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The macd on btcusd.This is a time to be very careful, already having a ready strategy on the possible scenarios that will arise. The price has been gravitating around the previous ath for days, this could mean that the test of the highs could last a while, if we then look at the macd, a slowdown is evident which could indicate an ongoing short-term correction. So far it is going well and the movements seem harmonious most of the time, with intraday corrections that often do not reach the minimums, remaining with an ascending sequence of highs and lows. The strength of the bulls is still very high, my hypothesis is that the buyers cannot give their all in these moments, trying to snatch better prices, the orders in the books become slightly smaller placed at the lower levels. The market is at a crucial moment, with the halving approaching, the situation could suddenly heat up after the monthly close.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Melupira89
Control the riskMorning folks, So, our H&S is done well, and already has reached the minimal target. Now the major question whether it will go to 74.3$, a kind of "bonus" upside target. Maybe.. But, today we would think about protection and risk control, rather than about some bargain. On daily chart we've got bearish grabber that is taking the shape of '222" Sell here, on 1H chart. We're coming to PCE report and long Easter Holidays. BTC could go higher, but today we would focus on risk control instead. Think about some risk management of long position - booking totally or partially, stop tightening etc. Bears by the way, could think about short entry. Chances on success are low, but potential money risk is small as well. If you succeed, result will be 10K+ per coin. It worthy at least to think about it... Let's mark this report as "bearish"due described issues.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
2nd attempt is betterMorning folks, So, let's go back to our H&S pattern, which is a 2nd attempt to go long. You could see that it starts working. Right arm stands in place and now we could move stops to breakeven. Second is - we could estimate targets. First one is H&S AB=CD around 69.70K. If we get lucky, we could see 1.618 expansion to 74.3K. Finally, if you've missed entry but still would like to step it - on 1H chart we have local "222" Sell. Here you could watch for two nearest support levels. Just avoid buying if we get strong downside action. Drop under 64.50K Fib support also will be a bad sign, because it breaks the nature of reverse H&S pattern that should be bullish. And strong drop with erasing of the right shoulder definitely will be the sign of H&S failure. Keeping this simple rules in mind should let us to pass this journey without big shocks.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
CHF Loses Ground After The SNB Rate CutToday, the Swiss National Bank cut its interest rate, dropping from +1.75% to +1.50%. Last time we saw any changes made in the rate were back in June 2023, when the Bank lifted the rate from +1.75% to +1.50%. After the release of the news CHF devalued against all of its major counterparts, even against the currently-weak USD. Looking at the technical picture of EASYMARKETS:USDCHF on our daily chart, we can see that the pair popped higher today after the SNB release. The rate rose above a key resistance barrier, at 0.8886, which is the highest point of February. As long as EASYMARKETS:USDCHF continues to trade above that barrier, we will stay positive, at least with the near-term outlook. Given that the pair had already reached and overshot one of our key resistance areas, at 0.8954, we will continue aiming higher. That's when we will target the 0.9052 obstacle, or even the 0.9113 level, marked by the highest point of November 2023. In order to shift our attention to some lower areas, a break of a short-term tentative upside support line taken from the lowest point of December 2023, is needed. This way a directional change of the current uptrend may occur, possibly inviting more sellers into the game. EASYMARKETS:USDCHF could then fall to the current lowest point of March, at 0.8730, a break of which may set the stage for a move to the 0.86500 area. That area is marked near the inside swing highs of January 29th and February 1st.
