#SEI Scalp Short Idea - ALTCOINWe hit to 4H supply zone and rejected there.
Scalp short only. I am bullish overall.
I will be managing real time and i may close manually if i see something odd.
Nothing i share is financial advice. Education purposes only.
#Altcoins #Crypto #altcoin #AltSeason2024 #Bitcoin #Ethereum #ETH #ETHUSD #ETHUSDT #SEIUSDT #SEI #SEINETWORK #BTC
D-ETH
#ETH Salp Short Idea#ETH scalp short idea. Shorted from the supply. Expecting to retrace till purple line.
It is scalp, i am overall bullish. If we dont hit the target till monday evening (NY local time-EST) i will consider to close trade manually.
Nothing i share is financial advice. Education purposes only.
#Altcoins #Crypto #altcoin #AltSeason2024 #Bitcoin #Ethereum #ETH #ETHUSD #ETHUSDT
10/11 Can positive earnings season secure BTC Pumpctober?Overview:
The AMEX:SPY continues its bullish streak, hitting a new all-time high and marking the fourth consecutive day of gains. But what’s fueling all this excitement? Just a few weeks ago, concerns about World War III and a looming recession were dominating the headlines. Now, it seems like the market is brushing off those fears. Pumping the AMEX:SPY means pushing up the stocks that make up the index, which suggests an improvement in their earnings, particularly net margins.
Conveniently, earnings season typically starts in mid-October and runs through late October and early November. This past week, giants like PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo all reported earnings—and they all beat analysts' expectations. What’s notable about this group is its diversity: from consumer staples like food and beverages to airlines, signaling strong consumer purchasing power, to investment and banking companies, which are more dependent on macroeconomic factors and the Federal Reserve’s decisions. These companies, often beneficiaries of quantitative easing, could be the early indicators of a trend. With such a strong start, we might expect more companies to continue beating estimates, setting the stage for what we’re calling "Pumpctober."
In the coming week, we’ll hear from other banking giants like Bank of America, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs. Healthcare heavyweights like Johnson & Johnson and UnitedHealth Group are also on the docket, along with Netflix. You can find the full list and earnings calendar here: www.ii.co.uk
So, let’s sum it up: the market is surging, consumer spending seems robust, and on Friday, Jerome Powell reported higher-than-expected CPI and core CPI. It feels like the economy is running hot, but that also means no immediate need for an interest rate cut. What clouds the picture slightly is a higher-than-expected number of jobless claims—258k compared to the expected 230k, and higher than the previous 225k. If unemployment continues to rise, it could impact company earnings by Q1 and Q2 of 2025. For now, though, we’re all in on Pumpctober, with a 90% chance of an interest rate cut in November, up from 82%.
ETF Flow: The big players aren’t buying BINANCE:BTCUSD or BINANCE:ETHUSDT . Retail investors are. BlackRock and Grayscale are still sitting on the sidelines.
BTC TA:
W: Bitcoin is barely holding onto the Bollinger Band MA and remains below the weekly and daily levels of $64 k. It’s also under the 2024 yearly point of control (Volume Profile indicator) level of $63.2k. However, we noticed that the current price is very close to the closing levels of the last two quarterly candles—June and September both closed at $62.6k. Until it breaks below $61.4k, we can’t call it bearish just yet.
D: Thursday’s close below the key $60.5k level appeared to signal a breakout, but BTC quickly retraced, turning that breakdown into a fake-out. If the stock market keeps rallying, some of that liquidity and optimism could spill over into crypto, completing a bullish flag pattern. Saturday is showing some bullish momentum, but we need today’s candle to close above $62.8k to confirm a higher high.
4h: On this time frame, Bitcoin is battling strong resistance at $63k. It’s unlikely we’ll see significant movement on a Saturday, as market makers tend to be less active, but if BTC fails to break out from $63k, it would confirm a bearish trend, and shorting from here could offer a good entry point.
1h: On Friday, we saw 7 consecutive hours of aggressive buying starting at 9 am NYC time, with volume doubling the average and pushing BTC from $61.1k to $63k, a 3.19% jump.
