BTC 200 week MA at 24k when adjusted for monetary inflationWhen BTC is divided by the m2 money supply, we can see that current "REAL BTC" prices are not as far off from the 200 and 300 week MAs as it appears on the standard BTC/USD chart.
The drastic increase in the money supply has made a significant difference in how far off REAL BTC prices are from the 200 and the 300 week MAs as compared to previous market cycle bottoms.
This suggests that the true market cycle bottom may be higher than expected when basing it off the 200 and 300 weeks MAs. With the REAL 200 week MA currently at 24k USD, and the REAL 300 week MA currently at 18k USD. As opposed to 22k and and 16k respectively on the standard BTC/USD chart.
Cycle
Why BITCOIN can do something it hasn't ever done in the past Since Bitcoin was invented, it has been through 3 halvings which resulted in 3 bull cycles.
2012 Halving -> 2013 Bull Cycle
2016 Halving -> 2017 Bull Cycle
2020 Halving -> 2021 Bull Cycle
Next halving date is estimated at March 2024.
After 2013 & 2017 Bull Run cycles, Bitcoin hasn't ever retested previous cycle all time high (ATH)
Why was that?
Bitcoin has always created support area before it topped as we can see on the chart.
After 2020 halving, Bitcoin grew so fast into 2021 Bull Cycle that it didn't create a potential support area below 28.000$.
If 28.000$ area doesn't hold, due to lack of support between 28.000$ and 20.000$, Bitcoin can dump and retest previous ATH.
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 19 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.78
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.56-108.11
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 51.89%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.43
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.56
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±15.74
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 22 out of 5.52
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1781.3-1753.0
3️⃣Options IV: 19.69%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.63
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±49.81
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±103.69
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YE
🎯Stats: 1 out of 4.92
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.065-104.500
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 10.06%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.66
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.45
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.01
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 10 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 30700.0-29547.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 23737.5-22910.0
3️⃣Options IV: 96.98%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1768.30
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3892.73
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±8103.36
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 18 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 5 out of 6.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 130.50-115.54
🛸Buy UFOs: 107.37-102.66
3️⃣Options IV: 50.34%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.52
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.74
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.12
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 21 out of 5.52
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1781.3-1753.0
3️⃣Options IV: 20.05%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±22.96
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±50.54
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±105.20
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.42
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.065-104.500
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 9.57%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.62
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.37
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.86
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 9 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 36445.0-35525.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 23737.5-22910.0
3️⃣Options IV: 91.85%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1734.36
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3818.01
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7947.81
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 17 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 4 out of 6.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 130.50-115.54
🛸Buy UFOs: 107.37-102.66
3️⃣Options IV: 51.89%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.77
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±8.29
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±17.27
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 20 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1781.3-1753.0
3️⃣Options IV: 21.16%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±24.35
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±53.60
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±111.59
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 8 out of 4.92
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.065-104.500
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 9.89%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.65
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.42
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.96
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 8 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 36445.0-35525.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 23737.5-22910.0
3️⃣Options IV: 100.00%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1924.78
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±4237.22
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±8820.47
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 16 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 3 out of 6.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 107.37-102.66
3️⃣Options IV: 51.22%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.55
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.81
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.27
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 19 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1781.3-1753.0
3️⃣Options IV: 21.20%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±24.07
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±52.98
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±110.28
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 7 out of 4.9
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 104.210-103.235
3️⃣Options IV: 10.63%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.70
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.54
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.21
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 7 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 36445.0-35525.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 23737.5-22910.0
3️⃣Options IV: 93.38%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1736.77
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3823.33
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7958.90
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku by TheSocialCryptoClubGood weekend,
As usual, here is our analysis of the week looking at a glance at the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator with traditional settings. We used additional indicators that we have developed and released Open Source, you can find them at the end of the analysis.
The Kumo has been red for 28 days, gets even thicker than last week (now at about 14.32%) and is tilted downward. The Senkou Span B and the Kijun have flattened If last week so all lines were pointing downward now - on the long term - the situation presents a downtrend with a slight sideways bias.
The Kijun Trend indicator always points to the search for short positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
After a series of "strong" red candles, they are now red but present spikes. The situation is always downtrend and it will be interesting to assess the candle color at the end of the day.
