DOLLAR_INDX, H4 11 March 2024 💵 DOLLAR_INDX, H4 💵 11 March 2024
The US Dollar grapples with losses as key employment indicators present a mixed picture. The disappointing unemployment rate and hourly earnings figures contrast with a robust non-farm payroll report, leaving the greenback in a delicate position. Bloomberg reports reveal that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and colleagues are moving closer to revising their inflation strategy. Powell emphasises the need for "just a bit more evidence" before considering a shift in the central bank's approach. His recent congressional testimony suggests a potential willingness to cut interest rates in the short term, pending further confirmation of inflation trends toward the 2% target.
The Dollar Index is trading lower following the prior breakout below the previous support level. Suggesting the index might enter oversold territory.
Resistance level: 103.70, 104.50📉
Support level:102.10, 101.35📈
Dailyanalysis
Using Intra-day algorithms for trade entries. 43 R:R Trade!As of writing this (about 10 minute after recording this video) we did rebound perfectly off our level and are 3 points up ($900). If we were to close the trade now it would be a succesful 10 R:R trade. But we have daily algorithms for a reason.
I'll share updates on how the trade is going below on this post!
Hope this was helpful!! It's truly incredible how you can "Catch bottoms" and have such a tight stop loss utilizing both intra-day and daily algorithms.
Happy Trading all!
Live META Trade Update - 14 out of our target 48 R:R securedThis will be helpful to see for those wondering how to utilize lower time frame algorithms within higher time frame analysis. Same idea! Just always remember, unless you're scalping, the daily algorithms hold much more weight.
Happy Trading all :)
BTC Sets new ATH, correction possibleHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC to USDT chart, as you can see we had a strong breakout from the triangle, which gave a new ATH level for BTC.
When the resistance level from the previous ATH was broken and the price established a new ATH at $70,360, if this level was maintained and the resistance was positively tested, it could give an upward impulse to around $75,686.
When a larger recovery begins, we have three significant support levels, the first one is at $66,036, then the second one is visible at $63,369, and then the very important level is $59,098.
If we look at the RSI and STOCH indicators, there is still room for a possible continuation of the recovery.
🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 8 March 2024 🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 8 March 2024
Oil prices have faced challenges in sustaining upward momentum, despite factors that traditionally might boost prices, such as the easing strength of the dollar and potential dovish policy shifts from the Federal Reserve. However, there was a slight rebound in oil prices in the latest trading session, attributable to a temporary supply disruption. A critical pipeline, which facilitates the transport of oil from Canada to the U.S., experienced a temporary shutdown, causing a brief uptick in prices due to the immediate impact on supply.
Oil prices have found support at their crucial liquidity zone at near $78.70. Suggests a neutral signal for oil.
Resistance level: 81.20, 84.10📉
Support level: 78.65, 75.20📈
USDCAD H4 8 March 2024 USD/CAD, H4 8 March 2024
The Canadian Dollar experienced a notable resurgence as the market absorbed the hawkish sentiments emanating from the Bank of Canada. In its most recent monetary policy decisions, the BoC opted to maintain its interest rates at 5%, with the Bank rate and deposit rate held at 5.25% and 5%, respectively. The central bank affirmed its commitment to quantitative tightening, citing Canada's robust economic performance compared to other major regions.
USD/CAD is trading lower while currently testing the support level. Suggesting the pair might enter oversold territory.
Resistance level: 1.3535, 1.3620📉
Support level: 1.3430, 1.3345📈
EURUSD, H4 8 March 2024 EUR/USD, H4 8 March 2024
EUR/USD pair extended its gains, reaching multi-week highs amidst heightened selling pressure on the US Dollar. The weakened greenback was fuelled by disappointing readings from the US labor market, creating a favourable environment for the Euro. Despite the European Central Bank's (ECB) overall dovish stance, the momentum of the EUR/USD pair remained unaffected, as demand for the Dollar continued to wane. The ECB's outlook included a 1.5% growth projection for the European economy in 2025 and 1.60% in 2026, driven by robust consumption and investment.
EUR/USD is trading higher while currently testing the resistance level. Suggesting the pair might enter overbought territory.
Resistance level: 1.0965, 1.1040📉
Support level: 1.0865, 1.0770📈
GBP/USD, H4 8 March 2024 GBP/USD, H4 8 March 2024
GBP/USD made significant gains buoyed by optimism surrounding the UK's budget announcement. Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt, revealed positive forecasts from the Office for Budge Responsibility (OBR), anticipating a 0.80% economic growth in 2024-- 0.50% higher than the previous autumn forecast. Hunt announced a tax rate cut in employees' National Insurance from 10% to 8%, signalling further confidence in the economic trajectory. Despite the tax cut, Hunt expressed assurance that the UK's debt level would stabilise and projected a gradual reduction to 94.3% by 2028-29, down from the current level above 100%.
GBP/USD is trading higher following the prior breakout above the previous resistance level. Suggesting the pair might experience technical correction.
