Cyclebottom
2014 & 18 Bear Markets imposed on current 2022 Bear Market PAFor an idea of what is in the realms of possibility with other bear markets for BTC (ignoring the current macro landscape); this post overlays the 2014 and 2018 bear markets over the current 2022 Bear Market PA.
Do we have more to drop?
Have we already put in our cycle bottom and are in our current cycle bottom accumulation trading range?
Wyckoff Accumulation - Are we in our Cycle Accumulation Range?Current Price range is showing characteristics of Wyckoff Accumulation (see link below for more information).
Wyckoff Accumulation: school.stockcharts.com
The question is, are we forming our cycle bottom accumulation trading range or building a price fractal prepping for one more push down to our blue line key levels below?
Currently tracking this formation for validation / invalidation....
Wyckoff Accumulation - Are we in our Cycle Accumulation Range?Current Price range is showing characteristics of Wyckoff Accumulation (see link below for more information).
Wyckoff Accumulation: school.stockcharts.com
The question is, are we forming our cycle bottom accumulation trading range or building a price fractal prepping for one more push down to our blue line key levels below?
Currently tracking this formation for validation / invalidation....
Cycle Bottom Indicator [CBI] - Log Chart [UPDATE 08] First FlashJust a quick update, first daily flash of the CBI was captured in the last few hours (noting we need to close the daily to lock it in).
As discussed previously, indicator was fitted based on the past two cycle bottoms with a 3 day tolerance.
Cycle Bottom Indicator [CBI] - Log Chart [UPDATE 03 - FED 0.75%]Quick update on the Cycle Bottom Indicator (CBI) tracking + Log Chart post central bank federal funds rate announcement with a 75 basis point increase.
See link for announcement: www.wsj.com
This was not too much of a surprise, given:
1) inflation numbers after a
2) massive increase in M1 currency supply post COVID (in all tear 1 currencies) and
3) the massive gap emerging between 2 Year Treasury Bond Yield vs FED Funds Rate we discussed in the last post.
There is every chance the FED will continue to go hard on interest rate increases until we see the gap close.
Will be interesting to see how the CBI performs in such uncharted bottoming conditions for BTC.