Alts Relative to BTC: What was a lower low for BTC was a higher low for ETH, SOL, NEAR, and BNB, which is a bullish sign. However, none of these alts have established a higher high, which cancels out the bullish sentiment. The best move for now is to avoid taking positions until there’s a major breakout with confirmation.
Bull Case: We could be on the verge of a trend reversal, breaking the bullish flag pattern. Both the US and Chinese economies are about to be flooded with cheaper money, which could flow into speculative assets like crypto.
Bear Case: This is an ideal moment to short BTC if it fails to reclaim resistance and turn it into support. The deadline for confirmation is Sunday evening.
Fear and Greed Index: 43, back to Neutral.
Prediction: All eyes are on Sunday, 9 pm EST and 6 pm PST, when Asian traders will return to their desks. Expect increased volatility as bulls and bears clash.
Mistakes: Both SUI and TAO have continued to pump higher despite lower volumes and volatile price swings of around 15%. If it establishes a higher high, stalls and you short - at least you can trade the range while BTC decides its direction.
ZEC/USDT 1D Zcash is a chart I like the look of quite a lot on the 1D timeframe. ZEC has outperformed the majority of the altcoin market since it flipped the 1D 200EMA downtrend into an uptrend.
The 1D 200EMA has been I a downtrend for 2.5 years since the very beginning of 2022! Since then ZEC has bounded off the moving average once with a large wick and now it has just swept liquidity and reclaimed. Waiting for a confirmation of support with some clear closes above. The local double bottom can be seen using the 0.25 line as support. The next resistance level is the 0.5 range midpoint should the 1D 200EMA close above with strength.
It's important to realise that ZEC is still -92% from its $371 ATH, so it has huge room to grow once price has broken the more local range (1.0 level). If the last few months are an indication of the kind of support it has then it's a very good sign IMO. The local range that is
Check if it is a regular array before trading
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Since ETH is in a reverse array (M-Signal on the 1D chart < M-Signal on the 1W chart < M-Signal on the 1M chart), I don't think it's time to trade.
However, since it is located near the HA-Low indicator and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, if it receives support, it can be considered an aggressive buying period.
Such aggressive buying requires a short and quick response.
From this perspective, if ETH maintains its price around the 2555.38-2646.97 range and switches to a regular array (M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart), it is ready for trading.
If you are familiar with day trading, you can start with aggressive buying and move on to full-scale trading, but if you are not, it is better to pass on aggressive buying.
If you make an aggressive purchase and it fluctuates up and down, you will not be able to hold on and sell when you need to make a full-scale transaction, which will reduce your profits or you will likely suffer losses even if the price rises.
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Currently, the only coin recognized for its value after BTC is ETH.
You can argue this, but this is a fact.
Several coins are making efforts to be recognized for their value.
Namely, XRP, SOL, etc.
Therefore, I think that long-term investments are BTC and ETH, and the remaining coins and tokens are trading coins that earn profits through trading in the medium term or less.
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(ETHUSDT 12M chart)
When drawing a parallel channel, the most important trend is the trend line (1) created by the first and second selection points.
Therefore, if the first and second selection points are selected incorrectly, an incorrect channel may be created.
The next important thing is the third selection point, which determines the width of the channel.
If this is also selected incorrectly, it can be interpreted incorrectly, so caution is required.
Therefore, trend line (2) is the important trend line.
The next important thing is trend line (3) created between (1) and (2).
Therefore, if trend lines (1), (2), and (3) are passed, there is a high possibility that a change in the trend will occur.
The Fibonacci ratio is displayed as a Trend-Based Fib Extension tool with the selected candlestick of the parallel channel.
Accordingly, the drawing for basic chart analysis is completed.
Fibonacci ratio or parallel channel is for chart analysis, not for trading, so do not confuse them.
If you think of Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance points and there are no support and resistance points drawn separately on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, I think the transaction is likely to fail.
Therefore, in order to proceed with the transaction, you must mark the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
If you drew an ascending parallel channel on the 12M chart, you drew a descending parallel channel on the 1W chart.
