Main Expected Path & Alt PathMapped out the most likely (solid green) and 2nd most likely (dashed black) trajectories:
Most likely:
174 by 10/19/2022
152 by 10/21
204 by 10/31
184 by 11/3
216 by 11/9/2022
2nd most likely/alt. (would take longer to play out than main path, see dates on chart):
195
162
247
215
267
Cybersecurity
FTNT Rolling LowerFortinet is a big player in cybersecurity with strong revenue growth and rapidly growing demand for its services. In the very Long-term, Fortinet should do well.
However, FTNT's technicals are signaling weakness on a more medium-term basis. The last year of FTNT price action has led to a rounded top formation. One could also argue that Fortinet shows signs of a head and shoulders pattern during the aforementioned period. Fortinet as of the past 7 months is now trading in a downward channel. The recent low recorded last week of 47.5 helps to confirm the continuation of bearishness in future trading. MACD on monthly/weekly/daily all are signaling further pain. The Weekly MACD is especially bearish, currently residing at its most negative level in FTNT's history.
Global market conditions are poor, and seemingly getting worse. Unfortunately, history has taught us that during periods of slowed economic activity amid monetary tightening great companies often sell off alongside their less successful peers (although not to the same degree).
To conclude: FTNT is experiencing a troubling technical outlook combined with a slowing economy/beaten-down consumer, I do not believe FTNT will be able to stay at such a high valuation with a p/e of 60, despite continued high demand. In the near term, I am looking for a move to 44.3 where the 50% fib retracement level sits. Looking further out, I expect a move down to the 30.2-27.1 range which has been an area of previous strong support as well as a 78.6% fib level. From there a rebound or consolidation period for Fortinet is likely.
As always this is not financial advice. Good luck!
$HUB.TA Outpaces CyberSecurity Sector Ahead of NASDAQ ListingAfter hitting dramatic lows in June that saw the ^IXIC (Nasdaq Comp. Index) down >30% YTD, Nasdaq and the tech sector as a whole has witnessed a bullish rally over the past month. Despite some of the tech giants missing the mark on Q2 earnings, Nasdaq has enjoyed robust capital inflows in the past month as investor sentiment begins to improve. The passage of the US CHIPS Act last week was seen by many tech investors as a windfall for the semiconductor, chips, and computing industry thanks to upcoming subsidies and governmental incentives for domestic manufacturers; this legislative action has infused some confidence into the broader market.
One area of the broader tech space that has consistently traded strongly despite poor performance this year are cyber security stocks. The rising trend of offensive cyber operations targeting public and private actors alike has reinforced the critical need for cyber defensive architecture. The HXR Cyber ETF as well as RDWR are +12% and +8.3% respectively, closely tracking QQQ's +12% jump the past month. Other have shown more modest growth, such as PANQ (+2%) and CHKP (+2.6%).
And then onto the outliers. FTNT got hammered in August with 12% losses due to erroneous revenue guidance issued by management on top of some analyst downgrades to overvalued. In other words, looks like Fortinet is going through a short-term correction.
Our bullish outlier is HUB Security, as Israeli confidential computing equity that is in the final stages of completing a SPAC-driven NASDAQ listing. HUB shares on TASE are up 38% in the past month and continuing to climb as more investors jump on board in anticipation of the company's much-vaunted US listing.
$MNDT Outpaces its Sectorial Peers The technology sector has played a leading role in powering the market's gains over the past couple of decades. Tech's ability to shape almost every industry means the sector remains one of the best starting places for investors seeking big gains, even during this bearish market.
