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Cycletheory

Cycle HeatmapGm, the cycle heatmap says we are still early. This idea is purely based on the 4 year boom and bust cycle theory. We expect btc to bottom about 1 year before the halving and top at least 6 months but probably 9-18 months after the halving. So I adapt this theory to the total market cap and estimate a conservative 50% btc dominance to get an idea of the total crypto market cap targets of this new cycle. We can also combine different cycle based models to create a heatmap. - 140k BTC target as minimum conservative target - 10x total target - 1M BTC target - trololol log regression aasasoft.org - log log price chart price.bublina.eu.org - stock to flow www.lookintobitcoin.com - halving en.bitcoin.it This allows us to track where we are in the big picture and identify mean reversion risks. #dubious #speculation
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by koryu
AMZN Joins the Dow at an Unusual PhaseThis hugely influential company should have been on the Dow 10 years ago. Listing as a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average usually occurs when a company is about to enter a Market Saturation to Market Decline Phase. However, such is not the case with $NASDAQ:AMZN. It's quite the opposite. Its fairly new CEO, who was the CEO of AWS, the division of AMZN known for its powerful and totally dominant PaaS cloud technology, has extensive experience in exactly what AMZN needs right now: front running new technologies and driving more new technologies to market introduction faster. The challenge to be #1 in the use of Integrated Artificial Intelligence and other new technologies in the realm of Cloud Technology is on. Who will win depends on the CEO. Never underestimate the importance of the right CEO for the current market conditions. The chart of AMZN stock implies a consolidation or platform may develop during the month and a half between earnings seasons. These patterns tend to form due to value-oriented quiet accumulation by the largest institutions while the rest of the market pulls back from buying or sells.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
The Steamroller Secret: Why Chasing Small Gains Could Cost YouSimply put, the current market seems to be reaching its limits and it's wise to be cautious. As the saying goes, "Never pick up nickels in front of a steamroller," we shouldn't take unnecessary risks for small profits when there's a chance for significant losses. The tools we use to analyze the market usually go through highs and lows. It appears that there might be one last upward move before the cycle heads back down. When looking at the volume profile, we see we're entering risky territory since we're now two standard deviations away from the volume point of control. This implies that the market might be reaching a level that can't be sustained for long. In short, the current market conditions seem pretty uncertain to the upside, and it's essential to consider these factors when deciding on trading actions. #cycletheory #auctiontheory #PrimeIQLabs #volumeprofileanalysis
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by leerider
1
BBIG Continued break down of this move....Well timed fear news..Remember I said this could be the final push before the pop. Meaning lets say they have 90% of the float absorbed. (If you don't know what I mean by that message me.) The push down would break stop losses and create fomo on the bears side... If you check the volume you will see that the candles without wicks are of equal volume. the Candles with wicks are being soaked up. So very efficient reabsorption of the float. to gain that last percentage they need to carry this. Now we need volume around 10x the normal to get this moving....there are plenty of shares for them to feed to retail as it starts to move. The algo will do all of this on its own. Basically if you take wyckoff theory and add volume cycles and timing cycle to the price action you can get a clear picture of what is the main obj of the algo. When you look at the volume over the last week its nearly been almost non-existent. almost 10x slower than normal. Now take the well timed news that was dropped. Most traders didn't know about this so that isn't the reason it didn't go up. The Algo knows what it needs to do and the news is timed and placed for it to explain why and how.....When the algo isn't able to get the last part of the float because retailers are holding.... they drop the well placed short and sweet fear to explain why the push down all of the sudden. This is just so the algo can break stop losses in the liquidity zone sitting under where price action hasn't touched over x amount of time. Once it gathers up the float it continues on its conquest to higher ground. The push up at open yesterday was the push I was looking for but the fomo was not there and there for the volume was not either... telling the Algo that there isn't enough of the float absorbed to make it move up. Also this sketch might be too quick for all of this to happen as my ghost trail shows it will be more like Tjur Feb 23 and that there will be a dip into liquidity. meaning another push to break stop losses to reacquire the float. Before moving back up. by iCantw84it 02/18/23 *** As always if you find any of this intriguing pls like/follow/ and most of all hit that boost so we can all track this. *** Thank you!
