GOLD [XAU/USD] Sell Structure for the Month of MayAnalysis of Gold Price Movement in May 2024
For the daily timeframe in May 2024, Gold has opened at a high level, indicating potential seller activity. The initial target for price movement is the open price of 2321.07 , serving as the primary take-profit point for the monthly structure. Utilizing Fibonacci analysis, the first take-profit level is identified at 2339.56 , followed by the open price of 2321.07 .
Key rules to follow when trading this structure include:
1. Market Structure (OHLC/OLHC)
2. Divergence
3. TDI Cross
When these conditions align, the likelihood of a successful trade increases. Remember to practice patience and apply proper risk management techniques.
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Dailychart
More upside possible on XAGUSD, Fundamental & Technical AnalysisFundamental: The past two months we've been seeing consistent growth in long positions, short positions on the other hand haven't been experiencing the same consistency with the amount lowering. The Net Position is positive and has been growing consistently the past two months. Open Interest is positive and growing in the sentiment, Total OI has been growing consistently for the past two month but we've seen a drop with the last report.
COT Report: cot-reports.com
Technical: On the daily time frame we're trading above the EMAs while at the time having the 5 EMA cross up the 20 EMA. Momentum is positive while at the same time having the stochastic pointing up and going over the 50% mark
Target/Stop: I'm targeting the highs with a Stop under the lows.
Fundamental & Technical Analysis on XAUUSD Fundamental: Gold has seen the amount of long positions grow these past two months and be able to sustain that grow in a range from 560K-285K+, Short Positions have been maintaining about the same roughly staying in the range from 80K-66K. Open Interest is leaning bullish with growth this past month but for the past two month we see some ups and downs followed by what looks to be possible consistency looking ahead.
COT report: cot-reports.com
Technical: On the Daily time frame were getting Price to trade above the EMAs while at the same time the 5 EMA is crossing up the 20 EMA. The Stochastic is pointing toward the sky working towards braking the 50% level, Momentum is also positive
Target/Stop: My target will be around the most Significant high, Stop underneath the lows when my idea becomes invalid
BTC/USDT 4HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the 4H BTC to USDT chart as we can see that the price has bounced off the upper boundary of the downtrend channel, potentially giving room for a stronger downward move.
However, if BTC tries to exit the channel again, the price must overcome a very strong resistance zone from $71,959 to $73,853. However, after breaking above this resistance zone, an upward impulse to the area of $83,029 will be possible.
Now let's move on to the stop loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 = $68,378
SL2 = $66,144
SL3 = $62,363
SL4 = $60,014
AND
SL5 = $56,634
Looking at the RSI indicators and the STOCH indicator, you can see how both of these indicators rebounded from the upper limit, which resulted in a downward price movement, with room for the price to recover more. It is worth mentioning here that the RSI indicator has approached the upward trend line, which is worth watching because relying on it may again result in an upward movement.
Realty Income | Daily Chart AnalysisNYSE:O
Realty Income is widely recognized for its monthly dividend payouts.
Upon opening the chart and zooming out, it's evident that the stock has been moving within a significant range since around 2014/2015. Currently, we find ourselves in the lower half of this established range.
Currently, NYSE:O is in a downtrend channel, so it's advisable to wait for confirmation of a potential bounce.
To further build my position and purchase more shares, I would like to see the first gap completely closed, and the second gap either fully closed or at least rejected with a long rejection wick candle, supported by a volume spike.
Additionally, I would be pleased if, in conjunction with these conditions, a divergence occurs in the area of the 30 RSI or below.
Update on BTC Inv head and shoulders pattern.As one can see here looking at this chart, the dotted light magenta colored measured move line is more or less being overlapped by the daily 20ma(thin teal line) for double reinforced support and at the current moment the 20ma is maintaining support for now. It wouldn’t surprise me if price eventually wicked below it to retest the inv h&s neckline as support since it never did on the initial breakout above the neckline, but its also fairly probably that the 20ma or dotted measured move line can hold support. We will find out most likely before mid june if there will be any deeper correction before resuming the uptrend *not financial advice*
PreLondon Friday analysis☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌
☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
BTC/USDT 4HInterval CHART ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price rebounded from the lower border of the downtrend channel.
Let's start by determining the support line and as you can see, the first support in the near future is $57,035, which kept the price from a major correction, if the support is broken, the next support is $54,139.
Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $59,506 which we are currently fighting, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be at $61,380, the third at $62,658 and the fourth at $64,334.
Looking at the RSI indicator, there is a rebound, but there is still room for the price to go higher, while the STOCH indicator is also near the middle of the range, which potentially gives room for the price to go up even further.
