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Cycles

Bitcoin Bull Runs, This is How they're Sparked!In this short video analysis, we highlight the correlation between traditional asset Risk-On cycles and their impact on Bitcoin. Every historical $BTCUSD bull run's start has coincided with a SPY significant Fibonacci level breach and retest. This past month the SPY has breached the long term 2.618 fib level and is seemingly headed towards the 3.618, with no significant retest as of yet. What will Bitcoin do? Will we get an SPY retest? Is the correlation over? These are the top 3 questions that only the market can answer. Stay tuned!
AMEX:SPY
by CoinObservatory
BLX.ASX Cyclical Short Trade BeginningA broken clock is right twice a day, and an under performing lamp warehouse has a rerate every 1 and a 1/4 years. There is a heavy down trend that has begun since this thing appreciated after its IPO. since then there has been a cyclical run of price drops like clock work. These are more like zones of trading, where the rerate brings about a reassessment of the market participants of the stock. Buying at the beginning of Zone 2 and Zone 3 would have yielded some very handsome results because the trading was a long way away from the established trend line. The same strategy entering Zone 4 and now entering Zone 5 will yield disastrous results. This is of course dependent on the trend line not being broken in any meaningful way. Which, given that its such a long term trend line, I doubt is going to happen.
BShort
by MadButcherWA
Market Cycle of EmotionsI'm feeling depressed, angry, and doubtful about my BTS position. I can feel the emotion creeping in. I can feel the thoughts coming on: "sell now, you can find another coin. This coin is dead." In the cycle of market psychology, it could be the time for me to buy more. If BTS was at .20 I'd probably have a million and one emotional reasons to buy more. We have retraced 98% from ATH. What an opportunity! Horizontal lines are support levels. Who knows? Good luck.
POLONIEX:BTSUSDLong
by jjjk00
3
BTC in transitional phase BINANCE:BTCUSDT is beginning to enter a transitionary phase that could likely break the counter-cycle seen since the sell and buy walls created. Created this obvious barrier between both bull and bear with the clear and definitive prints. This is not a confirmation as of yet, though, something to keep an eye on if bulls can break the counter and go into transition to an initial upcycle. Which, for the case of all bulls; will need strong signal weight and momentum to successfully breakthrough.
Long
by JPKolanovicMarko
1
NQ1! Setup for the Short Fall ??Nasdaq100 NQ1! We are concluding the price cycle upwards today after the US Non-farm numbers have been released. Expected at this point is for a down cycle to begin towards the 8100-8000 price area. If the price cycles work as in years past and this area (RED ZONE) holds, we can see a decline downward with potential consolidation (GREY ZONE), and further declines to the GREEN LINE. If new HI's are made, then larger price cycles are still in play. Use with caution among other parameters you trade within. This weeks UP and DOWN movement have many purely guessing direction...aren't we all?!. However, these movement predictions/bias' are based on cycles and more often than not, do work....but never guaranteed and so I'm always willing to change the bias when its no longer conforming to initial setups. And finally with impeachment proceedings underway, end of year window dressing, and fed meeting, can make for a volatile few weeks so these movement are very possible.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by ProSTrades
1
Ultimate Beginners Guide For Bitcoin Profit in 2020As we head into December, We can see that the major drops I had predicted since November 14th has occured. Bitcoin is currently fighting to stay above the major Support line that developed back in march of this year 2019 when Bitcoin had the golden cross and rallied to 13k zone. This support line is set to break as we are no where near the end of our capitulation cycle. as you can see on the chart labled "C2" Allow me to further explain... Back in November 2018 we capitualted around the same time and the cycle brought us from $6,400 down to $3,200 once capitulation reached it's peak. See C1 label on chart. From these two capitulation zones we can chart our next two support zone.... First support being set to $6,400 labeled on chart as S1 If we fail to hold $6,400 zone, Then we will see another 50% capitulaiton completeing a 100% retracement back down to our previous capitulation lows of $3,800 Labeled on chart as S2 And If $3,400 doesn't hold... Well We could see $2,500 low Labeled on chart as "MOAB" Mother Of All Buys As Of right now, I am predicting our capitulation cycle will be completed in January. I will be buying in March of 2020 where I will hold until October or until further Technical Analysis depicts. Follow my Page for my updates.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ILL_Midas
14
