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CVX

Energy breakout ~ June 2021Technical Analysis We have been in a strong uptrend (pink segment line) since November, which I have divided into 3 ranges. We have tested the top of "Range 2" 3 times, and we are now breaking out. Either we continue into "Range 3", or we could potentially test the pink trend line once again (ghost feed representation) Macro Tomorrow jobs report could be a market moving event, as the Fed has made a drastic change in its action plan, which consists of reacting to data (reports such as these), instead of reacting preemptively as it has done in the past.
AMEX:XLELong
by dorfmanmaster
Higher Oil? What's the Best Stock?It appears that Oil is in a wave 4 consolidation with wave 5 coming next. In commodities, the fifth wave is often the longest and most explosive. Short of moving into the futures markets, I'm curious as to what the best stock to play for a move to 100+ in oil. The chart below indicates that Chevron has best kept up with the price of oil with Exxon/Mobil following behind. Others in the comparison are Apache and Occidental. Welcoming any and all thoughts on this.
NYMEX:CL2!Long
by Glewis54
Energy's volume confirming trendTechnical Short-term Analysis We have a new potential uptrend line drawn in the chart. RSI is showing some divergence as it has reached the level from the beginning of February. However; I would take this divergence with a grain of salt, as it did reach Overbought levels and did not break the 40 level on the RSI (typical bullish behavior). OBV has a clear uptrend, supporting the uptrend in price. Trade Setup Would sell a partial position if we break the ~new potential uptrend~. Would sell the rest if we break the 50sma. Hope this helps!
AMEX:XLELong
by dorfmanmaster
4
Buying Energy dipTechnical Analysis / Trade Setup There could be a trade coming up next week in energy. The 50sma has worked as support 2 consecutive times, and could potentially do it again. This level is also coincidental with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level & 2020 highs; which suggests this support level has more strength. Backtesting Data There is a very interesting discrepancy between stocks within the energy sector going on; where most stocks are above the 200sma, byt below their 10sma. --> From 1979 until today, there has only been 12 times where this has happened... What did it mean going forward? Energy was up 70% of the time looking a year later, with an average of 27%. Fundamental Analysis Bull case for energy: Oil is priced above the level at which the average company can cover expenses; Supply has declined with lower production and OPEC compliance; Large diversified energy companies have strong balance sheets and access to capital; The ongoing recovery of the global economy bodes well for returning oil demand Bear case for energy: Oil demand is still down significantly. Valuations are opaque. There is weak long-term stock price momentum. ~ For the full article on sector view, send a message and I will be happy to share the resources I have. ~
AMEX:XLE
by dorfmanmaster
5
CVX (NYSE) - Go BullishGreetings Humbled, we would like to thanks for your support who has already liked, commented and followed us. Your support, strengthens us, to help in analyzing the market. If you have any questions, feel free to send us message (inbox). Pra Trading : - Please care for Money Management - Have a good psychology - Do not be hurry to open position and do not do nothing if u see opportunity - Evaluate and upgrade your trading plan Execution Strategy : - Know what you want to buy, see the Fundamental - Decide that you are on investing or speculating - Consider what your strategy based on Investing/Speculating - Make Road Map Of Your Trading Plan - Decide a. Entry strategy b. Cut loss c. Target of Profit Post Trading : a. Do not be sad if you loss or do not be very happy if you win b. Just become a normal without emotion, Do not put emotion into your trading c. Evaluate your trading d. Keep on Learning e. Be Humble Idea : CVX (NYSE) - Go Bullish
NYSE:CVX
by MultiAssetX
SPY/DIALooks to be a divergence forming in the SPY/DIA chart between purchasing volume and valuation. Stoch is also approaching overbought but RSI is still within a good limit. Could indicate a coming pause in the cycling of the market after the recent upswing in value/non-tech companies. Could be a good time to get into some value companies or to check your charts for the same divergence and hedge or short if it makes sense. Similar divergence found on the daily SYF, CVX, and KHC daily charts. All three are also reaching overbought levels in either the Stoch 14/3/3, RSI or both.
