Bullish rise?AUD/CHF is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.59186
1st Support: 0.58883
1st Resistance: 0.59720
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
D-AUD
AUDUSD Medium-term sell signalThe AUDUSD pair has been trading sideways since the May 16 High, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The dominant pattern has been a Triangle going back to the October 13 2022 market bottom and the current consolidation is taking place right at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern.
As you can see, this is quite similar to the Q2-Q3 2023 price action, which after the Triangle top rejection, it declined below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Even the 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals look similar. As a result, we turn bearish on this pair, targeting 0.63450 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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EURAUD is approaching an important resistance zoneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURAUD for a selling opportunity around 1.61700 zone, EURAUD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.61700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/AUD is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support that aligns wit the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.90387
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.89407
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.91601
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6699
1st Support: 0.6631
1st Resistance: 0.6735
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUD/USD Starts New Week with Positive Tone,Rebound ExpectedThe AUD/USD pair kicked off the new week on a positive note, hinting at a potential rebound from a significant support area that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This comes after a bearish reversal observed last week, which saw the pair correcting from its previous bullish momentum.
Recent Trading Activity
Last week, we successfully closed a profitable position by capitalizing on the bullish impulse. Our detailed analysis and forecast, available on our page, accurately predicted the upward movement, allowing us to ride the bullish wave to its peak.
Technical Analysis
Currently, the AUD/USD is showing signs of a potential reversal from the support area. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, known for being a strong support level, adds further weight to this potential rebound. This Fibonacci level is often seen as a critical point where prices tend to find support and reverse, especially after a significant bearish correction.
Market Sentiment and Trend Analysis
Analyzing the market sentiment, an upside break this week appears marginally more likely than a downside break. This outlook is based on the observation that the trend prior to the formation of the current range was bullish. Typically, when a range forms after a strong trend, the breakout tends to follow the direction of the initial trend. Therefore, the probability of an upward breakout remains slightly higher.
Trading Strategy
Given the technical indicators and market sentiment, we have decided to open a bullish setup. This setup offers a positive risk/reward (R/R) ratio, making it a viable long-term trade. By positioning ourselves for a potential rebound, we aim to capitalize on the expected upward movement while managing our risk effectively.
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has broken out of a resistance level and could potentially pull back to the pivot and bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6641
1st Support: 0.6592
1st Resistance: 0.6698
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6641
1st Support: 0.6577
1st Resistance: 0.6675
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BofA sees Aussie dollar outperforming Bank of America anticipates diverging monetary policy paths between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) after their respective June meetings, with the RBA seen as one of the last major central banks to cut interest rates.
The Wall Street bank's view was reinforced by robust Australian labor market data, suggesting potential for the RBA to maintain higher rates for longer.
"An unambiguously strong jobs report has further strengthened our conviction in higher-for-longer trades," said Adarsh Sinha, a strategist at Bank of America.
Australian employment jumped by 39,700 in May, beating forecasts of 30,000, driven by full-time hiring as unemployment fell, official data showed.
"We see this as a good entry point for adding higher-for-longer trades, including our recommendation to buy carry-rich AUD/CHF," Sinha added.
Earlier this year, Sinha made similar calls favoring the Australian dollar on expectations the RBA would lag peers in lowering rates.
He cited other factors supporting potential Aussie outperformance in 2024, including a less restrictive RBA policy rate versus other economies, bearish China sentiment subsiding, and Australia's solid fiscal position.
Elias Haddad, senior markets strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, said he expected the Aussie to gain ground versus the Canadian dollar too, as the RBA is in no rush to cut rates unlike the Bank of Canada.
Looking forward to the RBA decision on TuesdayWatch out for the RBA interest rate decision, which is coming out on Tuesday. Strong moves in AUD are possible.
#AUDUSD EASYMARKETS:AUDUSD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
RBA decision: Will the Aussie Dollar break out? RBA decision: Will the Aussie Dollar break out?
A potentially interesting week awaits the Aussie dollar, with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expected to hold its interest rate unchanged. Money markets price around a 97% chance for rates to remain at the current level and only a 3% probability of a 25-basis point cut.
