GOLD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD broke out of the
Rising channel, then made
A retest of the resistance
Cluster of the horizontal
And rising resistance lines
At around 2720$ from where
We are already seeing a
Bearish reaction so we will
Be expecting a further move down
Sell!
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D-XAU
Gold can make small correction and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to wedge, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline to the support line. When the price dropped to this line, it broke the 2650 level, after which later, Gold started to grow and in a short time backed up to the 2650 level. Soon, the price broke this level one more time and then made a retest, after which continued to move up. In a short time price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then started to trades between the 2740 level. Later, the price broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the wedge, and even exited from this pattern. But then it dropped to the seller zone, some time traded inside, and then made a downward impulse to the buyer zone, breaking the 2740 level. After this, Gold started to grow and now it continues to rise to this day. So, in my mind, Gold will little correct and then continue to move up to the 2740 resistance level. For this case, my TP is at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Gold will reach trend line and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price declined below a support level, thereby breaking it, and started to trades inside the support zone. Later prices declined from this area lower, but soon turned around and backed up to the 2650 level, making a gap and breaking this level. Next, the price made a retest and continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. After Gold reached this level, the price some time traded between this level, and last time it broke the 2735 resistance level, made a second gap, and continued to move up. Some time later price reached the trend line and then started to decline inside the pennant. In this pattern, the price first fell to the 2735 level, and then broke it, after which made impulse down to the support level. A not long time ago price rebounded from this level and now the XAU rise. So, I think that XAUUSD will reach the trend line and then start to decline to the support level, thereby exiting from the pennant. For this case, I set my goal at 2650 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSD - Gold after the FOMC?Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. Gold reached its analysis target of the previous day. In case of upward correction due to today's economic data, we can see supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward.
The downward correction of gold has led to the visibility of the demand zone and it is possible to look for buying positions. It should be noted that both buying and selling positions will be short-term.
The Federal Reserve reduced its interest rate by 0.25%, aligning with market expectations, bringing the total rate down from 5% to 4.75%. In the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, a line mentioning increased confidence in inflation returning to target was removed, initially prompting markets to react hawkishly. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell quickly downplayed this change, stating that it held no special significance.
In his remarks, Powell assessed the U.S. economic outlook as positive and indicated that the Fed would continue with its contractionary monetary policies. He noted that inflationary pressures are easing and that the inflation rate is gradually nearing the 2% target. Powell emphasized the importance of reducing the risk of an economic recession and thus stressed that the Fed’s approach would remain cautious to ensure economic growth and labor market stability, with interest rates managed in a controlled manner.
During the press conference following the Fed meeting, a reporter asked Powell if he would resign if asked by Donald Trump. Powell replied simply and firmly: “No.”
Meanwhile, according to The Wall Street Journal, sources close to Trump have stated that there is still no organized plan to end the war in Ukraine, nor is there any clear idea on how to convince Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky to agree to negotiate. One idea under discussion involves Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO for the next 20 years. In exchange, the United States would continue providing extensive military aid to Ukraine as part of a strategy to deter Russia from further aggression.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit:
Entry: 2,710.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,745.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,659.43
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold: A Sudden Pivot and Decline… All Eyes on Powell and the FedGold’s Outlook Amidst Global Shifts: Anticipating the Federal Reserve’s Decision and Trump’s Return to Power
Gold (XAUUSD) currently exhibits a technical reversal setup, hinting at a potential downward trend in the medium to long term. The fundamental landscape is shifting to favor the U.S. dollar, subtly steering capital away from gold. This pivot is influencing price targets and investor sentiment, aligning more with an appreciation of the dollar than a rally in precious metals.
In a surprising twist in U.S. politics, Donald Trump has regained the presidency. What does this political shift mean for gold and other key markets? Historically, Trump’s policies have leaned toward deregulation and fiscal expansion, potentially fueling inflation. With an administration focused on rapid economic growth and bold policies, there’s a plausible scenario for rising inflation, increased demand for the dollar, a robust stock market, and strengthening U.S. bond yields. Yet, gold and currency markets might not see immediate benefits from this environment.
