NEARUSDT OPEN NEW CYCLE PEROID DEPENDING ON THIS STUDY $12Thanks for reading this update.
NEARUSDT seems to open a new cycle trend, this cycle trend can give NEARUSDT an unexpected break. we see that some positions are confirmed for the trend.
We did expect before in the same way the Cylc increase of BTC.
know that Cycles entering with building positions, and we did scan some of them.
Let's see how this will affect the price action soon.
For the day trading time frames, we checking NEARUSDT for 18%+ trend
Soon more updates.
This will stay a prediction depending on our data, and not trading advice.
This is our view, which means not that you should follow it. trade only depending on your plan.
here will be soon updates, the same as BTC did get updates to 48K.
Cycle
🔥 Bitcoin Outperforming Previous Cycles: Best Case Scenario?As Bitcoin seems to be unstoppable, it's time to take a fresh look at the current bull-run (read: the period after the low) and compare it to previous bull-runs.
Against my expectations, Bitcoin is outperforming both the 2018 and 2015 bull-runs. Most notable is the 2015 bull-run because it took us from ~150$ to ~20.000$. Keep in mind that the 2018 bull-run also outperformed the 2015 run at some point, but then quickly went under it and stayed under for the remainder of the cycle.
If the current bull-run stays above the 2015 line, we might actually see a top of >350k. Not the most likely scenario, but a man can dream.
For now, things are looking great. Bitcoin will likely break through the 50k resistance in the coming week, which opens the path to the ATH of 69k.
BTC 2019 OverlayShows the current part of the cycle we're in right now by overlaying the same part of the cycle in 2019 in order to predict what BTC does next in 2024.
Hovering over the 2021 bull run on the left will highlight whats happen to the present and you'll notice the semi transparent chart of the BTC 2019 on the right.
The 2019 overlay includes the BTC bottom of that cycle to just before the covid crash.
You can see both BTC bottoms don't line up exactly but the shape that follows do very much so.
In addtion, you can see on Jan 9th 2024 that BTC topping tail and next to it is the 2019 topping tail. These topping tails are the exact same percantage as their respective bullrun highs. 2021 70k top/49k topping tail vs 2017 20k top/14k topping tail. Both are 70% from the high of their cycle's bull run.
Start of a new golden cycleSince ancient times we have seen the golden as the most satisfying geometric ratio, it can be used to analyze the proportions of natural objects but also artificial systems such as Bitcoin. I believe in the golden to be the most influential level in markets.
Last cycle, i published the fractal Bitcoin followed during the first 2 pre-halving cycle’s and except for the Covid black-swan it respected the phases a third time like a charm.
Now our bottom (15465) is in, the 2023-2027 cycle can take-off. We accumulated and switched momentum now bulls are back. We will see a relief rally to this cycle’s golden (61.8% off 15465->69000) which is waiting at 48550usd to reject the level and start the re-accumulation into the next block-halving which is estimated to be around april 2024. After the 4th halving we are ready for our run-up to new price discovery in circa 2025, lets go.
Educational links
Fibonacci levels: www.investopedia.com
Golden ratio: www.canva.com
Bitcoin halvings: cointelegraph.com
See you in 2027 for another cycle!
Bitcoin's Cycle Shift: From Bearish to BullishSince November 2021, Bitcoin has undergone a transformative cycle shift, transitioning from a bearish to a bullish trajectory. After over two years of descent and trading within a persistent downtrend, Bitcoin now finds itself navigating a distinctly bullish channel. The current analysis suggests an upcoming retest of the upward trendline, followed by a potential ascent towards the $60,000 mark.
The Cycle Transition:
Bear to Bull Shift:
Bitcoin's historical downtrend, prevalent since November 2021, has given way to a bullish cycle.
This shift marks a pivotal moment, signaling a change in market sentiment and the emergence of a more favorable trading environment.
Navigating the Ascending Channel:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, setting the stage for optimistic price action.
The boundaries of this channel provide a framework for interpreting market dynamics and forecasting potential movements.