AMEX:SPYShort
by hobo4000
Natural Gas --- ( 2 0 2 1 ) Swing TradeAlas! I am free to post what I want thanks to the help of everyone's contribution thumbs. ------------------------------------------ The Natural Gas setup for 2021 is not only fundamentally bullish, it's a technical trader's gassy dream. Welcome to the G a s i n o. Macro View From a macro view we can see that prices are now at the bottom of a historically supportive range. The previous deviations that dipped below this range were due to the bearish sentiment as production was trending up. This is no longer the case. Sentiment has now flipped cautiously bullish as supply/demand balance is expected to remain tight. Bullish Indicators First, we can see the weekly MACD is decisively bullish and above the zero line. This confirms momentum is going to likely remain bullish longer term. Secondly, looking at the Commitment of Traders (COT) report on the indicator below the MACD, we see that Asset Managers and Speculators are more interested in long positions than usual. Should be plenty more next year. Thirdly, prices are maintaining above the 50 week EMA. Not to mention the inverse head and shoulders that is under construction. You heard it here first. The Trade Setup Now, if we overlay two important contracts for Summer(orange) and Winter(blue), we can start extrapolating potential targets. Current prices for either one are at the bottom of the range. This is what large speculators are looking at. This is where I am going to start accumulating starting with Summer. In addition, I am also buying dips of EQT as producers will benefit from stronger prices over the next couple years. Looking at the August 2021 contract, prices have broken out of the down trend. Today, in anticipation of a large swing trade next year, I opened a starting long position on the mini contract (QGQ2021) @ $2.78 I welcome dips and estimate a sell target somewhere well north of $3.00 TBD Trading is risky, don't do it. Long EQT and QGQ2021 +1 @ 2.78
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by trade-God
1
A Measured Move could take CVX to the Century Mark 100the Extreme Turn Buy signal comes in at a key support zone. CVX showed an impulse move from %83 to $95.50. The initial Ext Turn buy produced a nice winner and now we're back at the key level as the markets trade to new highs. Could pull in to till the $85-86 Gap then go. Looking for 4% move to High to High trendline then 13% to $100 on a 1 to 1 move from the impulse leg. Options Trade: CVX option would be JAN 85/100 Bull Call Spread for $5 or better.
NYSE:CVXLong
by TDGonTView
2
Short Energy sector 🛢️ - Swingtrade, high Risk/Reward trade If you like the idea, do not forget to support with a 👍 like and follow or comment. Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together. Hi fellows, just one of my today swingrades: As you can see ERY bottomed out and forming a bull flag pattern.Rising bull momentum is there clearly represent by divergence on Momentum and CCI indicators. Today will be good opportunity to get in. ------------------------Trade setup --------------------------- Entry: 34.34 Stop Loss: 32.75 Profit target: 39.76 Time stop: 5 days ------------------------------------------------------------------
AMEX:ERYLong
by Tomasgei
1
Crude oil recent ascends meeting roadblock aheadThe recent breakout made by the crude oil may excite buying opportunities to some. For how long it will last will need to be seen if it could penetrate several layers of resistance ahead. This week price action was not powerful enough to sustain the move. Catalyst and sentiment that could influence the price action not supporting the move too, as energy giants such Exxon Mobile (XOM), Chevron (CVX), BP and Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) giving cautious forecasts on the price projectile. Nearly all of the energy giants viewed the price of crude oil will only top $60.00 a barrel by 2026/27. Next week, OPEC+ will meet from Monday to Tuesday to decide on the current crude oil production output, which at the current pace produced a limited volume to stabilize the price.
TVC:USOIL
by mukhriz.mangsor
Oil Bears in for a Crude AwakeningDon't get excited just yet. The only certainty in the oil game is it's not for the faint of heart and right now, the bears are getting crushed. Now that prices are gearing up it looks like it's time to make a new plan. Before I do let's recap the last one. Previously I had noticed a particular trendline that prices broke out of in early August. As that breakout failed, it seemed a retest of that trendline was inevitable. Prices bounced right back up to a macro fib retracement level (@ $40) as they often do, like a magnet. Then after it failed at that fib level and retested that trendline again, I noticed a potential tricky oil move playing out: the head and shoulders fake out. Now here we are breaking $40.50 and the 50 Week EMA. Although I have been buying oil stocks on these dips I am not trading futures just yet until prices can stabilize above $40. Eventually, I'd like to see a weekly close above that 50 week EMA and then start buying dips on the 1 hour chart all the way up to the 200 week EMA at $51.50 The MACD on the monthly chart is showing a nice divergence and as always, I'm keeping an eye on that macro Fib retracement level at $40 as the pivot point. Trading is risky. Don't listen to my advice. Long LUKOY, KMI and buying dips
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by ryan-snk