The 1M chart is drawn as an ascending parallel channel like the 12M chart, so it was not drawn.
This allows for a more accurate analysis when looking at just one parallel channel.
The Fibonacci ratios shown on the left were drawn on the 1W chart.
We found that a change in trend can occur by passing through the area indicated by the circle.
-
(1D chart)
The price made an uptrend and then started to make a downtrend.
As you can see in the 1D chart above, there are two downtrends.
The first wave of the downtrend provides important information.
Therefore, if possible, it is better to draw a trend line on the first wave where the change in wave occurred.
The second downtrend is connected to the current wave, so this also provides important information.
If you mark important areas according to the current price position, it is the same as the order of the circles marked on the chart.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because we think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Ethereum Holds Steady Amid Volatility, Eyes on $2,800 BreakoutMarket Overview:
Ethereum had a volatile week but ended with a 1% gain, with buyers defending the critical $2,400 support level.
If ETH loses this support, the price could drop toward $2,000, impacting altcoins negatively.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current resistance: $2,800. A break above this level would signal buyers regaining control.
Support: $2,400. Losing this could trigger further downside to $2,000.
Outlook:
Ethereum is showing signs of market indecision, moving sideways. A breakout above $2,800 would end this hesitation and bring back bullish momentum.
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoUpdate #PriceAnalysis #SupportAndResistance
Ethereum Eye $2900: Can It Recover Amid Vitalik's ETH Sales?Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has been displaying signs of resilience, despite market-wide volatility. Following Bitcoin’s momentary drop below $59,000, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) managed to climb 0.66%, forming an intraday Doji candle. Currently trading at $2414, CRYPTOCAP:ETH has shown an intraday pullback of 0.14%, raising questions about whether this recovery could persist amid consistent sales of ETH by Vitalik Buterin and the Ethereum Foundation.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Indicators on the Horizon?
Ethereum’s current price action exhibits a notable rejection near the $2300 support level and its corresponding local support trendline, fueling the possibility of a bullish rebound. Analysts have identified this level as critical for CRYPTOCAP:ETH , and the lower price rejection provides hope that the bulls may regain control.
A closer look at the 4-hour chart reveals bullish divergence in the RSI between the past two dips near $2340. This divergence suggests a potential double-bottom reversal, a classic bullish pattern indicating an impending uptrend. In such cases, a reversal rally could push the CRYPTOCAP:ETH price toward nearby resistances at $2425, followed by Fibonacci levels of $2520 (50%) and $2624 (78.60%).
However, we highlights a crucial technical support for Ethereum around $2250, a breakdown below the TD support trendline could trigger an average correction of 53%, which could send Ethereum below the $2000 mark.
Bearish Sentiment: Concerns Over Ethereum Sales
The market remains divided on whether CRYPTOCAP:ETH can maintain its bullish momentum. One of the biggest concerns stems from sales by Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin and the Ethereum Foundation. Their recent decision to sell significant amounts of ETH has raised alarm bells among investors, as many view insider selling as a bearish signal. Martinez’s analysis, reposted with the caption "Now it makes sense why Vitalik Buterin and Ethereum Foundation have been selling," reinforces the possibility of a sharp drop below $2250.
In addition to insider selling, Ethereum’s 10-day and 100-day moving averages are currently sitting slightly below its current price. This technical weakness, combined with a relatively neutral RSI of 45, suggests that Ethereum lacks the strength to push toward the critical $2900 resistance pivot in the short term.
Potential Price Targets and Scenarios
Ethereum’s price movements suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook, but the path forward is uncertain. If $ ETH breaks through the overhead resistance at $2824, it could aim for a 20% increase to reach $3175. However, falling below the $2120 support could result in a bearish correction down to $1769.
In a bearish scenario, Ethereum may retest the $2300 and $2200 support levels. A further breakdown below $2250 could confirm Martinez’s thesis of a significant correction, potentially leading to a massive selloff and further losses for ETH holders.
