Natural Gas Goes Kaboom!Profits have been secured I the Natural gas trade. That being said I still think Nat gas equities can push higher.
On the UNG chart we just saw the 20 day MA & 50 Day MA bullishly crossover each other.
Last time this happened Nat gas had a 4-5 day parabolic move.
The bulls must be careful to not push this commodity up too quickly because it makes the pattern less likely to have a continued breakout.
We are still putting in Lower weekly highs, so the next test of the most recent pivot high is going to be crucial.
If the bulls can trigger the weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern there's going to be a great long continuation opportunity. Until we break the pivot high & create a higher high traders must use caution now that we've had a large move occur.
AR, EQT, CPK, LNG are all set to push higher if Nat gas holds these gains.
D-AR
Natural Gas: Weak Day / Strong WeekNatural gas had a bit of profit taking today and you can't blame the bulls for trimming especially since we did the same.
The Daily chart now needs a couple days of consolidation before another sustainable push.
The weekly chart recaptured the 50 Weekly MA...very good near term sign.
This can now be used as a support level to trade against for very tight stoploss swing traders.
As long as we remain above the breakout neckline we should be likely heading to retest 2.75 & $2.90
Levels below can cause nat gas to fail and fall substantially. Alway remembers the Weekly trend still has Lower highs in place.
Natural Gas waking up? Nat gas showed some poise today.
Holding green in a red market where most commodities saw negative price action.
This is impressive to see because Nat gas has a long historical trend of diverging from many commodities.
The price action today also saw a red to green reversal further emphasizing the positive potential trend shift.
Nat gas stocks were discounted today despite the stronger price action in the commodity.
We remain bullish and long UNG, our call positions in the money.
Natural Gas: are bulls capitulating? The bulls have made 9 attempts at breaking out. All attempts have failed which has led us to this sharp decline.
Nat gas is holding the 20 day MA but it does look somewhat vulnerable to going lower.
The death cross is getting closer and closer as we approach the 50 MA & 200 MA downtrending intersection.
Our members stopped out of the second half of UNG in profits
I am now hoping and waiting for a sub $2 pierce retest. we shall see if we get it.
Natural gas is the downtrend resuming? Nat gas still fits all the criteria for a large downtrend.
Lower highs & Lower lows are still in place on the weekly timeframe.
This obviously swings probabilities in favour of lower price.
However historically were still at some oversold levels.
Just because this asset is oversold honest mean it can't go lower.
Im watching the daily 50MA & 200MA closely...do we get the death cross formation to occur again?
Usually this signal provides a near term bounce but medium term decline.
Natural Gas...bullish turnaround!Nat gas has carved out a nice potential base to move higher.
We have seen a failed breakdown whcih usualkly indicates a bullish reversal.
They say the biggest moves come from failed patterns an it certainly looks like a failed bearish trendline break.
If this is the case, Nat gas has a nice 15-20% upside before things get really interesting.
We may be witnessing a weekly inverse head & shouldrs pattern developing.
Time will tell but we are long.
Natural Gas...New All time lows? Natural gas has seen a failed breakout on the daily chart. After this failed breakout occured its been weeks of relentless sell side pressure.
We have lost key weekly and daily supports, which doesn't help the bullish case.
There is 1 small positive on the daily chart: a positive RSI bullish divergence.
Understanding how this commodity works, one should be prepared for a downside case of $1.60. Its not a guarantee but a possibility.
The Nat gas resource stocks are mixed and showing sings of volume accumulation.
I'm watching the $1.95 Gap fill on Nat Gas very closely. If the bulls defend that area we could rally quickly.
Keep your eye om the "Death Cross" signal, usually a buy signal for a short term bounce.
Natural gas...time to buy? Natural gas just keeps bleeding lower.
Despite the oversold intra day condition this commodity is finding no support.
Natural gas equities are mixed right now, but are definitely showing some signs of accumulation.
We think the next 2 support zones on Nat gas if we lose this critical area are $2.21 & $2.00
Beware Nat gas tends to overshoot.
This trendline we are holding right now connects through major lows going back to 2020.
Natural Gas: A Mega Move is BrewingNatural Gas has been a very volatile asset in recent sessions.
The price action in the 4 hour chart has triggered a bullish breakout.
The next bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart is starting to take shape. This pattern has not yet triggered.
If we see a breakout of this pattern there is about $1.50 of upside from the neckline.
Resource stocks are still holding up very well, granted so is the market.
A very similar structure is playing out on the weekly chart, regarding the 50 Weekly MA
If we see price trade in congruency we should see more upside this week and then potentially we may see some sellers the folling week
Natural Gas falling sharply! Profits Secured! Natural Gas has lost over 15% of the recent rally.
Pulling back today with the market, this commodity is now coming into an area for potential dip buyers.
Will the 200 MA hold firm?
Nat gas equities are holding relative strength despite the sell side pressure.
2 key trend channels of support are observed.
Profits secured on KOLD
Natural Gas: Short Squeezing!Natural gas continues to test mean reversion strategies.
This commodity is continuing to burn the shorts.
For a couple weeks now, Nat Gas has been trading at the upper 2.5 deviation band.
This is an extreme overbought signal that often results in profit taking.
Natural Gas Daily RSI is now diverging from price at overbought levels.
Natural Gas closed bullishly today!Nat gas confirmed a daily chart breakout!
Its looking likely that we are now putting in a basing formation to move higher.
Now that we are holding above $1.86...we could start to see shorts cover.
I remain bullish as long as were above this key gap zone from 2020.
Nat gas resource stocks are continuing to show signs of accumulation.
$2.25 upside target on watch. $3- $4 by end of year.
Natural Gas & Oil - Heating Up!Nat gas made a bullish reversal today. Closing up over 6%
Natural gas has recaptured the short term trend and is trying to establish a new bullish range.
If Nat gas holds above the key $1.8622 level we will have a quick squeeze to $2.25
Oil continues to grind higher. making new higher highs and higher lows.
Oil is now on watch to target $90 a barrel.
Inflation still in a downtrend with these commodities breaking out?
Natural Gas still coiling! breakdown or breakout? Natural Gas is appraoching the apex of a wedge pattern.
The Apex is the very tip of the triangle where 2 trendlines meet.
Price will likely have to make a move by April 3 or sooner.
As for which way will price break is anyones guess, but probabliietes are slightly swaying lower.
Signs of accumulation are being observed in the resource stocks. So a bottom is typically approaching.
DBC EtF has broken out. Nat gas has a small weighting in there.
Natural Gas back at Covid lows!The widow maker continues to bleed lower and squeeze longs.
This is the exact opposite of a short squeeze. We're going through a long squeeze.
This commodity is at extreme low levels. Covid low levels when the GDP was contracting.
I believe an epic bounce will arise, but this has a history of extreme price action.
Natural Gas resource stocks are making bullish reversals, usually a good sign of a near bottom.
Natural GAs bulls defending the lowsNat gas closed positively today in a weak market.
The importance of this close is it was a close above yesterdays high. Showing some potential near term momentum .
If Nat Gas can closes above the resistance trendline we could see a retrace to $2.50.
Looking for a weekly bottoming tail on Nat gas to confirm a local bottom.
Natural Gas & Energy UpdateNatural Gas is on watch for a technical Breakout
We got a bullish daily close on Natural gas today.
Its the first time Nat gas has had 2 daily closes above the 50 day moving average since it started the nasty downtrend.