Ethereum: Text Book Gann Cycles• Ethereum’s chart is displaying a textbook case of Gann’s cycles of an inner year. • These cycles can help determine trend direction months ahead of time. The Cycles of the Inner Year Some of the most important lessons that Gann taught were related to time. Gann said that time was the factor that dictated the direction of a trend. Gann focused heavily on time being the primary factor that should be observed. One of the most important discoveries that Gann found were the cycles of the inner year. An inner year is a 360 (365) day period. It does not mean from January 1st to December 31st. To measure an inner year cycle, we just need an important high or low. Gann identified a number of cycles within an inner year: 120-day, 45-day, 90-day. 144-day, etc, etc. None are more important than the 90-day cycle, followed by the 180-day, and then the 270-day cycle. In all these cycles, any instrument that has been trending as it approaches 90, 180 or 270 days in a trend faces an extremely high probability of a countertrend move. Ethereum’s chart is a great example of Gann’s cycles of the inner year. Ethereum (ETH) Ethereum follows Gann’s dates and cycles very closely – almost oddly closely. Observe the first 90-day cycle from the 2018 low on December 13th, 2018 to the 99th day from that low on March 22nd, 2019. Quick note: 90-day cycles can extend to 99 days (and 180 to 198-days and 270 to 297 days). That 99th-day was just before another leg higher. And observe the 180-days cycle (Red, 195 days), the top of the 2019 market was on the 195th day from the December 2018 low. And then if we look forward exactly 270-days from the December 2018 low, we start to see Ethereum getting bullish and moving higher. But there’s one other very interesting component here that we have not reviewed. Observe the purple vertical lines. All of those vertical lines represent extremely important Gann dates. There are specific calendar dates that Gann identified as having extreme importance in all markets. Few are as important as December 22nd, March 21st, June 22nd, and September 23rd. If they seem familiar, they should. They are seasonal dates. December 22nd is Winter, March 21st is Spring, June 22nd is Summer and September 23rd is Fall. Notice how often Ethereum creates major move around these dates and notice how frequently these dates are falling on the 90-day cycles of the inner year. There is a major confluence zone where Ethereum is currently trading. First, we are seeing a bullish response from the 270-day cycle. Second, we are getting closer to the next important Gann seasonal date of September 23rd. This date is doubly important because it is also the 90th day from the 2019 high of 364.49 made on June 26th, 2019. It is no coincidence that these dates are lining up. What we are forming is a powerful time square that creates extremely powerful price moves. This 270-day cycle we have completed is very powerful and it looks to continue a bullish trend that began in December of 2018. How long will the move last? Well, Gann probably has an answer to that. Regarding the 270-day cycle, Gann said that it could start a 90-day cycle that would end a 360-day yearly cycle. There is a very high probability that a 45 to 90-day cycle ends a yearly cycle. And 90-days from the end of the 270-day cycle bring us to December 9th, 2019 – just two weeks short of coming up against the next seasonal Gann date of December 22nd. I am expecting at least 45-days of continued bullish pressure for Ethereum.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by itsjustanalysis
2
Saying what we are all thinking......Well.....It's obvious at this point. Bakkt friend buys future shorts Whale friend dumps market Bakkt friend pays back whale friend Whale friend buys more BTC at lower price Whale is also Miner so whale shutoff miners to drop the hashrate slowing the supply during high demand before the halving. This is what's happening, if I'm wrong.....then.....based on the weekly chart we are below the 20 and are on our way to $6,000 If I'm right, then we're going to be back at $10,000 within 2 to 3 weeks
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ILL_Midas
1
Bitcoin Still Bullish, But What Can Go Wrong?This is a bearish chart, but let me clarify that I"m still bullish, still long at $7800 and still looking for bull market to re-ignite. But is important as a trader to understand what can go wrong and adapt. What if this rally and cycle fails, what happens if mid December is the yearly cycle low? The simple answer is that we would have some very bearish market structure and be well below major MA's. The consolidation would be too long and chances of going into a long term bear market would be much higher. I would no longer be looking to enter a long swing trade. I would shift to more short term trading and eventually look to swing trade major resistance short.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by rzmb44
1
VHT repeating patterns moving into a wedge.We have a repeating set of triangles that have moved into a broader triangle. Each of the triangles are roughly the same length and the move as the first ended is very sudden. If this is a repeating pattern we will be looking for a spike in volume as the move begins. The move should begin either in the next candle or the one thereafter, afterwards I would begin to think that the pattern has become too long and will fail. So I’m looking for in the next two candles for the upper downsloping trendline to be broken , price action to remain above the 20 weekly MA, price to break the green resistance line at 1.675 and for a volume spike to occur. All at the same time. Not much to ask for really. Failure will be price action breaking below the lower blue upward sloping trend line and the red stop line at 1.50. I will point out that there has been an overall decrease on volume at the moment which doesn’t concern me. My philosophy is that price velocity increases on either increasing or decreasing volume. It doesn’t happen on flat volume so this is still in play despite the drop in overall volume at the moment.
VLong
by MadButcherWA
1