Quant appears to b on the verge of validating an invh&s breakoutNo guarantee it ont go back below the neckline once or even twice or thrice before the real breakout as such things are common, however it definitely looks like this current breach above the enckline could be the one that ends up validating. The breakout target once it validates is $171. *not financial advice*
Gold just made a big splash above this key pink trendlineXAUUSD made a big splash and just got a new ath recently as it broke above this pink horizontal trendline for the first time. We can see since then it has created a big bear wick however so not so sure it will be able to maintain this pink trendline as solidified support or not. Once it eventually does hod this pink trendline as solidified support for a weekly candle or 3, that should likely be enough to trigger the breakout from this trendline…at that point the target gets pretty bullish. A correction would not surprise me if this big bearwick on the current candle closes as such but for the medium turn I would say gold is having some very bullish developments here. We can also see the recent death cross threat has been confirmed a fakeout and quickly reversed back into the golden cross formation…a great sign for prolonging its bull cycle. *not financial advice*
🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 27 March 2024🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 27 March 2024
Crude oil prices retreated from significant resistance levels as market sentiment remained tepid ahead of key events. Investors opted to shed high-risk commodities amidst lingering uncertainties. However, losses were tempered by concerns over potential supply disruptions, notably after Russia's directive to companies to curtail output in line with OPEC+ commitments. With US crude inventories registering a significant uptick, attention shifts to the upcoming EIA Oil inventories release and broader economic performance for crucial trading cues.
Oil prices are trading lower following the prior retracement from the resistance level. Suggesting the commodity might extend its losses toward support level.
Resistance level: 82.85, 84.10📉
Support level: 80.20, 78.00📈
DOLLAR_INDX,DXY H4 27 March 2024💵 DOLLAR_INDX, H4 💵 27 March 2024
The Dollar Index, tracking against a basket of major currencies, held firm amidst a wait-and-see sentiment among investors. With anticipation mounting for the release of the PCE Price Index data crucial for gauging inflation and scheduled for Good Friday, market movement is expected to remain subdued. Despite the holiday, Top Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell and Mary Daly, are slated to provide insights, setting the stage for potential market shifts. Traders are advised to stay vigilant and strategize as economic data released over the weekend could spur heightened volatility come Monday.
The Dollar Index is trading higher while currently testing the resistance level. Suggesting the index might extend its gains after breakout .
Resistance level: 104.45, 104.95📉
Support level:104.00, 103.65📈
🛢 CL OIL H4 🛢 25 March 2024🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 25 March 2024
Crude oil prices witnessed a slight retreat amidst optimism surrounding potential ceasefire
negotiations between Israel and Hamas. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken's remarks, indicating progress in talks held in Qatar aimed at reaching a ceasefire agreement for Gaza, tempered concerns over oil supply disruptions. This development, coupled with the potential alleviation of geopolitical tensions, contributed to the easing of fears in the oil market.
Oil prices are trading lower while currently testing the support level. Suggesting the commodity might experience technical corrections.
Resistance level: 82.85, 84.10📉
Support level: 80.20, 78.00📈
GBPUSD H4 25 March 2024GBP/USD, H4 25 March 2024
The GBP/USD currency pair is exhibiting sustained bullish momentum, currently hovering near the 1.2600 level as the market anticipates further developments. Revisions in market expectations regarding a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in 2024 have emerged due to ongoing inflationary pressures in the U.S., contributing to the strengthening of the dollar. Additionally, traders are closely monitoring the upcoming release of the UK's GDP data on Thursday, which is expected to provide insights into the economic health of the UK and its potential impact on the strength of the Sterling.
GBP/USD continues to trade with strong bearish momentum despite recording a slight rebound at near 1.2600 levels. Suggesting that the bearish momentum remains strong.
Resistance level: 1.2630, 1.2710📉
Support level: 1.2530, 1.2440📈
XAUUSD H4 25 March 2024🔖XAU/USD, H4🔖 25 March 2024
Gold prices experienced a downturn as the robust US Dollar continued to dampen the appeal of
non-yielding assets such as gold. The resurgence of the Dollar, particularly following signals from
several major central banks, including the Swiss National Bank, hinting at potential rate cuts in 2024, weighed heavily on the precious metal market. Despite dovish sentiments expressed by some Fed members regarding rate cuts, the recent outperformance of the US economy could cloud the outlook for gold prices.
Gold prices are trading lower while currently testing the support level. Suggesting the commodity might experience
technical correction.
Resistance level: 2240.00, 2315.00📉
Support level: 2150.00, 2080.00📈
Potential continuation of the short on ETHOn ETH, similarly to Bitcoin, a deeper descent is also appropriate, the lower green zone is a potential rebound and the end of the correction. There is also a 30% descent from the local peak.
Currently, ETH has dropped by over 20%. However, the third zone would give a decrease of approximately 40%.
There is still room for another decline on the RSI, while on the STOCH indicator there is a visible upward movement that has encountered resistance lines, which may reverse the movement again.
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🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 20 March 2024🛢 CL OIL, H4 🛢 20 March 2024
Crude oil prices extended gains, reaching multi-month highs for the second consecutive session,
driven by rising geopolitical tensions, notably recent attacks by Ukraine on Russian refineries.
Concerns over supply disruptions intensified as the attacks targeted a significant portion of Russian refining capacity, leading to the shutdown of approximately 7% of daily refining output. The escalating conflict underscores the volatile nature of global oil markets and highlights the potential for further price fluctuations.
Oil prices are trading higher while currently testing the resistance level. Suggesting the commodity might experience technical correction since the RSI entered the overbought territory.
Resistance level: 82.85, 84.10📉
Support level: 80.20, 78.00📈