Last week, ANZ became the first of the big four banks to push their prediction of a RBA interest rate cut into 2025. The bank now expects the first RBA cash rate reduction to come in February. Before this shift, ANZ was aligned with CBA, NAB, and Westpac in forecasting a cut this November.
A look at Aussie price action shows AUD/USD trading within a very mild descending channel formation or a range between 0.6577 and 0.6690. A decisive break above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) before breaking 0.6709 could indicate an extension higher to a target at 0.6713. A decisive break below the range floor could indicate a follow-through to at least 0.6556.
AUDNZD:RBNZ is outhawking RBAHello Traders,
In the upcoming week, we are closely monitoring AUD/NZD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.08200 zone. AUD/NZD is currently trading in a downtrend and is undergoing a correction phase, approaching the key support and resistance area at 1.08200. This level has historically acted as a significant pivot point for price action, making it a strategic entry point for potential short positions.
From a fundamental perspective, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is maintaining a more hawkish stance compared to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The RBNZ has shown no intention of cutting rates in the near future, which contrasts with the RBA's more dovish outlook. This divergence in monetary policy is likely to exert downward pressure on AUD/NZD, reinforcing the bearish trend.
Trade safely,
Joe
AUDCAD is approaching a significant support areaHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDCAD for a buying opportunity around 0.90600 zone, AUDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.90600 support and resistance area.
We would also like to consider the current bullish momentum on stocks, due to the positive correlation AUDCAD can benefit from that!
Trade safe, Joe.
Audchf and chf crosses looks bearish as mentionedHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If you have followed my video, i mentioned about shorting on chf crosses . It has came down quite a bit and i think it will still continue on...let's see how it play out this week. :)
can look at cadchf etc..
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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AUDNZD Has bias for some more down side...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
I find the long tailing candles of the last 2 weeks disturbing....but still bearish on this cross..watching for short opportunities!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
Buy AUDJPY BoJ Interest rateKey Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 104.30, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 105.15
2nd Support – 105.50
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 103.97. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Buy GBPAUD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.9250.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.9333
2nd Resistance – 1.9380
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.9180. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
AUD/USD: Potential swing trade long setupAUD posted a strong rally of 5% from the April low, before 67c capped as resistance. A choppy rage has since formed between 66c-67c, although it could also be a bull flag in the making. Whilst we wait for it to decide which of the two it is, we're looking at a cheeky swing trade long idea heading into the weekend.
The 1-hour chart shows a strong rally from US CPI, and recent prices action has retraced against that move. Prices are stabilising around the 20-day EMA, so perhaps it is close to a swing low. The bias is bullish whilst prices hold above the monthly pivot point (0.6610), but tighter risk management could be used if momentum turns higher (such as the recent swing lows).
The initial target is near the upper 1-day implied volatility band of 0.6657.
Bullish bounce?AUD/USD is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6610
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6575
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6677
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/AUD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.92600
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.93471
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.91575
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/USD Gains Amidst USD Strength Post-US Jobs ReportThe Australian Dollar (AUD) recovered some ground on Monday after a decline in the previous session. This movement comes as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened due to better-than-expected US employment data released on Friday. The strong jobs report has led traders to push back their expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, exerting pressure on the AUD/USD pair.
Market Analysis
1. USD Strength: The USD's resurgence is attributed to robust US employment figures, which have diminished the immediate likelihood of Fed rate cuts.
2. Impact on AUD/USD: This has resulted in downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair, as the market adjusts to the new expectations regarding US monetary policy.
Technical Insights
1. Oversold Conditions: From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair is currently in oversold territory, suggesting a potential rebound.
2. Support Area: The price is approaching a key support area, further indicating a possible reversal.
Trading Strategy
Given the current technical conditions and market dynamics, we are looking to set up a long position. The correlation with other USD pairs supports this strategy, as they also show signs of potential recovery against the USD.
AUDJPY to form a higher low?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Pivot support is at 103.00.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 103.75 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 103.50 (stop at 103.10)
Our profit targets will be 104.50 and 104.75
2,5RR
Resistance: 104.00 / 104.50 / 104.75
Support: 103.50 / 103.25 / 103.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.