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Daidominance

Stablecoin Dominance Tipping PointI see two possible scenarios playing out: The Bullish Scenario The dominance goes lower and respects the current downtrend. This could either bounce off roughly 6% (this area has seen some interesting patterns in the chart) or just continue collapsing down. This would be bullish depending on if we don't have much trouble clearing the 5.8-6% range. The Bearish Scenario We break the current downtrend by going up to 7.5% or above in the next 2-3 weeks, at which point I think that worst case we would test somewhere around 8.15%. This would be short to slightly medium-term bearish at the worst in my opinion. I lean towards the bull case simply because markets are usually boring or choppy the month or so after the Bitcoin halving event; things usually ramp up after. We've dumped over 20% in BTC and altcoins got flushed aggressively while not establishing lower local lows at the same time as BTC did recently. Despite being bullish, it's definitely at a tipping point where if it goes up by a bit more then it's a cause for concern. This is a good chart to watch closely for the next 1-3 weeks as evidence of more incoming corrections for a few more weeks or as evidence of the bullish trend resuming.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by houseofcarle
Dominance of stable coins in an important regionJust remembering that the dominance of stable coins is inversely correlated to the price of other cryptocurrencies. When dominance rises, the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptos commonly fall. We are on an ABC correction within the bearish leg of wave 5. The yellow circles demonstrate an important pullback region, where we are right now. The chart is dangerously inside a bullish descending wedge. I believe the value will break out of the red bearish channel going up, and retest the rectangular region (0.214 retracement). In my opinion, this will be the moment of truth. If stable coins do not break this retraction, we will have new lows. On the other hand, if they break out of this region going higher, we will have a longer leg up. In a short-term optimistic scenario, the value could break out of this red channel going lower, and retest the last low, what would be bullish for non-stable cryptocurrencies. Below is a parallel scenario of the Bitcoin chart. Vertical green lines demonstrate pullback points. In Bitcoin's bullish channel, it remains to be seen whether the price will stay above the middle of this channel, or if it will go all the way to the bottom.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by andre_007
Bitcoin macro analysis (BTC/USD Index)Hello how are you? On the long-term chart BTC follows a bullish channel. It looks like he is testing the 38% Fibonacci retracement. I placed the retracement considering the bottom of March 9, 2020 and the top of March 08, 2021. Why did I consider these dates? Explanation below. BTC/USD indexed on Nasdaq As Nasdaq is strongly correlated with BTC lately, I analyzed in a separate chart the price of BTC indexed on the NDX. Also on the same bull channel: As we can see, we have the last bottom on March 9, 2020 and the last top on March 08, 2021. Then, tracing the Fibonacci retracement by joining these dates, we saw that the price corrected until the 50% correction Maybe test again? I don't know. Fibonacci Channel Reached -50% retraction. Stochastic RSI, RSI and 100-month smoothed exponential moving average On the monthly chart the price is in a theoretically cheap region, rarely seen. On the RSI, the indicator broke the historic low. And the stochastic RSI is still pointing down. When it starts to turn upwards it will be a good sign. Another interesting sign is the 100-month regularized exponential moving average, as circled. On-chain data The volume of BTC on the network indicates important points. In the yellow circles, where we had high volume on the Bitcoin network, this foreshadowed a strong swing in price, both up and down. The percent of circulating supply that has not moved in at least 1 year This indicator appears to be reversing downwards, which indicates that the circulating supply that has been idle for at least 1 year is starting to move. We can see an inverse relationship as shown by the arrows. Drawdown In the past there was a drop of 87%, 80% and 82% approximately. Now we're down 70%. Have already fixed everything, or will you test that red diagonal channel, correcting 74% or more? Stable coins dominance (dollar strength in the crypto market) The dominance of the three main stable coins (USDT, USDC and DAI) has an inverse correlation to BTC. When it goes up, the price of BTC goes down, and vice versa. We have a bullish channel on the stable coin dominance chart, and when dominance reaches the top channel, it is usually a great buy signal, as shown in green circles. Dollar dominance in the traditional market Tested 50% Fibo retracement. Hope this helps.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by andre_007