Fundamental Analysis: Ethereum’s Role in the Broader Market
While technical indicators show both bullish and bearish possibilities, Ethereum’s fundamental role within the crypto ecosystem remains strong. Ethereum is the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and it continues to lead the way in smart contract innovation. Ethereum’s network upgrades, including its transition to proof-of-stake, have been seen as critical steps toward long-term scalability and sustainability.
Nevertheless, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is not immune to market-wide challenges. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate hikes and inflation concerns, have weighed heavily on cryptocurrencies. Ethereum’s price is also heavily influenced by Bitcoin’s movements, and BTC’s recent dip under GETTEX:59K poses additional risks for ETH investors.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s short-term prospects are mixed. On the one hand, the bullish divergence on the RSI, lower price rejection near support, and potential reversal patterns suggest that CRYPTOCAP:ETH could soon break out of its current trading range. On the other hand, insider selling by Vitalik Buterin and the Ethereum Foundation, combined with key moving averages sitting below current prices, implies that caution is warranted.
Whether Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) rebounds to its former highs or faces a significant correction, investors should remain vigilant and adjust their strategies accordingly.
The opportunity for Bitcoin to grow to 100KToday we are at another important point in choosing the further direction of the market, I want to consider the picture that has been created. First of all, I want to note the opening levels of the quarter as a key trigger of the market at the end of the year. According to the cue, the quarterly candle opened above 62.5k, which is a signal to hold the trend above 60k and gives an opportunity to try to continue the trend. When the level of 64k is overcome, the road will open for a sharp increase to 75. On a larger scale, at the moment there is a question of further movement from the key level of 60k to 90-100 by spring, or a rollback over the five-year plan up to 45-50 k. At the moment, given the weakness of the dollar, growth prevails with a probability of up to 70% in my opinion. A good opening of the quarter provides additional support for purchases.
According to the ether, the opening of the quarter is also in a good zone, above 2500, which ensures the maintenance of purchases in the long term and so far supports the probability of a trend of 5000. On a smaller scale, an opening above 2600 gives a signal for new attempts to exit above 2750, where the road will open immediately to 3500.
In the absence of negative factors in the form of powerful statistics on the United States and the departure of the euro below 1.09, it is quite likely that the cue ball trend will resume with an output above 75k this month. In this case, even with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball, the ether will be able to overshoot the last weekly candle, forming an inverted head and shoulders on the weekly chart and a high probability of going to 3500.
In case of pressure on the crypt from the foreign exchange market and the departure of the euro below 1.09 and even more so 1.075, the pressure of the bears will significantly increase. To push the cue ball to 75k+, the viola market can be squeezed with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball up to 75%+. In this scenario, from the middle of this week, a reversal of the weekly candle into a bearish one and sales on the air up to the 2250-2100 test is likely. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter will smooth out sales and insure against a sharp collapse, but it will become extremely difficult for coins to break through to growth in such a scenario.
The current weekly candle is highly likely to help consolidate the trend, and against the background of an attempt to surpass the last weekly one on the air by the middle of the week, such an attempt can be expected for individual coins.
Given the complexity of the market situation and delisting on the binance every month instead of one per quarter, as previously, I closed positions on weak coins with the monitoring tag ooki oax and pros, increasing positions on vib gft ast troy. According to these coins, there are still the largest growth targets among all binance coins, but I will take them into work after the announcement of delisting, if they remain in trade.
To date, OG has worked perfectly, which I recommended as a very liquid tool for saving money in the medium term. Given the current market picture, everywhere above 3.5-4.0$ OG is quite overbought and the probability of a deep pullback prevails. The goals for growth to $ 9-11 remain open, but I think they will not be fulfilled this year.
To date, gft and vib have remained a good alternative to OG to save funds in the medium term. As I wrote earlier, gft has a lot of liquidity, similar to OG, which makes it possible to trade even with a monitoring tag. For vib, liquidity is much lower, but signals for growth to 0.15-25 are left on the chart. It also remains, along with troy, the most oversold outside the monitoring tag among all coins on the binance. Just as interesting are the extremely oversold ast and troy, which are more suitable for scalping, because The ast is under pressure from incomplete emission and after an impulse of 50-70% it can roll back, while troy shows sluggish dynamics and inspires less confidence. However, I left signals for growth to 0.035-40 on a weekly basis.
Of the fantokens, only OG was considered for work because it has sufficient liquidity. For the rest of the group's tokens, the probability of additional drawdown prevails in the current market. Given the incomplete issue, many tokens can give a break.
ETH/USDT chart, which shows trading within a descending channel.ETH continues to trade within the descending channel, which indicates a bearish trend in the short term. A breakout above the upper trendline could signal a bullish reversal.
The immediate support level is around the $2,240 mark. If Ethereum sustains above this level, it could see a potential bounce, leading to a bullish move.
There is a crucial resistance zone around $4,000 to $4,400. ETH could face selling pressure when it approaches this zone.
The chart includes the 21-day simple moving average (SMA), which is acting as a dynamic resistance. A clear breakout above the SMA could be a bullish signal.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other altcoin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
ETH - Two Levels to Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📔Here is a practical example on how to find your edge.
According to our last educational post:
Where is ETH now?
It’s currently in the middle of nowhere, a no-trade zone, as we don’t have an edge.
Here are the possible areas where we’d be interested in trading:
1️⃣ $2000 is a round number that intersects with a structure and trendline, making it an attractive zone to consider medium-term longs.
2️⃣ $2900 represents the previous major high and structure that the bulls need to break above to take full control.
Until then, we wait!⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
10/9 Good news and bad news...Overview:
Which would you prefer to hear first? Let’s start with the good news: the AMEX:SPY has updated its all-time high. If you have a 401k or any other pension fund, you’re likely seeing gains. Also, it's hard to argue that a recession is looming when the stock market is booming.
Now for the bad news: crypto is down. Normally, this wouldn’t be alarming, as all markets fluctuate. But it's concerning when we see a divergence between the stock market and crypto. Even riskier tech stocks, like those in the NASDAQ:QQQ index, climbed 0.79%. If traders are eager to buy equities, why not crypto, or at least BINANCE:BTCUSD ?
Tomorrow, all eyes will be on Jerome Powell as he delivers the CPI and Core CPI data along with initial jobless claims. Given that recent job reports nearly doubled expectations, we predict fewer jobless claims. The question is: will positive macroeconomic data help? On one hand, it means people have money to spend, which could benefit crypto. On the other hand, it could reduce the chances of aggressive rate cuts, keeping liquidity constrained, and preventing speculative assets from soaring.
BlackRock continues dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin but hasn’t touched its ETH ETF. When did ETH become so hated?
CME fedwatch tool shows an increase in the probability of no rate cut in November, up to 17.2%, while the chances of a one-base-point cut sit at 82.2%.
BTC TA:
W: BTC needs to close above $61.4k to keep bulls in the game. Unfortunately, after today's drop, BTC fell below this crucial level, breaking the bullish structure it had been building since September 7th. Another important level is $62.7k, the point of control for the entire 2024 bull run, which was rejected yesterday. This week is shaping up to print another red candle, following the previous week.
D: While the weekly levels are invalidated, the daily levels still offer hope. BTC bounced from the $60.6k support level, and we haven’t seen four consecutive red days since August. If tomorrow's CPI data hints at a bullish sentiment, we might see a small rally back to $62.1k.
4h: Price is currently closer to the lowest Bollinger Band, indicating it needs to catch up with its moving average.
1h: BTC has reached the Bollinger Bands' moving average, but for a stronger recovery, it needs to break beyond this level on the 4h chart to confirm a bounce.
Alts Relative to BTC:
TAO, SUI, and APT have reached higher highs, but with lower volumes, suggesting that the bullish trend is losing steam. These gains were likely driven by retail investors, FOMOing into the rally. Meanwhile, FTM is showing bearish MACD divergence on the 4-hour chart and was rejected at its weekly resistance of $0.69.
Bull Case:
At $60k, BTC is relatively cheap, considering how much adoption and recognition crypto has gained in 2024. Since we didn’t experience a massive sell-off in September and have held up into October, this might be your last chance to buy BTC at a sub-$100k price. Additionally, we’re in the Fear territory on the Fear and Greed Index, which historically offers an 83% chance of profitability if bought during this phase.