Resistance level:1.2905, 1.3000📉
Support level: 1.2785, 1.2710📈
XAUUSD, H4 8 March 2024 🔖XAU/USD, H4🔖 8 March 2024
Gold prices are sustaining their bullish rally and are currently testing another resistance level at the $2160 mark. The surge in gold prices is primarily attributed to the weakening of the dollar, influenced by the dovish message delivered by Jerome Powell during the testimony. However, the prevailing optimism in equity markets and the cryptocurrency market suggests a growing risk appetite among traders, which could potentially limit the continued rally of gold.
Gold prices have been trading with strong bullish momentum but are currently held at near $2160, another resistance level. Suggesting the bullish momentum is easing.
Resistance level:2190.00, 2210.00📉
Support level: 2140.00, 2117.90📈
DOLLAR_INDX,DXY H4 8 March 2024💵 DOLLAR_INDX, H4 💵 8 March 2024
The Dollar Index has undergone a substantial decline for a second consecutive session. This can be attributed to the messaging from the Federal Reserve chief during the testimony, indicating that the U.S. central bank is approaching its targeted inflation rate of 2%, and the Fed is on the verge of adjusting its monetary tightening policy. This development has heightened speculation about a potential rate cut in June, significantly impacting the strength of the dollar, causing it to depreciate.
The dollar index has broken another support level, suggesting the dollar is trading with strong
bearish momentum. Suggesting the bearish momentum is gaining.
Resistance level: 103.70, 104.50📉
Support level: 102.00, 101.35📈
CL OIL, H4 7 March 2024CL OIL, H4 7 March 2024
Oil prices have rebounded from their liquidity zone and maintained their previous high levels, forming a double top price pattern. The dovish stance from the Fed's testimony has provided support for higher oil prices. Additionally, the weekly U.S. oil reports falling short of expectations suggest an improvement in oil demand in the U.S., contributing to the positive momentum in the oil market.
Oil prices have rebounded but formed a double-top price pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal for oil prices. Suggests the oil prices remain trading with bullish momentum.
Resistance level: 81.20, 84.10📉
Support level: 78.65, 75.20📈
USD/JPY, H4 7 March 2024 USD/JPY, H4 7 March 2024
The Japanese yen demonstrates resilience, outperforming other currencies amid hawkish expectations surrounding the Bank of Japan. Speculation of a potential interest rate increase surfaces as the country experiences a robust economic recovery. In contrast, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hints at the prospect of interest rate cuts in the US if economic momentum persists, curbing the appeal of the dollar.
USD/JPY is trading lower following the prior breakout below the previous support level. Suggesting the pair might enter oversold territory.
Resistance level: 149.40, 150.80📉
Support level: 147.60, 146.35📈
AUD/USD, H4 7 March 202AUD/USD, H4 7 March 2024
AUD/USD benefits from additional US Dollar losses, aligning with a significant pullback in US Treasury yields amid speculation about an anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June. Ongoing developments in China warrant scrutiny, with potential stimulus measures providing temporary relief. Sustained positive economic indicators and a revival in the Chinese economy are crucial factors for fostering a robust upward trend in AUD/USD, further supported by rising commodity prices. Investors should remain attentive to these dynamics for potential trading signals.
AUD/USD is trading higher while currently testing the resistance level. Suggesting the pair might extend its gains after breakout.
Resistance level: 0.6575, 0.6615📉
Support level: 0.6535, 0.6485📈
EURUSD, H4 7 March 2024EUR/USD, H4 7 March 2024
The Euro has strengthened against the dollar, reaching its highest level in over a month, propelled by a weakening dollar. Anticipation surrounds the upcoming ECB interest rate decision, with the market expecting the ECB to maintain a stance of being "in no hurry" to cut interest rates in its policy statement. This sentiment has led the Euro to trade robustly against the dollar.
The EUR/USD pair has broken from its weeks-long sideways trajectory, and a break from the above suggests a bullish bias signal for the pair. Suggesting that bullish momentum is gaining.
Resistance level: 1.0954, 1.1040📉
Support level: 1.0866, 1.0775📈
GBPUSD, H4 7 March 2024GBP/USD, H4 7 March 2024
GBP/USD sustains an upward trajectory, driven by the US Dollar's depreciation. Despite the optimism, uncertainties loom ahead of the UK's 2024 budget announcement before the election, with market anticipation for potential tax rate cuts. Detailed plans remain elusive, prompting investors to vigilantly monitor developments for nuanced trading signals.
GBP/USD is trading higher following the prior breakout above the previous resistance level.
Suggesting the pair might experience technical correction.
Resistance level:1.2785, 1.2905📉
Support level: 1.2710, 1.2635📈
XAUUSD, H4 7 March 2024XAU/USD, H4 7 March 2024
Gold prices have surged to their all-time high levels and are currently testing the possibility of breaking above this threshold. The bullish momentum observed in gold throughout March can be attributed to the market sentiment indicating that the Federal Reserve may be considering a pivot from its current monetary policy. Simultaneously, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is also potentially contemplating a shift in its monetary policy, raising concerns about a reduction in global liquidity. In such an environment, gold emerges as a favoured safe-haven asset for investors looking to position themselves amidst uncertainties in central bank policies.