Trump’s known stance toward China and Europe, marked by economic confrontation and protectionist measures, could eventually provide a supportive backdrop for gold, although this may not manifest immediately. Investors may perceive gold as a safe haven in the face of prolonged U.S.-China tensions, but significant gains may only materialize over time—perhaps not until late next year or beyond.
So, what are the forward-looking targets for gold? Analysts are keeping an eye on potential pullbacks to levels like 2400, 2300, or even 2200. Should the selling pressure increase, a test of the 2000 mark isn’t out of the question. These medium to long-term projections underscore a cautious outlook, hinging heavily on both domestic policy under the new administration and ongoing global economic challenges.
At present, however, the immediate focus lies with the Federal Reserve. This Thursday’s rate decision is critical: Will the Fed cut by another 0.25% to continue economic support, or opt for stability and keep rates steady? Yet, the spotlight is less on the rate decision itself and more on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary. Any signals that the Fed may ease up on its current rate cut cycle could impact markets dramatically, especially those tied closely to interest rates like gold. Hints of a potential slowdown in easing could push investors away from the yellow metal as confidence in the dollar strengthens.
From a technical perspective, gold appears to be re-entering a price range, with attention drawn to significant internal levels, including the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line—a crucial marker. Should gold breach this level, a resumption of the downtrend may be imminent. If sellers reclaim control below this level, a deeper pullback may follow.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2670, 2685, 2696
Support: 2652 (trigger point), 2637, 2624
As a correction pattern emerges in the wake of recent declines, traders are monitoring for a potential false breakout. If gold experiences a brief push above these resistance points but subsequently consolidates below them, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend.
In summary, gold's trajectory will be shaped by a unique combination of technical pressures and fundamental shifts. Trump’s return and its implications for inflation and foreign policy, combined with the Fed’s upcoming rate guidance, form a complex backdrop. Investors should brace for heightened volatility, as the evolving policy landscape and economic indicators will likely be pivotal in determining gold's next moves.
Gold Update: Post-Election WeaknessThe price of gold typically drops after U.S. elections, and this time is no different.
This weakness coincides with the expected wave count on the chart, as Wave 4 correction was anticipated. (see related)
Wave 3 is extended, and so is sub-Wave 5 within it, which is a common pattern for commodities.
Wave 4 has now begun, and there are two ways to measure its potential target:
1. Wave 4 typically retraces Wave 3 by around 38.2%.
2. The trend channel formed through the peaks of Wave 1 and Wave 3, and the valley of Wave 2, suggests a potential bottom for Wave 4.
This chart shows an amazing alignment of these two factors: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement is at $2,428, and the bottom of the channel is around $2,450. These levels provide a strong double support for gold prices.
The final upward impulse should at least retest the all-time high of $2,802 (the peak of Wave 3).
The Cup & Handle pattern (see related ideas) has a target of $3,000.
GOLD about to crash? GOLD losing it's bullish sentiment. Lost it's Wedge, RSI had bearish divergence, All indicators flipping bearish, losing key EMA's.
If this happens, it would probably mean that people selling gold and getting in crypto/stocks as USA have elected Donald J. Trump as new president, all markets expecting pump, therefore Store of Value assets should be going down for about a year from now.
E: $2665
SL: $2705
TP: $2300 to $2000
XAUUSD : Head and Shoulders PatternTrading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD h4
Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW
⬇️Sell Now or Sell on 2740.8
⭕️SL@ 2763.8
🔵TP1@ 2686.5
🔵TP2@ 2660.1
🔵TP3@ 2586.1
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
$BTC have a gold fractal!Please pay attention to the Bitcoin chart and the Gold fractal! It's incredible, but it looks very similar. The level of correlation is quite high! Similar formation of tops, bottoms, breakout without retest and then now breakout phase with retest. The retest was successful. Very soon there will be the strongest growth! Good luck!
Horban Brothers!
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,671.48
1st Support: 2,641.00
1st Resistance: 2,709.12
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD Analysis Post-Election: Bearish Continuation with Key LevelTechnical Analysis
As we mentioned yesterday, GOLD was expected to be bearish due to the high likelihood of Trump’s success in the election.