BLong
by iCantw84it
4
intriguing set of coincidences with BBIG Volume-Time I had to make a post to track this. Its one of those things where you see something and the coincidences start to overlap. I follow cycle theory meaning based on retails response to an algos buying and selling at key points in the market....Retail will tend to make the same decision again if the given circumstances still exist. Then their is volume patterns.....taking the amount of volume to complete one move up or down you can expect the opposite move to take the same amount of volume to finish the next move. In the last three moves we have volume being the same across each move up or down to complete and move to the next. We also have a 74 count to complete a move to reaccumulate and a shorter period to take profits and now we are at 73 of another re-accumulation with the volume at 1.99m which is almost exactly where the last two moves swapped. I'm expecting to see a sudden change in character here to the upside. hopefully easily to distinguish on this next candle at 733am Friday morning est time. Each candle after should paint the picture of above to break the last high and sustain above it. Volume should kick in more than it ahs over the last 20 candles. As it came to an sudden halt after an explosion of volume.....this to me is the quiet before the bigger move.... in my eyes the market ramps up then down to almost nothing until its avg is excessively lower than its previous avg at this time over period of days.....when that happens it seesaws back to heavy causing fomo and a rapid amount of growth opportunity. Its all put together by an algo based on the psychology of retail and how to get them chomping at the bit and letting go of their shares when time has exceeded the avg amount of time it takes retail to give up on a move....
BLong
by iCantw84it
1
NEGG 200ma Cross since Dec 2021. Building MomentumNEGG I have to say this was a surprise finding this at this price. I always see my dad who is old school radio shack kind of PC guy, on this app and geeking out over their sales and products. So to see it this low grabbed my attention. Some things I saw that were interesting is the Volume is 7x over its daily avg. The float is amazingly low at 12.21 mil. So another way to look at that is its turning the float every hour. as it builds its turning it faster and faster. which means we are swapping older buyers out with new hungry retail buyers every hour. I see this thing launching back to something more worthy of its numbers. The volume on this just hit 40 mill..... Price target $5.55 by iCantw84it 01/13/23
NASDAQ:NEGGLong
by iCantw84it
1
Number of Sunspots and Inflation CYCLESHi friends Today im going to explain about the relationship between Sunspot Numbers and Inflation rate from 1960 to now. so lets start with inventor of this theory : William Stanley Jevons's In 1875 and 1878 Jevons read two papers before the British Association which expounded his famous "sunspot theory" of the business cycle. Digging through mountains of statistics of economic and meteorological data, Jevons argued that there was a connection between the timing of commercial crises and the solar cycle. it called 5.31-Year Cycle too. In the stock market and in the economy, there are both natural frequencies and artificial excitation frequencies. The four-year presidential election cycle is a great example of an excitation frequency, and it has demonstrable effects on stock prices. The schedule of FOMC meetings 8x per year is another possible example of an artificial excitation frequency. When a demonstrable cycle period appears that one cannot tie to some manmade excitation frequency, then the supposition is that it is a "natural" frequency of the economic system. Something about the economy or the market results in an oscillation on a certain frequency which may not have a good outside explanation. Perhaps it is in how money flows. Perhaps it is in how human brains make decisions about surplus and scarcity. It is hard to know. This 5.31-year frequency in the CPIs cycle seems to fall into that category as a natural cycle, because the 5.31-year period does not match any known excitation frequency related to human activity nor the economic calendar. So that makes it probably a natural frequency. In above chart , there does seem to be a relationship between sunspots and the inflation rate. We see lots of instances when the peak of the sunspot cycle coincided with the peak of the inflation rate. There have been spikes in the inflation rate not tied to the sunspot cycle, such as the spike during the Arab Oil Embargo of 1973-74. this examples did, interestingly, come at the halfway point of the sunspot cycle, fitting the half-period harmonic principle(5.31 year cycle). The current rise in inflation fits both the longstanding 5.31-year cycle and the upswing in the sunspot cycle. Solar researchers expect the current sunspot cycle rise to end in July 2025, which is 3 years from now. But the 5.31-year cycle says a top in the inflation rate is expected right now. That would mean seeing the inflation rate bottoming around 2025 just as the sunspot cycle is peaking. Sometimes cycles present us with conflicts that are hard to reconcile. The point of the 5.31-year cycle that we can take away for right now is that the inflation rate should be falling for the next ~2.2 years. But that does not mean we get to zero percent inflation right away. The drops take a while to unfold. Inflation is likely with us for a while, and we have to get used to that idea.