Supports and resistances:
- 75000.00 from Fibonacci
- 67000.00 from all-time high
- 66001.41 from all-time high of Chikou
- 51800.00-52600.00 from Ichimoku Flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 49000.00-51000.00 Fibonacci, psychological threshold and Kijun Weekly
- 44400.00-45600.00 from Ichimoku Flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 41200.00 from Ichimoku flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 39400.00 from Ichimoku flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 37000.00 from Ichimoku flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 35700.00 from Fibonacci
- 35000.00 from Ichimoku flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 33500.00 from Ichimoku flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 30300.00 from Ichimoku Flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 28000.00 from waves of Hosoda
- 26100.00 from Hosoda waves
- 25000.00 from Fibonacci
For the various static price structures you can refer to the chart where the structures identified by the flat moments of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes are plotted, also Chikou price for the daily time frame.
Also, recall that the various Ichimoku lines serve as dynamic price structures: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Fibonacci:
Fibonacci levels on the Daily still show us positive long-term sentiment and places the 0 upside on 75000.00. Price is now on the 1 level at 25000.00.
Conclusion:
BTC continues to be in a downtrend on the daily and weekly time frame. All lines confirm this and only the longest are showing flat.
The well-known exponential moving averages often used in the Crypto market on the 200, 50 and 20 periods are also lined up in downtrend and are fanning out.
From a fundamental point of view we can always consider the correlation with U.S. equities in this inflationary situation.
It is important to evaluate the close of the week and during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 31600.00-33600.00
- Bearish: 30390.00-29700.00
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased
- Dominance of BTC: Increased
- Price of BTC: Decreased
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Capitulation.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
autumn befor winter for BTCbased on the price and time fibbo levels which has projected from the the third bullrun (wave3) to the end of the covid effect, I can see that Bitcoin almost has copleted it first part of bear market and its going to draw a right shoulder while hunting 64k buyers and fall down to the origin of wave 5 around 12k.
we couldn't expect bull market befor next 1.5 year,
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 13 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 2 out of 6.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 52.71%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.57
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.87
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.38
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 18 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 21.51%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±24.62
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±54.20
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±112.83
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 6 out of 4.88
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 104.210-103.235
3️⃣Options IV: 11.25%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.74
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.64
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.41
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 6 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 36445.0-35525.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 23737.5-22910.0
3️⃣Options IV: 96.19%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1836.30
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±4042.43
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±8414.99
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Dogecoin’s Bullish Cycle Tells Us When We’ll See a New All-Time Based on the long-term trajectory of Dogecoin (DOGE), the DOGE price has the tendency to produce a new all-time high every 3 to 4 years. Therefore, this pattern can help us predict DOGE's price moving forward.
Dogecoin Bullish Cycle
Based on this cyclical model, we can expect Dogecoin to reach a new all-time high anywhere between 2024 and 2025. From January 2014 to January 2018, we had the first bullish cycle which lasted 4 years. And from January 2018 to April 2021, we had the second bullish cycle lasting 3 years.
Between each all-time high, DOGE's price tends to consolidate in never-ending ranges that have sudden bursts in the price that are quickly reversed.
These consolidations have lasted a minimum of 156 weeks before DOGE broke above the previous all-time high.
All things considered, we don't know for sure how DOGE's price will perform compared to the previous cycles, but we have a rough estimate of what we can expect moving forward.
Looking forward: The bottom of this consolidation can be established at the $0.05 considerable round number. This level is significant because when the price broke above it in April 2021, it led to Dogecoin hitting a new all-time high.
BTC - which phaseBased on the history of BTC, we should have just completed the correction phase, which does not imply that we have found a Bottom.
Furthermore, based on the proportion of the red candle and the "recovery" period (usually characterized by a bounce and double low, then bounces and closes above the last low), the real "recovery" of BTC will take place around as at 30/11/2023.
For the moment I expect nothing more than a Bottom towards 18K.
Daily cycles indicate interim low for NetflixThe daily dominant cycle analysis indicated a possible interim low and showing a positive phase ahead until the summer period for Netflix NFLX. We can detect two dominant cycles with a length of 211 and 289 days. Both cycles are plotted as "composite cycle vector plot" as overlay based on their current phase status. The cyclic smoothed RSI indicator is also tuned to a length of ~100 and indicates a possible "long" signal" based on the technical reading of this indicator.
