprised. Short now and place your limit buys around 200. Give it a little overhead up to 320 though ...