Gold prices have risen and are attempting to break beyond their all-time highs.Suggesting that the bullish momentum remains strong.
Resistance level: 2155.00, 2170.00📉
Support level: 2140.00, 2117.90📈
DOLLAR_INDX, H4 7 March 2024DOLLAR_INDX, H4 7 March 2024
The Dollar Index has descended to its lowest point in a month, currently trading below 103.50 levels. The dollar faced significant downward pressure primarily due to the dovish stance communicated in Powell's testimony that began yesterday. Powell indicated an expectation that the U.S. central bank will initiate rate cuts this year. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for Friday, as it may offer insights into the potential timing of the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting actions.
The dollar index traded eased from its crucial liquidity zone and plunged to its one-month high, suggesting a bearish bias for the dollar. Suggesting that bearish momentum is gaining.
Resistance level: 103.70, 104.50📉
Support level: 102.90, 102.00📈
CL OIL H4 6 March 2024CL OIL, H4 6 March 2024
Oil prices experienced a downturn, facing substantial pressure from the prevailing risk-off sentiment in the market, particularly in anticipation of the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony scheduled for today. The heightened uncertainty has led to minimal volatility in oil prices as traders await the outcomes of the ongoing China People's Congress meeting, recognizing the potential impact of China's policies on oil prices.
Oil prices have declined to their support level of 78.65, which is a potential rebound level. Suggesting a bearish momentum is forming.
Resistance level: 81.20, 84.10
Support level: 78.65, 75.20
USDJPY H4 6 March 2024USD/JPY, H4 6 March 2024
The USD/JPY pair continues to trade within a consolidation range, fluctuating between the 150.80 and 149.75 levels. Notably, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Japan's largest bank, is reportedly adjusting its positions in anticipation of a potential move by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in March. Senior management at the bank has suggested that there is a 50% chance the BoJ may shift its monetary policy, a move that could have significant implications for Japanese government bonds and the strength of the Japanese Yen.
USD/JPY eases slightly but remains trading sideways within its consolidation range. Suggesting bearish momentum may be forming.
Resistance level: 150.80, 151.70
Support level: 149.40, 147.60
AUDUSD H4 6 March 2024AUD/USD H4 6 March 2024
AUD/USD maintains a steady stance amidst mixed market sentiment in Australia. The ongoing downtrend in the US Dollar offers a potential bullish push for AUD/USD, yet uncertainties surrounding the Chinese economy, a significant trade partner for Australia, present headwinds. While potential stimulus measures in China may offer temporary relief, the sustainability of economic conditions remains uncertain. Investors are urged to closely monitor further developments for trading signals.
AUD/USD is trading higher following the prior rebound from the support level. Suggesting the pair might extend its gains in short-term since the RSI rebounded sharply from oversold territory.
Resistance level: 0.6535, 0.6570
Support level: 0.6485, 0.6450
GBPUSD H4 6 March 2024GBP/USD H4 6 March 2024
The Pound Sterling hovers near a crucial resistance level, finding support in the weakening trend of the US Dollar. Wednesday's spotlight includes the UK S&P Global Construction PMI and Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony. UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's insights into the Spring Budget, featuring a proposed national insurance cut, are pivotal for investors navigating potential trading signals. Diligent monitoring of budget updates is advised.
GBP/USD is trading higher while currently testing the resistance level. Suggesting the pair might experience technical correction since the RSI retreated sharply from overbought territory.
Resistance level:1.2710, 1.2785
Support level: 1.2635, 1.2530
XAUUSD H4 6 March 2024 XAU/USD, H4 6 March 2024
Gold prices have extended their upward trajectory, surging by over 4% throughout March. The
precious metal's ascent is largely attributed to the prevailing risk-off sentiment in the market,
intensifying ahead of the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony scheduled for today and tomorrow. Additionally, the growing financial risk associated with a potential pullback in equity markets has further bolstered demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Investors are closely monitoring Powell's remarks for insights into the Fed's stance amid heightened market uncertainty.
Gold prices have risen and are currently holding below its all-time high levels. Suggesting the bullish momentum remains strong for the gold.
Resistance level: 2140.00, 2155.00
Support level: 2117.90, 2088.20
DOLLAR_INDX,DXY H4 6 March 2024DOLLAR_INDX, H4 6 March 2024
The Dollar Index faced downward pressure, currently slipping below 103.85. Investors seem to be swayed by recent lacklustre economic data from the United States, indicating a potential slowdown in economic growth. This sentiment prevails despite expectations of relatively hawkish testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell scheduled for today and tomorrow. Powell's testimony is anticipated to introduce higher volatility to the Dollar Index as market participants keenly await insights into the central bank's stance amid economic challenges.
The dollar index traded eased from its short-term support level at 103.85, suggesting a shift in the index's momentum.
Resistance level: 104.50, 104.95
Support level: 103.70, 102.90