Bear Case:
From a technical perspective, things look bearish. Many key support levels have been invalidated, and the likelihood of the Fed not cutting rates in November continues to rise.
Fear and Greed Index: 37 (Fear).
Prediction: BTC may rebound to $62.1k before resuming its decline. Expect TAO, SUI, and APT to follow BTC's movements, with a potential drop back to pre-BTC ETF levels, which could see declines of 55-60%.
Opportunities:
Short TAO, SUI, APT, FTM.
First Neiro On Ethereum May be Set for Short-Term BreakoutFirst Neiro On Ethereum (ETH: $NEIROCT) is rapidly gaining attention in the cryptocurrency world, especially among meme coin enthusiasts. With a notable rise in its trading volume and the formation of bullish technical patterns, (ETH: $NEIROCT) is currently positioned for a potential breakout.
Technical Analysis
The 4-hour price chart for (ETH: $NEIROCT) reveals a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern, a technical signal that typically indicates a continuation of the current trend—in this case, upward. The recent breakout from key resistance levels, coupled with increasing volume, suggests that further gains could be on the horizon.
As of now, (ETH: $NEIROCT) is trading at $0.0017 with a $728 million market cap and a staggering $1.01 billion in 24-hour trading volume. The increase in trading volume is a crucial indicator of growing demand, especially as the token moves past significant resistance levels. This surge in trading volume places (ETH: $NEIROCT) among the top 10 most traded cryptocurrencies, surpassing many larger projects.
Breaking Structural Levels
Analysts have noted that (ETH: $NEIROCT) is currently breaking key structural levels, which opens the door for the token to achieve new all-time highs. With (ETH: $NEIROCT) up 41% this week and the token’s price currently hovering around $0.001722, the next challenge is for it to solidify its position above $0.0014, a key resistance level. If (ETH: $NEIROCT) can close the next two 4-hour candles above this point, we predict a surge toward $0.002060 in the coming 24 hours.
MACD and RSI Indications
Looking at the shorter-term charts, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and RSI (Relative Strength Index) both show bullish signals. The MACD line has recently moved well above the signal line, typically seen as a strong indicator of growing bullish momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI is holding in the mid-80s, suggesting that although the token is overbought, this may not be a negative signal during a pump cycle. The slightly upward-sloping RSI indicates that buyers are not letting up, further strengthening the bullish outlook.
However, it's important to keep in mind the risks. Should (ETH: $NEIROCT) fail to maintain its momentum and drop below the $0.001476 support level, a wave of selling pressure could push the price down to $0.000830 in the short term.
Strong Market Demand
From a fundamental perspective, the growing interest in $NEIROCT can be attributed to its limited supply and its status as one of the most traded meme coins. Its high ratio of trading volume to market cap at 1.6, four times higher than FTT’s 0.4, indicates a significant demand for the token. This is a clear sign that many traders are jumping in, anticipating further growth as $NEIROCT solidifies its position.
$NEIROCT’s rise from a $1 million market cap in August to $700 million has provided early investors with life-changing gains. With Binance listing the token, $NEIROCT has become a household name in the meme coin category, though its potential for massive returns is now more limited than it was at launch. A continued rally to a $1 billion market cap would yield a 2x return, but that’s modest compared to the meteoric gains seen during its early days.
Price Prediction: Short-Term Gains Possible
The potential for short-term gains remains strong, we are forecasting a rise toward $0.002060 if the token continues to hold key levels. However, investors should keep an eye on Bitcoin and broader market conditions, as $NEIROCT's bullish continuation will likely depend on BTC’s price action. A strong CPI report this week could propel Bitcoin past $65,000, creating a positive environment for meme coins, including $NEIROCT. Conversely, a poor inflation print could see Bitcoin retest $60,000, putting short-term pressure on risk assets like meme coins.
Conclusion: Is $NEIROCT Still a Good Buy?
