NRT- European Energy PlayNRT an oil trust stock, is up 75 % for the year despite global challenged market. It is in the middle of its trading range for the past 12 months.
Given the situation in Europe and lack of Russian oil in the free global oil market. I see this as a long-term swing play on energy with
upside heading into the European winter heating season. With the RSI between 40-50% this market is not oversold or bought.
CVX
CVX shows bullish hammer under MA 100 on dailyShorted after a nice bearish hammer at high.
Needed to move my stop closer since got bullish hammer after clearing MA 100 which is concerning.
A lot of room to go down but have to mitigate my risks. Ready to renter if stopped out after downward movement resumes.
OXY SHORT after bouncing down from All Time ResistanceOXY as shown on the chart is still in a megaphone pattern.
Horizontal resistance red line is the all time highs of Spring 2018.
In the past several trading sessions, spot oil has dropped from $96 to $87.
The MACD indicator which is lagging shows the K / D cross over the histogram.
Accordingly, OXY is now trending downward to the mid-Fibonacci retracement levels
and the confluence of the mid-line of the megaphone pattern.
This appears to be a safe short trade setup especially now that the buying
pressure of Mr. Buffet has subsided.
VET is pumping profits LONGVET like OXY is showing a great chart with consistent price action.
Fundamentally, it has had great earnings reports in the past year.
It rates an 8/8 on the Minervini Trend scale showing strength and duration of trend
as very high. Vermillon Energy has been strong in the general market downturn.
I see this as a Swing long setup with a good expectant reward for the risk assumed.
I am considering the call strike $30 option for September 16th.
USOUSD Swing LONG ( Bullish Pennant)BITTREX:USOUSD
USO having retraced down from its high at resistance above
its uptrend until bouncing off a retriacement Fibonacci
level is now poised to rebound up until at least hitting
the respective Fibonacci levels of that move. This
appears to be a bullish pennant now ready for
a continuation / breakout.
I see an immediate term upside of 10% and will set a
stop loss of 1 % making for a reward of 10X
OXY Sellers Fall Down ( Flat Bottom Triangle Breakout) LONGNYSE:OXY
One hour chart: NYSE:OXY
In the past day, the relative volume of sellers has decreased
and price momentum is gradually increasing despite
the general market reaction to federal economic news.
The flat bottom triangle breakout suggests sellers are capitulating
on pricing given current circumstances. The RSI Oscillator
is in a mid-range suggesting more upside.
I see a long setup with call otpions 2 weeks expiration strike $85.
8/24/22 CVXChevron Corporation ( NYSE:CVX )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Integrated Oil )
Market Capitalization: 319.434B
Current Price: $163.19
Breakout price: $164.35
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $156.20-$146.90
Price Target: $180.00-$182.70
Estimated Duration to Target: 48-50d
Contract of Interest: $CVX 10/21/22 170c
Trade price as of publish date: $5.60/contract
OXY Early Breakout from FLAT BOTTOM TRIANGENYSE:OXY
OXY has market momentum with the ongoing Buffet buying frenzy.
It has been in a pattern since the spring 2022 Buffet buying that is a flat bottom
triangle. The latest buying seems to be resulting in
a breakout from the triangle yet without retest.
Rising relative strength on the RSI serves to validate the move.
Buffet seems to know that the current inflation is a headwind for growth
for the alternative energy sector while Big Oil is drowning in cash
and buying back stock relentlessly. A
ll in all , OXY IS A STONG BUY even if spot oil and futures prices are drifting lower.
if the retest fails and OXY returns to the triangle in conjunction with
oil prices decreasing and the general market sideways, I will take
some put options for a few months.
CVXUSDT: Growth opportunitiesGreat moment on the CVX coin.
Previously, I posted an idea for this coin, indicating the end of the correction was imminent.
At the moment, the formation of the final wave 5 in wave C (as part of the ABC correction) began.
I have already opened a long position and plan to increase volume as it descends to the $4.5 level.
COMMODITIES (OIL ) vs EQUITIES ( DIA)In this chart, I have plotted the ratio of the price of the USOIL ETF over the DIA, which is the broad ETF for the DJI.
The chart shows the USOIL ETF has been stronger than the DIA until the market lows in mid June after which
the DIA rebounded while hot oil prices cooled off.
The analysis would be is that oil prices may be relatively undervalued at present and so represent a potential
basement sale at a time when the federal goverment just approved a vast upgrade in oil leases on federal land.
If investing in big oil at this time ( like Warren Buffet) what stock or ETF trade would you be inclined to take? AMEX:USO
FEDS open federal land for oil exploration LONG SETUP USOUSDVANTAGE:USOUSD
With the news catalyst of massive new open leases on federal land for USOIL
and the big oil companies USOUSD has reacted with a big uptrend.
with major resistance 3 to 4 percent higher this may continue.
This seems to be a good setup for a swing long trade on USOUSD
and potentially any of the big oil stocks.
CVXUSDT: Good prospectsI present to you a great trading plan for CVX.
A powerful upward momentum was formed in wave 1 or A, with truncation in the intermediate wave 5.
At the moment the price is already correcting in wave 2 or B, forming an ABC correction pattern, which may end very soon.
I plan to open a long position on the completion of the intermediate wave C (in wave 2 or B).
Convex Finance (CVX) formed Gartley | A good buy opportunityHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new update on Convex Finance (CVX) with BTC pair.
