DAI
This will make our jobs easier if #Stablecoin Dominancewas to reach the inverse head & shoulder target :)
Almost the same % when the #crypto market topped out last cycle.
Will it?
IDK!
Should u wait to those low single digit numbers before u emabrk on profit taking?
probably not.
We shall keep an eye on this of course.
Best of Luck
#MKR/USDT 4h (ByBit) Ascending wedge on resistanceMaker is up-trending for a month but printed 3 shooting stars in a row, looks likely to retrace down to 100EMA support.
⚡️⚡️ #MKR/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Binance Futures, ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (5.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
1270.0
Entry Zone:
1285.0 - 1340.0
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 1186.0
2) 1091.0
3) 996.5
Stop Targets:
1) 1418.0
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:MKR #MKRUSDT #Maker #DAO #DeFi
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +48.2% | +84.4% | +120.4%
Possible Loss= -40.2%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
makerdao.com
USDC SHORTUSDC has just DE pegged, and in my opinion will experience a full on crash this coming week.
USDC De-peg could Crash DAI, USDD, & FraxI want to share my thoughts on the current situation with stablecoins, specifically USDC, DAI, and FRAX. It is my belief that if USDC were to collapse, DAI and FRAX would follow suit, causing a significant crash in the entire crypto market.
Recent developments support this concern. Binance has paused the automatic conversion of USDC to BUSD due to high inflows and the increasing burden of conversion support. Additionally, Circle has burned over $1.6 billion USDC in cash over the past few hours, resulting in a decrease in the total supply of USDC from 43.55 billion to 42.3 billion, down $1.2 billion in just a few hours. Up to 25% of all USDC is uninsured in the SiVB (Silicon Valley Bank) collapse, only $250,000 is guaranteed recoverable. FDIC assumed receivership of the banks $197 BN remaining assets. 50% of all start ups in the US are said to have some exposure to SiVB, either directly or indirectly. Circle group is facing potential bankruptcy if the run on USDC is not staved off....
Furthermore, only Tether is currently above a dollar, with only five of the 13 stablecoins trading at 99 cents USD. Even FRAX, which is backed by USDC, is currently trading at 0.92 USD.
The general concern for all stablecoins may prompt investors to move their funds into BTC/ETH, causing a significant shift in the market.
As always, it is important to stay informed and monitor the situation closely. Stay safe and make informed decisions.
Spot vs Ampl
Will be interesting to see how these two will attract towards same price over time.
Current target price is CPI $1.14 for both $ampl and $spot
Peg of Stable CoinsStablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is pegged, or tied, to that of another currency, commodity, or financial instrument.
Stablecoins aim to provide an alternative to the high volatility of the most popular cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), which has made crypto investments less suitable for common transactions.
(Investopedia)
This graph shows the pegged value of the main stable coins.
Ideally, the value should be 1:1.
In this crash scenario, I will stay alert on these values.
Stable Coins: Amount of Assets Held by WhalesThis graph shows the ranking of stable coins, according to the Amount of Assets Held by Whales (some stable coins don't have this information here).
Since May 02, 2022, BUSD has surpassed USDC in this indicator.
USDT remains relatively stable, and DAI was below $2 billion.
The PEG of these stable coins can be seen in this other analysis:
Dollar losing strength? Correlation with BitcoinThis is the Dollar dominance chart in the cryptocurrency world.
It has an inverse correlation to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that are not stable coins:
The dominance index is exiting the bullish purple channel.
However, it is still above the red support region.
The scenario will be bullish if this dominance does not return to the purple channel, and break the red zone downwards.
If the scenario worsens, it will go back inside the channel and can test the top of 06/18/2022.
Which translates, conversely, to the bottom of the Bitcoin price could be retested.
In DXY, which measures the strength of the Dollar against other FIAT currencies, we have an ascending broadening wedge, the "megaphone" pattern.
To break this uptrend the index needs to first break the purple support region, and then break the lower wedge line downwards.
Altcoins' last bull rally before a tumble?In this graph we have the dominance of altcoins disregarding stable coins.
The calculation is done as follows:
TOTAL = Crypto Total Market Cap
TOTAL2 = Crypto Total Market Cap excludes BTC
USDT = Market Cap of stable coin USDT
USDC = Market Cap of stable coin USDC
DAI = Market Cap of stable coin DAI
So:
Altcoins Dominance % = (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2-CRYPTOCAP:USDT-CRYPTOCAP:USDC-CRYPTOCAP:DAI)/CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL*100
Looking at the chart the index is in a bearish channel.
It will apparently test the top of the channel at wave 4 resistance.
If this channel breaks, we will have an extremely bullish scenario, surpassing all expectations, due to the horrible macro scenario.
Otherwise the downtrend continues, heading towards the end of wave 5.
USDT warn! only the tokens on the PoS network will be redeemableGrayscale warning ahead of the Ethereum Merge: “issuers like Tether and CirclePay have stated that post-fork, only the tokens on the PoS (proof of stake) network will be redeemable”, so if the PoS-based Ethereum fork goes “live with a parallel DeFi ecosystem, collateralized with unredeemable stablecoins, users and smart contracts may attempt to liquidate positions on the new chain, contributing to sell pressure on the new token.”
The worst case scenario of the Merge is the collapse of Ethereum based stablecoins, so be careful with those.