My top pick for this sector is MNDT, a cybersecurity disruptor that is a winner for your growing portfolio today. As seen in the chart, MNDT (+31.94% YTD) is far-outperforming its sectoral peers as tech has taken a double-digit tumble in recent months. For instance, mega cap tech companies such as MSFT (-17.90% YTD), APPL (-12% YTD) and GOOGL (-20.60% YTD) have all underperformed relative to MNDT. This is the case too for FTNT, a fellow cybersecurity player, which has registered a 9% decline YTD despite outpacing the broader tech sector as a whole. Sectoral cybersecurity ETF’s like BUG (-16%), XLK (-18%) and CIBR (-18%) also lag far behind MNDT’s YTD gains. Relative to QQQ, MNDT has outpaced the Nasdaq baseline by some 50%, indicating just how bullish this stock is against the backdrop of an ongoing bear market.
$HUB.TA Outperforms Sectoral and Market Indices YTD Despite the market's emergent rally in July, 2022 has been a punishing year for tech equities worldwide. Recent Q2 earning from megacap tech players in the US deepen concerns about diminishing margins and slowed hiring moving into Q3/4 and beyond. YTD, Nasdaq is down -21%, and unerperformed the DOW, S&P500, and Russell2000.
One sector with more bullish short-to-intermediate term prospects is cyber security and confidential computing. HUB.TA, which is headed for a NASDAQ listing this year via SPAC merger with RNER has clearly outperformed sectoral peers such as IBM (-1.38%) and CYBER (-22.8%) YTD with its gains of +32% despite some heightened volatiity surrounding its imminent merger. HUB likewise outperformed sectoral ETFs like BUG (-17.8%) and CIBR (-19.17%), making this Israeli confidential computing equity an attractive watchlist item for those eyeing its TASE delisting and the initiation of trading on NASDAQ.
Blackberry RebornBlackberry has very nice upside potential but considering the timing of the historical swings, waiting 5-6 years for a 30X move is not something I'm personally interested in. The Digital Surf Community has outlined numerous other stocks/cryptos with high trajectory that are likely due for completion at a much earlier timeframe.
Blackberry is a bit of nostalgic company for me however and I am very much rooting for their future success. I bought a Blackberry Sidekick with my first military check, well over a decade ago. Its a bit refreshing to see how they've rebranded themselves and made a transition from cellular services to now working in the Cybersecurity spectrum (which is now a professional field for me as well).
I am not entirely sure what news is to come for BB but over the next few years but it shall be the beneficial/good kind. If you have 4-6 years to wait on such a 30X move, now is the best time to enter your positions. Personally, I don't have that much patience and honestly, the anticipated 30X move pales in comparison to some of the other items we're currently monitoring at Digital Surf Trading Community.
If you're a Blackberry fanatic, die hard investor, this is for you. Share, comment and like this post if you find it helpful at all.
Surf well and don't drown.
HUB.TA Jumps +50% in June as Global Tech Industry Slumps2022 has proven a volatile year for HUB Security investors, and not for the reasons dragging down the tech industry at large. Back in March '22, HUB (now listed on TASE) announced the closure of a SPAC agreement with RNER for a Q3/4 NASDAQ listing. After an astronomical rise to over 900ILA from ~380ILA at the start of the year, the stock took a nosedive to a YTD low of 261LA in early May. Investor jitters over the SPAC deal, the global pullback of the tech industry and stocks, and a worsening macro-economic backdrop overall were the main drivers of this see-saw motion over the past 6 months.
Things are looking quite a bit greener this past month--June 2022--as HUB has regained its footing and is currently tracking a highly-encouraging uptrend. From its May 12th yearly low, HUB has climbed to over 600ILA and counting. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is getting clobbererd--as you can see, QQQ and leading cyber ETFs like CIBR and BUG are all down around 4-5% in the past month. Similarly, two of HUB's closest peers in the confidential computing sector--PANW and FTNT--are also down about 2%. Though confidential computing seems to be outperforming tech/cyber as a whole, the niche is still in the red amidst rising turbulence on global equity markets. So what is behind HUB's recovery and recent gains?