The truth is $NEIROCT is no longer a low-cap gem, but its recent bullish price action indicates that it still has room to grow with modest gains easy 2x on reaching $1 Billion market cap. Investors looking for a potential breakout play in the meme coin space might want to keep a close eye on $NEIROCT, but caution is advised in case the bullish momentum fades.
10/8 Market Tensions as S&P500 Wobbles Ahead of CPI, BTC Holds.Overview:
The AMEX:SPY is hovering around its all-time highs, showing limited movement as investors await Thursday’s CPI report. Anticipation is building, but it seems the U.S. market may not make any significant moves until inflation data provides clearer direction.
BTC TA:
W: When examining the volume profile of this year's entire bull phase, the point of control—where the most trading volume occurred—stands at $63 K. This explains why BINANCE:BTCUSDT might consolidate at the current price range for longer than expected. Despite a second false breakout attempt, Bitcoin remains trapped between the crucial monthly support level of $61.4K and resistance at $64 K. On one hand, geopolitical tensions are escalating in the Middle East, while on the other, China's government has announced a $28 billion investment package. The SSE Composite Index surged 30%, though it recently corrected by 11% over the last two days. Notably, some of the significant green candles can be attributed to Asian market open times.
D: The daily chart paints a clear picture of the price struggling to escape bearish pressure. It’s hovering just below the Bollinger Bands’ moving average. Monday presented a bearish hammer, and Tuesday ended with an indecisive doji.
4h: No divergences are evident on the MACD or CVD. The RSI sits around 45, indicating balanced buying and selling pressure.
1h: Price is oscillating around the $62.2K point of control level without any strong signals for bullish or bearish momentum.
Alts relative to BTC: Major altcoins are moving in line with Bitcoin, with little divergence. However, SUI and TAO, after their impressive runs to all-time highs, have begun to correct.
Bull case: If Trump is re-elected, accompanied by more interest rate cuts, this could boost the bullish narrative. The bull flag on the weekly chart is becoming more apparent and, if it breaks out, could signal a further upward trend. The formation of a reverse head and shoulders at the beginning of July, August, and September also supports a bullish outlook.
Bear case: However, bears point out that we’re still in a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. The double fake bull breakouts in recent upticks further signal caution. The market lacks new narratives, and regulatory crackdowns continue. Major CEXs now require strict KYC compliance, cutting off trading access for users in China, the UK, the U.S., and other key markets. While VPNs offer a workaround, the risks of locked accounts on exchanges registered in jurisdictions like the Cayman Islands add significant risk for traders.
Fear and Greed Index: 41.71 - Neutral.
ETHUSD Last call before $4600Ethereum has crossed above July's Falling Resistance and has started a new bullish phase.
A crossing above the 0.5 Fibonacci level, confirms the bullish extension.
This is the pattern that was followed last October (2023) right when the mega rally started.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the 0.5 Fib breaks.
Targets:
1. 4600 (the 1.5 Fibonacci level, in line with the Dec 7th 2023 High).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has already been on a Bullish Divergence since the August 5th low. Similar pattern with the August 18th 2023 bottom. Perfect time and price symmetry.
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Oct.1-Oct.7(ETH)Weekly market recapAfter the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, the Asia-Pacific markets, especially the Chinese stock market, experienced a strong rebound. On one hand, following U.S. restrictions on China in the import and export sectors, the Chinese stock market has underperformed relative to the Nikkei and the Mumbai Index. On the other hand, the Chinese government recently announced a reduction in the bank reserve requirement ratio to enhance the competitiveness of the Chinese market following the U.S. rate cut.
Although increased liquidity in the Chinese market benefits various assets, the U.S. market still dominates cryptocurrency trading, and the Chinese market has a certain degree of closure. Therefore, the performance of the Chinese stock market does not impact the cryptocurrency market, as evidenced by the stable performance of BTC ETFs recently.
Last Friday's non-farm payroll data did not show significant deviations, so the market will not conclude that we are entering a recession or recovering from inflation; rather, the economy remains under the control of the Federal Reserve. The CPI data to be released this week will further confirm this. If the CPI data does not significantly deviate from expectations, the market will still be driven by bullish sentiment.