Now that Trump has won, GOLD has dropped by about $49 as anticipated, reaching 2712 and 2700.
Currently, we remain in a bearish trend, with the price still aiming for 2712 and potentially 2695 and 2677. A retest of up to 2739 is possible.
As long as the price trades below 2731, further declines toward 2712 and 2695 are expected.
Bearish Scenario: The price may retest 2731 before resuming its downward trend toward 2706, 2695, and 2677. Stability below 2706 reinforces the bearish outlook.
Bullish Scenario: A 4-hour candle close above 2739 would indicate a potential bullish shift, with subsequent targets at 2749 and 2758.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2731
Resistance Levels: 2739, 2749, 2758
Support Levels: 2706, 2695, 2677
Trend Outlook:
Under 2739: Downtrend
previous idea
HelenP. I Gold will make small move up and then continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price some time traded in the support zone, which coincided with the support level and later rebounded down to the trend line. Then the price turned around and started to grow, so, soon it broke the 2525 support level and rose a little higher. After this, the price made a small correction and continued to move up, until it reached 2680 points. Then it turned around and in a short time declined to the trend line, after which rebounded and quickly rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to move up to 2790 points, but when it reached it, Gold turned around and made a strong impulse down. So, after this, the price broke the trend line with the resistance level and now continues to decline. That's why I expect that XAUUSd will little grow and then continue to decline, therefore I set my goal at 2590 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold can reach resistance level and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and broke it, after which started to trades between this level. Later, Gold rebounded from this level and dropped to the trend line, after which started to trades inside the upward channel, where it soon reached the 2655 support level and broke it again. Also, the price made a first gap, after which continued to move up to the resistance line of the channel, and even reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. After this, Gold dropped a little and then continued to move up to the resistance level, making a second gap inside the upward channel. When the price reached the 2755 level, it broke it and rose a little more, after which turned around and dropped. Price exited from the channel and broke the trend line too, after which made a retest and now it declined. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will grow to a resistance level and then start to decline. Therefore I set my goal at 2710 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold : Short Term Trading Pattenr Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the Gold XAUUSD h4
Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW
m15 TA :
⬇️Sell Now or Sell on 2754.9
⭕️SL@ 2776.0
🔵TP1@ 2713.0
🔵TP2@ 2673.0
🔵TP3@ 2606.1
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
Gold overall bearish but expected one more leg upGold has been trending upward and is now expected to retrace to form a higher low.
Short-term strategy: Focus on selling as the price pulls back.
Long-term strategy: Plan to buy at the higher low once established.
Sell highs and buy lows.
Alternatively, wait for a breakout to confirm the next move.
Manage risk by selling at, Keep the strategy simple and focused on these key levels.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,759.46
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,790.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,715.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish breakout?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,720.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,758.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,686.32
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the pivot and could drop from this level to the pullback support.
Pivot: 2,758.49
1st Support: 2,720.04
1st Resistance: 2,791.74
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD - Gold 3Month (quarterly)Overview:
Gold and silver have performed remarkablely in 2024, emerging as the two best-performing assets of the year. Precious metals often serve as safe-haven assets during times of economic uncertainty, and this year has proven no exception. Investors have flocked to them as hedges against inflation and market volatility, helping to drive their values upward.
By the end of October, silver had surged by 42.4 percent, a dramatic increase that reflects growing demand and limited supply. Gold, similarly, has gained 33.7 percent, solidifying its role as a reliable store of value. These gains in the precious metals market outpaced other commodities and most traditional financial assets.
For comparison, the NASDAQ—the best-performing stock index—has gained 24 percent over the same period. This robust performance in the NASDAQ reflects strength in technology stocks, yet it still falls short of the exceptional growth observed in gold and silver. Such trends highlight the unique appeal of precious metals, especially during periods of market turbulence and geopolitical tension.
Watch the RSI as another blue candle will indicate a Q4 bullish momentum that may continue into the New Year. As for a Red Q4 Candle... This may push the RSI below the 80, creating a bearish Divergence in the LONG term. This Pullback may even look like a trend reversal. Keep in mind a healthy market needs to retrace.
Key Levels:
2450
2315
2235
(Support)