CVX
Three reasons to short CVX stock.The first is that the price has reached the upper line of the uptrend channel.
The second is tight spreads on the January 26-27 high volume bars.
Third - the White House doesn't like prices too high because expensive gasoline increases consumer spending, which lowers the president's rating.
CVX stock price is at a record high because of high oil prices. But the chart says there are massive sell orders in the market that are holding back the uptrend. Perhaps it is profit taking by big players in anticipation of lower prices.
1/16/22 CVXChevron Corporation ( NYSE:CVX )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Integrated Oil)
Market Capitalization: 248.594B
Current Price: $128.96
Breakout price: $129.10
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $119.70-$114.70
Price Target: $143.80-$145.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 154-160d
Contract of Interest: $CVX 6/17/22 130c
Trade price as of publish date: $7.20/contract
Chevron due for a correction. CVXThis one is quite beautiful. You can even see the momentum drop off on the candlesticks alone. We are going down. This move is likely to be a part of a more complex correction that started a little way back.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
Energy stocks for high inflation era..!it seems Energy stocks are ready to finish their correction and started a new rally!
Keep them in your portfolio during high inflation times!
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
CVX price boosted by Morgan StanleyRecently, on 11/19/2021 Morgan Stanley brokerage Boosted the Price Target for CVX Chevron Corporation to Overweight from $149.00 to $155.00.
Jim Cramer also talked about a buy opportunity in Chevron shares yesterday, since they have enough money to pay the dividends for the next year, 5.36 (4.57%), and the demand for oil is still there.
The Price per Earnings ratio is also low, 22.14.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Post 10/28 Earnings Announcement Analysis Post 10/28 Earnings Announcements
$XOM, $CVX, $PSX, $AON, $CL
$XOM - Exxon Mobile
Reported EPS of $2.96/share - beat estimates of $2.20/share
Earnings of $6.8B vs.($296M) in Q3 FY20'
Revenue of $44.7B vs $45.4B down (1.54%) YoY
Operating CF of $12.1B
FCF was a record-setting $6.7B
Returned $3.7B to shareholders in dividends
Reduced debt by $4B - bringing debt/capital ratio to ~25%
Up 1.76% after hours
$CVX - Chevron
Reported EPS of $2.96/share
Revenue of $44.71B up +80% YoY
Returned $6.2B to shareholders in dividends
Repurchased $625M of stock
Reduced Debt by $5.6B
FY21 Spending down 22% YoY
Net Oil-Equivalent Production rose to 3.03M bbl/day - up 7% YoY
Up 1.64% after hours - up 34% YTD
$PSX - Phillips 66
Reported EPS of $0.74/share - beat estimates of $0.60/share - up 163% YoY
Earnings of $712M
Revenue of $27.89B
Operating CF of $1.7B
Returned $841M to shareholders in dividends and share repurchases
Announced new $3B share repurchase program
Up 2.75x% after hours
$AON - Aon
Reported EPS of $1.53/share - up 14% YoY
Revenue of $2.7B - down 13% YoY
Income of ($801M) down (282%) YoY
FCF of $1.14B - (40%) YoY
Down (%2.52%) after hours
$CL - Colgate-Palmolive
Reported EPS of $0.75/share - down (7.0%) YoY
Net Income of $681M down (9.4%) YoY
Sales of $$4.4B - up 6.5% YoY
Operating Profit of $976M - down (4.12%) YoY
Operating CF of $2.2B
Up 0.35% after hours
IMO - Poised for moveIMO is the best looking oil company chart that I could find. The weekly pattern shows the possibility of a three week test of the low. This support level includes the 40 week moving average and the .326 fib retracement level.
The wave structure suggests that we may be in the fourth wave of an impulse pattern, with wave five to begin soon. Often, wave five moves for commodities are the longest waves.
The trade range spans from 24 to 34. A longer term view shows that this trade range has persisted since 2015.
Beyond 34, the stock had reached as high as 63 and ran into the 50s two other times.
IMO's price correlates very well with the price of CL oil futures. I think that in the equity world, it might be the best choice to trade oil, in the equity market. I'm open to others' suggestions. What other oil stocks are you looking at?
I owned Exxon and Chevron until June when a move to turn Exxon green moved me to liquidate all oil shares. Since then, I have bought some RSX, a Russian market ETF. Seems that under the current administration, oil profits will accrue to Russia, Iran, Venezuela and Saudi Arabia.
Black Gold is not doneBlack Gold finally broke out from the 3 month cup handle pattern as mentioned last week! Although weekly chart was showing bearish, it was a bullish flag because the lows never broke. This week the momentum continues upward possibly in a big way. Extremely Bullish! Once it breaks 56.75, 59 will be the next target. XOM, SLB, NOV are yummy plays.
Energy breakout ~ June 2021Technical Analysis
We have been in a strong uptrend (pink segment line) since November, which I have divided into 3 ranges.
We have tested the top of "Range 2" 3 times, and we are now breaking out. Either we continue into "Range 3", or we could potentially test the pink trend line once again (ghost feed representation)
Macro
Tomorrow jobs report could be a market moving event, as the Fed has made a drastic change in its action plan, which consists of reacting to data (reports such as these), instead of reacting preemptively as it has done in the past.
Higher Oil? What's the Best Stock?It appears that Oil is in a wave 4 consolidation with wave 5 coming next. In commodities, the fifth wave is often the longest and most explosive. Short of moving into the futures markets, I'm curious as to what the best stock to play for a move to 100+ in oil.
The chart below indicates that Chevron has best kept up with the price of oil with Exxon/Mobil following behind. Others in the comparison are Apache and Occidental.
Welcoming any and all thoughts on this.