Seeking to fade into AUD/JPYA prominent bearish outside / engulfing day formed on Friday. Moreover, it failed to hold above the 200-day MA and closed the day back below the 100 handle. And its high almost perfectly respected the high-volume node (HVN) from the July high to August low.
A bullish trend has developed on the 1-hour chart after the initial selloff found support around a 38.2% Fibonacci level. However, we're now seeking signs of weakness around the daily R1 pivot, or 10 handle resistance zone for a swing trade lower (given the strength of the bearish engulfing candle on Friday).
The daily S1 and S2 pivot point around 99 and 98.50 respectively are downside targets for bears to consider.
MS.
D-AUD
AUDCHF Trade this rejection or break-outThe AUDCHF pair is now on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) having rebounding on the 1-year Support Zone. Even though the multi-year pattern is a Channel Down, we are low enough historically, having reached levels not seen since March 16 2020, that we may have to start considering a long-term reversal.
As such, our trading plan is focused on a potential rejection or bullish break-out. Short near the top of the Channel Down for a potential Lower Highs trend-line rejection and target 0.56000 (Support Zone). If however the price breaks above the Lower Highs trend-line, take the loss on the short and buy, targeting the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) at 0.63000.
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AUDUSD: Top of Megaphone hit. Reversal expected.AUDUSD is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.054, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 53.204) as the price reached the HH trendline at the top of the Megaphone pattern. The 1D MACD printed a sequence almost identical to the December 28th 2023 top, which soon after declined to the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently, we take this as a strong sell signal, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURAUD Sell signalThe EURAUD pair gave us an excellent but signal last time (July 15, see chart below) as the price rallied straight after it, easily hitting our 1.64500 Target:
The pair is already on the new Bearish Leg of the 1-year Channel Down and until the 1D RSI starts forming Higher Lows and waves a Bullish Divergence (like the two previous bottoms), we will remain bearish, targeting 1.59500 (bottom).
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Could price bounce from here?GBP/AUD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.9273
1st Support: 1.9214
1st Resistance: 1.9424
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPAUD Sell signal short-term.The GBPAUD pair is trading within a Channel Up since the start of the year, currently expanding its 2nd Bearish Leg of the pattern. The 1st pulled back marginally below the 0.618, before starting the new Bullish Leg.
We are expecting the same level to be targeted at 1.92600.
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AUDUSD: Bullish Stocks And Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.66200 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDNZD Waiting patiently for that sellThe AUDNZD pair gave us the ultimate sell signal last time (July 11, see chart below) on the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level and easily hit our long-term 1.08000 Target:
The recent 3-week rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is giving us another chance to open another low risk sell on the 0.618 Fibonacci level, similar to all previous Arc tops. Our Target will be the 0.236 Fib at 1.07900, which has been the most usual Support since 2023.
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Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6867
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6909
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6795
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD departs from 2024 high on Bullock speechFrom a technical perspective, AUD/USD has potential to further its upward movement. The daily chart indicates that technical indicators are trending sharply lower and are well above their midlines, yet not presenting overbought circumstances. Meanwhile, the pair is trading above bullish moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) showing upward momentum roughly 100 pips below the current level.
The 4-hour chart shows that technical indicators are within positive territory, although not strong enough to confirm another upward leg. The Momentum indicator rebounded from around its 100 line but remains well below its intraday high, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator consolidates at around 64.
Support levels: 0.6820, 0.6775, 0.6730.
Resistance levels: 0.6870, 0.6910, 0.6945.
News:
RBA GOVERNOR BULLOCK: RECENT DATA HASN'T SIGNIFICANTLY ALTERED POLICY OUTLOOK
-INTEREST RATES TO STAY UNCHANGED FOR NOW
-PROGRESS ON CORE INFLATION LIKELY REMAINED SLOW IN Q3
-Q2 GDP FIGURES INDICATE SLIGHTLY WEAKER SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK
-BULLOCK ANTICIPATES AUGUST HEADLINE CPI TO FALL BELOW 3.0%
-BOARD DOES NOT ANTICIPATE NEAR-TERM RATE CUT
-BOARD CONSIDERED ADJUSTING POLICY MESSAGING
According to MKTNews.net
Bullock's speech today contributed to AUD weakness of current 4hrs chart
Overlap resistance ahead?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 99.77
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 101.47
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 96.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal off multi-swing high resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which acts as a multi-swing high resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6897
1st Support: 0.6797
1st Resistance: 0.6988
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sell EUR/AUD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.6370, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.6300
2nd Support – 1.6260
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.6400. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Bearish drop?AUD/CHF has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.58170
1st Support: 0.57334
1st Resistance: 0.58694
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSDAUDUSD . Potential long opportunity.
Our idea for AUDUSD is a long after the price has fallen to our PBA (Pull Back Area). With DXY showing weakness we do believe that AUDUSD could rise to our target 0.6857 . Our SL is set at the break of structure at 0.6778.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 0.6801
- SL: 0.6778
- TP: 0.6857
KEY NOTES
- AUDUSD has fallen to our PBA.
- Break of 0.6778 could result in lower lows.
- DXY showing weakness.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
AUD/USD: Watch for a Reversal with RBA Decision AUD/USD continues to hit new yearly highs as risk sentiment improves following the FOMC’s 50-basis-point rate cut last week and today’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting, where no rate change is expected.
However, a dovish tilt from the RBA meeting notes could shift the pair’s momentum, with the 200-Day Moving Average acting as a key level to watch. Also, keep an eye on the RSI, which is nearing the overbought zone at 70 on the daily chart.
Beyond the RBA decision later today, Australian inflation data is set for release tomorrow, with headline inflation expected to drop sharply from 3.5% to 3.1%.
TRADE SETUP ON AUDUSDHey Trader,
Check out this analysis on AUDUSD.
The entry plan is best above the intraday resistance area.
Alternatively, a short trade can be considered if the price breaks below the intraday key zone (support), retests, and resists. A short trade can be considered.
Trade safe.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Reading The Tape (ICT) Part 2 - 23th Sept 2024This is part 2 of a video, since TradingView does not allow recordings over an hour. Also the previous title had the date wrong, it is 23rd Sept, not 9th.
In this video I practice reading the tape using ICT Concepts, as well as offering general advice to those using his concepts or otherwise.
I hope that you find this video insightful. If you have any questions, leave a comment and I will be glad to answer.
- R2F
Reading The Tape (ICT) Part 1 - 9th Sept 2024In this video I practice reading the tape using ICT Concepts, as well as offering general advice to those using his concepts or otherwise.
I hope that you find this video insightful. If you have any questions, leave a comment and I will be glad to answer.
- R2F
Overlap resistance ahead?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 99.77
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 101.41
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 96.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDCAD 2RR | 1HR TF BULLISH SETUPICMARKETS:AUDCAD seems to be on a bullish pattern on the 1 hour timeframe, it recently bounced back from the resistance which has now become support in a shorter time frame only for this trade setup, after that we will look towards shorting it, there are also high chances of monday dips at every monday so this will be a great short later as well today.