Anticipating a Retest and Rally:
Upcoming Retest:
As part of the bullish cycle, a retest of the upward trendline is on the horizon.
This retracement is a common occurrence in upward-trending markets, serving as a confirmation and validation of the newfound bullish sentiment.
Targeting $60,000:
Following the anticipated retest, the trajectory points towards a substantial rally, with a target set at $60,000.
This level holds significance as both a psychological barrier and a potential pivot point for further market developments.
Technical Analysis Insights:
Confirmation Indicators:
Technical indicators such as moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and volume analysis can serve as confirmation tools for the bullish momentum.
A convergence of positive signals from these indicators enhances the reliability of the forecast.
Market Sentiment:
Monitoring market sentiment through social media, forums, and news can provide additional insights into the broader perception of Bitcoin's price trajectory.
A positive sentiment backdrop can act as a reinforcing factor for the anticipated rally.
Conclusion: $60,000 in Sight
Bitcoin's journey from a prolonged bearish cycle to a robust bullish trend is a compelling narrative for crypto enthusiasts. As the market prepares for an imminent retest of the upward trendline, the $60,000 target stands as a beacon of optimism. Stay tuned for the exciting developments as Bitcoin charts its course in the evolving crypto landscape.
📉 Bear to Bull Transition | 📈 Ascending Channel Dynamics | 🎯 Target: $60,000
💬 Share your insights on Bitcoin's current cycle shift and your predictions for its journey to $60,000! 🚀🌐
Bitcoin's next cycle top REVEALEDAs you can see from the chart, if you measure how many days before a halving, did the cycle low occur.
For ex, in November 2012's halving, ~373 days before btc found a cycle low, projected into the future, ~373 days after the halving, a cycle top is in.
Same thing with 2016's halving.
Cycle low ~540 days before the halving, projected into the future ~540 days after the halving, we have a cycle top ($20k).
Yet again, with 2020's halving, btc found a low around 513 days before the halving, projected into the future, it took 513 days for a cycle top to be in.
Now in 2024's halving. Btc found a cycle low ~525 days before the 2024 halving ($15k)..Projected into the future ~525 days after the halving we should get a cycle top in Sept 2025.
Will history repeat itself yet again?Check back with this chart in 2025 :)
Good luck
LTC to Outpace BTC Next 6 to 7 months (LTC/BTC)LTC/BTC can increase over 100% over the next 6 months.
1. Ignore the price.
2. Look at the RSI.
3. Analyze RSI cycle patterns.
4. Sell Litecoin in June/July 2024. Now look at price.
5. High five!
I'm not sure if anyone else has broken down this cycle this way, but it makes the most sense to me. Very unconventional, but it works for me. RSI rules everything around me. #RSITheory
BTC 115k USD 2025 trendlines and speculative trajectoryFollowing the 4-Year-Cycle theory, the last quarter of 2025 should mark the top of the current BTC cycle. Here you have long term trendlines and a speculative trajectory towands this possible right-translated cycle peak.
If 2025 mirrors the 2021 price action, an intermediate top might be performed in spring 2025.
BTC in 2024 and 2025. New ATHLet's play to see the future. It's just a game, but it rhymes with previous #BTC cycles. From the beginning of 2024 until the moment of the halving, as in previous cycles, I think we could suffer a #BTC correction of between 20% and 30% at most. Then a not very aggressive journey will begin where we will move away from the average of 200 weekly periods until we surpass the new ATH of #BTC. At that moment, #BTC may lateralize for a few days or even make a correction of 15% or 20% and head quickly to a new ATH and maximum of this cycle. I think the new ATH could leave it around $150,000.
SP500. Is market "re-act" from FED or vice versa? 29/Dec/23SPX's chart/market is driven by Fundamentals ( FED) as most traders perceived. But I do agree with Robert Prechter and Alessio Rastani that market/ chart is driven by the "rotating cycle" of "supply/demand" rather than news/fundamentals even though I don't agree Robert Prechter with (Founder of Elliott Wave International) have been calling for major crash (which is severe than 1929) for many years
What’s ahead for the dollar?As the year draws to a close, it's an opportune time to evaluate the potential trajectory of the dollar going forward.
From a broader perspective, we anticipate a regime shift for the dollar in 2024, potentially marking significant turning points for the major dollar pairs. Notably, since the 1990s, each instance when real rates crossed the 1% threshold, the dollar experienced an average sustained fall of approximately 18% over around 340 days. The combination of aggressive hikes and lower inflation has now pushed real rates clearly above the 1% mark, but the dollar’s reaction thus far has been rather muted when considering the past 3 reactions.
This observation aligns with our cyclical analysis of the dollar. Historically, the dollar index has demonstrated a recurring cycle of approximately 3.5 years, often bottoming out at the end of most cycles.
Furthermore, the dollar index has recently dipped below the crucial 103 resistance level, a significant benchmark since the 1990s.
In light of a potential weaker dollar in 2024, we're exploring various strategic positions. At present, the NZDUSD pair, in particular, stands out due to its compelling technical setup and policy divergence.
Currently both the AUDUSD and NZDUSD are testing their 3-year resistance levels.
Given the current inflation and interest rate scenarios, we find the NZDUSD pair more appealing. New Zealand's inflation rate remains relatively high compared to the US, while their policy rates are almost identical. Moreover, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) maintained its hawkish stance in the last Monetary Policy Committee meeting, whereas the Federal Reserve has begun hinting at possible rate cuts in 2024. Such divergence in policy should favor the NZDUSD pair as rate differentials shift towards the NZD.
Hence, considering the weaker outlook for the Dollar in 2024, combined with the technical setup in the NZDUSD's price action and the emerging policy divergence, we lean bullish on the NZDUSD. To express this view, we can go long the CME New Zealand Dollar Futures at the current price level of 0.6247, take profit at 0.6800 and stop at 0.6050. Each 0.00005-point move is 5 USD.
With that, we wrap up our last piece for 2023. We wish everyone a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Reference:
www.cmegroup.com
Bitcoin technical analysis _ 2023-12-19Long position
After breaking the 43334 resistance
Entry: 436000
Stop Loss: 42890
Risk Free: 44312
Save profit 1:45100
Save profit 2: 45750
Save profit 3: 46440
Save profit 4: 47145
Profit limit: 48000
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Short position
After breaking the 4790 support
Entry: 40,500
Stop Loss: 41330
Risk Free: 39670
Profit limit: 38300
Bitcoin New Bullish Cycle IncomingHey, its Dalin.
When we look at stocks during the internet bubble crash of 2003 they appear to make the same structure as many cryptos today.
Bitcoin is just one example of this. We see the same pattern with Uniswap and many others.
We can utilize this cycle and position ourselves properly for the next wave.
A new cycle could send it to un-imaginable prices.
Lets make sure we take advantage of this opportunity!
- Dalin Anderson
BTC 2.0 PREDECTION From $0,10 TO NEW ATH $1.59 - 2023Thank you for taking the time to review our update. It's essential to emphasize that the following information is not intended as trading advice,
The max supply same as BTC 21M and the TA trends will make this coin able to break .
BTC 2.0 demonstrating significant changes in trading volume, representing a new cryptocurrency with inherent high-risk However, if BTC 2.0 manages to sustain a value of $0.08 or higher, there is the potential for upward momentum and a potential break on low time frame.
We expect that BTC 2.0 is able to gain from the target $0,10 to $1.59 in 2023
Our low time frame with the first TARGET $0,20 and main update.
#Nottradingadvice
#For day traders take always profits when market increase
Gold, Don't "fall in love" with its 2080 +/- again. 4/Dec/23XAUUSD currently forming a "unfinished" long tail daily and "finished" long tail 4 hour "scary" pin bar for "Gold's Bull Chaser"! BUT, but.. the "Red Bull" probably only "exhausted" on New York Session @ 2150-2160 +/-. (Detail on next lower time frame chart )