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Cycles

EURUSD Global CyclesI haven’t published forex analysis for a long time. Last week I was at a forex conference in Dubai. And I was pleasantly surprised by the quality of the people at this conference. That's why I want to look globally on the forex market. Euro / Dollar (EURUSD) most popular pair I showed large main cycles of 16 years. Methodology: 1. Visually determine the full cycle (movement from minimum to minimum or from maximum to maximum) 2. We repeatedly confirm cyclicality over an accessible historical interval 3. We find the end and the beginning of a new cycle in current quotes and “continue” its construction in the future If the cycle operates in the "past" - this is a guarantee of maintaining fluctuations with approximately the same period in the future - William Delbert Gann If you know what part of the cycle you are in, you will always know when to buy and when to sell. William Delbert Gann For example, you know that this is the end of a 16-year cycle, then you will only buy, not sell. Each whole consists of small parts. A large 16 year cycle can also be broken down into smaller components. Divide the 16 year cycle in half, we get 8 year cycle. Divide the 8 year cycle again into 2 parts, we get 4 summer cycles. Making a forecast for the EURUSD currency pair based on 16, 8, 4-year cycles, we can conclude that EURUSD has found some bottom, and this may be the beginning to continue the upward movement. Cycles is not a trading system, it is just very good information for the trader to help him understand where the financial instrument is now, what we can potentially expect. Each cycle will give one or another reaction, but this is NOT always exactly as we expect, the cycle can mark its end with inversion - a completely inverse reaction compared to history. It is just necessary, according to the cycles, to pay more attention to the market, to wait for the continuation, according to the cycles in history, but also to be prepared that the market will respond to the cycle, but not what we expected. We do not control the market and do not create any illusions on this score. We just observe it, what happened in history and what is happening now, and in accordance with what we see, we make trading decisions. I am pleased to read your opinion about the global market vision in the comments. Also if you read it to the end do not forget to like it is very important to me Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
44
BTCUSD Weak to Strong Hands In ProgressEvening everyone. Quick bitcoin top to bottom… -Price is trading well below the 50 SMA = bearish -50 SMA crossed the 147 SMA which is roughly the 21 week SMA = bearish -50 SMA pointed solidly downward = bearish -Price is trading below the 200 SMA = bearish -MACD histogram is still red = bearish -MACD fast average still under the slow average = bearish -5RSI crossed downward around September 16th and hasn’t come up for air = bearish It isn’t all doom and gloom but I hope you aren’t trying to catch a falling knife. Ya know. Like I used to. Good news… -From swing low of December to swing high of June we’re approaching the .618 retracement. Nothing magic about it, could go lower than $7251.6, but damn…how much lower? Until buyers and sellers agree on a price!! -Halving is on the horizon. I’m a Bitcoin bull as you can see in every other post, but I’m fine with this going back to where it started its run. The lower it goes, the higher the multiples will be in the frontrunning of halving that is likely to occur. Go to $6k. Go to $3k. Try me on for size, Bitcoin. A quick shout out to MattDelong who gifted us the PET-D indicator. If you take the green arrows above the 50 SMA and the red arrows below the 50 SMA you stand a good chance of making some money. Try it out and give his indicator a like. Also take a look at the cycle work of Dr. Charles Nenner of Nenner Research. He’s been spot on for the couple years I’ve followed him and his cycle data has saved and made me untold sums in trading and investing. If you’re only looking at crypto right now you’re missing the boat. Yuuuuge cyclical moves await us. Go make some money.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by HRoark64
I Shouldn't Be Showing You This - Silver/ Crypto Pricing Model $1,000 to $21,000 or 61 oz of silver to over 1200 oz of silver Yes... you read that right... I was genuinely unsure about whether or not to bring this information to more people's attention, many people are unaware of the power of this very simple model and mindset switch. Simply put, if you price everything in dollars, you will end up with more or less dollars...simple The issue with this approach is that you are going to have a hard time finding true VALUE in an asset that is priced in a highly inflationary numeraire (benchmark). What happens if you price assets in other assets...in other words...what happens if you price assets in how much stuff a given asset can buy of another asset? Well, you can get a clear indicator of what asset is...or is not in favour at any given point in time. Upon this realisation I began experimenting and stumbled upon this little beauty you see above. Pricing crypto... not in fiat... but in the ultimate numeraire... Precious Metals. From the outline above you can see how powerful this strategy's potential is, housing, stocks, bonds and yes even crypto can be priced in Precious Metals to give you a true understanding of where these assets value really is... I was hesitant to share this idea with the community, but i am a strong believer in creating a community of educated traders and investors...not gamblers. If, like me, you wish to understand VALUE and not just chase momentum on the next big thing, feel free to follow and let's go on a journey together. #ValueCycles
BITSTAMP:LTCUSD
by Profit_Link
Economic ThoughtsJust putting this idea out there as a concept the chart is just to help express what I'm saying, not any technical advice. Recently everybody is screaming incoming recession, but I'm skeptical. Whens the last time everyone saw the decline coming from so far away? Theory: After the last recession there are measures put in place to help prevent such a large decline or crash. Are shady things still going on? Of course - but in my opinion not to the scale that they were in the mid 2000s. Instead of big recessions taking place occasionally I think we will see these periods of stagnation and slowed growth. The economy needs a "break" and psychologically things cant go up forever. The US economy is strong and has been strong for a very long time. Jobs are at a good place, consumer spending is good and people are generally happy to spend and borrow money. Yes there is an above average amount of political drama taking place but most of the large US companies continue to grow and pull the economy up with them. In my opinion this could be an area where we see these "slowdowns" (Indexes bouncing up and down returning to the same level) followed by more growth. TLDR : no big crash - instead periods of time where nothing really happens Could some global issue arise? yes of course but I think if things stay relatively calm globally this is a very possible scenario. - 21
TVC:SPX
by UnknownUnicorn4841753