I added HUB to my watchlist back in March following their SPAC deal, and have been closely watching as their SIR inched upwards MoM. HUB's SIR moved from 0.48 on May 12 to 0.84 on May 19th and then 0.82 on May 26th. That means >80% of trade volume was dominated by short activity. The company has clearly been making moves to combat malicious shorting, including the company's announcement of intention to buy back $4.5M USD worth of shares in order to force the shorts to cover. On June 9th SIR had been driven back down to 0.48, helping to explain the early-month momentum. While SIR had jumped back to 0.7 as of June 16th, it looks like the bulls had already established some upward momentum. HUB SP has increased by more than 50% in the past week alone, strongly suggesting that investors are trying to establish positions in anticipation of the value multiplier shareholders will enjoy come the NASDAQ listing.
I will be interested to see how HUB's SIR looks on June 23rd, but higher-than-average trade volume and a month-long uptrend (see PVT, 30D MA shown on chart) are signs that despite the worsening economic picture on a macro-level, HUB is trading strong and girding for success on US Markets.
Buying Opportunity: Cloudflare (NET)Chart analysis is showing that Cloudflare (NET) is trying to form a bottom at an important Fibonacci level. Currently, there is momentum to the downside on the daily chart and a gap to be closed at 46.38. It's therefore likely that with the downward momentum, NET will attempt to close this gap and then quickly rebound up to 59 as it will also try to maintain price at or above this level for the monthly close. The weekly charts are already showing bullish signs and the asset's underperformance relative to the S&P 500 has already slowed down, which virtually always occurs right before a reversal. The Wave Trend Oscillator by @LazyBear shows that momentum to the downside on the highest timeframes is already bottomed and will soon start to revert back to the upside. On the daily chart, Heikin Ashi candles and Fibonacci Bollinger Bands also show signs of a bottoming pattern forming. The daily RSI has been showing bullish divergence since May. Therefore entering NET at prices around the gap closure at 46.38 could be a great risk-reward entry for long-term investors. Although anything is possible, it's statistically unlikely that NET will make a full retracement and fall much lower than the gap closure. In the years to come, Cloudflare will likely go to the moon.
Not financial advice.
CIBR Cybersecurity: M-pattern may retest 0.618 pivot near 34CIBR seems to be making a M-pattern & is now at 39, a 50% retracement. If the yellow zone does not hold 39, then the next will be the 0.618 pivot support at 34 which is also a 200% retracement of the latest rally.
34 is also located near the base of my slanted FIB CHANNEL. 34 may be the bottom of the ABC correction & the start of a new 5 wave uptrend inside this FIB CHANNEL.
After this correction, Cybersecurity & Defense stocks should do well in these times of geo-political unrest.
Not trading advice
HUB Security (TASE: HUB) Recovers Lost Ground, Braces for NASDAQ2022 has been quite the ride for Hub Security (TASE: HUB). In late January, the company announced its intention to pursue a NASDAQ listing via an unnamed SPAC merger. Further details were released on March 23rd, when HUB announced a definitive SPAC merger with RNER for a Q2/3 '22 listing on NASDAQ at a $1.3B valuation. Significantly, this market cap represents a significant valuation multiplier for existing HUB.TA shareholders, presenting a unique opportunity for significant upside for LT investors and stakeholders. After posting nearly 100% share price increase YTD, following the SPAC merger announcement HUB share value tanked, bottoming out late-March after backtracking most YTD gains. That said, in the weeks since the stock is slowly re-accruing value as some of the initial hype is fading away, signaling the re-entry of LT investors after traders/ST-holders panic-sold in March.
In sum, HUB.TA +26% YTD, meaning that it has far outperformed multiple benchmarks such as the TA90 (+3.39%), QQQ (-17.16%) and the CIBR ETF (-4.7%). As NASDAQ and really the global tech market as a whole have taken a beating, HUB continues to perform strongly and regain lost ground as it braces for its highly-anticipated NASDAQ listing. To date, price action is flirting with the 10-day MA, meaning the free-fall of end-Q1 has all about stopped. Furthermore, RSI has been moving steadily through slightly undervalued territory, meaning that now HUB share price is more fairly priced by the market compared to the burst of volatility in late-March. All tentatively bullish signs that this confidential computing disruptor is re-establishing its footing after a bump in the road as it braces to make a splash on the US cybersecurity/tech investment space.