by easyMarkets
Nice bullish signalMorning folks, Although we were a bit sceptic last time about good entry chance, because we saw how BlackRock just buying out any, even minimal deep on the market. Still, market was able to reach 65K area that we've discussed on Thursday. 65K is also daily oversold. Since we have strong upside momentum, upside bounce should be at least 5/8, which is around 70K, but this is minimal target, it could move higher. On 1H chart we have great pattern on the back of this idea - reverse H&S. It is not totally completed yet, but shape is becoming clear. So, depending on what AB-CD pattern we will get, based on this pattern, we get corresponding upside target. For now it is around 71-72.5K We consider no shorts by far.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
1
The macd on the btcusd daily.Correction in progress, macd reporting a new cycle but we knew this well. Now the thing to do is to wait and understand how long this correction will last, because there are still many buyers. The indicator here is drawing a high and agrees with the price, a signal that the bullish trend is very strong, this is in addition to the other bullish signals we have on btc, including the sequence of highs and lows on intermediate period and time, because by drawing the maximum at 73k usd, the price canceled the previous short-term correction made between December and January. I remind you that it is not enough to have a sequence of ascending highs and lows, but it is also necessary for the price to remain upwards for longer than downwards.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Melupira89
Low chances for good entry piontMorning folks, So, BTC keeps it unstoppable rally, and is strongly overbought on weekly chart. But for now market totally ignores this. Yes, upward action is slowing, we have small tactical bearish grabbers on 4H chart, but it gives low chances on moderate retracement. BTC successfully holds above previous ATH, showing no significant retracement and no doubts - this is bullish sign. Besides it has no strong resistance levels above, right up to our 85-88K target. That's being said - common technical rules recommend to not buy and way for the pullback. But would you wait or not - you need to decide by yourself. Here we just acknowledge that we do not have attractive entry point. Only, if by some reason, market will show pullback to 65K or at least to 68K, it might be interesting. The same is for bearish positions - no reasons by far.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
5
Better to wait a bitMorning folks, So, on Monday we've sent relatively modest target - around 65.5K, it was completed. Now BTC stands at weekly overbought and strong upside continuation is hardly possible immediately. Still, intraday scenarios are also not perfect. At first glance, on 4H chart, with the grabbers aboard, we could count on tactic downside deep. But, on 1H chart (not shown here), price performance is not quite bearish. If we consider bullish position instead, we could take it only when grabbers will be erased, but this put entry level too close to the previous top that is upside target for now, because BTC is at overbought. Thus, both scenarios are not perfect and care higher risk than usual. That's why our conclusion is to wait...
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
Solana’s breaking above an invh&s that’s also a right shoulder Priceaction is currently above the neckline of this daily chart inverse head and shoulder pattern on solusd with one daily candle close above the neckline so far. Should it trigger the breakout the measured move target is $135 which would put price action above the neckline of a much bigger weekly chart inverse head and shoulder pattern’s neckline. The measured move breakout target for that larger invh&s. Pattern would be around $242. Last October we saw the Dow Jones Industrial chart also start to break above a big inverse head and shoulders pattern that also had a right shoulder which was it’s own smaller inverse head and shoulders pattern just as we are seeing come to fruition now on the Solana chart. We must remember on that chart we had an initial fakeout above both necklines around July so there’s always a chance the initial break above the necklines for this solana chart starts as a fakeout too. However since then, The DJI chart has hit the target of it’s smaller inv h&s target and is very close to hitting its bigger inv h&s target so I’d say using that as a precursor, probability is rather high for solana to also hit both of its breakout targets within the coming months. *not financial advice*
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by DrDovetail
12
Great Pump, but what's next?Morning folks, Well, rally looks great, but absolutely unnatural and has no relation to normal market dynamic. It is pumped externally. This is not a surprise when 80% of spot market and all transactions and depository operation stand in one hands. Bubble? Yes, but it is not totally ripen yet, need some time to grow more... Our setup has worked perfect whatever you've done - either use Stop "buy" order for breakout or just bought near the lows of our consolidation. Our next upside targets are 70K, i.e. previous top and 80-85K. Now price is at overbought and it makes sense to wait for some relief. We will be watching DiNapoli patterns, based on the thrust - either DRPO "Sell" or B&B Buy. It seems that any analysis of BTC market very soon will become useless, because it is not controlled by market natural force any more, it is concentrated and market goes with the direction that BlackRock& Co will choose.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
New bullish movement in progress?The price is marking new highs relating to the intermediate period, this macd, as I have written several times, is configured for the intermediate period (approximately 3 months). At this moment the indicator is marking new highs compared to those made in December 2023, so it is telling us good news, because this in progress could be a new bullish "leg", a new intermediate cycle or a swing, call it what you want . The important thing is that price and indicator agree on the rise that has everything, volatility and directionality, the buyers popped up immediately, with every weakness in the price, many BTC are bought and the halving is very close. I remember that the latter is already discounted in the price, what is not discounted is as long as there is an accumulation by large funds via ETFs, at this moment the expectation on Bitcoin remains high. Confirmation that the correction is over and that we are in a new bullish cycle can be given by a maximum relating to the intermediate period after March 9th.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Melupira89
Adv. on bearish sideMorning folks, It seems that market is tired a bit from previous ETF rally. Major drivers are worked out already, and market needs something new. Supposedly coming April halving and possible ETH ETF approvement in May are most probable ones. Right now price stands in tight consolidation, which is might be treated as a bullish sign. At the same time, this consolidation is forming at strong Monthly resistance area of 48.5-52.5K, so some downside reaction seems very probable. This could make any rally here very short term and unstable. And this keeps us aside from taking any long positions by far. On intraday charts it is few things that we could consider - bets on breakout of the range might be done by using Stop entry orders near the borders. If you still would like to buy, we have some shape of reverse H&S pattern on 1H chart, that theoretically you could try to use. But, this is very weak setup.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten