D-DAX
DAX: Recession second wave. Vix exp. risk release.Recession second wave. Vix exp. risk release.
VIX exp 17e.
Options is getting volatile. can be sold today and market will crash before even vix exp.
SQQQ is getting much inflows these days and apple and big tech stocks get heavy shorts these past days into vix exp.
Biggest PUT exp is 19e. We need a lot of downside into that to keep options worth.
CFD Update: GER30 set for a breakout?Today's focus GER30
Pattern – Range – diagonal consolidation pattern
Possible targets – Upside, 15,985 – 16,160; Downside, 15,718 – 15,530
Support – 15,740
Resistance – 15,965
Hi, and thanks for looking at today's update. Our focus is on the GER30 as price sits in a range but has also formed a wedge/diagonal pattern that could signify movement to come. It's an interesting set-up as even if we see a break of the pattern price still has the range to contend with.
US futures are lower, and we are seeing the GER30 lower at this stage, so could we see a move lower today? If so, sellers will need to break support to get a breakout really going. On the other hand, buyers will need to do the same to resistance to get their move going.
US Retail Sales could play a part. It’s due today at 10:30 pm AEST (8:30 am EST)
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
DAX: Holding the 4H MA50 but has one more Resistance to break.DAX is on its 4H MA50 with the 4H MA200 on a parallel move to the bottom of the Channel Up. Both the 1D and 4H (RSI = 52.763, MACD = 7.300, ADX = 19.891) are neutral so we will only take short term, confirmed trades after breakouts.
A crossing over R1 (even better if the 4H RSI also crosses over its LH trendline) is a buy breakout signal (TP = 16,100) and further of the HH trendline, a buy signal targeting the All Time High (TP = 16,300).
We will go short on the other hand, if the index closes under S1 and target S2 (TP = 15,500).
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GER30 H4 | Potential bearish reversal?GER30 is close to a key resistance level and potentially reverse from here. We could see price move down to our take profit target.
Entry: 16007.70
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance at the recent swing-high
Stop Loss: 16109.20
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.20% Fibonacci extension
Take Profit: 15707.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
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DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 10/05/2023Trading day preparation. Although pullback is expected in the higher timeframe, we probably still go up in the lower timeframe. We discuss several scenarios that could play out. We see two potential ways to enter a trade. Inflation data is released today, only trade at the extremes.
DAX Megaphone still intact. Breakout and scalping options.DAX is trading in a Megaphone, currently supported by the MA50 (4h).
Scalping is recommended inside this pattern and breakout trading outside it.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price closes over the Megaphone.
2. Sell if it closes under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 16200 (+12.17% buy leg).
2. 15200 (lower Support Zone).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is inside a clear Rectangle whose bottom and top can help with scalping inside the Megaphone.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX to find buyers at market?GER40 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 15921 (stop at 15841)
Daily signals are bullish.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Previous resistance at 15900 now becomes support.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 16121 and 16171
Resistance: 16010 / 16100 / 16200
Support: 15960 / 15900 / 15860
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
09052023 - $FDAXEerie small range consolidation day yesterday, inside bar. Possible break in either directions.
Above 16017 - long to 16049. Possible rejection from 16049 to 15981.
15983-16017 Neutral
Below 15981 - shorts to 15941, 15915.
15915 - look for bounce on divergence target 15979. Break of 15915 bring us to 15843.
DAX Megaphone inside a Channel Up. Bullish long term.DAX is on a minor pull back as it came near the top of the Megaphone pattern which is inside the larger Channel Up.
If it breaks upwards, buy the breakout. If it pulls back failing to break above the Megaphone, sell and target the 4hour MA200. Reverse to buying at the bottom (15650) of the Megaphone and Channel Up.
Long term target 16250.
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DAX Update On The Long Forecast! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX hasn't moved much
Since the last time I made
A long forecast on it
So I decided to give a quick
Update: we are still bullish
Biased and I am just
Waiting for the breakout
Out of the consolidation
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DAX: Bullish inside a Channel Up unless this line breaks.DAX is trading inside a Channel Up with the 4H technicals neutral (RSI = 53.275, MACD = -10.100, ADX = 32.263). With 1D also neutral , it indicates that the dominant bullish trend has to be favored and that this is a buy opportunity. That is also supported by the 4H RSI which held the 38.60 Support.
Keep in mind though that the index has been pulling back inside a Channel Down, so we will buy only if it crosses above it and target near the All Time High (TP = 16,250). If rejected inside the Channel Down, we will short term sell and target the S1 (TP = 15,660), where the price can touch the 4H MA200 after several weeks.
Finally if it closes under the S1 and 4H MA200, we will expect a stronger drop back to the Pivot Zone, thus sell with TP = 15,300.
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DAX to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Short-term momentum is bearish.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
15750 continues to hold back the bears.
15729 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 15729 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 15719 (stop at 15801)
Our profit targets will be 15519 and 15479
Resistance: 15800 / 15850 / 15900
Support: 15750 / 15700 / 15640
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GER40 Huge SellThe key economic news to watch will be the upcoming interest rate decision by the European Central Bank (ECB). Analysts expect that the bank will hike interest rates by 0.25% and point to at least two more increases since inflation remains sharply higher. The ECB has more room to hike interest rates since it was late in hiking.