Dow Jones H1 | Falling to pullback supportDow Jones (US30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 43,909.20 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 43,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 44,527.74 which is a swing-high resistance at the all-time high.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
D-US30
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)Look at the charting carefully & you'll see where Wave 1 & 2 ended. We entered sells at Wave 2 correction & since then the Wave 3 has dropped down in an impulse manner😍
We are only 500 PIPS away from our Wave 3 target, where we will close out 50% of our position & leave another 50% running.
DOW JONES: Short term target 44,850.Dow Jones is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.283, MACD = 438.030, ADX = 26.531) and on top of that, the 4H RSI has been inside overbought territory since November 5th. The price action remains inside the Channel Up that started in August but every time the 4H RSI trades sideways like this on overbought ranges, the price enters a smaller Channel Up and leads to the peak HH. That's what we are aiming for now (TP = 44,850).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Dollar Index Bullish to $109! (UPDATE)The DXY is constantly rocketing up from our grey supply zone. Intense bullish momentum which is about to break above the 'pending liquidity' sitting at $107.400 - $106.500.
Break of structure of this liquidity zone will open up further upside towards our $109 target!
Potential bearish set up on the 1 hour chartConsider entering a short position if the price shows signs of rejection at the resistance area. This trade setup anticipates a move down towards the lower end of the channel, with a stop-loss above the resistance. Keep in mind that this is a short-term setup, and price action should confirm any entry.
This is a technical view and should be used alongside other analysis methods and risk management strategies.
Bearish Correction Expected with Key Bullish Trigger at 44270Technical Analysis
The price has increased by approximately +5.20% over the past week.
Today, a corrective move toward 43900 is expected, with a break below 43760 potentially signaling a bearish trend targeting 43350.
Alternatively, a break above 44270 would open a new bullish phase, aiming for 44400 and 44600.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 44270
Resistance Levels: 44400, 44600
Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43350
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Correction toward 43900
Bullish Continuation above 44270
previous idea:
US30 Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 17h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 44,172.7.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 44,971.3.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100) Classic Trend-Following
Bullish rally on US100 continues.
The market closed, updating the all time high.
To catch a bullish trend continuation next week,
pay attention to a horizontal range on a 4H.
Bullish breakout of its upper boundary - a 4h candle close above that
will give you a strong bullish confirmation.
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US30 - 15 min ( Sell Trade Target Range 500 : 1000 PIP ) 💎 US30
Time Frame : 15min Chart
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🔻 Type :intraday
🚨Bearish Break Out Done - expecting bearish Wave From Current level 43750
———————————
☑️Great opportunity now
Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis
If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it
This is a personal vision that reflects my practical way
good luck for everybody
And we strive to provide the best opportunities and develop your money
Please apply good capital management
US30 Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 43,838.04.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 42,226.86 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NASDSAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Confirmation After Breakout
US100 Index updated the all-time high, violating a solid daily horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, the market retested the broken structure and started to consolidate
on an hourly time frame.
A violation of the upper boundary of the range is a strong intraday bullish continuation.
It indicates that with a high probability, the price will go up.
Next goal - 20920
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US30 - 15 min ( Great R : R Trade 1000 PIP Target ) After Braek💎 US30
Time Frame : 15min Chart
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🔻 Type :intraday
🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 43440 Area
———————————
☑️Great opportunity now
Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis
If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it
This is a personal vision that reflects my practical way
good luck for everybody
And we strive to provide the best opportunities and develop your money
Please apply good capital management
TRUMP is the 47th President! Is this bullish for the markets?Donald Trump is the new (47th) President of the United States, coming into office for his 2nd time. The practical question on the investor's mind is of course how will the stock markets react?
Even though there is no definitive way to approach this, the fact that Trump will resume power for a 2nd term, gives us a historic data set to have grounds for comparison. Fundamentally anything can be discussed on policies and strategies etc but technically the picture is more objective.
As you can see on this Dow Jones (DJI) chart displayed on the 1W time-frame, Trump's 1st Presidential win was on November 08 2016. At that time, the market was trading within a Channel Up that started after a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) double test on January 19 and February 08 2016. Right before the Elections, the index experienced a natural 'Pre-election volatility' phase.
The picture during the current election period isn't very different from 2016. As you can see, Dow started a Channel Up pattern after a 1W MA200 test and half-way through the year started to experience the usual 'Pre-election volatility' phase. During that time both in 2024 and 2016, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting and stayed intact. Notice how even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are similar from the time the Channel Up started until the elections.
So naturally you are asking what does that mean for us moving forward? Well after the November 08 2016 elections and Trump's 1st win, Dow started to rise aggressively immediately and by March 2017 it almost reached the patterns top (Higher Highs trend-line) before the new medium-term relief pull-back. The post-election Bull Phase was concluded in January 2018, upon completing a +71% rise from the Channel's bottom and 7.0 Fibonacci extension from the volatility phase.
So if symmetry acts its part, we may see 47000 by March 2025 and 55000 (+71% from the October 2023 bottom) by the end of 2025. Is this projection definitive? Of course not, nothing is 'absolute' in investing/ trading. But history has shown that the stock market has reacted more than positively after the U.S. elections, particularly in the case of a Trump win.
What do you think? Will Trump's 2nd term be bullish?
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US30 H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 42,767.06, a pullback resistance close to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 42,175.76, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 43,368.92, which is a swing-high resistance."
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.