On a 4-hour time frame, CVX has formed a bullish Gartley pattern.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade
USOIL a classic Elliot Flat Correction?USOIL makes what looks like a classic Elliot Flat Correction. But where does it go from here? Is the correction a pause in upward prices? Or is the correction the change in direction from uptrend to downtrend?
Note that the bottom yellow dotted line is the 200day MA area. Haven't even bounced off that yet.
CRVThe CRV projection shows bottoms likely in and we have been buying down for a very nice avg entry. Mine is somewhere around $1.30 if I am to remove all the free coins I've made trading CRV during the2021 bull market. This is a boring chart showing that we land somewhere around $6 EOY -Jan 2023 but we should expect a slow recovery here becuase USA Markets are a bees dick away from a recession and altseason is in the review mirror at this point. Likely no awesome altseason again until next BTC 1/2ing. So cowboy up and be patient. IMHO
$CVX CHEVRON WYCKOFF plus INVERSE HEAD and SHOULDER Pattern$CVX Chevron Corp
This is one of my favorite charts because it had a clear UPTHRUST WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION PATTERN and I was able to short the full measured move down without a sweat and share that with my friends, yay money!
Chevron has completed the full measured move down on the WYCKOFF distribution pattern and is showing signs of accumulation. A few things to note below:
1. Warren Buffet loaded on Chevron.
2. Supply on oil is still low and the demand is high. The government policy on oil refineries doesn't help the supply.
3. The Russia War on Ukraine is still in full effect. (prayers)
4. Their earnings lag, however, this stock will move significantly on news that directly effects these headlines.
5. It is a dividend paying stock, I believe the news will try hard to beat it down so hedge funds can load up.
Like I mentioned above, $cvx appears to be in accumulation, it has formed a decent consolidation pattern.
If you zoom into the 4 hour timeframe you will find a beautiful INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER pattern developing (flip from bars to line chart for a different view).
The left shoulder shows the highest selling volume bar and checks the box of a textbook inverse H&S.
However, if this pattern fails, I have setup some support levels below.
This one will be on the top of my watchlist next week!
Selection is not dead - and who said Growth ever was?INVESTMENT CONTEXT
Lithuania limited railway cargo transit across its territory from Russia to Kaliningrad; Russia dubbed the move as "openly hostile"
Russia overtook Saudi Arabia as China’s biggest supplier of crude oil. Russian crude exports to China surged 55% in May
Turkey, Sweden and Finland met to discuss Turkey's opposition to the Nordic countries bid to join NATO
French President Emmanuel Macron lost parliamentary majority as the country's far-right regained momentum after the Presidential elections held last April
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned against the bloc's "backsliding" into coal as the continent tries to weave itself off Russian gas
Terra/LUNA project staff were banned from flying as South Korean authorities deepen investigations on LUNA's demise
PROFZERO'S TAKE
It's hard to look at the EU without feeling something disruptive is about to happen. The bloc's inflation rate is not too far from that of the U.S. (8.1% vs. 8.6%, respectively) - yet the ECB's base rate, even after the 25bps hike earlier in June, is still negative by 25bps, while the Fed is already pricing cash at 150bps. The Fed has stopped sustaining fixed income markets by not rolling over USD 30bn Treasury bonds and USD 17.5bn MBS per month - the ECB tried to walk down the same path, only to face backlash from traders which sent interest rates on the weakest countries (Greece, Italy and Spain) to fresh highs. And as Russia curtails natural gas supplies, the countries that are most exposed to energy security - notably including Germany and Italy - scramble to diversify the energy mix, stumbling upon the harsh reality that coal will attract criticism from environmental groups (and voters) while LNG supplies need re-gasification plants - whose dearth won't be made up for until 2024.
Nigel Bolton, BlackRock's co-Chief Investment Officer, said on June 20 he saw "extreme valuation opportunity in European banks". ProfZero would really, sincerely like to share the same optimism - or opportunism
Speaking of Europe - after dismissing blockchain assets as "worth nothing" (and therefore badly needing regulation, in a rare moment of pure pneumatic vacuum of logics), ECB President Christine Lagarde said "While the correction in asset prices has so far been orderly, the risk of a further and possibly abrupt fall in asset prices remains severe". ProfZero concurs with Madame Lagarde - absent energy security and supply strategy, foggy monetary policy (to tighten or not to tighten?) and a much feared fragmentation of borrowing costs already happening, traders are having it good shorting European assets. If only there was a strong Regulator...
In the opinion of ProfZero, the market-wise breadth of June 13's collapse has a deeper structural meaning, and could in fact contain cues on portfolio construction to cross summer season: (i) Markets are not done pricing a recession, nor the Fed's and the ECB monetary policy. After the 50bps rate hike on May 5, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq plunged 3.56% and 4.99%, respectively; after the 75bps rate increase on June 15, the indexes nosedived 3.27% and 4.08%, respectively. The Fed is meeting four more times this year; current expectations are for 75bps flat increases at each meeting. Should inflation fail to be absorbed in the economy, calling for more rate increases, equities would bear the brunt of the selloffs, (ii) Investors are starting to see Value as fairly priced - possibly signaling the beginning of reversal on commodity stocks, especially in the energy space. At the same time, Growth is not dead. Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) dropped less than 5% on average in the last month, compared to almost 15% by Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Petrobras (PBR), and Shell (RDS.A), (iii) It is still too early to construct risk positions. A clear trough has not been touched and even a touted recession has not materialized. No clear industrial path has emerged from the bear market; and without such, longs are but reckless positions. No time to cry; no time to risk either