D-DAX
easyMarkets DAX Daily - Quick Technical OverviewThe technical picture of DAX on our daily chart shows that the index is currently stuck between two trendlines - a short-term downside resistance one taken from the high of February 9th and medium-term upside support line drawn from the low of October 3rd. Given that DAX has been on a roller coaster ride for the whole month of February, we need to see a clear violation of one of the trendlines in order to consider a near-term directional move, either up or down.
However, we would get more comfortable with higher areas if we also see a break somewhere above the 15700 zone.
For the downside, a drop below the 15200 territory might attract more sellers into the game.
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DAX Potential For Bullish Rise to previous swing highLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DAX is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy stop entry at 15677.77, where the recent high is to ride the bullish momentum. Stop loss will be at 15269.71, where the overlap support and 50% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 16285.35, where the previous swing high is. It's worth noting that there is an intermediate resistance at 15977.44, where price might struggle to break through.
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DAX One last push lower for a bottom.DAX has had the strongest 1D bearish candle today since December 15 2022. That was the candle that accelerated the correction from the Higher High Zone (red zone) of the long-term Channel Up to the Buy Zone (green zone). With the Channel Up pattern starting on the October 03 2022 market bottom and remaining valid up to now, this Buy Zone has been the most optimal long entry of the past four months.
We look at two indicators for buying, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D RSI hitting the bottom of its Rectangle pattern and entering the Accumulation Mode. A -6.50% correction doesn't have to necessarily be completed as in late December. Our long-term target is the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level, which an early projection giving us a 16350 Target.
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DAX to stem dip again?GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15282 (stop at 15202)
Daily signals are bullish.
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment. Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
20 1day EMA is at 15340.
Support is located at 15300 and should stem dips to this area.
Our profit targets will be 15482 and 15522
Resistance: 15556 / 15630 / 15660
Support: 15500 / 15450 / 15400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 24/02A review of the price action from the European session and recap of US price action as US indexes followed on from some strength this time in the Asian and European trade. The US gapped up on the open, sold off hard only to bounce back into the close to wipe off the majority of the earlier losses. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
DAX respecting the 4hour MA200DAX is staging a rebound coming close to the 4hour MA50 yesterday (has been untouched since January 4th). This is the normal technical reaction we expected on such an important Support Cluster (as the dotted line from the October 2nd bottom was also there) and was a short-term buy.
Maintain a tight SL though as a cross under it renders the price extremely bearish on the medium term that will target the 1day MA50.
A -6.60% repeat of December 14th - 16th gives a 14610 estimate. 4hour RSI still far from the buy opportunity when being oversold.
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DAX to breakdown?GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15279 (stop at 15359)
Overbought signals and exhaustion indicators offer fair reason to sell the index but we prefer to see a break of support before fading this impressive move.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Short term indicators have turned negative.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
Short term momentum is bearish.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Our profit targets will be 15079 and 15029
Resistance: 15400 / 15450 / 15500
Support: 15283 / 15243 / 15200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX about to break the diamond pattern to test 15k againHi all,
I see here a diamond pattern in the DAX which usually signal market tops and a reversal.
If DAX will break the Diamond trendline around 15.300 it signals me a short opportunity with targets at fib level around 15.180 where we will find also the 4H MA200. If we loose this level, DAX will test 15.000 again with final target 14.900
This is no financial advice.
DAX giving two excellent tradesDAX is inside a long term Channel Up pattern.
The price volatility in 2023 can be seen as a mini Rising Wedge on a Rising Support.
A similar Wedge was at the start of the Channel Up. When it broke, the MA50 1D got hit.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the Rising Support and Fibonacci 0.5
2. Buy on the MA50 1D if the Rising Support breaks.
Targets:
1. 15600 (under Resistance).
2. 16200 (top of Channel Up).
Tips:
1. The RSI 1D is imitating November/ December. Right now it is on the December Support. Use it accordingly.
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**Long Nikkei Short DAXPost BOJ decision which is USDJPY supportive, we could expect the Nikkei to recover from recent weakness.
Since it remains a choppy Equity Environment, selling DAX against it (delta hedge) makes sense from a relative price perspective and looking at technical levels, along with oscilators.
Another way would be to buy Upside calls on Nikkei (cheap in Impiled volatilities) and selling upside on DAX (call vs. Calls strategy)
I will keep it plain vanilla though
Elliott Wave Shows the Support Zone for DAXSince forming the low on September 2022 at 11862.84, DAX shows an incomplete higher high (bullish) sequence. This favors further upside against 12.20.2022 low at 13791.52. Cycle from 12.20.2022 low ended as an impulsive Elliott Wave structure with wave 1 at 15660.63, as the 30 minutes chart below shows. Pullback in wave 2 is currently in progress to correct cycle from 12.20.2022 low. Structure of the pullback takes the form of a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave (a) ended at 15410.82, wave (b) ended at 15475.05, and wave (c) lower ended at 15246.39 which completed wave ((w)).
Rally in wave ((x)) ended at 15634.04 with subdivision as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((w)), wave (a) ended at 15526.28, pullback in wave (b) ended at 15366.37, and wave (c) higher ended at 15634.04 which completed wave ((x)) in higher degree. Wave ((y)) lower is now in progress with internal subdivision as another double three in lesser degree. Down from wave ((x)), wave (w) ended at 15300.42 and rally in wave (x) ended at 15532.44. Near term, as far as Index stays below 15660.63, expect the Index to extend lower to reach 14964.25 – 15219.25. This is the support zone for the Index, which is the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((w)). From this area, DAX can extend higher or rally in 3 waves at least.
DAX Potential for Bullish Rise to Previous Overlap Resistance Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias on DAX is bullish, as the current price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, and there is an ascending trend line to add confluence to my bias.
Looking for a pullback buy entry at 14941.51 which is the recent overlap support, take profit at 16282.07 where the previous overlap resistance is, and stop loss at 14196.50 where 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
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DAX The great February scalpNice illustration of DAX's sideways trading since the start of February. The Fibonacci levels help at finding the low risk/ high reward trades. And those are to sell on Fibonacci 0.786 and buy on Fibonacci 0.236. The RSI is on a similar range. Do this enough times to grow your profit until the pattern breaks.
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DAX stalling at overbought extremes.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15371 (stop at 15291)
Daily signals are bullish.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look for a temporary move lower.
20 1day EMA is at 15340.
Our profit targets will be 15571 and 15611
Resistance: 15553 / 15600 / 15660
Support: 15500 / 15450 / 15400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.