Compared to BTC's bearishness, ETH is stronger. Thus, ETH experienced a larger decline last week and has had a weak rebound. According to the ME indicator, there is a possibility for further expansion of the yellow bearish zone. Similar to BTC, whale participation in ETH was low last week.
In summary, we believe that ETH may oscillate this week, with the likelihood of a decline greater than that of an increase. We maintain our original resistance level at 2,800 and support level at 2,100.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Could Ethereum rise from here?The price has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 2,399.85
1st Support: 2,311.61
1st Resistance: 2,522.01
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10/7 Can BTC hold bullish trend or was it a fake break out?Overview :
The AMEX:SPY posted a decisive red candle today, with a strong bearish body. It’s rare to see appreciating equities while global liquidity has been declining for 21 consecutive days. The index is now trading at the lower end of the range established after the rate cut. The main sectors pulling it down include big tech (with the exception of beloved NVDA, which rose 2.24%), as well as utilities, insurance, and finance. On the other hand, oil, gas, and healthcare showed gains.
Since Friday, the number of traders expecting no rate cut in November has quadrupled from 2.6% to 13.7%. This reflects market uncertainty: while no rate cut means continued tight credit conditions and less liquidity, it also signals the Fed’s confidence in a strong job market and rising salaries. The question remains, which factor will weigh heavier on speculative assets like crypto? Less liquidity suggests a bearish outlook, but a stronger job market could be bullish.
This week could be pivotal for crypto. The question is whether BINANCE:BTCUSDT will hold above the 61.5k support level or break down, ending the fifth wave of this year’s crypto bull run.
BTC TA :
Weekly : After bullish momentum yesterday and earlier today, Bitcoin has since corrected. It’s now sitting at the BB MA and has moved away from the biggest volume node, leaving the point of control (POC). The 61.3k - 62.6k range isn't seeing much volume, and BTC will either hold above this or break through, which would be critical.
Daily : Bitcoin retested the MM BA resistance after falling beneath it. Monday ended with a bearish hammer, signaling caution. No major divergences were spotted on key indicators. Last week on Friday we wrote "Daily had a nice pull back after dumping from bull trap. Given the last 16 days of trading, upper resistance is at $63.3 k. It will need a real miracle to brake that level." The promised pull back played out. Price actually rose to 64.4k. But miracle of braking it didn't happen.
4-Hour : No divergences, and the trend seems uncertain.
1-Hour : Over the weekend, Asian bulls pushed BTC upwards, triggering short liquidations that drove prices up to 63.9k. However, the upward movement was halted at the significant weekly resistance of $64 k. A pullback followed. Early Monday, U.S. bulls retested the $64 k level again, pushing prices as high as 64.4k. This retrace fell within the Fibonacci golden pocket, specifically between the 0.618 and 0.786 levels when measured from the high on September 27th.
Alts Relative to BTC: NEAR, APT, TAO, FTM, and SUI are outpacing BTC and other altcoins as Monday progressed. ETH and SOL, however, remain closely aligned with BTC’s movements.
Bull Case : Since early September, we’ve seen the beginnings of a new bull run, which could be fueled by potential rate cuts and improving macroeconomic conditions. A breakout from the bullish flag consolidation pattern forming on the weekly chart could lead to significant upside.
Bear Case: The fifth wave may already be over, and we could be headed downward, marking the end of this year’s bull run.
Fear and Greed Index : 41.49, indicating a neutral sentiment.
This week holds the key for BTC's next move. Will it hold support or break down? Stay tuned.
Ethereum call was good!We were on point with the expected drop of CRYPTOCAP:BTC not being severe.
However, was a little off on where it would find support, #BTC.
Can't get em all :)
Drew a 2nd box on the chart to measure by how much we were off.
AMEX:BITX & AMEX:ETHT have done well
Pls see more profile for more info (we don't post as much anymore, lil busy)
ETHEREUM - Time to buy again!The BINANCE:ETHUSDT is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD). also a bullish Hidden Divergence (HD+) on MACD which shows Positive Signs for ETH.
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move, If the triangle breaks, we expect a new ATH to occur, but in new year.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!