Dominance of stable coins in an important regionJust remembering that the dominance of stable coins is inversely correlated to the price of other cryptocurrencies.
When dominance rises, the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptos commonly fall.
We are on an ABC correction within the bearish leg of wave 5.
The yellow circles demonstrate an important pullback region, where we are right now.
The chart is dangerously inside a bullish descending wedge.
I believe the value will break out of the red bearish channel going up, and retest the rectangular region (0.214 retracement).
In my opinion, this will be the moment of truth.
If stable coins do not break this retraction, we will have new lows.
On the other hand, if they break out of this region going higher, we will have a longer leg up.
In a short-term optimistic scenario, the value could break out of this red channel going lower, and retest the last low, what would be bullish for non-stable cryptocurrencies.
Below is a parallel scenario of the Bitcoin chart.
Vertical green lines demonstrate pullback points.
In Bitcoin's bullish channel, it remains to be seen whether the price will stay above the middle of this channel, or if it will go all the way to the bottom.
7 billion Tether (USDT) redeemed as stablecoin supply decreasesFollowing the cryptocurrency market turmoil, the total supply of stablecoins has fallen quite significantly. This reportedly marks Q2 of 2022 as the first time in crypto history where the overall supply of stablecoins has decreased.
Over the past month, the total supply of all stablecoins combined declined by more than 10 billion (equally +$10 billion), even when excluding the failed TerraUSD. According to Coinmetrics, the tokens were directly redeemed by the holders through the treasuries of major issuers.
The largest stablecoin issuer Tether Inc. recorded the most redemption of all centralized stablecoins, as USDT supply dropped by approximately seven billion on Ethereum, Omni Layer Protocol, and Tron Network. The decentralized stablecoin DAI dropped by over 40%, mostly due to liquidations of debt positions.
$MKR/USDT 12h (#BinanceFutures) Falling broadening wedgeMaker DAO bounced back on support and seems to be heading toward 50MA retest, let's give it a try.
Current Price= 1850.9
Buy Entry= 1822.4 - 1733.4
Take Profit= 1994.5 | 2199.6 | 2494.3
Stop Loss= 1596.7
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.33 | 1:3.95
Expected Profit= +24.36% | +47.44% | +80.58%
Possible Loss= -20.38%
Fib. Retracement= 0.382 | 0.559 | 0.786
Margin Leverage= 2x
Estimated Gain-time= 1.5 months
makerdao.com
Contracts:
#ERC20 0x9f8f72aa9304c8b593d555f12ef6589cc3a579a2
#BEP20 0x5f0da599bb2cccfcf6fdfd7d81743b6020864350
#BEP2 MKR-F04
The dominance of stablecoins as a divergence tool in BTCOn the top chart we have the BTC/USD index, and on the bottom chart we have the sum of the dominance of the main stablescoins: USDT, USDC, DAI and UST.
As a rule, when the dominance of stablecoins rises, the price of BTC falls.
Just look at the respective numbered arrows. The only exception was arrow number 3, which had a more lateral movement in the dollar's dominance.
Now looking at this exact moment, we have a rise in stablecoin dominance.
The next resistance is at 7.75% (if dominance continues to rise).
Why I think Algo stablecoin protocols will do better than USDCKRAKEN:DAIUSDT There are numerous ideas and some real facts of and continuing act of regulators hammering some of the pioneer Stable coin companies LIKE Circle, Blockfi, Celsius for different reasons; all sums up that centralized issue USDCs are looked upon as bonds that does not back 100% USD for one USDC and on top of that, Blockfi celsius service include lending and borrowing mediator for USDC - deems mediator that creates open borderless market for buying and selling security i.e. USDC in view of the US govt.
Let's know we will likely not conclude this debate anytime soon, as legal issue is take long time especially for big firms with good lawyers already knew this scenario in their monopoly playbook.
Sorry, I stop rant about USDC's issue.
Unless ETH or other aseets crash to near zero, algo stablecoins should do fine and may likely avoid scrutiny from regulators of the world (IF, DAO is perfectly designed to be decentralized as time passes)
Yes many VCs back Terra (LUNA) that issues algo UST (USD in Terra protocol) so having a clear VC, Terra team location and identity not so good for avoiding govt. scrutiny but still higher chance of get away from prohibit act- since their UUST isn't 1:1 to USD, it is pegged by LUNA just like Maker DAO.
I find Olympus DAO and Frax share, Alchemix to be interesting Algo stablecoin protocols b/c they utilize bonds of other asset. For now I do not know deeply about OHM FXS ALCMX's tokenomic and their stablecoin issuance. But it feels like digital nomads could get their hands on decentralized stablecoins like these UST DAI for now
IF 50% in BTC, 25% ETH, 10% Shitcoin 15% in stable coins ----------------> 7.5% in USDC and 7.5% in UST, DAI is just an idea for now.
Peace,
Fleeangel
DAI becoming bearish XETR:DAI
Hi guys , how are you doing ? , I hope you're fine and having a nice time
Let's take a look at DAI stock and check it technically :
- the price is moving in a downtrend and according to candlesticks and momentum the bulls are not gonna break this downtrend .
- the price has touched a polarity change range which has acted as a resistance lately
- also the price is now in 0.618 Fib retracement
I think we need to wait for price action and confirmations and then we can enter a short position ..
what's your idea guys ?
I'd be glad if u comment your view about it