The blog contains more infomation based on the cycle model for Netflix.
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 12 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of 6.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 111.37-106.45
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 53.43%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.50
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.70
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.02
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 17 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 20.26%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±23.59
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±51.93
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±108.09
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 5 out of 4.86
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 9.61%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.63
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.39
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±2.90
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 5 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 32460.0-29992.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 23737.5-22910.0
3️⃣Options IV: 115.55%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±2011.00
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±4427.00
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±9215.54
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 11 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 2 out of 5.79
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 111.37-106.45
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 56.06%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.64
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±8.01
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.68
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 16 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 20.02%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±23.34
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±51.39
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±106.98
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 4 out of 4.84
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 10.26%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.67
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.47
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.07
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 4 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 36445.0-35525.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 27782.5-22910.0
3️⃣Options IV: 84.00%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1690.50
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3721.47
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7746.86
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 10 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.79
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 111.37-106.45
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 57.90%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.70
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±8.14
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.94
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 15 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 20.49%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±23.98
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±52.78
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±109.88
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 3 out of 4.83
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 11.91%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.73
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.61
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.35
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 3 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 36445.0-35525.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 27782.5-22910.0
3️⃣Options IV: 78.52%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1551.16
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3414.72
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±7108.30
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | May 9 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 3 out of 6.76
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 115.54-108.68
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 54.82%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.71
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±8.16
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±16.99
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 14 out of 5.53
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 2003.0-1962.7
🛸Buy UFOs: 1815.8-1788.5
3️⃣Options IV: 18.71%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±21.90
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±48.21
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±100.36
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 2 out of 4.81
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 100.675-99.810
3️⃣Options IV: 10.82%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.71
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.56
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.24
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 2 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 47317.5-44345.0
🛸Buy UFOs: 32820.0-31615.0
3️⃣Options IV: 73.32%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1519.10
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±3344.14
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±6961.39
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom I have calculated different time averages between certain Bitcoin Events, such as cycle top to bottom, bottom to halving, and top to top, to give an estimate to when Bitcoin could potentially find a bottom. One can either measure from the 2021 high which suggests that BTC will bottom later this year (November), or one can use the RSI top which would give us a different cycle bottom, which would be rather sooner than later. When measuring from the 2021 high however, you get more confluence imo. Where the price of BTC will find a bottom is hard to tell but I believe, based on past cycle bottoms that the 200 MA (currently at arund 22k) could be the bottom for Bitcoin.
WIG (Warszawa, PL) - global view on wide market.Hello,
Today we have a global view on the condition of Polish wide market (WIG) in Warszawa (Warsaw, PL). The bottoms are accordingly the global 11-years economic cycles.
The 11-years cycles do have their origing from the Sun. The Sun affects the whether and climate in many different ways. Not only by the quantity of visible light (and radiation in general). Sun creates also the magnetic field which also influences the storm creation in the Earth's atmosphere.
Of course, we have also smaller subcycles. What to expect? We could be at the creation of local minimum of the subcycle. And the local minimum we could reach before the end of Atumn.
As previous 11-years cycle was not very efficient for emerging markets, there could be the change. There is also the question on the Ukraine, however, before the end of Atumn we should know much more in which direction it comes.
As much as you buy this and next year, could be your working capital since 2024.
Best,
Paweł
Waiting for the worst...In the chart we have the SPX versus the US10Y (US 10 Year Government Bonds Yeld Rate, in the blue line).
We are at a peak moment.
In principle, the rate in US10Y is inverse, that is, when it goes down, more people are buying — more people leave the stock market and buy government bonds.
The correlation with SPX is high in periods of extreme volatility, as shown in the circles.
Frighteningly, the US10Y is close to the same levels as March/2018 and October/2018.
If it drops like it did before, will we see a strong correction in global markets?
Analyzing the US10Y alone:
The US10Y has broken up a long bearish channel.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicates an extremely stretched value, signaling a possible reversal to the downside.
On the weekly chart it is in a resistance test region, similar to the periods mentioned.