Potential bullish reversal off oversold RSI on contract newsPlurilock Secures Plurilock DEFEND Order with California-based Pension Fund
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - April 22, 2022) - Plurilock Security Inc. (TSXV: PLUR) (OTCQB: PLCKF) and related subsidiaries ("Plurilock" or the "Company"), an identity-centric cybersecurity solutions provider for workforces, announced today that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Aurora Systems Consulting, Inc. ("Aurora"), has received a purchase order from a California-based pension fund for the Company's Plurilock DEFENDTM continuous authentication solution.
This transaction represents the first cross-selling purchase order through Aurora for Plurilock's DEFEND technology offering. Per the purchase order, the customer will pay a monthly subscription for the Company's continuous identity confirmation solution based on a fixed number of end-users. This order also includes ongoing maintenance support.
All contracts and orders announced by PlurilockTM and its subsidiaries since January 1, 2022, including the latest orders, represent a combined total of roughly US$5.28 million in sales.
"We are pleased to report the completion of our first cross-sale of Plurilock's cutting-edge DEFEND solution," said Ian L. Paterson, CEO of Plurilock. "This order highlights the strategy we developed following the acquisition of Aurora in April 2021, where we first acquire profitable cybersecurity companies with prominent customers, and then leverage those distribution channels to cross-sell our high-margin proprietary products. We will continue to identify new cross-selling opportunities and vigorously work towards signing new purchase orders for our advanced zero trust identity technology."
This California-based pension fund is an existing Aurora customer that required an identity-centric cybersecurity solution to enhance their system's defense against potential cyber threats. Following a stringent evaluation, the customer selected DEFEND given its robust continuous identity analysis capabilities and zero trust architecture - Plurilock DEFEND's proprietary technology uses micro-patterns in a person's keystroke and pointer behavior to continuously confirm identity every 3 to 5 seconds, ensuring that the person using a device is the authorized user.
Pension and retirement funds are at a heightened risk for a cyber attack as evidenced by instances like the September 2021 breach of a Missouri retirement system with 128,000 active members, where an employee's email account was compromised by an attacker that accessed files containing personal information.1 Additionally, 44% of surveyed Master Trust retirement-related funds reported they experienced a cyber attack between 2019 and 2020, underscoring the need for a zero trust identity solution that will secure access and halt credential compromise.2
About Plurilock
Plurilock provides identity-centric cybersecurity for today's workforces. The Plurilock family of companies enables organizations to operate safely and securely while reducing cybersecurity friction. Plurilock offers world-class IT and cybersecurity solutions through its Solutions Division, paired with proprietary, AI-driven and cloud-friendly security through its Technology Division. Together, the Plurilock family of companies delivers persistent identity assurance with unmatched ease of use.
Hacked? The Problem With Cross-Chain Tokens and PlatformsLately there has been an increase in hacking activities in crypto and Web3 related projects as whole, as hackers target smaller projects and platforms to siphon money out of vulnerable systems.
To be clear, none of the major protocols or coins has EVER been breached - Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Tezos, etc. The protocol has always been safe, and decentralized. But individual projects and platforms (including DAOs and DeFis) might be vulnerable.
Crypto projects get hacked in two main ways:
1) For efficiency/speeds, crypto projects built on top of certain blockchains often have to be centralized to some extent in order to get the results needed. This often leads to vulnerabilities that can be targeted by hackers (ex. 1 login/password that gives the intruder access to everything).
2) 51% attacks - if the hackers are willing to front enough money to own 51%+ of the tokens, they can use that leverage to basically control the whole blockchain for their own purposes at any time. This gets more difficult as the network grows (since it becomes more expensive to reach 51%+) but smaller blockchain projects are vulnerable to these types of attacks since it requires much less resources than trying to target larger networks. (The major coins out there are basically impossible to 51% attack at this point.)
