Rising into resistance levelEURUSD is rising towards a pullback resistance, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.08652
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 1.09149
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 88% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 1.08007
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
D-EUR
Bullish Retracement on EURSUDUsually, I do not advise trading against the trend.It is obvious that the market is in a bearish run.However,I see price clearing the INTERNAL RANGE LIQUIDITY upward to a more premium price for sells. Therefore, I will be looking for buy opportunity IF price breaks April 2 high to the newest buy-side liquidity as shown with the arrow. NOTE THAT WE ONLY REACT TO PRICE WE DO NOT PREDICT... THIS IS A RISKY TRADE AS IT IS AGAINST THE TREND
kindly ENGAGE and SHARE your view if you think otherwise... LIKE and FOLLOW
EURAUD resistance continues to cap gains.EURAUD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.6560.
We look to Sell at 1.6560 (stop at 1.6596)
Our profit targets will be 1.6470 and 1.6450
Resistance: 1.6560 / 1.6590 / 1.6630
Support: 1.6500 / 1.6460 / 1.6420
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.46900 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.46900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURJPY to find resistance at the current market level?EURJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Our short term bias remains negative.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look to sell rallies.
Weekly pivot is at 163.55.
We look to Sell at 163.55 (stop at 164.05)
Our profit targets will be 162.65 and 162.45
Resistance: 164.30 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EUR/USD Sees Volatility Amid USD Weakness:Swing Trading ApproachThe EUR/USD pair experienced notable volatility on Tuesday, following our previous forecast indicating a potential bearish continuation. Despite initially touching previous support-turned-resistance levels, the pair managed to close in positive territory. Currently, it remains within our Fibonacci levels of interest, signaling a possible continuation of the bearish trend. Our strategy for EUR/USD swing trading revolves around anticipating another bearish impulse.
The USD exhibited weakness during the American trading session on Tuesday, providing support for the rebound in EUR/USD. Despite a negative shift in risk sentiment, investors refrained from placing bets on an extended USD rally.
Market participants are now closely watching the release of the ADP Employment Change data from the US. Forecasts suggest an increase of 148K jobs in March. Any print at or below 100K could trigger a selloff in the USD, prompting an immediate reaction.
Additionally, the ISM Services PMI data is set to be featured in the US economic docket. Earlier in the week, the USD showed strength following better-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI data, particularly the sharp rise in the Prices Paid Index. A similar reaction may occur if the ISM Services PMI beats analysts' estimates.
In light of these developments, our outlook for EUR/USD leans towards a bearish continuation of the trend.
EURGBP Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85500 zone, EURGBP was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.85500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 163.500 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 163.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD has a strong downside momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.08007
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 1.08638
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 1.06989
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP: Short term rebound initiatedEURGBP is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.577, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 12.005) as it is ranges between the 1D MA50 (Support) and 1D MA200 (Resistance). Having made a Double Bottom on S1 on March 8th, with that level holding since August 23rd 2023, the current rebound is expected to extend to the LH trendline, essentially the top of the Descending Triangle. The Bullish Wave before this one, crossed the 0.5 Fibonacci level and then reversed, which gives us a TP = 0.86400.
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EUR/USD minor correction before 1.07(4/2/2024)Nothing has been changed since our last analysis. EUR/USD is still bearish.
But we may see some minor corrections because every indicator are in oversold and DXY is correcting too.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
EURNZD to breakdown?EURNZD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high.
A break of bespoke support at 1.8000, and the move lower is already underway.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
We look to Sell a break of 1.7999 (stop at 1.8049)
Our profit targets will be 1.7879 and 1.7859
Resistance: 1.8072 / 1.8099 / 1.8130
Support: 1.8000 / 1.7950 / 1.7900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EUR/USD Descends Below 1.0750 Following US Manufacturing GrowthThe EUR/USD pair faced significant bearish pressure during the American session on Monday, plunging to its lowest level since mid-February, breaching below the key support at 1.0750. The pair's next potential support zone looms at 1.0700, unless it manages to stabilize above the 1.0760 mark.
This downward movement in EUR/USD followed the release of US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, which revealed a notable increase to 50.3 in March from 48.4 in February. This marked the first time since September 2022 that the manufacturing sector showed signs of expansion, alongside heightened input price pressures.
