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D-AUD

AUDUSD Channel Down still intact. Bullish if broken.The AUDUSD pair completed the bullish leg that we caught on our last call (October 24) and hit our 0.66000 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) target (see chart below): The price has made a initial rejection at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, so the pattern remains intact. Technically this is the start of the Bearish Leg towards Support 1 and 2 eventually near the Lower Lows trend-line. The bearish break-out signal will be given when the 1D RSI breaks below its Higher Lows. As a result until Resistance 1 (0.66900) breaks, we will target 0.62715 (Support 1) and upon a 1D candle closing below, 0.61715 (Support 2). If however Resistance 1 (hence the Lower Highs trend-line) breaks first, we will take the short's loss and instead buy, targeting first the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) at 0.67800 (+4.00% as the November 06 High) and upon a 1D candle closing above, extend to 0.68800 (+5.50% as the December 04 High). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
AUD/USD Consolidates Around 0.6600 Ahead of US NFP DataAUD/USD is trading within a narrow range around the 0.6600 level in the Asian trading session on Friday. Concerns about China's economic outlook and the temporary pause in the US Dollar's decline have restrained this currency pair ahead of the highly significant US NFP data. In Australia, October trade data failed to support the Australian Dollar (AUD). The trade surplus decreased to 7.129 million in October from the previous reading of 6.184 million, falling below the market estimate of 7.500 million. Furthermore, China's November import data has raised concerns about an economic slowdown in the world's second-largest economy. Optimistic data and new concerns about China's economy could convince the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut interest rates in 2024, potentially pushing the AUD lower. Next, market participants will closely monitor the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, scheduled for release later on Friday. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be published. These events could cause market volatility and provide clearer direction for the AUD/USD pair.
by Larissa-Trader
AUDUSD Bearish move to continueThe Aussie dollar has been going down against the US dollar for the past few days. This is because the US dollar is getting stronger and the Aussie dollar is getting weaker. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept interest rates the same at their last meeting, but the market expects interest rates to be cut in the second half of 2024. The US dollar has been strong recently, even though US data has been mixed. The number of job openings was lower than expected, but the ISM Services PMI rose to 52.7 in November, which was higher than expected. US yields dropped after the data was released, but the US dollar remained strong. More employment data will be released from the US this week, including the ADP report, the weekly Jobless Claims, and the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release. Overall, we are expecting a further drop from AUDUSD, and the NFP release on Friday will either push that drop or generate a pullback, and then the drop will resume the following week, we will see... Please feel free to share comments about this analysis and your point of view, thank you all, and trade with care!
Short
by financialflagship
AUDJPY SHORT(Did this publishing on my mobile app.) On the Daily timeframe, a potential ABC pattern has been spotted. If you look left, the ABC pattern from the past is what I’m referring to. The RSI is overbought at this level and there is also a potential divergence being created between price and RSI. Buyers seem to still want to push but the effort in action seems like it’s gassing. Took an initial entry with a 1:1 setup and may start planning for an additional entry depending on price movement down the road. This is a weekly/ daily trade and will take some time. Not advice. If stop loss gets hit, we will reassess.
Short
by Redimere_91
4
AUDCAD LONG Trade ManagementI am currently long AUDCAD with +480 pips across two lots. Price has reached an untested supply zone and is also up against a 78.6 fib extension and 50.0 fib retracement level. I am going to go ahead and scale down my positions, take profit and move my stops to trail from break even. Short, medium, and long term indicators support both a strengthening Aussie and Canadian dollar, which can be a little tricky to navigate. In a perfect world you want to see one strong and/or strengthening currency against a weak and/or weakening. Thus I think it prudent to go ahead and take some dinero off the table.
Long
by thetradeWELL
AUD/USD BULLISH OUTLOOKThe USD, having experienced substantial blows from rate cut projections, faces a challenging scenario with the Fed signaling probable easing. Despite the narrative of falling inflation, policymakers are aiming to relay the message that inflation has yet to stabilize sustainably near the targeted 2%. The looming Fed speeches, particularly Chair Powell's impending remarks, serve as preludes to the blackout period before the December policy meeting, crucial in shaping market expectations. As the USD grapples with uncertainties, major currency pairs are capitalizing on its weakness. The AUD, alongside currencies like the GBP and NZD, has displayed resilience, buoyed by a hawkish tone from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). However, doubts persist about China's economic revival, making forthcoming Australian CPI readings pivotal for short-term AUD prospects. The AUD/USD technical indicators signal a bullish trajectory, with both MACD and RSI showing buy signals. The current trend could potentially elevate the price to levels around 0.6795, although a pivot point at 0.6648 might redirect the price to around 0.6598. With the USD on a downtrend, and pivotal economic events looming, the AUD's performance against the greenback hinges heavily on data releases, central bank policies, and global economic sentiments in the days ahead. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Long
by legacyFXofficial
AUDCHF On the verge of a strong move.The AUDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Down since February's High and currently sits just below its top (Lower Highs trend-line). Having formed a 1D MA50/ 100 Bullish Cross and tests the Lower Highs for the 3rd time in 2 months, it is highly likely to finally break the bearish trend upwards. We will only buy though above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and aim towards Resistance 1 at 0.61500. Until this break-out, we will follow the long-term bearish Channel Down and short aiming at 0.53500 (-9.09% similar to the two previous bearish sequences). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EURAUD to see a reversal?EURAUD - 24h expiry Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 1.6600. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. We expect a reversal in this move. A move through 1.6650 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 1.6700. We look to Buy at 1.6600 (stop at 1.6560) Our profit targets will be 1.6700 and 1.6720 Resistance: 1.6650 / 1.6675 / 1.6685 Support: 1.6625 / 1.6600 / 1.6575 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA