CYH
Community Health Systems Overvalued Those who have been following Community Health Systems since the firm's stock tumbled in October 2016 following the $7.6B merger with HMA may be wondering if the hospital giant has found its footing after three consecutive quarters of being EPS positive, rallying stock prices to a 52-week high record of $11.04/share. Today, I am here to tell you that this stock is very much overpriced compared to the firm's current market value.
Highlights (Quarter by Quarter Fundamental Analysis)
Short-term assets such as Cash and Cash equivalence have increased again by 17% to 1.8B, while receivables and inventory have decreased, signaling that Community Health Systems could be improving their asset turnover or we will see a decrease in net income next quarter. Total assets have slightly increased while debts have slightly decreased resulting in a 2% decrease in debt-to-assets, however, the firm has continued the trend of financing assets with more debt with a 5% increase in debt-to-equity from 28.1% to 29.5%. CYH also maintains an enterprise value far greater than their market cap value. CYH has continued the trend of cutting SGA expenses. Although we see a reduction in FCF, it remains positive.
Using the DCF model, we have a fair-market-value of about $6.30/share.
(One-year Chart using Technical Analysis)
Upon reviewing the charts, we will most likely see a decline in the stock's price. The RSI and MACD are bearish while the price is testing the 20 EMA. Analyzing the volume, we are seeing that the bulls are starting to lose momentum.
Short/put - $5.70 (low confidence) to $6.30 (high confidence)
CYH, MACD Histogram just turned positiveThis is a Bullish indicator signaling CYH's price could rise from here. Traders may explore going long the stock or buying call options. Tickeron A.I. dvisor identified 41 similar cases where CYH's MACD histogram became positive, and 36 of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success: 88%. Current price $4.76 crossed the support line at $4.66 and is trading between $4.83 resistance and $4.66 support lines. Throughout the month of 09/01/20 - 10/02/20, the price experienced a -14% Downtrend, while the week of 09/25/20 - 10/02/20 shows a +9% Uptrend.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CYH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Stochastic Indicator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. Tickeron A.I. detected that in 50 of 61 cases where CYH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The 50-day Moving Average for CYH moved above the 200-day moving average on August 07, 2020. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +5.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CYH advanced for three days, Tickeron A.I. shows that in 249 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
CYH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Gonna Need A Bigger Boat CYHThe biotech sector is known for generating some of the most volatile names around and for good reason. When it comes to biotech and healthcare stocks, innovation is the focus.
" Healthcare penny stock Community Health Systems Inc. ( CYH ) is a healthcare company that buys and runs acute care hospitals in the US. The company operates an impressive 103 hospitals across 18 states, holding 17,000 beds. Ever since August 28th, CYH stock has been thriving. It is up over 82% since the 28th going from $1.82 to $3.48."
But between the divestiture of assets and this insider buying well below the current share price, what comes next? What catalyst can we look toward now?
"From August 27th to August 29th, more than $2 million was spent between Wayne Smith and Benjamin Fordham to pick up more than 1 million shares. The majority of these shares were bought by Smith at an average price between $1.84 and $2.18"
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CYH- Fallen angel type Momentum Long from $9.83 to $12.13 & highCYH seems a very good long setup. It had a wonderful rally since we first found it around $5.
Now it seems bouncing above the moving averages & getting ready for the second phase of run.
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- February 28, 2017
Pattern/Why- Fallen angel; Momentum Long
Entry Target Criteria- break above $9.83
Exit Target Criteria- 1st Target $10.93, 2nd target $12.13 & higher
Stop Loss Criteria- N/A
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
CYH - Long at the break of MA20 , Target -$12CYH was in watch list from very long time. It's looking very strong now. It has some insider buying & the pattern suggests that it is waiting for something big. We think if it can cross the moving average it can go all the way above $12
Trade Criteria
Entry Target Criteria- Break of MA20 line around $5.80
Exit Target Criteria- $12
Stop Loss Criteria- N/A
You can check detailed analysis on CYH in the trading room/ Executive summary link here-
www.screencast.com (Available to subscribers)
Time Span- 30:15"
Trade Status: Pending
CYH - Momentum Long at the break of $5.93 & $7 March Calls CYH getting some upward momentum after a huge decline as it seems breaking out major support area. It also has significant amount of Insider buying recently. We would look for a momentum type of long at the break of 5.93 & we would also consider $7 March calls @ $0.65
You can check our detailed analysis on CYH in the trading room/ Executive summary link here-
www.youtube.com
Time Span: 5:25"
Trade Status: Pending
Two possible way of CYH movementThis first chart which starts my practice of determine stocks levels and my attempts to choose stocks for trading.
CYH
Now price went down under support line of 25.36. This is the lowest point of two years.
The strong short signal will be appear if next day consolidate under this line.
If so, next goal for stop will be near 21.00, than - 16.00.
If not and we return above - it will be false breakdown and we go again to 31.25.