DISCLAIMER: This is not trading advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only to show how I view this market. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence. My COT strategy has Crude Oil SETUP for longs if we get a TRIGGER (Confirmed bullish trend change). But what do cycles have to say about this long trade idea? Cycles suggest that we...
Look carefully at April 2005, October 2007 and Today. A "Sell Off" of 20% took place. History does not usually repeat itself, but in trading the phenomenon of cyclicals exists. It's just AMAZING! What do you think?! In addition, the levels indicated are achievable in the medium term, 2-3 months; In recent days, this is what happened at the macroeconomic...
With the recent news of the FED being close to a new rate cut, it's important to start considering the possibility of the market going even higher. However, it's hard for price to keep pushing up when it's already overextended. Not saying this doesn't happen because it does. Price does tend to break the rules of statistics, given the irrationality of people....
One of my big technical analysis passions is time analysis and time cycles, and I tend to follow them closely. Some of these are very helpful when in combination with other TA, to find reversal points at any given time frame, even though I don't do intraday trading, so I focus on big swings, though bigger time frames. Bitcoin's periodicity is remarkable, and we...
How Much Longer Will the Good Times Last? In this chart, I highlighted 3 different cyclic frameworks. The dynamic time cycle which is shown as "grey/blue zigzag" extended into the future. It is a 186 day cycle pattern which was observed at any past parabolic move since 2010 in Bitcoin. It needs 5 repetitions in order to complete a parabolic up move. Count...
Have you noticed this c ycle analysis in #Bitcoin (#BTC), where price tends to create a major bottom on average every 105 days? If this #cycle_analysis is going to materialize again, then we could anticipate another #bullish move in about 15 days. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
In this analysis, we will compare the Global Liquidity Cycles with Bitcoin Cycles on the weekly timeframe. The top pane shows the Bitcoin weekly price, while the bottom panes showcases Global Liquidity and Bitcoin cycles. Bitcoin tops (the bottom pane) are highlighted in red with a level of 75+ and the bottoms are highlighted in green with a level of 15 or...
I received my CMT charter long ago, when chartered market technician candidates could write a thesis that had potential to change the body of knowledge of Technical Analysis. It did and it continues to serve me and my students well. It was called "Cycle Evolution Theory" and my specialty is in the long-term cycles of emerging displacement technologies that change...
This important exchange has been doing very well with options and futures contract sales. NASDAQ:CME had a classic pre-earnings run up fueled by professional traders swing trading, out of a platform support level. The retracement was only a sympathy move with retail knee-jerk reactions due to the fear around the stock market at this time, not an indication...
According to this data, if we measure the amount of time from the swing highs to the swing lows of each major trend, these cycles may be able to tell us when to expect the next breakout of the All Time High for Bitcoin
I have now moved to a net short and long puts at 90 % in the money puts in QQQ and XLK . a cycle peak was due the week of may 9th and the next turn based on spirals in june 10/june 23 2023 .
Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Bitcoin is approaching a massive previous weekly support zone excatly at the HKEX:32 ,000 area which is now turned extremely strong resistance. However you can also see that weekly market structure is massively bullish, in my opinion...
From now i will have one main idea, and all the ideas as we reach cycle targets for the year will be updated in the thread. Fallow, like so you dont miss the updates. I dont trade short term, keep in mind my ideas are longer term, and its boring. We wait for the cycles to bottom and we wait once in the trade for the trade to mature.
Time for a little retrace Looking for T-3i to close GL HF
From top to bottom, using log fib extensions: Cycle 2: 2.272 Fib is the top of 2013 Cycle 3 : 2.272 Fib is the top of 2017 Cycle 4: 1.618 Fib is the top of 2021. Institutions are in since 2017, diminishing returns. Cycle 5: Will 1.618 or 1.272 fib be the top of 2025? I bet on the 1.618 option. Max pain will occur before, certainly. But the destination is known,...
Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Ethereum is currently breaking above a quite obvious previous weekly resistance area which is exactly at $1700. You can also see that we are approaching the next resistance at $1900, so I do expect a short term rejection towards the...
Cycles & sentiment- work in tandem Natural gas now moving into mid-term cycle support
I would love to dive into more depth here, but I'd really have to start doing a consistent video series for that. I've been watching time cycles which I've charted on the vix and the SPX for a while and there's a very important region coming up near the end of January. Those unfamiliar with cycle analysis should go study it a bit as this post won't explain it...