ECONOMICS:USIRYYEducation
by TraderAmin-KZ
2
LUNCUSDT just finished the bottom bounce Launch TimeLUNCUSDT just finished the bottom bounce. Typically a move from distribution into accumulation looks like a drop that consolidates then bounces and consolidates higher than its baseline....(which is the push down in the middle of consolidation prior to distribution) Then after consolidation high it drops again to manipulate under the baseline to break stop losses and absorb more of the float. Then a move back to the high after the absorption which is shown on chart with Volume stating over the last 6 candles there was 38billion in volume....on the last candle there was 34 billion by its self. this is a signal of absorption is complete and now it consolidates high again just below the area it couldnt pass before. Then when its ready to break through it will drop back down to break the line it created moving up which everyone thinks is safe to place their stop losses... It breaks this line to absorb the last remaining part of the float it needs to break through the area it has not been able to get through. The reason its been in this area so long is because it has been doing this pattern on every time line and its been waiting for each one to complete this move. Now that we are at this point it can start its move for profits..... Lets hope it takes just as long on this stage as it did on the previous.... smh by iCantw84it 10.31.22
Long
by iCantw84it
7
Skipping a cycle If we drop a fib on the 2011 cycle, top to bottom. Read the 3.272, take two steps down to the 2.618, we get something near the top and bottom of the 2017 cycle. Measuring the 2013 cycle, we read off one step from the previous, the 3. Take three steps down (one more than last time) to find the bottom of the 2021 cycle. Measuring the 2017 cycle, we read the 2.618 and four steps down, we then get 393.000 and 62.000 for this cycle. For the cycle after that we get 477.000 and 100.000. It's not a prediction, just seemed like a plausible and fun theory :)
INDEX:BTCUSD
by kjetilt
HOW A LONG CYCLE UNFOLDS IN REAL TIMEKUCOIN:INJUSDT Above diagram is a simple graphic of a Long trend cycle. CONTRACTION - EXPANSION - TREND. Prices tighten into a sideways corrective environment to the point of almost stoppage (This is where the phenomena of frozen candles pre break occurs) once a fair and true value has been confirmed by the market it breaks out into an expansion phase which begins to oscillate around true value taking out highs and lows in the process before moving into a dedicated Trend phase. In the above structure a return to value will be in play though you should await the trend phase to trade the short move back to true value or equilibrium. More experienced traders can use this cycle knowledge multi time-frame to sell the highs back to true value. THIS KNOWLEDGE UNDERSTOOD HAS A 90% accuracy to trading via orders and 100% to active and live trade management. Any lows under true value are buy signals and any highs over true value are sell signals.
Education
by TradeGod_1111
RRR CYCLE POP already started on the .80 gapThis is at the end of a cycle and a test to the cloud has already started. It will either touchback to the cloud and consolidate then take off. Or it will fail and reaccumulate and retest as early as Tuesday Option calls are around 1.65 at this level. For aug17th Cycle pop has already been confirmed with the gap up of .80 this morning. Now it’s just a matter of if absorption was complete and they own enough of the float and if retail is on the right side of the fence to see this thing go By ICantw84it 07.14.22
NASDAQ:RRRLong
by iCantw84it
1
CLVS signs of Life? Break outAfter following this since hit flat lined at .81 cent I saw clear cut signs of accumulation and break out. Right at the end of the option chain cycle. Which ended today. The fact that it jumped to above a $1 on this day shows to me that its serious about bouncing off the bottom. Otherwise it could have just stayed below $1 until after today. It jumping above a dollar today means someone lost money or that they dragged it so far down that even if it came up it didnt matter..... Now we have a full month in this option call to run. does it go parabolic? or does it re-accumulate from here to inch its way back up? i marked two key areas in blue for when obvious change tot he price action can happen. by iCantw84it 06.17.22
CLong
by iCantw84it
1