D-DAX
DAX40 Will Rise much more HigherAs predicted some time ago
DAX 40 broke 16300
Now....
I have marked the next levels for you
Use proper stop
European stocks rose on Thursday, and Germany's DAX 40 index climbed nearly 1% to touch its highest level since January 2022, driven by the optimism surrounding the potential breakthrough in US debt ceiling talks, with expectations that a resolution could be reached as early as the upcoming weekend. In notable corporate news, Deutsche Bank reached an agreement to pay $75 million to settle a lawsuit filed by women who alleged they were victims of abuse by the late financier Jeffrey Epstein, and accused the German bank of facilitating his sex trafficking. Meanwhile, luxury fashion brand Burberry reported a notable 16% increase in Q4 comparable store sales, while Royal Mail posted an annual adjusted operating loss of £419 million, which surpassed market expectations. Additionally, telecommunications company BT Group announced plans for up to 55,000 job cuts, despite reporting a 5% rise in full-year adjusted core earnings.
DAX40 hourly breakdownWith the DAX making all time highs and now creating new levels of support, the best we can do is work with previous levels. When an instrument is making ATH's it is difficult to chart exactly where the next level of resistance will be, as it is all untested area and it's up to the market to decide just how overbought it really is before we can move down.
Looking at the DAX40 we can see several levels of strong support that may act as resistance in the future, such as the 16332.4 level which was the resistance created 2 months ago and is now acting as current support. Should we close blow this level, there is a no trade range that would be best to avoid purely due to price action potentially catching us out.
Closure below 16267.2 would be great for sells, as there is a clean range below here and typically in the past when price has closed below this level price moves down towards 16242 and 16196.
Deutsche Bank: Strong outlook 💪 Having completed the green wave B with its high in the last week of July, Deutsche Bank is now in a small correction that will complete the orange wave ii. Once this correction is over, our primary scenario is for a strong uptrend to break through resistance at 14.63€. If the price continues to fall, our alternative will be activated. According to this scenario, to which we assign a 35% probability, the price would move into our green target zone between 8.34€ and 5.60€, from where strong gains would also be imminent.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (06/08/2023)In our primary scenario we expect a bit more upside as a wave (5) to finish the higher level wave ((1)). For investors, we are in an area to take (partial) profits. Investors do not buy here as the data shows a bearish divergence. Investors should wait for a decent wave ((2)) pullback before buying again. Traders should analyze the lower timeframe.
GERMAN40 - DAX - BEARISH SCENARIOChina's Caixin Services PMI rose to 54.1 in July, beating the forecast of 52.5. The European private sector, particularly service sector PMIs from Spain and Italy, along with Eurozone data, will be closely watched. A weaker Eurozone services PMI (51.1 in July) could raise recessionary concerns. In the US, initial jobless claims and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI are key, with forecasts at 53.0. Other stats include Markit service PMI, nonfarm productivity, unit labor costs, and factory orders. Dax indicates for a slight pull back to 15,000 cross support line.
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Will DAX's selloff stall at market prices?GER40 - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to buy dips.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
50 1-day EMA is at 16050.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We look to Buy at 16051 (stop at 15951)
Our profit targets will be 16301 and 16351
Resistance: 16150 / 16250 / 16300
Support: 16109 / 16000 / 15900
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DAX: Bullish above the 1D MA50.DAX is pulling back today after a rejection on R1 (16,530), the biggest 1D red candle since July 6th. The 1D technicals are bullish (MACD = 102.900, ADX = 31.239) but the RSI close to becoming neutral (RSI = 55.835), which indicates the slow pace of this uptrend. The 1D MA50 made an emphatic hold four days ago, so as long as it holds we expect the index to continue reproducing the February-May fractal. Our final target is again on the HH trendline (TP = 16,650).
Prior idea:
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Scallop on DAX with new upside target to 18,792From the previous trade analysis on DAX, it hit our target of 16,333.
This was due to a Falling Wedge along with a Reverse Cup and Handle pattern.
Since then, the price has moved into a consolidation period where the price was fighting between the bulls and bears.
And guess who is winning? The bulls again.
There has been a smaller pattern form called a Rounding Bottom or a Scallop formation.
Now that the price has broken above the neckline, means we can expect upside to come to the next target.
Other indicators confirm upside momentum including:
7>21>200
RSI>50
My next target will be up to 18,792
DAX Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for DAX.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 16467.15.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 16798.68 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Trading week recap for NASDAQ, DOW, DAX & FTSE (29/07/2023)Let's look back at the past trading week and learn from it. What went well? What could be better?
This is an experiment. Educational content to become a good waver. If you like this video, please let me know by commenting. Any suggestions? Please let me know.