Because Web3 projects is still in its early stages at this point, breaches like these may become more commonplace and people may end up losing a lot of money if they're not careful. Buyer beware, either way.
According to Vitalik, the solution to this problem is Maximalism a "healthy intolerance" of other forms of thinking. (This is an April Fools joke, just in case. lol)
vitalik.ca
IRNT: NICE BASE REAADY FOR BREAKOUTIRNT :
The chart of this cyber security play does not look bad at all.
We have a long base forming after a gap down in December. Some can see a cup and handle, not perfect though.
I like it if it breaks 4.9 for a swing trade to 6.36, then maybe 10.
Stop loss at 4.20.
The sector/theme is hot right now...
Trade safe.
The AGE of Cybersecurity 🔒 Hello Team!
Here is a fresh look at what we believe to be a large & growing sector; Cyber Security. As more of us are becoming 100% Digital and Currencies such as the Chinese Yuan are going digital we can assume that current trends will continue to develop rapidly. This leaves everyone vulnerable to hacks, cyberattacks, and breaches.
We are looking at stock called: Palo Alto Networks. This specific stock has held strong during these uncertain times in the stock market while other strong stocks have been having corrections. We listed a few buy areas for long-term investors. It's best to dollar cost average in strong stock that you believe will play a big part in the future. The smallest position will be #1 increasing to #3 (Levels which we may never see again, but it's important to note & set alerts as the months and years go on in case we forget about it.)
We would love to hear your thoughts on other companies in this space that you believe will be game-changers!
$BUG Good Cybersecurity BarometerIf you like the cyber security space, you can trade BUG or use it as a barometer as it's comprised of names such as PANW , CROWD ,ZS, etc.
I like this fund because... it's cheap. PANW is trading at almost $600 , options aren't cheap (JUN 620c is 28.4 or $2,840 a contract).
However if you wanted to go long on BUG JUN $32 calls they are trading at about 1.10 ($110) !
Technically, BUG has broken down from the upward channel and is currently trading below the weekly 30day moving average.
Bullish Scenario : Price breaks back into the upward channel , in which case an idea would to be go long with an initial PT of $38
Bearish Scenario : Price rejects at the channel / 30day moving average and we see the next leg down with an initial PT of $25
Of course, with each scenario one could go short / long in one of the individual stock names for a higher R/R trade
$NLOK: Putopia HedgeRegardless of what deals are made regarding forces, long NLOK offers a pretty solid hedge against any impending cybercrimes that may linger as a result of the current geopolitical conflict and the citizen's reactions there of. This company is also much less exposed to the drains of inflation compared to numerous other stocks on the market.
PANW - Cybersecurity bullishnessI'm liking how PANW looks for tomorrow. It solidly broke out of a long range earlier today and could have some firepower going into the day tomorrow. This could be great for day trading. Swingers might want to wait for a retest of support to enter, but that all depends on risk tolerance and overall strategies for each individual trader. In other words, YMMV.
I'm watching this closely at the open tomorrow to get in on some of the action. Quick scalps here could be easy with a breakout possibly moving to the $600 mark, or near to it. As always, be careful and watch for signs of sell offs as people may take profits at these higher levels and in the risky market environment we currently live in.
Ultimately, I think that this is the beginning of a potential uptrend and I'll be looking for that retest or a flag to go long. Tomorrow, it's all about that scalp for me.
Fundamentally this play makes sense as well. Cybersecurity should be at the top of every company's mind with what's going on in the world today. CRWD had some great moves earlier today and we could see other similar companies (like the main character of this post) move up along with the rest of the sector.
Time for CRWD to shineHello Friends!
I’m looking for CRWD to test the 200 day ($185) and build that as the new support. Then it should target $206 and consolidate in that zone before the next move.
As always thanks for your follows, likes, and comments. Let’s learn and grow together. Cheers!
*This information and publication is not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice . Do your own research.