As a result of this positive data, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining its policy rate in June rose above 40%, compared to 30% before the PMI release. Consequently, the US Dollar strengthened against its counterparts, exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD.
Despite Tuesday's initial bullish impulse, in line with our previous forecast, the overall sentiment for EUR/USD remains bearish, with the possibility of further downward movement. The release of the JOLTS Job Openings data for February by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, along with speeches by several Fed policymakers, will be closely watched for market cues.
Depending on the tone of these speeches and any hints regarding future monetary policy, the USD may experience fluctuations. Should Fed officials suggest a potential rate cut in June, the USD could face selling pressure, potentially aiding a rebound in EUR/USD. Conversely, hawkish comments could bolster the USD and extend the downward trajectory of EUR/USD.
In summary, with the US manufacturing sector showing signs of improvement and Fed policy decisions looming, EUR/USD is poised for continued volatility. A bearish trend continuation is anticipated, pending further developments in US economic data and Federal Reserve communications.
Our Previous Forecast:
EURUSD formed the 1st 1D Death Cross since September!The EURUSD pair quickly hit our 1.07250 Target, which we set on our most recent sell signal (March 27, see chart below):
Moving out to the 1D time-frame we can see that this is the Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Down pattern that started at the beginning of the year and we are only halfway through it. Also the pair just completed the first Death Cross on the 1D time-frame since September 29 2023. That is a strong enough sell signal on its own.
As long as the price keeps closing 1D candles below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will remain bearish, expecting a new Lower Low on this 3-month Channel Down. The previous was formed on a -4.00% decline, so a repeat of that targets 1.05500.
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EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.46050 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.46050 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD 1 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - US PMI This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 1 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback.
Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure.
More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase.
3.
As price failed to initiate a pullback from the 4H demand, price continued bearish to the Daily demand zone.
Possible reaction ONLY from the Daily demand as we are in the momentum phase of targeting the 4H Weak Swing Low.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price still in the bearish momentum following the HTF continuation.
Price tapped into the daily demand which could provide a reaction to facilitate the INT Bearish Structure Pullback.
EUR/USD Analysis: Exploring Reversal OpportunitiesEUR/USD maintains its position around 1.0860 during the early European session on Tuesday, following a positive close on Monday.
The USD experienced slight selling pressure, allowing EUR/USD to gain traction at the beginning of the week. However, the pair now finds itself within a potential reversal zone, prompting us to monitor for any discernible patterns before considering entry points.
Later today, the US Census Bureau is set to release Durable Goods Orders data for February. Expectations suggest a 1.3% increase following January's 6.2% contraction. While a positive reading could initially bolster the USD, any gains may be tempered unless there is a notable shift in risk sentiment.
As traders, we are closely observing the price action in this critical area, awaiting potential signals for a short entry opportunity.
EUR/USD Weekly Analysis: Short Opportunity with Dual Setups
Traders,
Expanding on our EUR/USD analysis, I've integrated two distinct setups:
Significant Support: Daily chart analysis reveals robust support levels.
Bearish Trend: The LR channel indicates a prevailing bearish trend.
Key Shorting Zone: A notable cluster formed by the Weekly Pivot and Last Week's POC presents an excellent opportunity to consider short positions.
Considering these setups:
The first setup entails a SL placement just above this week's R1 and last week's reversal point.
The second setup involves a SL positioned just above the POC.
Remember, these plans are contingent upon market conditions and may adapt in response to surprises from Wednesday's EURO CPI release and FED Chair Jerome Powell's speech.
Stay adaptable and remain vigilant in your trading endeavors.
Best regards,
EURCAD Medium-term Sell SignalThe EURCAD pair has been trading within a 12-month Channel Down and is currently reversing after a Double Top rejection on Resistance 1 (1.47825). Following the 1D MACD Bearish Cross, this has the potential to initiate Phase 2 of the Bearish Leg that started on the November 21 2023 Lower High.
Technically this should be at least a -4.47% Bearish Wave, similar to the rejection that started on August 30 2023. As a result our Target is 1.41600 (Support 2).
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EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.07950 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.07950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.